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ACC Fearless Predictions, Sept. 22

CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Sep 20, 2007

Previews and Predictions for the Week 4 ACC Games.


ACC
Atlantic Boston Coll | ClemsonFlorida St | Maryland | NC State | Wake Forest
Coastal Duke | Georgia Tech | Miami | North Carolina | Virginia | Virginia Tech

ACC Fearless Predictions Sept. 1
Sept. 8 | Sept. 15Sept. 29 
Oct. 6Oct. 13 | Oct. 20Oct. 27 | Nov. 3Nov. 10 | Nov. 17Nov. 24Dec. 1

How are the picks so far? SU: 24-5 ... ATS: 13-10-1

ACC Week Four Predictions, Part 2

ACC Game of the Week

ACC Thursday, Sept. 20

Texas A&M (3-0) at Miami (2-1)  7:30 PM ESPN
Why to watch: Texas A&M and Miami have one thing in common as they prepare to meet for the first time since 1944.  Both want to use Thursday night’s nationally televised game as a high-profile launching pad toward regaining some of the luster they’ve lost in recent years.  For the Aggies, this is their most important non-conference game since getting beat by Virginia Tech four years ago.  Yeah, they’re unbeaten and ranked No. 16 in the latest Coaches’ Poll, but wins over Montana State and Louisiana-Monroe, and a close call with Fresno State, hardly has anyone thinking Big 12 title.  A win in the Orange Bowl, even when Miami is down, will boost A&M’s street cred while bolstering Dennis Franchione’s always tenuous job security.  The Hurricanes are still trying to locate an identity, winning the two games they were supposed to, but getting humiliated, 51-13, at Oklahoma two weeks ago.  Miami is just 3-8 in its last 11 games against ranked opponents, and it desperately needs a win over a name team to officially get the Randy Shannon era going.
Why Texas A&M might win: The last time Miami played a team from the Big 12, its heralded defense got exposed by the passing of Sam Bradford and the running of DeMarco Murray, a pair of star OU freshmen.  The Aggies don’t throw it nearly as well as OU, but boast one of the nation’s most dynamic and diverse running games, getting power from Jorvorskie Lane, speed from Mike Goodson, and a little of both from QB Stephen McGee.  If A&M can get this game into the 30s, the Hurricanes won’t have the offensive weapons to keep up.  Despite already playing Marshall and Florida International, Miami averages just 22 points a game, and is 99th in the country in total offense.
Why Miami might win: The Sooners were able to dent the ‘Cane D in large part because they had balance, something Texas A&M lacks.  McGee is an average passer with just two touchdown tosses this year, meaning Miami can stack the line with S Kenny Phillips and LBs Colin McCarthy and Tavares Gooden in order to slow down the Aggie ground game.  While the Hurricane offense certainly has issues, it could come to life against an A&M defense that has just three sacks and allowed 215 yards rushing to UL-Monroe a week ago.  Miami QB Kyle Wright will be playing with a sense of purpose after regaining his job, and the running duo of Javarris James and Graig Cooper is as talented as the school has had in five years.
Who to watch: Aggie TE Martellus Bennett switched from No. 13 to No. 85 last week in honor of former Miami and current Buffalo Bill TE Kevin Everett, who suffered a serious spinal cord injury two weeks ago.  Besides being a class act, Bennett is a 6-7 match up nightmare that leads A&M in receiving, and already has 34 knockdown blocks through three games. Many NFL scouts consider him the nation’s top tight end prospect, and this is his chance to come through with a national breakout game.
What will happen
: Against quality programs, such as Texas A&M, Miami lacks the horses on offenses to come out on top.  On a hot, sticky night in South Florida, the Aggie ground attack will wear out the Hurricane D in the second half, leading the team to a key out of conference win.

CFN Prediction
: Texas A&M 28 ... Miami 23
... Line: Miami -3
Must See Rating: (5 Curb Your Enthusiasm - 1 Kid Nation) ...
4
 

ACC Saturday, Sept. 22

Clemson (3-0) at NC State (1-2)  12:00 PM GamePlan
Why to Watch: Is Clemson really ready to be a true ACC title contender? Can it be consistent enough to bring the intensity week in and week out?  In ACC play, few are better when the spotlight is on, but against an inferior opponent like NC State, that’s when things usually get interesting for Tommy Bowden’s clubs. The Wolfpack ran the ball well last week in the win over Wofford, and while that might not mean much, if it can establish itself on the ground early on, this could be a battle for longer than the Tigers might like.
Why Clemson Might Win: When did Cullen Harper become Matt Leinart? With the improvement in the passing game, to go along with the devastating ground attack, Clemson now has a dangerous offensive arsenal that can beat teams several different ways. Harper has completed 72.5% of his passes, is fourth in the nation in passing efficiency (205.0) and hasn’t thrown an interception during his collegiate career, spanning 156 attempts. NC State has been run over by everyone so far, including by Wofford, and will be again this week. This won’t be Harper’s game, but he’ll have the Pack thinking about him enough to open things up for James Davis and C.J. Spiller.
Why NC State Might Win: The triumph over Wofford featured a couple of positives. First, the Wolfpack ran for 217 yards, led by sturdy tailback Andre Brown. Second, QB Harrison Beck didn’t toss an interception, after he threw six in the first two games. If Brown and Beck deliver, the Pack has just enough balance to keep things moving and still untested Tiger D. The Tiger offensive line has struggled in pass protection so far, so if the State line can somehow get to Harper early, the game might take on a different shape.
Who to Watch: When Clemson fans think of the number 20, they remember former All-America (and current All-Pro) safety Brian Dawkins. These days, No. 20 is senior linebacker Tremaine Billie, who missed all of last season after injuring his ankle during pre-season practices. He has 16 tackles in three games, including six (and two QB pressures) against Florida State, as he’s reestablished himself as one the ACC’s best playmakers. With Billie in the lineup, the Tigers are 16-5.
What Will Happen: Filled with confidence after their win over Wofford and playing at home, NC State will put up a fight, but Clemson has too much talent to blow its great start now. The Pack simply doesn’t have enough offensive playmakers, and Beck is too shaky, to beat a team this good.
CFN Prediction: Clemson 31 ... NC State 17 .. Line: Clemson -7.5
Must See Rating: (5 Curb Your Enthusiasm - 1 Kid Nation) ...
2

Georgia Tech (2-1) at Virginia (2-1)
  12:00 PM ESPNU
Why to Watch: When did this happen? Left for dead, Virginia is now 2-0 in ACC play, and the team which seemed unable to snap the ball properly in its season-opening loss to Wyoming has started to awaken. Okay, so the two wins have come over Duke and North Carolina, but the Cavs are on a roll and could quickly make a huge statement with a win over a very good Georgia Tech team that might be reeling after being dominated at home by Boston College in a 24-10 loss. But is this really a great Yellow Jacket team, or is it merely the product of playing far, far inferior competition (Notre Dame, Samford) in its first two games? If this is really an ACC championship team, this is a game it has to win in a walk.
Why Georgia Tech Might Win: Even though BC was able to shut down the Tech attack, and end Tashard Choice’s string of nine straight 100-yard rushing games, that might be an aberration. Choice is averaging 112.3 yard per game and is a threat to wear down defenses and break big plays … if he plays. Banged up with a hamstring injury, Choice might be out, but the backfield has replacements good enough to produce behind a dominant offensive line. The defense, allowing just 56 yards rushing per game, should force UVa to be one-dimensional. Considering there aren’t any Cavalier receivers to worry about, this could be a statement game for the Yellow Jacket D.
Why Virginia Might Win: The Cavs have gotten more potent since staggering to a loss at Wyoming. Last week against UNC, it was Cedric Peerman’s 186 rushing yards that drove the train. QB Jameel Sewell has also been solid, completing 57% of his passes for 243 yards. But he needs to make better decisions, or Peter Lalich will play more than just a relief role for the passing game. Tight end Tom Santi leads the team with 11 catches, but is averaging just seven yards per reception. The pass defense might be shaky so far, but Georgia Tech has to win on the ground, which will play into the Cavs’ strength. Can Tech QB Taylor Bennett win a game if Choice isn’t effective? That remains to be seen.
Who to Watch: What happens if Choice can’t go? The Yellow Jackets are still loaded at tailback, led by freshman Jonathan Dwyer, who tore off 138 yards and three touchdowns against Samford and has at least one score in each of his first three games. Senior Rashaun Grant isn’t as talented as Dwyer, but he’s experienced enough to carry the attack for extended stretches. Now he’s back from a hamstring injury. Shifty sophomore Jamaal Evans is dangerous as both a runner and a receiver. In other words, Tech will still produce if Choice can’t go.
What Will Happen: Virginia is better than it showed against Wyoming, but it’s not yet in GT’s class. The Yellow Jacket defense will dominate, while several backs will make the ground game shine.
CFN Prediction: Georgia Tech 27 ... Virginia 10.. Line: Georgia Tech -3
Must See Rating: (5 Curb Your Enthusiasm - 1 Kid Nation) ...
3


North Carolina (1-2) at South Florida (2-0)
  12:00 PM ESPN
Why to watch
: Okay, South Florida, now that the rest of the nation knows who you are, can you keep the momentum going and win with a big, fat target on your chest?  When we last saw the Bulls two weeks ago, they were shocking Auburn at Jordan-Hare Stadium in a landmark win that propelled the program into the Top 25.  With the Tigers now in the rear view mirror and a visit from West Virginia just six days away, the young team needs to avoid a letdown in a dangerous sandwich game with North Carolina.  The Tar Heels are learning their way under Butch Davis, losing the last two to East Carolina and Virginia by a combined five points and showing more competitiveness than in recent years.  With a new direction and a ton of fresh faces, such as rookie QB T.J. Yates getting reps, North Carolina is headed, well, north, even if it’s not evident in the standings.
Why North Carolina might win: In what should be a low-scoring game, Yates is quickly developing into the type of quarterback that can keep his team in the hunt, especially against a South Florida offense that lacks a knockout punch.  The freshman has thrown three touchdown passes in each of the Heels’ three games, and is flanked by a terrific set of receivers.  Even against Elon, the Bulls failed to reach the 30s, leaving them vulnerable to an improving North Carolina offense.
Why South Florida might win: If DE George Selvie and the sack-happy Bull defense don’t do in the Tar Heels on Saturday, turnovers will.  Consistent with its youth, North Carolina is losing the always critical turnover battle this season, a big reason the team hasn’t been able to pull out the last two close games.  South Florida, on the other hand, is loaded with ball hawks, and is currently No. 4 in the country in turnover margin.  After watching Virginia RB Cedric Peerman rip Carolina for 186 yards last Saturday, the Bulls are going to administer a heavy dose of freshman RB Mike Ford. 
Who to watch: The chess match between the Tar Heel receivers and the veteran Bull secondary ought to be fantastic, and go a long way to determining the outcome of the game.  While Hakeem Nicks, Brandon Tate, and Brooks Foster form Carolina’s best pass-catching trio in years, they’re going to hit a brick wall that features top-flight corners Trae Williams and Mike Jenkins, and Nate Allen, a budding star at free safety.
What will happen: As hard as Jim Leavitt tries to keep USF focused on the task at hand, don’t discount the danger of a look-ahead game.  The Bulls will start slow before QB Matt Grothe lights their fuse, and Carolina’s youth and inconsistency once again prevents an upset. 
CFN Prediction
: South Florida 28 ... North Carolina 16 ... Line: South Florida -13.5
Must See Rating: (5 Curb Your Enthusiasm - 1 Kid Nation) ... 2.5
   

ACC Week Four Predictions, Part 2
 

 

 

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