East
UAB
|
UCF
|
East Carolina
|
Marshall
|
Memphis
|
Southern Miss
West
Houston
|
Rice
|
SMU
|
Tulane
|
Tulsa
|
UTEP
- 2007 Conference USA
Composite Schedule Analysis
|
Toughest schedules
Based on home games as
well as who the teams play. when
East
1. Southern Miss
2. Marshall
3. UAB
4. UCF
5. East Carolina
6. Memphis
West
1. SMU
2. Rice
3. Houston
4. UTEP
5. Tulane
6. Tulsa |
East
East Carolina
Realistic best case record with this schedule: 8-4
Barring total disaster worst case record: 4-8
Realistic record: 7-5
It starts out a bit rough with non-conference games against Virginia
Tech and a refurbished North Carolina, but the big deal is the
Conference USA opener against defending East champion Southern Miss. With road trips to West Virginia and Houston to end the
first month, ECU just has to survive. The final seven games of the year
are against teams that didn't go to a bowl game. Winning all the league
home games is a must to have a realistic shot at a bowl.
| Sept. 1 |
at
Virginia Tech |
| Sept. 8 |
North Carolina |
| Sept.
15 |
Southern Miss |
| Sept.
22 |
at West Virginia |
| Sept.
29 |
at Houston |
| Oct. 6 |
UCF |
| Oct. 13 |
at
UTEP |
| Oct. 20 |
NC
State |
| Oct. 27 |
UAB |
| Nov. 3 |
at
Memphis |
| Nov. 10 |
at
Marshall |
| Nov. 24 |
Tulane |
-
Almost certain win
- Likely loss
- Could go either way |
Marshall
Realistic best case record with this schedule: 7-5
Barring total disaster worst case record: 4-8
Realistic record: 6-6
While the non-conference schedule is a monster playing at Miami and
Cincinnati along with the rivalry showdown with West Virginia and a
breather against New Hampshire. Making matters tougher early on is a
three game road trip before coming home to face Southern Miss in a
critical East battle. On the plus side, the Herd gets the Golden Eagles,
along with the other likely division favorite, East Carolina, at home.
However, not only are there games against Houston and Tulsa, the two
best teams from the West, they're both on the road.
| Sept. 1 |
at Miami
|
| Sept. 8 |
West Virginia |
| Sept.
15 |
New Hampshire |
| Sept.
22 |
at
Cincinnati |
| Oct. 2 |
at
Memphis |
| Oct. 13 |
at
Tulsa |
| Oct. 21 |
Southern Miss |
| Oct. 27 |
Rice |
| Nov. 3 |
at UCF |
| Nov. 10 |
East Carolina |
| Nov. 17 |
at
Houston |
| Nov. 24 |
UAB |
-
Almost certain win
- Likely loss
- Could go either way |
Memphis
Realistic best case record with this schedule: 9-3
Barring total disaster worst case record: 4-8
Realistic record: 7-5
The potential is there for a quick turnaround with a pillow-soft
non-conference schedule with only one game, the opener against Ole Miss,
that'll likely be a loss. Getting Southern Miss on the road might make
winning the East tough, but missing Houston and Tulsa from the West is a
big help. Playing three home games in November should make a winning
season all but certain if the wheels don't fall off like last year.
| Sept. 1 |
Ole
Miss |
| Sept. 8 |
at Arkansas State |
| Sept.
15 |
Nicholls State |
| Sept.
22 |
at
UCF |
| Oct. 2 |
Marshall |
| Oct. 13 |
Middle Tennessee |
| Oct. 20 |
at
Rice |
| Oct. 27 |
at
Tulane |
| Nov. 3 |
East Carolina |
| Nov. 10 |
at
Southern Miss |
| Nov. 17 |
UAB |
| Nov. 24 |
SMU |
-
Almost certain win
- Likely loss
- Could go either way |
Southern Miss
Realistic best case record with this schedule: 10-2
Barring total disaster worst case record: 7-5
Realistic record: 9-3
USM will likely be everyone's favorite to win the Conference USA title,
but the schedule doesn't do any favors with road games against the
East's top teams, East Carolina and Marshall. Missing Houston and Tulsa
from the West is nice, but the Golden Eagles have to go on the road to
face UTEP. The non-conference slate is interesting with chances to make
national noise on the road against Tennessee and Boise State to go along
with cupcake wins against Tennessee Martin and Arkansas State.
| Sept. 1 |
Tennessee Martin |
| Sept. 8 |
at Tennessee |
| Sept.
15 |
at
East Carolina |
| Sept.
22 |
at
Boise State |
| Oct. 3 |
Rice |
| Oct. 13 |
SMU |
| Oct. 21 |
at
Marshall |
| Oct. 28 |
UCF |
| Nov. 3 |
at UAB |
| Nov. 10 |
Memphis |
| Nov. 17 |
at
UTEP |
| Nov. 24 |
Arkansas State |
-
Almost certain win
- Likely loss
- Could go either way |
UAB
Realistic best case record with this schedule: 7-5
Barring total disaster worst case record: 4-8
Realistic record: 6-6
The concentration of road games early, and with two to close out the
season, means UAB has a nice stretch in the middle of the year with four
home games in five weeks. Unfortunately, the schedule makers didn't do
the Blazers any favors giving them Houston and Tulsa from the West and
three East games (East Carolina, Memphis and Marshall) on the road. A
1-3 non-conference record is likely facing Michigan State, Florida State
and Mississippi State away and Alcorn State at home.
| Sept. 1 |
at Michigan State |
| Sept. 8 |
at Florida State |
| Sept.
15 |
Alcorn State |
| Sept.
29 |
at
Tulsa |
| Oct. 6 |
at
Mississippi State |
| Oct. 13 |
Tulane |
| Oct. 20 |
Houston |
| Oct. 27 |
at
East Carolina |
| Nov. 3 |
Southern Miss |
| Nov. 10 |
UCF |
| Nov. 17 |
at
Memphis |
| Nov. 24 |
at
Marshall |
-
Almost certain win
- Likely loss
- Could go either way |
UCF
Realistic best case record with this schedule: 8-4
Barring total disaster worst case record: 4-8
Realistic record: 5-7
There aren't too many big conference breaks having to play Southern Miss
and East Carolina on the road to make winning the East difficult, while
getting Tulsa, SMU and UTEP from the West isn't a plus. The
non-conference schedule only has one layup, UL Lafayette, while the
early dates with NC State and Texas won't likely make for a strong
start. Can the Golden Knights get through October alive with road games
at East Carolina, South Florida and Southern Miss along with the
showdown with the Golden Eagles?
| Sept. 1 |
at NC State |
| Sept.
15 |
Texas |
| Sept.
22 |
Memphis |
| Sept. 29 |
UL Lafayette |
| Oct. 6 |
at
East Carolina |
| Oct. 13 |
at
South Florida |
| Oct. 20 |
Tulsa |
| Oct. 28 |
at Southern Miss |
| Nov. 3 |
Marshall |
| Nov. 10 |
at UAB |
| Nov. 17 |
at
SMU |
| Nov. 24 |
UTEP |
-
Almost certain win
- Likely loss
- Could go either way |
West
Houston
Realistic best case record with this schedule: 9-3
Barring total disaster worst case record: 6-6
Realistic record: 8-4
The defending Conference USA champions are testing themselves early with
the non-conference schedule going to Oregon and Alabama and hosting
Colorado State, and they give themselves a treat to end the season
against Texas Southern. In league play, they miss Southern Miss and get
East battles against East Carolina and Marshall at home, but they have
the key divisional showdown with Tulsa on the road. Three road games in
four weeks won't be easy, but the Cougars close out with three home
games in the final four.
| Sept. 1 |
at Oregon |
| Sept.
15 |
at
Tulane |
| Sept.
22 |
Colorado State |
| Sept. 29 |
East Carolina |
| Oct. 6 |
at Alabama |
| Oct. 13 |
Rice |
| Oct. 20 |
at UAB |
| Oct. 27 |
at UTEP |
| Nov. 4 |
SMU |
| Nov. 10 |
at
Tulsa |
| Nov. 17 |
Marshall |
| Nov. 24 |
Texas Southern |
-
Almost certain win
- Likely loss
- Could go either way |
Rice
Realistic best case record with this schedule: 7-5
Barring total disaster worst case record: 3-9
Realistic record: 5-7
With four road dates in a five game stretch, the schedule is brutal
early before easing up late with three home games in the final four. The
Owls not only have to go to Texas to go along with games against Big 12
Southers Baylor and Texas Tech, but they have to start off the
conference year on the road against the league's two best teams;
Southern Miss from the East and Houston from the West. After playing the
Cougars, five games in a row are against teams that didn't go to a bowl.
| Sept. 1 |
Nicholls State |
| Sept. 8 |
at Baylor |
| Sept. 15 |
Texas
Tech |
| Sept. 22 |
at Texas |
| Oct. 3 |
at
Southern Miss |
| Oct. 13 |
at Houston |
| Oct. 20 |
Memphis |
| Oct. 27 |
at Marshall |
| Nov. 3 |
UTEP |
| Nov. 10 |
at SMU |
| Nov. 17 |
Tulane |
| Nov. 24 |
Tulsa |
-
Almost certain win
- Likely loss
- Could go either way |
SMU
Realistic best case record with this schedule: 9-3
Barring total disaster worst case record: 4-8
Realistic record: 7-5
It's not easy. The Mustangs have the three worst Conference USA road
games you can get going to Southern Miss, Tulsa and Houston in a
title-dream killing midseason stretch of three away dates in four weeks.
While North Texas and Arkansas State help ease up the non-conference
slate, playing Texas Tech and going to TCU means a 2-2 start is likely.
There can't be any slips in home games against Tulane, Rice and UCF if
the Mustangs want to go to a bowl.
| Sept. 3 |
Texas Tech |
| Sept. 8 |
North Texas |
| Sept. 15 |
at
Arkansas State |
| Sept. 22 |
at TCU |
| Sept. 29 |
UTEP |
| Oct. 13 |
at Southern Miss |
| Oct. 20 |
Tulane |
| Oct. 27 |
at Tulsa |
| Nov. 4 |
at
Houston |
| Nov. 10 |
Rice |
| Nov. 17 |
UCF |
| Nov. 24 |
at Memphis |
-
Almost certain win
- Likely loss
- Could go either way |
Tulane
Realistic best case record with this schedule: 7-5
Barring total disaster worst case record: 3-9
Realistic record: 5-7
The Green Wave gets an unheard of four straight home games to start the
season, but defending Conference USA champion Houston, Mississippi
State, and LSU are in the mix. Paying the piper, Bob Toledo's crew has
to go on the road for a three-game road stretch, but Army, UAB and SMU
aren't exactly killers. Getting Memphis and UAB from the East is a big
bonus, but finishing up the year at Rice and East Carolina means home
games against Tulsa and UTEP might be must-wins.
| Sept. 8 |
Mississippi State |
| Sept.
15 |
Houston |
| Sept.
22 |
SE Louisiana |
| Sept. 29 |
LSU |
| Oct. 6 |
at
Army |
| Oct. 13 |
at UAB |
| Oct. 20 |
at
SMU |
| Oct. 27 |
Memphis |
| Nov. 3 |
Tulsa |
| Nov. 10 |
UTEP |
| Nov. 17 |
at
Rice |
| Nov. 24 |
at
East Carolina |
-
Almost certain win
- Likely loss
- Could go either way |
Tulsa
Realistic best case record with this schedule: 10-2
Barring total disaster worst case record: 7-5
Realistic record: 8-4
If Tulsa is
even remotely decent, it should be able to walk through the season to a
spot in the Conference USA title game. You could do a lot worse than
playing UCF and UAB from the East, while a tough date with Marshall is
at home. The West showdowns against Houston and SMU are in Tulsa, and
there aren't two road games until the season finales against Army and
Rice. The non-conference schedule is interesting with the easy ones,
Army and UL Monroe, on the road and the nasty games, BYU and Oklahoma at
home.
| Aug. 30 |
at UL Monroe |
| Sept. 15 |
BYU |
| Sept. 21 |
Oklahoma |
| Sept. 29 |
UAB |
| Oct. 6 |
at
UTEP |
| Oct. 13 |
Marshall |
| Oct. 20 |
at UCF |
| Oct. 27 |
SMU |
| Nov. 3 |
at
Tulane |
| Nov. 10 |
Houston |
| Nov. 17 |
at Army |
| Nov. 24 |
at Rice |
-
Almost certain win
- Likely loss
- Could go either way |
UTEP
Realistic best case record with this schedule: 8-4
Barring total disaster worst case record: 4-8
Realistic record: 6-6
UTEP will get its fill of the southwest facing New Mexico, Texas Tech,
New Mexico State and Texas Southern before dealing with Conference USA
play. If nothing else, the games against the Red Raiders and Aggies
should be some of the wildest shootouts of the year. While the Miners
play have four of the league's best teams (Tulsa, East Carolina, Houston
and Southern Miss), they get them all at home. Three of the final four
games are on the road.
| Sept. 1 |
New
Mexico |
| Sept. 8 |
at
Texas Tech |
| Sept. 15 |
at New Mexico State |
| Sept. 22 |
Texas
Southern |
| Sept. 29 |
at SMU |
| Oct. 6 |
Tulsa |
| Oct. 13 |
East
Carolina |
| Oct. 27 |
Houston |
| Nov. 3 |
at
Rice |
| Nov. 10 |
at Tulane |
| Nov. 17 |
Southern Miss |
| Nov. 24 |
at
UCF |
-
Almost certain win
- Likely loss
- Could go either way |