Ultimate First Round
The best and worst picks at
each 1st round draft slot
|
By
Pete Fiutak
It's been well established that finding quality in a draft
pick after the first round is an exercise in futility, but the
top picks aren't always sure things, either. Teams invest/blow
tens of millions of dollars every year on first round picks
expecting them to be the cornerstones of their franchise,
but more often than not they drain money and dreams.
Here are the best, and worst, first round picks of all-time with a very subjective look at
the Ultimate NFL Draft First Round with the best player ever
taken at each first round slot. It's far more difficult than
you might think to find a sure-thing, Hall-of-Fame star for
each first round pick. However, it's easy to find the epic
misses that set teams back years.
What's most stunning was how horrible the picks were to choose
from in certain spots. The fifth pick, the 15th and 18th have
been traditional wastelands, while the late 20s are utterly
worthless. Learn from this you NFL teams; late first round
draft picks aren't worth the money. History says they just
don't work out (look at the "stars" to choose from
at No. 22 & 24.)
Keep in mind that there were only more than 30 picks in the
draft (at least regularly) from 1995 on. One more rule: A
great pick is based on what the player did for the
team that drafted him. John Elway was the greatest player of
all-time, but not for Baltimore, so the
Colts, in effect, blew the pick number one pick. Let the
debate begin.
|
|
Pick |
The
Greatest Pick |
The
Worst Pick |
|
1.
|
Terry
Bradshaw, QB Louisiana Tech
taken by Pittsburgh Steelers, 1970 |
Tom
Cousineau, LB Ohio State
taken by Buffalo Bills, 1979 |
Also
considered:
O.J. Simpson, RB USC (1969), Troy Aikman, QB
UCLA (1988), Orlando Pace, OT, St. Louis (1997), Peyton
Manning, QB Tennessee (1998)
Once again, Elway would be the choice except he didn't play
for Baltimore. Simpson, Aikman, Earl Campbell and Bruce Smith are all
fantastic choices for the greatest number one pick of
all-time, but Bradshaw's four Super Bowls trumps anything the
other players accomplished. Bo Jackson wasn't a bust of a
player, but Tampa Bay completely blew it by alienating the
Heisman winner so much that he chose to play baseball instead
never suiting up for the Bucs. He would've been the choice for
the worst pick if Buffalo didn't have the Tom Cousineau
experience. The Ohio State star didn't sign with the Bills playing
for the CFL's Montreal
Alouettes where he was a marginal player at best. He came back
to the NFL and played for Cleveland and San Francisco. |
|
2.
|
Lawrence
Taylor, LB North Carolina
taken by NY Giants, 1981 |
Tony
Mandarich, OT Michigan State
taken by Green Bay Packers, 1989 |
Also
considered:
Randy White, DT Maryland (1975), Tony Dorsett,
RB Pittsburgh (1977), Donovan McNabb, QB Philadelphia (1999)
White, Dorsett, Tony Boselli and Eric Dickerson were all
worthy and Donovan McNabb deserves a bit of consideration, but
L.T. is the obvious choice. There have been some tremendous
busts at number two over the years and there's certainly an
argument for Johnny "Lam" Jones, Blair Thomas and
Rick Mirer, but Ryan Leaf is the only real challenger to Mandarich. The
whiny brat from Washington State set San Diego back years
after Bobby Beathard traded away a ton to get him. However,
Mandarich gets the nod because of the players taken after him.
The next three picks after steroid boy? Barry Sanders, Derrick
Thomas, Deion Sanders. Oops |
|
3.
|
Barry
Sanders, RB Oklahoma State
taken by Detroit Lions, 1989 |
Akili
Smith, QB Oregon
taken by Cincinnati Bengals, 1999 |
Also
considered:
Anthony Munoz, OT USC (1980), Steve McNair, QB
Alcorn State (1995), Larry Fitzgerald, WR Pitt (2004)
If there could be a tie, there would be one here between Munoz
and Sanders. Do you take the greatest offensive tackle in NFL
history over, perhaps, the greatest running back? No argument
if you say yes. Surprisingly, the third pick has been a
traditional dud as players like Nebraska CB Bruce Pickens,
Miami RB Alonzo Highsmith, Florida State DE Andre Wadsworth
and Tennessee QB Heath Shuler were just a few of the busts.
Michigan State LB Carl Banks in 1988 and Penn State RB Curt
Warner in 1983 are some of the main notables, and they weren't
that great. Akili Smith finished his Cincinnati career
with five touchdown passes and 13 interceptions forcing Carson
Palmer to be the first overall pick in 2003. The next four picks
after Smith? Edgerrin James, Ricky Williams, Torry Holt, Champ
Bailey. Daunte Culpepper went 11th. Ouch. |
|
4.
|
Walter
Payton, RB Jackson State
taken by Chicago Bears, 1975 |
Keith
McCants, DL Alabama
taken by Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 1990 |
Also
considered:
Joe Greene, DT North Texas State (1969), John
Hannah, OG Alabama, Jonathan Odgen, OT UCLA (1996)
Payton isn't the lock you might think he considering how good
Hannah was. It could also be argued that as the cornerstone of
the Steel Curtain, Greene was a more important player than
Sweetness. McCants was Tampa Bay's worst draft pick ever,
which is saying a lot. He set the standard for looking like
Tarzan, but playing like Jane. It also hurts that he was taken
one pick ahead of Junior Seau. Auburn RB Brent Fullwood, Ohio
State QB Art Schlichter and
Michigan WR Desmond Howard were also in the running for worst
pick. |
|
5.
|
LaDanian Tomlinson, RB TCU
taken by San Diego Chargers, 2000 |
Mike
Junkin, LB Duke
taken by Cleveland Browns, 1987 |
Also
considered:
Junior Seau, LB USC (1990), Mike
Haynes, CB Arizona State (1975)
Mark it down; every ten years San Diego should get the fifth
pick.
Deion Sanders would be the slam-dunk choice for the greatest
No. 5 pick if he didn't have his Hall-of-Fame years with San
Francisco and Dallas instead of Atlanta. Even though Seau is a
certain Hall-of-Famer, when all is said and
done Tomlinson will be better. (Has there ever been a player that
danced more after making a tackle nine yards down the field
than Seau?)
Penn State RB Curtis Enis, Nebraska LB Trev Alberts and
Oklahoma LB Cedric Jones didn't work out at the five, but
Junkin was a legendarily bad pick. Cleveland traded draft
positions with San Diego for two rounds and gave away LB Chip
Banks to get the five taking Junkin at least two rounds too
early. Penn State LB Shane Conlan went two picks later. |
|
6.
|
Tim
Brown, WR Notre Dame
taken by Oakland Raiders, 1988 |
Rich
Campbell, QB California
taken by Green Bay Packers, 1981 |
Also
considered:
Jimbo Covert, OT Pittsburgh (1983), Torry
Holt, WR NC State (1999)
Brown is the pick for his Hall-of-Fame-to-be career scoring
points for so many years of solid play. However, Covert
probably still deserves the all-time slot. Campbell beat out
Houston QB David Klingler and Nebraska RB Lawrence Phillips
for the worst pick, but it's close. Campbell's career in Green
Bay? Three years, 386 yards, three touchdowns and nine
interceptions. Brett who? |
|
7.
|
Adrian Peterson, Oklahoma
taken by Minnesota Vikings, 2007 |
Andre
Ware, QB Houston
taken by Detroit Lions, 1990 |
Also
considered:
Phil Simms, QB Morehead State (1979), Champ Bailey, CB Georgia (1999), Troy Vincent,
CB Wisconsin (1992), Sterling Sharpe, WR South Carolina (1988)
Like the third pick, the seventh has been a historic graveyard
of mediocre selections. Phil Simms was the choice almost by default
after winning a Super Bowl and taking the Giants to another
(but won by Jeff Hostetler). Peterson has become something
special after just a few years with all-time greatness within
his reach. There
are some fantastic, legendary dogs with the seven from Boston
College DE Mike Mamula to Tennessee OL Charles McRae to Penn
State QB Todd Blackledge, but Ware is the biggest bust of the
bunch throwing for 1,112 yards and five touchdowns with eight
interceptions in his four years. |
|
8.
|
Ronnie
Lott, S USC
taken by San Francisco 49ers, 1981 |
Larry
Stegent, RB Texas A&M
taken by St. Louis Cardinals (1970) |
Also
considered:
Willie Roaf, OT Louisiana Tech (1993), Shane
Conlan, LB Penn State (1987)
Obvious no doubter on the greatest No. 8 of all-time. There
are plenty of old-timers in the hunt for the worst pick.
Mississippi State RB Michael Haddix had a mediocre career with
Philadelphia, but his biggest problem was being taken one pick ahead of Bruce Matthews.
Larry Stegent's career was brutally unfair. Expected to become
a star, he made one catch for 12 yards before suffering a
career-ending injury. |
|
9.
|
Bruce
Matthews, G USC
taken by Houston Oilers, 1983 |
Kevin
Allen, T Indiana
taken by Philadelphia Eagles, 1985 |
Also
considered:
Brian Urlacher, LB New Mexico (2000), Richmond
Webb, OT Texas A&M (1990)
Matthews was one of the NFL's all-time rocks on the offensive
line. Kevin Allen was the opposite holding the unofficial
distinction of being Buddy Ryan's least favorite player of
all-time in his total bust of a career. He was later arrested
and sent to prison on sexual assault charges. |
|
10.
|
Rod
Woodson, DB Purdue
taken by Pittsburgh Steelers, 1987 |
David
Verser, WR Kansas
taken by Cincinnati Bengals, 1981 |
Also
considered:
Marcus Allen, RB USC (1982), Al Toon, WR
Wisconsin (1985), Herman Moore, WR Virginia (1991), Jerod Mayo
(2008)
How do you possibly choose between Allen and Woodson? Had Al
Davis actually used Allen for his whole career, it wouldn't be
a debate. Woodson was one of the all-time greats for the
Steelers making the NFL's All-Time team. Florida WR Travis
Taylor can thank his lucky stars for David Verser who caught
23 passes for 454 yards and three touchdowns in his four year
career taken one pick ahead of Keith Van Horne. |
|
11.
|
Michael
Irvin, WR Miami
taken by Dallas Cowboys, 1988 |
Jerry
Tagge, QB Nebraska
taken by Green Bay Packers, 1972 |
Also
considered:
Daunte Culpepper, QB UCF (1999), Wilber
Marshall, LB Florida (1983), Dwight Freeney, DE Syracuse
(2002) Demarcus Ware, DE Troy (2005), Patrick Willis, LB Ole
Miss (2007)
The Playmaker had a huge career for the Cowboys catching 750
passes for 11,904 yards and 65 touchdowns. Alcorn State LB
John Thierry was in the running for the worst pick, but Tagge
blows him away. In three years, the former Husker quarterback
threw three touchdown passes and 17 interceptions for the
Packers. |
|
12.
|
Warren
Sapp, DT Miami
taken by Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 1995 |
Cade
McNown, QB UCLA
taken by Chicago Bears, 1999 |
Also
considered:
Chuck Foreman, RB Miami (1967), Warrick Dunn,
RB Florida State (1997), Shawne Merriman, LB Maryland (2005)
Drug rumors dropped Sapp from being a sure-thing top five pick
down to 12. He was the cornerstone of one of the NFL's most
dominant defenses. Where would Minnesota had been if Dennis
Green had taken Sapp instead of Florida State's Derrick
Alexander? McNown was thrown to the wolves too early in
Chicago and got eaten alive throwing 16 touchdown passes and
19 interceptions. |
|
13.
|
Franco
Harris, RB Penn State
taken by Pittsburgh Steelers, 1972 |
Leon
Burns, RB Cal-State Long Beach
taken by San Diego Chargers, 1971 |
Also
considered:
Kellen Winslow, TE Missouri (1979), Tony
Gonzalez, TE California (1997), Keith Jackson, TE Oklahoma
(1988)
Tight ends turned out to be the value picks over the years,
but Harris and his 12,120 career rushing yards and 100 total
touchdowns makes him the pick. Burns gave the Chargers
223 yards and one touchdown. |
|
14.
|
Jim
Kelly, QB Miami
taken by Buffalo Bills, 1983 |
Derek
Brown, TE Notre Dame
taken by NY Giants, 1992 |
Also
considered:
Randy Gradishar,
LB Ohio State (1974), Eddie George, RB Ohio State (1996),
Derrelle Revis, CB Pitt (2007)
After a stint with the Houston Gamblers, Kelly turned in a
Hall of Fame career leading Buffalo to four Super Bowls. (Would
Kelly be any better a quarterback if Scott Norwood had pushed
his kick two feet the other way?) Derek Brown gave New York 11
catches for 87 yards for their 14th pick investment. |
|
15.
|
Alan
Page, DL Notre Dame
taken by Minnesota Vikings, 1967 |
Ethan
Horton, RB North Carolina
taken by Kansas City Chiefs, 1985 |
Also
considered:
Dennis Smith, DB USC (1981), Albert
Haynesworth, DT Tennessee (2002)
Possibly the worst of all the first round draft slots, the
15th pick is littered with various take-a-flier picks that
didn't come close to working out. Alan Page was the obvious
exception. It took something special to be the worst
15th pick of all-time and Ethan Horton was up the challenge.
Converted to tight end, he ended up being a Pro Bowl player
... for the hated Raiders. He caught 28 passes for 185 yards
and one touchdown for the Chiefs. That's significantly less
production than the player taken with the 16th pick in the
1985 draft: Jerry Rice. |
|
16.
|
Jerry
Rice, WR Mississippi Valley St
taken by San Francisco 49ers, 1985 |
Dan
McGwire, QB San Diego State
taken by Seattle Seahawks, 1991 |
Also
considered:
Russ Francis, TE Oregon (1975), Jevon Kearse,
LB/DE Florida (1999)
The gap in production and talent between Rice and the second
best receiver of all-time is possibly greater than any
position in any sport. Dan McGwire threw for 745 yards, two
touchdowns and six interceptions for the Seahawks. |
|
17.
|
Emmitt
Smith, RB Florida
taken by Dallas Cowboys, 1990 |
Clyde
Duncan, WR Tennessee
taken by St. Louis Cardinals, 1984 |
Also
considered:
Gene Upshaw, OL Texas A&I (1967), Doug
Williams, QB Grambling (1978)
Smith is the NFL's all-time leading rusher. The pick before
him? Fresno State DB James Williams to Buffalo, and don't
forget that Blair Thomas went second overall to the Jets.
Clyde Duncan gave St. Louis four catches for 39 yards and a
touchdown in his two years. Used as a kickoff returner, he
lost three fumbles. |
|
18.
|
Art
Monk, WR Syracuse
taken by Washington Redskins, 1980 |
Don
Rogers, DB UCLA
taken by Cleveland Browns, 1984 |
Also
considered:
Will Smith, DE Ohio State (2003)
Another total wasteland of picks, Monk and his 12,721
receiving yards and 68 touchdowns makes this the easiest pick
on the board. It took something out of the ordinary to be the
biggest bust at the 18, and Don Rogers did it dying of a
cocaine overdose in 1986. |
|
19.
|
Jack
Tatum, DB Ohio State
taken by Oakland Raiders, 1971 |
Steve
Pisarkiewicz, QB Missouri
taken by St. Louis, 1977 |
Also
considered:
Marvin Harrison, WR Syracuse (1996), Randall
McDaniel, OL Arizona State (1988)
Harrison should probably be the pick over Tatum. Southern Miss RB Tony Smith
should've been a lock, but Missouri QB Steve Pisarkiewicz made
this a no-brainer throwing for 785 yards, three touchdowns and
seven interceptions in his career. |
|
20.
|
Jack
Youngblood, DL Florida
taken by Los Angeles Rams, 1971 |
Darryl
Sims, DE Wisconsin
taken by Pittsburgh Steelers, 1985 |
Also
considered:
Mark May, OL Pittsburgh (1981), Steve Atwater,
S Arkansas (1989)
There haven't been many superstars selected with the 20th
pick, but over the years it has been among the most consistently
solid slots. Youngblood's Hall-of-Fame nod gave him a slight edge
over May and the very underrated Atwater. Darryl Sims came to
Pittsburgh, stunk for two years, and that was it. |
|
21.
|
Randy
Moss, WR Marshall
taken by Minnesota Vikings, 1998 |
Vaughn
Dunbar, RB Indiana
taken by New Orleans Saints, 1992 |
Also
considered:
Lynn Swann, WR USC (1974), Robert Smith, RB
Ohio State (1993)
Yes, you take Randy Moss over Lynn Swann in a non-debatable
heartbeat. Over his nine year career, Swann caught 336 passes
for 5,461 yards and 51 touchdowns. Moss caught 525 passes for
8,375 yards and 77 touchdowns over his first six seasons.
Dunbar ran for 574 yards and three touchdowns for the
Saints. 2005 Jacksonville pick Matt Jones, the converted
quarterback-turned-receiver, was a close call for the all-bust
spot. |
|
22.
|
Harris
Barton, OL North Carolina
taken by San Francisco 49ers, 1987 |
Stan
Thomas, OT Texas
taken by Chicago Bears, 1991 |
Also
considered:
Andre Rison, WR Michigan State (1989)
Welcome to another traditionally lean draft slot. Barton was a
yearly Pro Bowl player but if he's your best choice, you know
the 22nd pick has stunk. Several players gave it a good run to
be the worst No. 22 of all-time, but Stan Thomas takes the
prize. Mike Ditka bitched and moaned about the pick, and then
Thomas banged up his shoulder. The Bears were planning on him
taking over for the aging veterans. Instead, this pick set the
Chicago line back a few years. |
|
23.
|
Ozzie
Newsome, TE Alabama
taken by Cleveland Browns, 1978 |
Mike
Schad, T Queens University
taken by Los Angeles Rams, 1986 |
Also
considered:
Ray Guy, P Southern Miss (1973), Deuce
McAllister, RB Ole Miss (2001)
Do you take the greatest punter of all-time over, perhaps, the
greatest tight end of all-time? Schad played seven games for
the Rams. |
|
24.
|
Ed Reed, S Miami
taken by Baltimore Ravens, 2002 |
Leonard
Renfro, DT Colorado
taken by Philadelphia Eagles, 1993 |
Also
considered:
Craig Heyward, RB Pittsburgh (1988), Rodney
Hampton, RB Georgia (1990), Steven
Jackson, RB Oregon State (2004), Aaron Rodgers, QB California
(2005), Chris Johnson, RB East Carolina (2008)
Now this is a lost pick ... at least before 2002, and
then came Jackson, Rodgers, and Johnson. Reed redefined the safety
position and could be considered among the greatest of all time. Craig Heyward? Yup, the pickings are slim. Hampton never got his just due for a solid
eight-year career rushing for 6,897 yards and 49 touchdowns.
Leonard Renfro was a major-league bust for an Eagle D hoping
to replenish the defensive line. |
|
25.
|
Stanley
Morgan, WR Tennessee
taken by New England Patriots, 1977 |
Terrence
Flagler, RB Clemson
taken by San Francisco 49ers, 1987 |
Also
considered:
Louis Oliver, S Florida (1989), Santonio
Holmes, WR Ohio State (2006), Jon Beason LB Miami (2007)
Are you getting this yet? Louis Oliver? Late first round draft
picks just don't become stars. Save your money and go after
proven free agents. Stanley Morgan caught 68 touchdown passes
for the Patriots. Tommy Maddox was worthy of worst No. 25 pick
status proving to be used as a power play between Dan Reeves
and John Elway while only throwing for 758 yards, six
touchdown passes and nine interceptions in his Bronco career.
Flagler was even worse rushing for 145 yards and one touchdown
for the Niners. |
|
26.
|
Ray
Lewis, LB Miami
taken by Baltimore Ravens, 1996 |
Reggie
Dupard, RB SMU
taken by New England Patriots, 1986 |
Also
considered:
Joe Delamielleure, OL Michigan State (1973),
Clay Matthews Jr., LB USC (2009)
Thank you. Finally, a worthwhile late first round pick. Lewis
might be the greatest linebacker of all-time. Reggie Dupard
ran for 574 yards and four touchdowns for the Patriots.
Chicago took Neal Anderson with the next pick. |
|
27.
|
Dan
Marino, QB Pittsburgh
taken by Miami Dolphins, 1983 |
Todd
Kelly, DE Tennessee
taken by San Francisco 49ers, 1993 |
Also
considered:
Neal Anderson, RB Florida (1986),
DeAngelo Williams, RB Memphis (2006(
Marino is the all-time first round value pick as bizarre and
unfounded drug rumors caused him to slip. Just when San
Francisco needed to boost up the defense in the arms race with
Dallas, Todd Kelly came in and provided two mediocre years of
service. |
|
28.
|
Darrell
Green, CB Texas A&I
taken by Washington Redskins, 1983 |
Andy
Katzenmoyer, LB Ohio State
taken by New England Patriots, 1999 |
Also
considered:
Derrick Brooks, LB Florida State (1985)
Green is the gold standard for cornerback consistency. He'll
always be considered among the fastest defensive backs to ever
play. Katzenmoyer was considered a bit of a risk going in the
first round. After a few years of undistinguished play, a neck
injury knocked him out of football. |
|
29.
|
Nick
Barnett, LB Oregon State
taken by Green Bay Packers, 2003 |
Dimitrius
Underwood, DL Michigan State
taken by Minnesota Vikings, 1999 |
Also
considered:
Derrick Alexander, WR Michigan (1994), Nick
Mangold, C Ohio State (2006)
Remembering that there haven't always been No. 29 picks, there
aren't many great players to choose from. Barnett had a strong
rookie season proving to be better than Derrick Alexander and
the rest of the 29ers. USC WR R. Jay Soward would be a lock as
the worst 29 of all-time if it weren't for the bizarre and sad
case of Dimitrius Underwood. Considered a flier at best in the
mid-rounds. Minnesota head coach Dennis Green and staff didn't do their
research to realize Underwood was battling depression, among
other things, and wasn't going to be a productive pro. |
|
30.
|
Keith
Bulluck, LB Syracuse
taken by Tennessee Titans, 2000 |
Marcus
Nash, WR Tennessee
taken by Denver Broncos, 1998 |
Also
considered:
Sammy Davis, CB Texas A&M (2003), Kevin
Jones, RB Virginia Tech (2004), Joseph Addai, RB LSU (2006)
Bulluck is the pick by default with only a few 30s to
choose from. Detroit RB Kevin Jones will get the honor in a
few years. Marcus Nash caught four passes for 76 yards for
the Broncos. |
|
31.
|
Todd
Heap, TE Arizona State
taken by Baltimore Ravens, 2001 |
Rashaun Woods, WR Oklahoma State
taken by San Francisco 49ers, 2004 |
Also
considered:
Al Wilson, LB Tennessee (1999), Nnamdi
Asomugha, CB Oakland (2003)
Trained well by Ozzie Newsome and Shannon Sharpe, Heap has
only been limited by bad quarterback play. Trezelle Jenkins
stunk from day one getting cut in 1997 after two years of
service, but Rashaun Woods was next-level awful. |
|
32.
|
Logan Mankins, G Fresno State
taken by New England Patriots, 2005 |
Craig
Newsome, DB Arizona State
taken by Green Bay, 1995 |
Also
considered: Ben Watson, TE Georgia (2004), Mathias
Kiwanuka, DE Boston College (2006)
There's only a few No. 32 first round picks to choose from and Newsome
wasn't that bad a player. Mankins started right off the bat. |