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SEC Fearless Predictions , Week 8
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CollegeFootballNews.com Posted Oct 13, 2006
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Preview and predictions for the week eight SEC games
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SEC
East
Florida
| Georgia
| Kentucky
| South Carolina
| Tennessee
| Vanderbilt
West
Alabama
| Arkansas
| Auburn
| LSU |
Ole Miss
| Miss State
- Part SEC Predictions:
Week 1 |
Week 2 |
Week 3 |
Week 4 |
Week 5
Week 6 |
Week 7
How are the picks so far? SU:
49-10 ... ATS: 28-23-1
SEC Fearless Predictions, Week
8, Part
2
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Get Tickets for These Games
SEC Game of
the Week
Alabama
(5-2) at
Tennessee
(5-1) 3:30 PM EST CBS Saturday
October 21st
Why to Watch: Alabama has a
rivalry with everyone in the SEC, but
the battle with Tennessee is old-school
SEC that die-hard fans get into as much
as any of the newer rivalries created by
the SEC divisions. Tennessee is saying
all the right things about not caring
about a disrespectful 11th in the
initial BCS rankings, but it's all about
looking impressive from here on out with
the SEC championship back on the radar
after Florida lost to Auburn last week.
The Vols had last week off after the
thrilling, somewhat bizarre 51-33 win
over Georgia, and now begins a four-week
stretch against the Tide, at South
Carolina, LSU, and at Arkansas, which
will make or break all dreams of a big,
BCS caliber season. Alabama is still in
the hunt for the West title despite
losses to Arkansas and Florida, but
there's no margin for error now. An
upset over Tennessee would likely mean
an 8-2 start with a depleted FIU team
and Mississippi State to follow. This
hasn't been the strongest of Tide teams
having problems with Ole Miss last week,
but there's just enough explosion on
offense, and talent on defense, to have
a good shot of keeping this close. Last
year, Alabama won 6-3 thanks to a
miraculous finish helped by a Tennessee
fumble out of the end zone and a last
second Jamie Christensen field goal.
Why Alabama Might Win: The
overtime win over Ole Miss might not
have been pretty, but it did mark the
official return of RB Ken Darby, who
showed a little bit of pop with his best
game of the season rushing for 162
yards. If he's able to find a little bit
of running room against an average
Tennessee run defense, that will allow
for John Parker Wilson and D.J. Hall to
do their thing in the passing game
providing the most balance UT has seen
since the season-opener against
California. Few teams are better in
turnover margin than the Tide with 17
takeaways so far and only nine
turnovers. Bama must win this battle to
have a shot.
Why Tennessee Might Win: Erik
Ainge, the SEC's most efficient
quarterback, should be able to pick the
Tide secondary clean. While the Vol
offensive line is a bit banged up, it's
done a great job so far in pass
protection and should be able give Ainge
all day to throw considering Bama hasn't
been able to generate a steady pass rush
all season long. Statistically,
the Tide pass defense is ranked 16th in
the nation, but it got lit up by
Hawaii's Colt Brennan and had problems
with Florida's Chris Leak. If Brent
Schaeffer of Ole Miss could complete 13
of 20 passes for 163 yards and a
touchdown, Ainge should be able to go
ballistic.
Who to Watch: The SEC's two best
receivers will be on display with
Alabama's D.J. Hall and Tennessee's
Robert Meachem each locks for All-SEC
honors and possible All-America
recognition. Hall has been fantastic
over the last four games going over 100
yards in each with 23 catches for 504
yards and three touchdowns over that
span. Meachem has been nothing short of
sensational as Ainge's main target
averaging 19.9 yards per catch with six
scores and three 100-yard days along
with a 98-yard performance against
Georgia.
What Will Happen: Phil Fulmer is
10-3 against Alabama and will get his
11th with several big plays from the
passing game and a nice, but not
sensational day from the D. This will be
closer than many Vol fans might like.
CFN Prediction:
Tennessee 26
... Alabama 17 ...
Line: Tennessee -12
Must See Rating: (5 skip the
birth of your first born - 1 Knights
of Prosperity)
... 4
Ole
Miss
(2-5) at
Arkansas
(5-1) 12:30 PM EST GamePlan
Saturday October 21st
Why to Watch: All of a sudden,
this seemingly throwaway game when the
season started becomes one SEC fans will
keep a close eye on. Arkansas is now the
hunted with a 3-0 SEC start and as the
only team in the West that controls its
own destiny. Winners of five straight
after the season-opening loss to USC,
the Hogs are riding high thanks to one
of the nation's best ground games and an
improving defense. Ole Miss has lost
five of its last six, but it's starting
to play better with a win over
Vanderbilt two weeks ago and a
way-closer-than-expected overtime loss
to Alabama. Chances of a bowl game are
all but shot with LSU and Auburn still
to play, but the Rebels can get within
range with a big upset.
Why Ole Miss Might Win: Brent
Schaeffer might be finally starting to
play as expected. While the Ole Miss
quarterback isn't setting the world on
fire, he had a nice game against Alabama
completing 13 of 20 passes for 163 yards
and a touchdown with showing off a
little bit of his running skill for the
first time in weeks. Arkansas doesn't
force a lot of mistakes, and QB Mitch
Mustain will probably be good for at
least one interception, so if the Rebels
can capitalize on every opportunity,
they might be able to pull off the
shocker. One slight problem ...
Why Arkansas Might Win: ... Ole
Miss can't stop the run. The linebackers
are playing well, but the line has been
a big issue getting pushed around in the
running game and not generating any
pressure in the backfield. Alabama's Ken
Darby, who had struggled all season
long, ran wild on the Rebels. Arkansas
should dominate up front opening things
up for the backs to crank out yards in
huge chunks.
Who to Watch: Two of the nation's
best linebackers will be in this game as
Patrick Willis of Ole Miss, with 73
tackles and 23 in the last two games,
and Sam Olajubutu of Arkansas will each
be a big key. Since the line is having
so many problems, it'll be up to him to
keep short gains from turning into
back-breaking home runs. Olajubutu has
been the heart and soul of the Hog
defense with his leadership and steady
play making him the one everything
revolves around. He's not the tackling
machine that Willis is, but he'll play a
big role in keeping Schaeffer in the
backfield.
What Will Happen: Ole Miss is
playing well enough to give the Hogs a
push, but the Arkansas running game will
control things from the start.
CFN Prediction:
Arkansas 27
... Ole Miss 13 ...
Line: Arkansas -17
Must See Rating: (5 skip the
birth of your first born - 1 Knights
of Prosperity)
... 3
Mississippi State
(2-5) at
Georgia
(5-2) 1 PM EST Saturday October
21st
Why to Watch: Normally, this
might appear to be a yawner, no need to
watch SEC blowout game, but after
Georgia's unimaginable gaffe at home to
Vanderbilt last week, anything seems
possible. The Georgia version of the
Bulldogs have been shaky all season long
against D-I teams and are on a two-game
losing streak with the date with Florida
coming up next week. The offense hasn't
been consistent, the defense hasn't been
solid enough, and the panic sirens are
going off. Expect a total meltdown from
the Dawg fans if Georgia loses to an MSU
team that hasn't been close against
teams with a pulse. The Bulldogs had no
problem with Jacksonville State last
week, but it's only win of slight
substance this year was in overtime over
UAB. They've lost 16 of its last 17 SEC
games and hasn't beaten Georgia since
1974 and hasn't won in Athens since
1956.
Why Mississippi State Might Win:
Georgia's offense is struggling way too
much. The scoring offense stats are
misleading since the Dawg defense and
special teams are making things look
cosmetically better. The passing attack
continues to stink, and with Thomas
Brown out, the running game has fewer
options to work with. As long as MSU
limits turnovers and doesn't allow any
big plays from the great Georgia kick
return game, it should be able to keep
things close up until the end.
Fortunately for Georgia ...
Why Georgia Might Win: ... MSU's
offense is far worse. This week should
be when the Dawg D makes things right
after having problems in the last two
losses. Even against Jacksonville State,
MSUs couldn't get any efficient play
from the passing game with Mike Henig
only completing 11 of 25 passes, while
the running game only averaged 3.7 yards
per carry. The Georgia defense has had
to carry the team, and for the most
part, it's done a good job. Watch for
the Georgia secondary to jump all over
the MSU receivers and force the visiting
Bulldogs to win on the ground.
Who to Watch: Georgia lost Thomas
Brown, who regained his starting spot
last week only to suffer a season-ending
knee injury, meaning Kregg Lumpkin and
Danny Ware have to do more to carry the
offense. Matthew Stafford has been put
back at starting quarterback after an
efficient 9-of-11 game coming off the
bench against Vanderbilt. Joe
Tereshinski wasn't all that bad, but he
didn't provide any spark since returning
from an ankle injury. Will the coaching
staff ride out the low points with its
freshman franchise passer, or will
Tereshinski be put in at the first sign
of problems? The situation has to be
settled once and for all before dealing
with the Gators next week.
What Will Happen: The Bulldogs
will win.
CFN Prediction:
Georgia 31... Mississippi State 10 ...
Line: Georgia -17.5
Must See Rating: (5 skip the
birth of your first born - 1 Knights
of Prosperity)
... 2.5
SEC Fearless Predictions, Week
8, Part
2
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Get Tickets for These Games
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