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ACC Fearless Predictions, Sept. 29

CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Sep 27, 2007

Previews and Predictions for the Week 5 ACC Games.


ACC
Atlantic Boston Coll | ClemsonFlorida St | Maryland | NC State | Wake Forest
Coastal Duke | Georgia Tech | Miami | No Carolina | Virginia | Virginia Tech

ACC Fearless Predictions Sept. 1
Sept. 8 | Sept. 15Sept. 22
Oct. 6Oct. 13 | Oct. 20Oct. 27 | Nov. 3Nov. 10 | Nov. 17Nov. 24Dec. 1

How are the picks so far? SU: 30-7 ... ATS: 16-14-1

ACC Week Five Predictions, Part 2

ACC Game of the Week

Clemson (4-0) at Georgia Tech (2-2)  3:30 PM ABC
Why to Watch: Is Georgia Tech ready to turn things around and play up to its capability, or is this when Clemson shows it belongs to be considered the class of the ACC, or at least even with Boston College and Virginia Tech? A loss for the Yellow Jackets would be the team’s first three-game skid in ten years, but they need to get over a slew of injuries and has to get its defensive mojo back. Clemson hasn’t exactly been pushed over the last three weeks after struggling in the second half of the opener against Florida State, and now it needs to show it can get the offense rolling against a real, live defense.
Why Clemson Might Win: The two-headed tailback tandem of James Davis and C.J. Spiller, who combined for 280 yards against NC State, is starting to roll as expected, but now there’s a passing game kicking in with the emergence of Cullen Harper, who’s the nation’s seventh rated passer while completing 69% of his throws. With 12 touchdowns and no interceptions, he’s not making the mistakes the Yellow Jackets might need. With Tech’s passing game struggling with its consistency, if the Tigers can stop the run, they should be able to force at least three turnovers.
Why Georgia Tech Might Win: Star RB Tashard Choice is listed as questionable, but he got a little bit of work last week and is expected to see a little more time. If he doesn’t go, freshman Jonathan Dwyer, who has scored in all four games this year, is a solid replacement to get the nation’s 26th ranked running game going behind a line that should control the clock and the tempo. The defensive front seven is far better than it has played over the last two weeks, and it should put more pressure on Harper than he’s seen so far.
Who to Watch: Davis had rushed for 126 yards combined in the Tigers second and third games of the year, but he broke out last week against the Wolfpack, gaining 166 yards and scoring once. Spiller might be the more dynamic of the two backs, but Davis is the one who carries the ground game when things are tight. Last year against Tech, he cranked out 216 yards in the win, and will be a marked man this time around.
What Will Happen: Georgia Tech will put up a fight, but with so many injuries, it will ultimately wear down in the fourth quarter. Harper will out play Tech QB Taylor Bennett, and that’ll be the slim difference.
CFN Prediction: Clemson 24 … Georgia Tech 20 ... Line: Clemson -3 
Must See Rating: (5 Ken Burns' The War - 1 The Big Bang Theory) ... 4

ACC Saturday, Sept. 29

Massachusetts (4-0) at Boston College (4-0)  1:00 PM
Why to Watch: The Eagles are off to a flying start, showing the potential to head into the Virginia Tech showdown next month 7-0, so a game like this is about tweaking and developing depth. BC scores plenty of points, is opportunistic on defense and already is in the ACC driver’s seat, but it hasn’t always been smooth, struggling a little too much with Wake Forest and Army. UMass might not just be a pushover, going 4-0 with a strong defense, a nice pass rush, and balance offense. BC will actually have to show up.
Why Massachusetts Might Win: QB Liam Coen is an accurate, reliable passer who has thrown for 814 yards and nine touchdowns, and he’s just good enough to bomb away to keep the Minutemen in the game. Defensively, the line has been great against the run, and should hold up well for at least a half, and likely won’t give up too many, if any, big runs. If things get sticky on offense, and the Minutemen want to play field position, they can do so with Brett Arnold, the sixth-best punter in I-AA, averaging 43.6 yards per boot.
Why Boston College Might Win: Boston College coasted to victory last week against Army, 37-17, and continues to boast one of the nation’s more potent offenses averaging 483 yards per game. The production starts on the line, that’s giving Matt Ryan all the time in the world to throw, and is doing a great job getting the running game going. The UMass lines are fine, but nothing special, and will have a hard time dictating the action.
Who to Watch: After putting together three solid years in the backfield (637 yards, 708 yards, 633 yards), Andre Callender seems ready to go over the 1,000-yard mark this year. He’s already rushed for 348 yards, and showed how dangerous he can be in the tweaked offense against Army. He has good speed and some power, and he’s providing just enough balance to not force Ryan to carry the entire load.
What Will Happen: The Minutemen may hang around for a while, but BC will win easily with the running game and run defense.
CFN Prediction Boston College 31 … Massachusetts 10 ... Line: No Line 
Must See Rating: (5 Ken Burns' The War - 1 The Big Bang Theory) ... 1


Duke (1-3) at Miami (3-1)  12:00 PM
Why to Watch: The Hurricanes appear to have it cranked up again after last Thursday’s 34-17 rout of Texas A&M. Are they ready to be a factor in the ACC race? Beating up Duke won’t necessarily show much, but after needing to hang on last year in a 20-15 win in Durham, a blowout wouldn’t be taken too lightly. The passing game made an appearance in a big way against the Aggies, giving the strong UM running game a good counterpart. Now it has to show it wasn’t a fluke. Duke, meanwhile, is coming off a brutal, 46-43 last-minute loss to Navy but is one of the top statistical offenses in the league, and might make this more of a battle than Cane fans might like.
Why Duke Might Win: As long as QB Thaddeus Lewis is on his feet, the Blue Devils have a shot. He threw for 428 yards and four scores against the Midshipmen, and is maturing into a stronger passer as the season is going on. He and wideout Eron Riley, who caught four touchdown passes last week, are becoming a deadly tandem worthy of worrying about. Lewis is 45th in the nation in passing efficiency, becoming more than just a runner. Look out for Jabari Mitchell, a dangerous kickoff return man who could take one the distance.
Why Miami Might Win: In the win over A&M, the Hurricanes appeared to have it all together. The defense allowed just 38 first-half yards against the Aggies, Kyle Wright teamed with backs Javarris James and Graig Cooper to provide a balanced attack, and for the first time in a long time, there was an actual offense. The defense, after the Oklahoma debacle, appears to be back, with the secondary picking off seven passes. The defensive line is way too quick for the Duke offensive front five.
Who to Watch: Wright set the tone for the evening against the Aggies on the first drive, when he led an 18-play, 80-yard march to paydirt, during which he was five-for-five on third downs. He finished with 275 yards passing on 21-for-26 passes in, arguably, the best performance of his career. He even lined up at receiver a couple times on direct snaps to James and Cooper, but that was to get the running backs better involved in short yardage plays.
What Will Happen: The Duke offense will stagger some under the pressure from the ‘Cane D, while Wright will build on last week and come up with a second straight strong game.
CFN Prediction: Miami 30 … Duke 10 ... Line: Miami -24 
Must See Rating: (5 Ken Burns' The War - 1 The Big Bang Theory) ... 2


Florida State (2-1) vs. Alabama (3-1) (in Jacksonville)  5:00 PM CBS
Why to watch: In 1974, an Alabama team on its way to an 11-1 season, with the loss coming in the Orange Bowl to Notre Dame, and along the way, it got all it could handle in an 8-7 win over a Florida State team that would finish the year 1-10. The two tied 37-37 in 1967. That's been it for the two storied programs in what could've been a far, far different scenario if Alabama powers that be hadn't screwed up in 1986. It was all but set that Bobby Bowden would leave Florida State for the vacant Bama job, but it ended up going to Bill Curry, the Seminoles weren't 11-1 the next year, and the rest is history. Now, Nick Saban is the superstar on the sidelines, and he has his team playing well, despite a 26-23 overtime loss to Georgia last week. This is the team's toughest game away from home until the season ender against Auburn. For Florida State, a win over a brand name team is a must after slogging its way through the early part of the year. This is a team in desperate need of a major confidence boost, and it'll get it if it can pull this off.
Why Florida State might win: Alabama is going to struggle to pound the ball on the Seminole defensive front. Clemson got a tremendous game out of James Davis in the opener, but FSU quickly put the clamps down on the Tiger running game, and has been a brick wall ever since. The Tide got the passing game going over the last few weeks, and QB John Parker Wilson has come into his own, but in a perfect world, it controls the game with Terry Grant on the ground. It might not be able to do that.
Why Alabama might win: Can Florida State score? The Jimbo FIsher era hasn't exactly taken off for the Seminole offense, struggling with its consistency and having major problems getting the passing game going. Outside of a few late drives, the Bama secondary has been a rock so far, while the run defense hasn't been all that bad, with the stats skewed by playing Arkansas. It won't take more than a few scores to get FSU panicking and throwing it too often. Once the Noles abandon the ground game, it's over.
Who to watch: Off-the-field issues have suddenly made the FSU defense an issue. The linebacking corps can't afford to lead Geno Hayes, one of the team's top tacklers and best all-around defensive playmakers, who was suspended after his involvement in a bar fight. Losing Hayes speed won't help against the Alabama running game, if he's actually not going to play. Toddrick Verdell will suddenly be trusted into the spotlight, and he has to come through with a strong performance after getting most of the first team work on the weakside this week.
What will happen: The offensive balance of Alabama will be too much for the Seminoles to overcome. Bama will get up early, Florida State will start throwing, Bama will increase the lead, Florida State will keep throwing, Bama will pull away in the fourth.
CFN Prediction: Alabama 23 ... Florida State 13 ... Line: Florida State -2
Must See Rating: (5 Ken Burns' The War - 1 The Big Bang Theory) ... 3.5


ACC Week Five Predictions, Part 2
 

 

  

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