Big 12 Fearless Predictions, Oct. 13
Missouri TE Chase Coffman
Missouri TE Chase Coffman
Posted Oct 8, 2007

Now that Chase Coffman and Missouri have blown away Nebraska, the expectations are jacked up. That was good, but beating Oklahoma in Norman would be better. Check out the preview, prediction and analysis of this, and all the games in the Week 7 Big 12 Fearless Predictions.

Big 12
North Colorado | Iowa St | Kansas | Kansas State | Missouri | Nebraska
South Baylor | Oklahoma | Oklahoma State | Texas | Texas A&M | Texas Tech

Big 12 Fearless Predictions Sept. 1Sept. 8 | Sept. 15Sept. 22 | Sept. 29 
Oct. 6Oct. 20Oct. 27 | Nov. 3Nov. 10 | Nov. 17Nov. 24Dec. 1

Big 12 Week Seven Predictions, Part 2

How are the picks so far? SU: 40-10 ... ATS: 20-20

Big 12 Game of the Week

Missouri (5-0) at Oklahoma (5-1)  6:30 PM Fox Sports Net
Why to Watch: Off to its best start since 1981, and looking to go 6-0 for the first time since 1973, Missouri is now on the national radar after a dominant 41-6 destruction of Nebraska last week. Unfortunately, few paid much attention, with the showdown in Columbia going on at the same time as LSU-Florida, Notre Dame-UCLA, Ohio State-Purdue, and Stanford-USC, but it was still the type of defining win that showed just how strong the team might really be. And now things are cranked up a few notches. In what might be a Big 12 title game preview, the Tigers are looking to beat Oklahoma in Norman for the first time since 1966. The Sooners overcame the loss to Colorado with a somewhat uneven performance in a 28-21 win over Texas, and while they're still high in the rankings, and within range of sneaking into the national title hunt again, they need this win in a big way. If they can pull this out, the schedule eases up in a big way, with Texas A&M coming to Norman, and the toughest road test left at Texas Tech. This is when Oklahoma has to start playing like the team that crushed and killed its way through the first five games. This is the when Missouri has to show it's a true national title player. It should be a shootout, and it should be one of the most important games of the weekend.
Why Missouri Might Win:
All of a sudden, the Oklahoma secondary can't seem to tackle and is having a rough time getting beaten deep. Everyone had to throw on OU early on, trying to come back after getting down big early, but Colt McCoy of Texas was able to put up big yards despite being under constant pressure all game long, and not getting much from his star receivers. Colorado was able to get the big passes in the clutch, and then there was Tulsa. While the Tigers and the Golden Hurricane don't play the same brand of offense, their overall styles aren't too far off. Paul Smith and the Tulsa attack lit up the OU secondary like a Christmas tree, giving Mizzou a blueprint of how to keep things up-tempo, get the quarterback on the move, and put up get the receivers involved early. The Sooners aren't great when the momentum isn't going their way, but at home, when things start clicking ...
Why Oklahoma Might Win: .. the offense has been unbelievable. Some teams are just night-and-day better on their own turf, and while beating up Utah State and North Texas certainly isn't any big whoop, the destruction of Miami still counts. Missouri hasn't been steady at getting to the quarterback, and if Sam Bradford gets time, he's deadly. Like OU, Missouri has given up a ton of passing yards to teams in comeback mode, considering there hasn't been a who's who of passing teams on the schedule so far, giving up 265 yards per game through the air is still a concern.
Who to Watch: Last week was Chase Daniel's time to get in the Heisman race, throwing for a career-best 401 yards and two touchdowns against the Huskers, and this week it's time to exorcise the demons. In last year's 26-10 loss to Oklahoma, he ran well, but tried doing to much, with 75 yards and a touchdown on 20 carries, and three interceptions with no touchdown passes. The Tiger offense is humming, with all the weapons getting an equal chance to shine, and it has to be Daniel who makes the right reads, the right plays, and gets everyone involved. This might be the first time all year long the Tigers will have to deal with real adversity, and it'll be up to its veteran star to keep everyone calm, keep the offense moving, and settle things down after the inevitable OU home runs.
What Will Happen: OU might be different at home, but it's been shaky over the last three weeks and isn't nearly as sharp as it probably should be. Missouri is the real deal. This is a balanced, dangerous offense that'll overcome at least two long OU touchdowns to pull off the stunning win thanks to two key turnovers and a big late drive from Daniel.
CFN Prediction: Missouri 34 ... Oklahoma 31 ... Line: Oklahoma -10.5
Must See Rating: (5 Hideki Matsui's "collection" - 1 The Heartbreak Kid) ... 4.5

Big 12 Saturday, Oct. 13

Texas (4-2) at Iowa State (1-5)  12:30 PM
Why to Watch: There are different levels of down. There's down, like Texas, after losing at home to Kansas State, and then dropping a tough battle to Oklahoma to all but eliminate itself from the Big 12 race. And then there's Iowa State down, playing like one of the worst teams in America, and starting off the Big 12 season 0-2 by losing to Nebraska and Texas Tech by a combined score of 77 to 34. Cyclone head coach Gene Chizik has his program in rebuilding mode, and while things might be tough, he can quickly generate a buzz by beating the team he helped out over the last two years as the defensive coordinator. Texas has never lost to Iowa State, going 6-0 all-time, with only one game decided by fewer than double digits. With Baylor and a down Nebraska coming up, this has to be when Texas gets healthy again. Anything less than a blowout will get the fan base buzzing for all the wrong reasons.
Why Texas Might Win:
Iowa State is struggling to put points on the board. It managed 35 in the loss to Toledo and its horrible defense, and hasn't scored more than 17 against anyone else.  Texas might be struggling, but it hasn't scored fewer than 21 so far. Defensively, the Cyclone secondary hasn't given up a ton of yards, but it's been picked way too easily when teams make a commitment to throwing the ball. Texas is throwing it well, even if it hasn't been all that efficient, and should be able to put up 300 yards if Colt McCoy gets time to work.
Why Iowa State Might Win: Who knows Texas better than Chizik? He recruited just about all the top defensive players, and he should be able to match coaching move for coaching move. Iowa State's big problem has been turnovers, but Texas has had just as many problems. If the Cyclones can win the mistake battle, and capitalize on every opportunity, Texas could implode. So far, the Longhorns haven't been able to come up with a crisp 60 minutes of football.
Who to Watch: Texas senior Limas Sweed was supposed to be in for an All-America caliber season, but an injured wrist, suffered just before the season started, was a problem as he caught just 19 passes for 306 yards and three touchdowns, with most of the production coming in the blowout win over Rice. Now he's out for the year, needing to undergo surgery. That means several receivers will have to pick up the slack, primarily Jordan Shipley and Billy Pittman, who was suspended for the first four games. Neither have made much of an impact so far, but they'll play huge roles, while Quan Cosby will be the likely number one target.
What Will Happen: Texas won't play well for yet another week, but it won't matter. Iowa State will keep it tight until the third quarter, and then the Longhorns will pull away with two good drives.
CFN Prediction: Texas 34 ... Iowa State 17 ... Line: Texas -16
Must See Rating: (5 Hideki Matsui's "collection" - 1 The Heartbreak Kid) ... 2

Baylor (3-3) at Kansas (5-0)  12:30 PM
Why to Watch: Kansas lost to Baylor last year in a 36-35 shootout, and since then has gone 8-1, starting out this season with an impressive 30-24 win at Kansas State last week making everyone sit up and finally take notice. Now the key will be to avoid a letdown, with road dates with Colorado and Texas A&M ahead. Baylor hasn't been good. The offense hasn't been consistent, and the defense, while not horrible, hasn't been able to pick up the slack. Any possible dream of a bowl season has to start with a win this week, as things don't get any easier over the final five games. If Kansas is the real deal, it wins this game by 20 without trying. If Baylor comes in hot and gets the passing game revved up, this could be the shocker of the Big 12 season.
Why Baylor Might Win:
The Kansas secondary was the worst in America last season, and this year, things appear to be night-and-day different, ranking eighth in the nation in pass defense, and fifth in pass efficiency defense. Is it a mirage? The Jayhawks had played one team, Central Michigan, that's throwing it remotely well, and then it got Kansas State. The secondary picked off three passes against the Wildcats, but it also gave up 310 yards. Baylor's offense hasn't been consistent, but it has thrown for 400 yards or more in three games, including last week in the loss to Colorado. If KU is on a letdown after beating Kansas State, it could be in for a shock if the Bears are bombing away.
Why Kansas Might Win: Kansas might just keep the ball so long that Baylor won't be able to get in the game. The Bears are dead last in America in time of possession, holding on to the ball for just 25:54, bottoming out against Texas A&M by losing the time battle 43:18 to 16:42. Kansas is converting 44% of its third down chances, with tremendous balance that should keep Baylor's defense guessing all game long. So far, KU isn't making any major screwups, and if it's able to take care of the ball, it should be able to win without a problem. It'll take a special set of circumstances for BU to win without winning the turnover battle by at least +2.
Who to Watch: KU's Aqib Talib was an All-America caliber corner last year on an awful defense. This year, he's one of the nation's best dual threat playmakers, albeit in a limited role. He's a defensive back, not a receiver, but he has seven catches for 174 yards and four touchdowns so far, and has picked off a pass in each of the last three games. Baylor will throw it 60 times, and it won't be able to avoid Talib for the entire game.
What Will Happen: KU should be primed for a letdown, but it hasn't happened so far. Baylor isn't generating enough production from either side of the ball to win a game like this.
CFN Prediction: Kansas 51 ... Baylor 20 ... Line: Kansas -25
Must See Rating: (5 Hideki Matsui's "collection" - 1 The Heartbreak Kid) ... 2

Big 12 Week Seven Predictions, Part 2



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