East
Florida
| Georgia
| Kentucky
| South Carolina
| Tennessee
| Vanderbilt
West
Alabama
| Arkansas
| Auburn
| LSU |
Ole Miss
| Miss State
-
2007 SEC
Composite Schedule Analysis
|
Toughest schedules
Based on home games as
well as who the teams play. when
East
1. Florida
2. Georgia
3. Tennessee
4. South Carolina
5. Kentucky
6. Vanderbilt
West
1. Auburn
2. Mississippi State
3. LSU
4. Alabama
5. Arkansas
6. Ole Miss |
East
Florida
Realistic best case record with this schedule: 12-0
Barring total disaster worst case record: 8-4
Realistic record: 10-2
After getting
through a nasty schedule to win the national title, this year’s slate
will seem like a piece of cake. The Gators get Tennessee, Auburn and
Florida State at home, but they have to go on the road to face LSU in
what might be a preview of the SEC championship. Even though things are
easier than last year, there’s a nasty stretch in the back half with
four of five games away from Gainesville including sneaky-tough games at
Kentucky and South Carolina along with the showdowns with LSU and
Georgia. Outside of the date with FSU, the non-conference schedule is a
joke playing Western Kentucky, Troy, and Florida Atlantic.
| Sept. 1 |
Western Kentucky |
| Sept. 8 |
Troy |
| Sept.
15 |
Tennessee |
| Sept.
22 |
at Ole Miss |
| Sept.
29 |
Auburn |
| Oct. 6 |
at LSU |
| Oct. 20 |
at
Kentucky |
| Oct. 27 |
vs. Georgia |
| Nov. 3 |
Vanderbilt |
| Nov. 10 |
at South Carolina |
| Nov. 17 |
Florida Atlantic |
| Nov. 24 |
Florida State |
-
Almost certain win
- Likely loss
- Could go either way |
Georgia
Realistic best case record with this schedule: 10-2
Barring total disaster worst case record: 7-5
Realistic record: 9-3
The Dawgs
will be tested right off the bat with a nasty home opener against an
explosive Oklahoma State team followed up by the SEC opener against
South Carolina. The road schedule is tough going to Alabama, Tennessee,
Vanderbilt (you don’t have to tell Georgia fans how good the Commodores
can be) and Georgia Tech along with the Cocktail-not-a-Cocktail Party
with Florida. It would’ve been nice to get more tough teams at home with
Auburn the toughest of the bunch.
| Sept. 1 |
Oklahoma State |
| Sept. 8 |
South Carolina |
| Sept.
15 |
Western Carolina |
| Sept.
22 |
at
Alabama |
| Sept.
29 |
Ole
Miss |
| Oct. 6 |
at
Tennessee |
| Oct. 13 |
at
Vanderbilt |
| Oct. 27 |
vs. Florida |
| Nov. 3 |
Troy |
| Nov. 10 |
Auburn |
| Nov. 17 |
Kentucky |
| Nov. 24 |
at
Georgia Tech |
-
Almost certain win
- Likely loss
- Could go either way |
Kentucky
Realistic best case record with this schedule: 8-4
Barring total disaster worst case record: 5-7
Realistic record: 7-5
With eight
home games, UK has the type of schedule to make some real noise if it
can be tough in Commonwealth Stadium from the start. Can the Wildcats
use the home field advantage to beat Louisville, LSU, Florida and
Tennessee? Well, no, but they should be able to win at least one of
those, if not two. The road schedule is tough, but it could be worse
facing Arkansas, South Carolina, Vanderbilt and Georgia. There aren’t
two road games in a row until November when UK faces the Commodores and
Bulldogs.
| Sept. 1 |
Eastern Kentucky |
| Sept. 8 |
Kent State |
| Sept.
15 |
Louisville |
| Sept.
22 |
at
Arkansas |
| Sept.
29 |
Florida Atlantic |
| Oct. 4 |
at
South Carolina |
| Oct. 13 |
LSU |
| Oct. 20 |
Florida |
| Oct. 27 |
Mississippi State |
| Nov. 10 |
at
Vanderbilt |
| Nov. 17 |
at
Georgia |
| Nov. 24 |
Tennessee |
-
Almost certain win
- Likely loss
- Could go either way |
South
Carolina
Realistic best case record with this schedule: 9-3
Barring total disaster worst case record: 6-6
Realistic record: 8-4
It would be
nice if there were more of the tough games at home early on, but the
games against UL Lafayette, South Carolina State, Mississippi State and
Kentucky, if all goes according to plan, should form a nice base of
wins. Florida and Clemson come to Columbia to close out the season after
a brutal two-game road run at Tennessee and Arkansas. The two early road
games, at Georgia and LSU, certainly aren’t easy, but a date at North
Carolina should make up for it.
| Sept. 1 |
UL Lafayette |
| Sept. 8 |
at Georgia |
| Sept.
15 |
South Carolina State |
| Sept.
22 |
at LSU |
| Sept.
29 |
Mississippi State |
| Oct. 4 |
Kentucky |
| Oct. 13 |
at North Carolina |
| Oct. 20 |
Vanderbilt |
| Oct. 27 |
at
Tennessee |
| Nov. 3 |
at
Arkansas |
| Nov. 10 |
Florida |
| Nov. 24 |
Clemson |
-
Almost certain win
- Likely loss
- Could go either way |
Tennessee
Realistic best case record with this schedule: 11-1
Barring total disaster worst case record: 7-5
Realistic record: 10-2
Does any
national title-caliber team (at least in expectations from the fan base)
have two tougher road games before September 15th than going
to California and Florida? The rest of the away dates aren’t horrible
facing Mississippi State, Alabama and Kentucky, while there’s a nice
four-game homestand over the second half of the season against South
Carolina, UL Lafayette, Arkansas and Kentucky to potentially make a big
run.
| Sept. 1 |
at California |
| Sept. 8 |
Southern Miss |
| Sept.
15 |
at Florida |
| Sept.
22 |
Arkansas State |
| Oct. 6 |
Georgia |
| Oct. 13 |
at
Mississippi State |
| Oct. 20 |
at
Alabama |
| Oct. 27 |
South
Carolina |
| Nov. 3 |
UL Lafayette |
| Nov. 10 |
Arkansas |
| Nov. 17 |
Vanderbilt |
| Nov. 24 |
at
Kentucky |
-
Almost certain win
- Likely loss
- Could go either way |
Vanderbilt
Realistic best case record with this schedule: 7-5
Barring total disaster worst case record: 4-8
Realistic record: 6-6
Four home
games to start the season and five in the first six have the potential
to lead to a huge start if there could be a upset or two over Georgia
and/or Alabama. There are only four road games (Auburn, South Carolina,
Florida and Tennessee), and if VU can win at least one of them, it’ll
likely go bowling. The non-conference slate is a joke facing Richmond,
Eastern Michigan, Miami University, and a home game against Wake Forest.
| Sept. 1 |
Richmond |
| Sept.
8 |
Alabama |
| Sept.
15 |
Ole Miss |
| Sept. 29 |
Eastern Michigan |
| Oct. 6 |
at
Auburn |
| Oct. 13 |
Georgia |
| Oct. 20 |
at
South Carolina |
| Oct. 27 |
Miami Univ. |
| Nov. 3 |
at
Florida |
| Nov. 10 |
Kentucky |
| Nov. 17 |
at
Tennessee |
| Nov. 24 |
Wake
Forest |
-
Almost certain win
- Likely loss
- Could go either way |
West
Alabama
Realistic best case record with this schedule: 9-3
Barring total disaster worst case record: 6-6
Realistic record: 8-4
If the Tide
can roll at home, it’ll be a great season. The three SEC road games
before the season finale at Auburn are as easy as can be playing
Vanderbilt, Ole Miss and Mississippi State. There’s a neutral site date
with Florida State in Jacksonville to save the non-conference slate from
being considered a total joke. The real excitement is over the home
slate playing Arkansas, Georgia, Tennessee and LSU in SEC play.
| Sept. 1 |
Western Carolina |
| Sept.
8 |
at
Vanderbilt |
| Sept.
15 |
Arkansas |
| Sept.
22 |
Georgia |
| Sept. 29 |
Florida State
(in Jackson.) |
| Oct. 6 |
Houston |
| Oct. 13 |
at Ole
Miss |
| Oct. 20 |
Tennessee |
| Nov. 3 |
LSU |
| Nov. 10 |
at
Mississippi State |
| Nov. 17 |
UL
Monroe |
| Nov. 24 |
at Auburn |
-
Almost certain win
- Likely loss
- Could go either way |
Arkansas
Realistic best case record with this schedule: 10-2
Barring total disaster worst case record: 6-6
Realistic record: 8-4
A hot start
is a must with five home games in the first six and seven of the first
nine, but they’re not all layups with Auburn to close out the run.
Actually, most of them are easy getting space-fillers against Troy,
North Texas, UT Chattanooga and FIU. The road game in the group is at
Alabama, which should set the tone for the SEC West season. Road dates
at Tennessee and LSU late might be too much to overcome for another
division crown.
| Sept. 1 |
Troy |
| Sept.
15 |
at Alabama |
| Sept.
22 |
Kentucky |
| Sept. 29 |
North Texas |
| Oct. 6 |
UT Chattanooga |
| Oct. 13 |
Auburn |
| Oct. 20 |
at Ole Miss |
| Oct. 27 |
FIU |
| Nov. 3 |
South
Carolina |
| Nov. 10 |
at Tennessee |
| Nov. 17 |
Mississippi State |
| Nov. 24 |
at LSU |
-
Almost certain win
- Likely loss
- Could go either way |
Auburn
Realistic best case record with this schedule: 10-2
Barring total disaster worst case record: 7-5
Realistic record: 9-3
Great at
home, awful, awful, awful on the road. The four home games to
start the year aren’t walks in the park playing Kansas State, South
Florida, Mississippi State, and the high-octane New Mexico State offense
before going on the road to face Florida. The three other road games are
at Arkansas, LSU, and Georgia. However, if the Tigers can beat the
Bulldogs, there’s a chance for a great run to end the year with Ole
Miss, Tennessee Tech, and the Iron Bowl against Alabama in Jordan-Hare.
| Sept. 1 |
Kansas State |
| Sept. 8 |
South Florida |
| Sept. 15 |
Mississippi State |
| Sept. 22 |
New Mexico State |
| Sept. 29 |
at Florida |
| Oct. 6 |
Vanderbilt |
| Oct. 13 |
at Arkansas |
| Oct. 20 |
at LSU |
| Oct. 27 |
Ole Miss |
| Nov. 3 |
Tennessee Tech |
| Nov. 10 |
at Georgia |
| Nov. 24 |
Alabama |
-
Almost certain win
- Likely loss
- Could go either way |
LSU
Realistic best case record with this schedule: 12-0
Barring total disaster worst case record: 9-3
Realistic record: 11-1
The schedule
last year had four brutal road games and eight manageable home dates.
This season, the scheduling gods are much kinder with the five away
games at Mississippi State, Kentucky, Tulane, Alabama and Ole Miss. Any
team that thinks it can win the national title should be able to get
through those five without much of a problem. The early home game with
Virginia Tech should be as good as any BCS matchup in January, while the
showdown with Florida will be as good as whatever the national title
game turns out to be. Missing Georgia and Tennessee from the East is a
plus.
| Aug. 30 |
at Mississippi State |
| Sept. 8 |
Virginia Tech |
| Sept.
15 |
Middle Tennessee |
| Sept.
22 |
South Carolina |
| Sept. 29 |
at Tulane |
| Oct. 6 |
Florida |
| Oct. 13 |
at
Kentucky |
| Oct. 20 |
Auburn |
| Nov. 3 |
at
Alabama |
| Nov. 10 |
Louisiana Tech |
| Nov. 17 |
at Ole
Miss |
| Nov. 24 |
Arkansas |
-
Almost certain win
- Likely loss
- Could go either way |
Ole Miss
Realistic best case record with this schedule: 8-4
Barring total disaster worst case record: 4-8
Realistic record: 6-6
There can’t be any complaints about the road schedule facing Memphis,
Vanderbilt, Georgia, Auburn and Mississippi State and without two in a
row. However, there are only two certain home wins (Louisiana Tech and
Northwestern State) with Missouri, Florida, Alabama, Arkansas and LSU
all going to be planning on coming away from Oxford with a win. The
Rebels have to win at least two of those tough home games to think about
going bowling.
| Sept. 1 |
at Memphis |
| Sept. 8 |
Missouri |
| Sept. 15 |
at Vanderbilt |
| Sept. 22 |
Florida |
| Sept. 29 |
at Georgia |
| Oct. 6 |
Louisiana Tech |
| Oct. 13 |
Alabama |
| Oct. 20 |
Arkansas |
| Oct. 27 |
at
Auburn |
| Nov. 3 |
Northwestern State |
| Nov. 17 |
LSU |
| Nov. 24 |
at Mississippi State |
-
Almost certain win
- Likely loss
- Could go either way |
Mississippi State
Realistic best case record with this schedule: 7-5
Barring total disaster worst case record: 4-8
Realistic record: 5-7
There are
only six home games, and there’s an interesting mix of nasty games (but
chances to make a statement) against LSU, Tennessee and Alabama along
with three must wins against Jacksonville State, UAB and Ole Miss.
Beating Tulane on the road is a must with tough away games including a
non-conference game at West Virginia. On the plus side, MSU misses
Florida and Georgia from the East, but it has to deal with Tennessee,
Kentucky and South Carolina.
| Aug. 30 |
LSU |
| Sept. 8 |
at Tulane |
| Sept. 15 |
at Auburn |
| Sept. 22 |
Jacksonville State |
| Sept. 29 |
at
South Carolina |
| Oct. 6 |
UAB |
| Oct. 13 |
Tennessee |
| Oct. 20 |
at
West Virginia |
| Oct. 27 |
at Kentucky |
| Nov. 10 |
Alabama |
| Nov. 17 |
at
Arkansas |
| Nov. 24 |
Ole
Miss |
-
Almost certain win
- Likely loss
- Could go either way |