Big Ten Fearless Picks, Nov. 18

CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Nov 15, 2006


Preview and predictions for the week Twelve Big 10 games


Big Ten
Illinois | Indiana | Iowa | Michigan | Michigan State | Minnesota
Northwestern | Ohio State | Penn State | Purdue | Wisconsin
- Past Predictions:
Week 1 | Week 2 | Week 3 | Week 4 | Week 5
Week 6 | Week 7 | Week 8 | Week 9 | Week 10 | Week 11

Week 12 Big Ten Fearless Predictions, Part 2 | Get Tickets for These Games

How'd we do so far? 66-15 straight up, 39-32-2
ATS

Big Ten Game of the Week

Michigan (11-0) at Ohio State (11-0)  3:30 PM EST ABC Saturday November 18th
- The Michigan vs. Ohio State Preview, Breakdown and Prediction

Iowa (6-5) at Minnesota (5-6)  12 PM EST ESPN+ Saturday November 18th
Why to Watch: Minnesota, left for dead weeks ago, can pull off a semi-shocker and finish the year with three straight wins to become bowl eligible. To do that, it needs to beat Iowa for the first time since 2000 and has to hope the Hawkeyes keep playing as scattered and dull as they have over the last few weeks. After beating Illinois in its Big Ten opener, Iowa has lost five of six Big Ten games hurt by turnovers, dropped passes, and inconsistency on both sides of the ball. As bad as things have been, a win would mean a 7-5 finish and a shot at a halfway decent bowl  A loss could push the Hawkeyes to the bottom of the bowl pecking order.
Why Iowa Might Win: Drew Tate is way overdue. The Hawkeye senior wasn't great against the nasty Big Ten teams like Wisconsin, Ohio State and Michigan, but Minnesota's defense is hardly the same caliber. The secondary has been awful all year long and took a turn for the worse over the last two weeks giving up 696 yards and four touchdowns, but was saved by picking off five passes. If Tate can be efficient and mistake free, and if the running game can provide a bit of balance, Minnesota's defense doesn't have a chance to keep the Iowa offense under 24 points.
Why Minnesota State Might Win: The Iowa secondary can be burned. Wisconsin's Tyler Donovan, who's hardly Tom Brady, stepped in for and injured John Stocco in Iowa City last week and ripped apart the Hawkeyes with an efficient 17 of 24, 228-yard, two touchdown day. Gopher quarterback Bryan Cupito has been red hot over the last two games with six touchdown pass and no interceptions. An experienced veteran in his final home game, expect him to be fantastic.
Who to Watch: Minnesota DE William VanDeSteeg is one of the Big Ten's rising stars coming off one of the best defensive performances of the team's season with four sacks against Michigan State. With a non-stop motor and a quick burst off the edge, the sophomore has the potential to get into the Iowa backfield on a regular basis and hurry Tate, who's been mediocre this year under pressure.
What Will Happen: Minnesota will claim the Floyd of Rosedale trophy for the first time in six years with a good day from the passing game and an inspired defensive effort.
CFN Prediction
: Minnesota 27 ... Iowa 23 ...  Line: Minnesota -3
Must See Rating: (5 skip the birth of your first born - 1 The Bachelor: Rome) ... 3

Michigan State (4-7) at Penn State (7-4)  12 PM EST ESPN2 Saturday November 18th
Why to Watch: It's the end of the John L. Smith era as the disastrous Michigan season if finally coming to an end, while Penn State can cement itself in the number four spot in the Big Ten pecking order with a win. How important is this game? All the talk is about where Joe Paterno will coach as he recovers from a broken leg. After sitting home in last week's 47-0 win over Temple, he'll be in the press box as he continues on as college football's indestructible icon. On the opposite end of the spectrum, Smith is looking end his reign on a high note trying to pull up out of the nosedive of losing three straight and seven of the last eight.
Why Michigan State Might Win: Talk about having nothing to lose, MSU might finally play loose after an uptight last several weeks. If it wasn't the pressure of trying to build off the Northwestern win, it was trying to come up with a win to potentially be bowl eligible, or it was trying to win on the seniors' last day, or it was trying to prove that the Notre Dame loss didn't matter. There was always something. Now, there's absolutely no pressure. It's not like Penn State is going to hang 55 points on the board, so if the Spartan offense, which still has a bit of firepower to work with, can get some steam early and force the Nittany Lions to play catch-up, this could be interesting.
Why Penn State Might Win: Beyond the problems Michigan State is having, history is on Penn State's side having obliterated the Spartans the last six times in Happy Valley by an average score of 47-22. If Anthony Morelli and the Nittany Lion passing game was ever going to find a groove, this would be the week. MSU has given up at least 239 passing yards in each of the last five games and has allowed thirty passing touchdowns on the year. Only Idaho, in the opener, didn't throw for at least two scores.
Who to Watch: The new head coach is going to have his own ideas and will be certain to open up competition at every spot, so this is sort of an audition for the returning players. For sophomore QB Brian Hoyer, assuming Drew Stanton will be out recovering from a concussion, this is his chance to show that he can be the future of the offense no matter who comes in. While he's not the dangerous rushing threat Drew Stanton is, he has a good arm and a decent command of the offense showing off his bombing ability with 330 yards and a touchdown last week against Minnesota. He threw two interceptions and took too many sacks, but he showed promise.
What Will Happen: The Temple game aside, this should be Penn State's best performance of the year. The Nittany Lion linebacking corps should completely shut down the MSU running game, the secondary will come up with at least two picks, and Tony Hunt will run for 150 yards and two scores.
CFN Prediction
: Penn State 34 ... Michigan State 13 ...  Line: Penn State -17.5
Must See Rating: (5 skip the birth of your first born - 1 The Bachelor: Rome) ... 2

Week 12 Big Ten Fearless Predictions, Part 2 | Get Tickets for These Games
 



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