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Big 12 Fearless Predictions, Nov. 11, Part 2

CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Nov 8, 2006


Preview and predictions for the week Eleven Big Ten games, Part 2.


Big 12
North Colorado | Iowa St | Kansas | Kansas State | Missouri | Nebraska
South Baylor | Oklahoma | Oklahoma State | Texas | Texas A&M | Texas Tech
Past Big 12 Predictions: Week 1 |
Week 2 | Week 3 | Week 4 | Week 5
Week 6 | Week 7 | Week 8 | Week 9 | Week 10


How'd we do so far? 51-14 straight up, 23-34-2 ATS

Week 11 Big 12 Fearless Predictions | Get Tickets for These Games

Nebraska (7-3) at Texas A&M (8-2)  3:30 PM EST ABC Saturday November 11th
Why to Watch: Nebraska took control of the Big 12 North race with an impressive 34-20 thumping over Missouri, and now it just needs to beat either Texas A&M or Colorado to play in the title game. Even in the resurgent season, it would be nice if the Huskers could beat someone from the South after losing to Texas and Oklahoma State in back-to-back weeks. A&M had a great first seven games thanks to a relatively easy schedule and several close wins, and then it got outcoached, outrushed, and in the end, outgutted (to create a word) in a tough 17-16 loss to Oklahoma. A&M can firmly establish itself as the league's third best team with a win, and can start to get a little more national credit. With Texas coming up in two weeks to finish off the regular season, the Aggies might need this to avoid a three-game slide.
Why Nebraska Might Win: It's not exactly the days of Mike Rozier, Tom Rathman, Roger Craig or Ahman Green, but the Husker running game is starting to find its stride at just the right time averaging over 200 yards in four of the last five games (throwing out the 38-yard performance against Texas when the passing attack threw for 302 yards). A&M's defensive front has been shoved around a little bit in recent weeks having major problems with Oklahoma State a few weeks ago and even giving up over 100 yards to Baylor's ground game, the nation's worst. Oklahoma and RB Allen Patrick had their way with the Aggies. On the road, Nebraska can take the crowd out of the game by pounding the ball. However ...
Why Texas A&M Might Win: ... all of a sudden, Nebraska's run defense has gotten soft. Most teams have been able to do whatever they want throwing the ball on the Husker secondary, and now there have been problems over the last three weeks with all types of ground games. Texas pounded on the Huskers, Oklahoma State blew by them, and Missouri, when it wasn't screwing up, was cranking out yards in chunks before falling behind. A&M should be able to control the clock on the ground.
Who to Watch: Assuming Oklahoma's Adrian Peterson doesn't get in, this game might decide one of the spots on the All-Big 12 First Team next to Jon Cornish of Kansas. Texas RB Jamaal Charles will be in the mix and Oklahoma's Patrick is making a late charge, but realistically it'll be between Texas A&M's Jorvorskie Lane and Nebraska's Brandon Jackson. Lane is ninth in the league in rushing and second on his own team, but he's scored a whopping 18 touchdowns with at least one in every game this year. Over the last two seasons, A&M is 4-0 when he runs the ball 20 or more times. For Nebraska, Jackson has come on over the second half of the season as a rushing and receiving threw with 293 yards on the ground and three touchdowns in the last two games, and ten catches over the last four.
What Will Happen: Texas A&M will get a bit more out of its running game, helped by QB Stephen McGee, and will come up with a big late drive to win a grind-it-out, hard fought battle.
CFN Prediction
: Texas A&M 24 ... Nebraska 20 .. Line: Pick
Must See Rating: (5 skip the birth of your first born - 1 Santa Clause 3: The Escape Clause) ... 4

Texas (9-1) at Kansas State (6-4)  8 PM ABC EST Saturday November 11th
Why to Watch: Kansas State has come up with a shocking season in Ron Prince's first year getting bowl eligible with a young, young, young group that's getting better and better by the week. On a two-game winning streak with wins over Iowa State and Colorado, now the program looks to make a big, splashy, 'we're back" statement against the likely eventual Big 12 champions. Texas is knee-deep in the national title waters needing as many style points as possible. The Big 12 South title is all but sewn up needing to win either this week or in two weeks against Texas A&M, so now it's about fighting the way into the coveted number two spot in the BCS rankings. Anything short of an impressive win here might kill those hopes.     
Why Texas Might Win: Outside of a flurry in the final three minutes to upset Oklahoma State, it's not like Kansas State has beaten anyone with a pulse, or even been close. The six wins have come against the Cowboys, Illinois State, Florida Atlantic, Marshall, Iowa State and Colorado, while the four losses have come to Louisville, Baylor, Nebraska and Missouri by a combined score of 103 to 33. Texas represents just a wee bit of a jump up in competition after beating the Cyclones and Buffaloes. While the KSU passing game woke up over the last two weeks, it needs to run the ball effectively to win. The Longhorns have only allowed one team to run for more than 100 yards (Oklahoma).
Why Kansas State Might Win: Pressure. To have any shot at beating Texas, Kansas State has to get into the backfield early and often. Colt McCoy has been tremendous over the last several weeks because he's had ten days to throw, but he might get pressured a bit against a Wildcat defense that's 11th in the nation in sacks and 14th in tackles for loss. While the Longhorns were able to shut down Bobby Reid and the Oklahoma State passing game, they got torched over the previous three weeks by Texas Tech, Nebraska and Baylor. That means ...
Who to Watch: ... Kansas State freshman QB Josh Freeman has to come up with his second straight lights-out performance. The star recruit has taken his lumps throughout the season failing to throw a touchdown pass in his five games with meaningful time. He went from throwing one touchdown pass and nine interceptions in his first six games to completing 22 of 26 passes for 251 yards and two touchdowns in the win over Colorado. He has to be nearly perfect for the Wildcats to have a shot.
What Will Happen: The Kansas State defense will keep this from getting out of hand, but it won't have enough offensive firepower to make a comeback after getting down early.
CFN Prediction
: Texas 30 ... Kansas State 13  .. Line: Texas -18
Must See Rating: (5 skip the birth of your first born - 1 Santa Clause 3: The Escape Clause) ... 3

Week 11 Big 12 Fearless Predictions | Get Tickets for These Games