Big 12 Fearless Predictions, Nov. 24
Missouri QB Chase Daniel
Missouri QB Chase Daniel
Posted Nov 21, 2007

Previews and Predictions for the Week 13 Big 12 Games.

Big 12
North Colorado | Iowa St | Kansas | Kansas State | Missouri | Nebraska
South Baylor | Oklahoma | Oklahoma State | Texas | Texas A&M | Texas Tech

Big 12 Fearless Predictions Sept. 1Sept. 8 | Sept. 15Sept. 22 | Sept. 29 
Oct. 6Oct. 13 | Oct. 20Oct. 27 | Nov. 3Nov. 10 | Nov. 17Dec. 1

How are the picks so far? SU: 66-17 ... ATS: 40-32-1

Big 12 Week 13 Predictions, Part 2

Big 12 Game of the Week

Missouri (10-1) at Kansas (11-0)  8:00 PM ABC
Why to watch: And you don't think there's a playoff in college football? Even with West Virginia ranked third in the BCS, the winner of this game almost certainly controls its own destiny in the national title hunt with Kansas ranked No. 2 and No. 4 Missouri sure to move into the top two if it can pull off the win this week and win the Big 12 championship game. The winner still has the world in its hands, while the loser will likely end up in the Cotton Bowl at worst, an at-large BCS spot at best. To put in perspective what's happening here, Kansas hasn't won ten games since 1995 and this only the second winning season in 12 years. Missouri has been knocking on the Big 12 North door under head coach Gary Pinkel, and now it has all come together in the program's first ten-win season since 1960. No one could've imagined on November 25th of last year when the Tigers bombed away on the Jayhawks in a 42-17 win in Columbia that this game would mean anything more than possibly the North pecking order when the game was moved to Kansas City. Now the showdown will have a playoff feel in the biggest football game in the history of each school, and it'll be a show-me game for each. Missouri has earned a few measures of respect with blowout wins over Texas Tech and Texas A&M along with the season-opening victory over Illinois, while Kansas has yet to come up with a win over a top team, with its signature moment coming with a 76-point outburst over Nebraska. The winner of this one won't have to make any excuses.
Why Missouri might win: The same Kansas secondary that got ripped apart last year by Chase Daniel and the Tiger passing game could have major problems again. Statistically, this is a far better pass defense than the one that was the worst in America throughout 2007, but decent passing teams have been able to pile up the yards. Daniel is as efficient as any passer in the nation too many weapons for KU to deal with. Kansas has offensive playmakers, but not like Mizzou. The Tiger defensive front has been rock solid against the run when it's had to be. If KU wants to win this, it'll have to do it throwing the ball, but ...
Why Kansas might win: ... that shouldn't be a problem. While most teams are bombing away on KU just to try to come back, teams are throwing on Missouri because they can. To be fair, the Tigers haven't been ripped apart by any one team, including Texas Tech, but KU should be able to get at least 250 passing yards without a problem. The Tiger secondary has stepped up without top playmaker Pig Brown, who was lost for the year with a torn Achilles tendon, but this is still a group that'll give up yards. KU has one major weakness, punting, but Missouri is one of the few teams worse with a 29.15-yard average, the worst in the nation.
Who to watch: It's Heisman spotlight time. Chase Daniel and Todd Reesing went from being unknowns to top Heisman contenders with the winner of this week's game likely to be the main challenger to Florida's Tim Tebow. Daniel has cranked his game up a few notches with seven touchdown passes and no interceptions in his last two games to get up to 30 touchdown passes and nine interceptions on the year. Last year against KU he threw for 356 yards and four scores. Reesing has been even hotter with 13 touchdown passes and no interceptions in his last three games despite having the spotlight squarely on. He threw three interceptions in the win over Kansas State and hasn't made a mistake since going six straight games without a pick. It might be this simple; the quarterback that plays better will win the game.
What will happen: Neither defense will be able to stop the other team's attack, but Missouri will open things up a bit more and get a few more home runs. Daniel will outplay Reesing, but barely.
CFN Prediction: Missouri 45 ... Kansas 42 ... Line: Kansas -2

Must See Rating: (5
The inside of your eyelids after eating two pounds of turkey  - 1 The inside of a gym with every 120 calories equaling a mile on the treadmill) ...5

Big 12 Friday, November 23rd

Nebraska (5-6) at Colorado (5-6)  12:00 PM ABC
Why to watch: It wasn't all that long ago that this matchup was determining Big 12 championships and having a major influence on the national title chase. Fast forward a few years and now it's a battle of teams and programs going in different directions, but each needing a positive ending to build on for 2007. Nebraska is 99% certain to make a coaching change at the end of the year, but the Bill Callahan era can be extended by an extra game with a win to build on the cathartic 73-31 win over Kansas State to stop a five-game losing streak. The passing game has been rolling well enough to overcome the mediocre defense, and now it'll be bombs away as the Huskers try to prove that they really weren't that horrible all along. The Buffs have put the horrendous 2006 year in the past with a decent bounceback season, but they've blown two good chances to get bowl eligible with a blowout loss to Missouri (acceptable) and a 31-28 loss at Iowa State two weeks ago (unacceptable). It's easy to forget that the program went to the Big 12 title game in 2004 and 2005, and a win this week would be a solid step back to that level. While Nebraska is about to tear everything down and start fresh, Colorado is rebuilding and could desperately use the extra practices and time a bowl game would provide.
Why Nebraska might win: To disrupt the Nebraska passing game, a defense has to generate consistent pressure. Colorado can't do that. The Buffs have a strong secondary, but they're not getting much of a break with opposing quarterbacks able spend five days to find second and third options. It took a full season, and Joe Ganz stepping in for an injured Sam Keller, but the air attack is finally rolling like it was supposed to from the start of the Callahan era. With 315 yards and three scores against Texas, 405 yards and four scores against Kansas, and 519 yards and seven touchdown passes against Kansas State, the Huskers are in a groove. If they're on target, Colorado doesn't have the firepower to keep up.
Why Colorado might win: The Buffs need to get the running game going early and control the clock to keep Ganz and the Husker offense off the field. While Hugh Charles hasn't been rolling lately, he shouldn't have much of a problem against a Nebraska run defense that hasn't even been close all year. Kansas State got down too quickly and couldn't establish its ground game, but before that, KU ran for 218 yards and five touchdowns while Oklahoma State, Texas A&M and Texas all ran for well over 300 yards each in the previous three games against the Huskers. Colorado won't tear off three bills, but it should be able to crank out enough production to balance out anything Nebraska can do.
Who to watch: Is Ganz the real deal? He might not look the part of a prototypical chucker, but he's been the nation's hottest quarterback over a two game span with 915 yards and 11 touchdowns. He only completed half his passes in the loss to Kansas, and pitched four interceptions, but he rolled against Kansas State completing 30 of 40 throws for 510 yards and seven scores with no interceptions. He can even run a little bit. If he can put up huge numbers again, then he'll start to be considered the real deal, and if he pulls off the win, it might be interesting to see if there's a slight shift in the Dump Callahan movement.
What will happen: Nebraska hasn't been good on the road, but this isn't the same team that was beaten up by Kansas a few weeks ago. Tired of all the problems, the offense has started letting it fly knowing it has nothing to lose; it's all about attitude with this bunch. Colorado has something to lose, and it'll play tighter. That'll make all the difference.
CFN Prediction: Nebraska 41 ... Colorado 36 ... Line: Colorado -5.5

Must See Rating: (5
The inside of your eyelids after eating two pounds of turkey  - 1 The inside of a gym with every 120 calories equaling a mile on the treadmill) ...3

Texas (9-2) at Texas A&M (6-5)  3:30 PM ABC
Why to watch: All of a sudden, this Texas team that was an afterthought almost all season long, struggled to get by teams like Arkansas State, UCF and Nebraska, and appeared to still be in a malaise after blowing its seemingly sure-thing trip to the 2006 Big 12 title, has a shot to pull off a stunning reversal of fortune starting with a win over the Aggies. Last year, all Texas had to do was win one of its final two games to play for the Big 12 title, but Colt McCoy got hurt against Kansas State, wasn't right against Texas A&M, and Oklahoma slid in and won it. This year, Oklahoma supposedly had the Big 12 South title in the bag, but Sam Bradford suffered a concussion in the loss to Texas Tech leaving the door open for the Longhorns. If they can win on Friday, then the pressure will be on OU to beat Oklahoma State to win the South. Texas doesn't have a shot at an at-large BCS spot if it doesn't go on to play in the Big 12 title game, but with five straight wins after the OU loss is hot enough to make the other Big 12 bowls drool. Texas A&M is bowl eligible, but it could use the win to pull up out of its nosedive of a season. Head coach Dennis Franchione is basically a lame duck after losing four of his last five games and could use a second straight big win over Texas to slow down the firing process.
Why Texas might win: This is a bad matchup for A&M. Texas is vulnerable against strong passing teams but is fantastic against the run. Oklahoma State wanted to run the ball and only got 164 yards on 45 carries. Only two other teams, Oklahoma and UCF, were able to get more than 150 yards on the ground, and while A&M should be able to do that without a problem, it's not getting enough out of the passing game to pick up the slack. It's not like Stephen McGee and the offense isn't trying, doing a good job of moving the ball through the air against Missouri, but this is a running team that has to control things on the ground to win.
Why Texas A&M might win: If A&M can limit the explosions, it has a shot. Almost like in basketball, Texas is able to go on runs where it get hot for just enough of a burst to take over a game. Sometimes it happens in the fourth quarter and sometimes it happens out of the blue. To counteract that, A&M must power the ball. UCF's Kevin Smith, a big back, was effective against the Longhorn interior, and no one else has tried to pound it; Oklahoma State and Oklahoma simply ran their normal ground game. If the Aggie line can get a bit of a push for McGee, Jorvorskie Lane and Mike Goodson to run inside, it might have more success than it planned for.
Who to watch: McGee hasn't exactly become an A&M legend yet, but he can cozy up in the hearts of Aggie fans if he can engineer a second straight win over the Longhorns. Stepping in for Reggie McNeal two years ago, it was McGee, not Vince Young, who stole the show in the closer-than-the-final-score 40-29 loss with 108 rushing yards and two touchdowns. He ran for 95 yards and a touchdown in last year's win while throwing for an efficient 58 yards. Now he'll have to throw a bit as the Longhorns will be keying first on stopping him from running. For Colt McCoy, this is a chance at redemption. While he played hurt and gutted it out, he also hurt his team by throwing for 160 yards and three interceptions. Now he's fine, now he's throwing relatively well after a good game against Texas Tech, and now he has a shot to put last year's game to rest.
What will happen: If Oklahoma wants to play for the Big 12 title, it'll have to take care of business. Texas will slow down the Aggie running game and McGee won't be effective enough throwing the ball to pull off the upset. McCoy will be terrific.
CFN Prediction: Texas 34 ... Texas A&M 23 ... Line: Texas -5.5

Must See Rating: (5
The inside of your eyelids after eating two pounds of turkey  - 1 The inside of a gym with every 120 calories equaling a mile on the treadmill) ...4

Big 12 Week 13 Predictions, Part 2

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