Pac 10 Fearless Predictions, Oct. 27
USC LB Keith Rivers
USC LB Keith Rivers
CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Oct 24, 2007


Previews and Predictions for the Week 9 Pac-10 Games.

Pac 10  
Arizona | Arizona StCalifornia | Oregon | Oregon St
Stanford | UCLA | USC | Washington | Washington St 

Pac 10 Fearless Predictions Sept. 1Sept. 8 | Sept. 15Sept. 22 | Sept. 29 
Oct. 6Oct. 13 | Oct. 20Nov. 3Nov. 10 | Nov. 17Nov. 24Dec. 1

How are the picks so far? SU: 35-15 ... ATS: 26-22-1

Pac 10 Game of the Week

USC (6-1) at Oregon (6-1) 3:00 EST
Why to watch: There’ll be no shortage of storylines, sub plots or significance when Oregon hosts USC on Saturday afternoon.  While the winner remains in the thick of the Pac-10 race, and possibly the national title hunt, the loser’s goal shifts from Pasadena to San Diego, where the Holiday Bowl is played each December.  Can USC recapture the pre-Stanford swagger, or is its five-year bear hug on the conference about to end?  Who gets the ball on Saturday afternoon for the Trojans, sophomore Mark Sanchez or senior John David Booty?  Can the Oregon offense continue putting up Arena League numbers against a USC defense that boasts All-American caliber players at each unit?  For so many different reasons, this is a game that should not be missed this weekend.  The Ducks beat Washington last week, but it wasn’t as easy as the 55-34 score indicated.  They’ve rebounded well since suffering a devastating loss to Cal, moving up to No. 5 in the BCS rankings, while watching the Bears lose in back-to-back weeks.  The Trojans are getting healthier in mind and body, following last week’s 38-0 shutout of Notre Dame, the worst loss ever suffered by the Irish in the rivalry.
Why USC might win: Let’s not pile the dirt on top of the Trojans just yet.  This is still the place where blue-chip high school All-Americans flock in droves to get an education.  Oh, and for all of the problems that USC has had over the last month, none have been related to a defense that’s No. 4 nationally against the run and allowing just 16 points a game.  This is the game that Oregon starts to feel the pinch of losing RB Jeremiah Johnson, and WRs Cameron Colvin and Brian Paysinger to season-ending injuries.  The Trojans are one of a handful of defenses in the country that have the team speed to keep QB Dennis Dixon and RB Jonathan Stewart from getting to the outside and sprinting for six.  Plus, it cannot be forgotten the Ducks have an average and very vulnerable defense that’s allowed at least 30 points in three of the last four games.
Why Oregon might win: Even with some recent injuries, the Ducks are clicking on offense these days as well as any program in the country.  Four times in the last five games, they’ve scored at least 50 points, obliterating the opposition with a spread offense that’s become eerily reminiscent of the one that’s made West Virginia so successful over the past few years.  With Dixon impersonating Pat White and Stewart playing Steve Slaton, Oregon is No. 3 nationally on the ground, just behind the Mounties, and No. 2 in scoring.  While they won’t reach 50 points this week, 30 might be enough to outscore a USC offense that’s been mediocre over the last month.  Sanchez has never played in a game of this magnitude and Booty has shown a propensity to struggle in big games.  Either way, the Trojans won’t survive in a track meet.
Who to watch: Dixon, Stewart, and Andre Crenshaw versus those gifted USC linebackers, Keith Rivers, Rey Maualuga, and Brian Cushing, is as good a match up as you’ll see all season.  The Oregon running game is built on speed and space, but both could be limited by a Trojan trio that gets to the ball quickly and rarely misses tackles.  The winner of this game-within-the-game will likely be victorious on the scoreboard as well.
What will happen: It’s no accident that USC has lost to Stanford this year, and labored to beat Arizona and Washington.  Whether it’s injuries, a lack of fire, or some combination of the two, the Trojans remain vulnerable, a fact that Oregon is going to reinforce this Saturday.  The Ducks will get just enough from Dixon and Stewart when it counts to outlast USC in a classic Pac-10 thriller.
CFN Prediction: Oregon 34 … USC 27... Line: Oregon -3
Must See Rating: (5 America's Most Smartest Model - 1 Marie Osmond on DTWS) ... 4.5

Pac 10 Saturday, Oct. 27

Arizona (2-6) at Washington (2-5) 3:00 EST
Why to watch: For Arizona, there’s always next year.  For its head coach, Mike Stoops, a different rallying cry may be needed.  After falling to Stanford, and ensuring a ninth straight year without a winning record, the fourth-year coach has begun to feel the heat associated with unfulfilled expectations.  After going 6-6 in 2006 and beginning this season with hopes for a rare bowl game, the Wildcats have hit a wall, losing whatever air was left in the program in Saturday’s one-point loss to the Cardinal.  After losing all five games in a wicked gauntlet that included Ohio State, UCLA, USC, Arizona State, and Oregon, a visit from Arizona couldn’t come at a better time for Washington.  The Huskies will be seeking their first Pac-10 victory of the year, and have a somewhat more manageable back end of the schedule to still dream about seven wins and a bowl invite.  Don’t forget that these guys had the Ducks on the ropes last week before fading in the final quarter.  Beyond the obvious goal of winning, the next six games for the program will also be about getting Jake Locker closer to being a complete quarterback for 2008.
Why Arizona might win: While it’s had something to do with the competition, Washington’s defense has gotten ambushed during the five-game losing streak, allowing at least 460 yards a game and slipping to last in the Pac-10.  This is an ideal opportunity for Willie Tuitama and the Wildcats offense to break out of their recent slumber.  The Huskies are getting no pressure on opposing quarterbacks, and RB Nick Grigsby will continue making his case for the Freshman All-Pac-10 team, ripping through a unit that’s next to last nationally in run defense.
Why Washington might win: Emotionally, Arizona has to find something in the tank after losing to Stanford and coming to grips with another bowl-less postseason.  The passing game has regressed since the Sept. 29 rout of Washington State, and the running game averages a league-worst 83 yards a game.  The result has been just 59 points during the three-game losing streak, and way too many field goal attempts.  Even the Huskies will have a chance to contain this feeble unit.  Coming off the best game of his brief career, Locker will flourish when given an opportunity to face a beatable opponent.
Who to watch: Lost in Washington’s defensive implosion has been the play of E.J. Savannah, who is quietly establishing himself this season as one of the best young linebackers in the Pac-10.  Just a sophomore, he leads the Huskies with 70 stops and 46 solos, showing the athletic ability and range that made him such a coveted recruit three years ago.
What will happen: While Arizona is bummed, Washington is emboldened by a let up in the competition.  It’ll show in the form of Locker accounting for 250 yards and three scores in a double-digit Husky win.
CFN Prediction: Washington 33 … Arizona 23 ... Line: Washington -3.5
Must See Rating: (5 America's Most Smartest Model - 1 Marie Osmond on DTWS) ... 2


Stanford (3-4) at Oregon State (4-3)  6:30 EST
Why to watch: For the second time in three weeks, Stanford went on the road to win a Pac-10 game, beating Arizona and dispatching a message that it won’t occupy the low rung of the league ladder this season.  While the Cardinal has a long way to go before it can start seriously thinking about competing for a conference title, there’s no doubt the program is headed in the right direction under Jim Harbaugh.  With another win away from the Farm this week, Stanford can start seriously driving toward bowl eligibility, a ludicrous thought just a season ago.  Oregon State comes out of its bye week well rested and fired up from back-to-back wins over Arizona and Cal.  With games still left at USC and Oregon, this is a game that the Beavers absolutely, positively can’t lose if they have any hopes of playing beyond the Dec. 1 Civil War.
Why Stanford might win: Which Oregon State team will show up? Will it be the one that beat Cal or the one that got lapped by UCLA and Cincinnati?  The Beavers have been hard to read this year because they lack consistency and turn the ball over more than any other team in the Pac-10.  An already banged-up Oregon State offensive line got bad news this week when it learned that starting LT Tavita Thompson has been declared ineligible by the NCAA.  That can’t help error-prone QB Sean Canfield, who’s been a mess this year and will feel the heat from a Cardinal defense that already has 21 sacks and is playing well above expectations.
Why Oregon State might win: Stanford will have plenty of problems scoring on a veteran Beaver defense that’s started to flex its muscles the last two games.  Oregon State is third in the country against the run, so there’s no chance the anemic Cardinal running game will be able to move the ball on the ground.  It’ll be up to QB Tavita Pritchard to move the ball through the air, but that won’t be a pleasure cruise when he’s feeling constant pressure from Victor Butler, Jeff Van Orsow, and the rest of the nation’s third-ranked sack unit.
Who to watch: True freshman Darrell Catchings has begun to pick up some of the slack left by Sammie Stroughter’s season-ending injury, gradually making his presence felt at split end.  A speedy option for Canfield, he could have a career day on Saturday playing against a Stanford pass defense that ranks ninth in the Pac-10.
What will happen: Stanford lacks the balance on offense to get very far on an improving and attacking Oregon State defense.  The Beavers will get 100 yards and two scores from RB Yvenson Bernard for a comfortable third straight win.
CFN Prediction: Oregon State 34 … Stanford 16 ... Line: Oregon State -13.5
Must See Rating: (5 America's Most Smartest Model - 1 Marie Osmond on DTWS) ... 2

UCLA (5-2) at Washington State (2-5)  6:30 EST, Saturday, October 27
Why to watch: In an odd year, UCLA continues to be one its oddest teams.  After upsetting Cal last week, the Bruins remained unbeaten in the Pac-10, yet are unranked because of improbable out-of-conference losses to Utah and Notre Dame.  With upcoming games against Washington State and Arizona, they’ll be favored to be unblemished in the league in time for the pivotal final kick versus Arizona State, Oregon, and USC.  Although starting QB Ben Olson remains on the shelf, Patrick Cowan returned last week to give UCLA a double dose of stability on offense.  If things don’t change real fast in Pullman, Washington State will be playing out the string in November, and listening to the calls for Bill Doba’s ouster grow louder.  In an already rocky campaign, the Cougars reached rock bottom before the bye, getting humiliated by Oregon, 53-7.
Why UCLA might win: In Washington State, the Bruins will be facing one of the Pac-10’s worst defenses, a unit that’s allowed more than 40 points four times this season and has surrendered an astounding 21 touchdown passes.  Cowan will take advantage of his surroundings, finding WR Brandon Breazell on the deep routes, and getting plenty of support from the backfield tandem of Kahlil Bell and Chris Markey.  UCLA’s pressure up front and rock solid run defense will keep the Cougars one-dimensional, a problem that’s plagued them all season.
Why Washington State might win: If forced to play in comeback mode, the Cougars are equipped to do so with the nation’s No. 11 passing attack.  All-time leading passer Alex Brink will be getting top receiver Brandon Gibson back from injury and is benefiting from the emergence of true freshman Jeshua Anderson, a burner that’s caught seven balls for 225 yards over the last two games.  For as much as UCLA CBs Trey Brown and Alterraun Verner have gotten this fall, the Bruin secondary has been soft, allowing 241 yards a game.  Wazzu has been a different team at home this year, beating San Diego State and Idaho, and nearly upsetting 7-0 Arizona State. Who to watch: UCLA’s speed rushing DE Bruce Davis will add to his sack total Saturday night, blowing past an overmatched Washington State line that’s very young and very beatable.  In the Cougars’ loss to Oregon, Duck DE Nick Reed had three sacks, which is a number that Davis can hit if he doesn’t face double teams all night.
What will happen: Washington State’s track record at home and UCLA’s track record of inconsistency indicate that this will game will be tighter than expected for all four quarters.  The Bruins will pull away late, wearing out a Cougar D that lacks the depth to hold up for 60 minutes.
CFN Prediction: UCLA 30 … Washington State 21... Line: UCLA -6
Must See Rating: (5 America's Most Smartest Model - 1 Marie Osmond on DTWS) ... 2.

California (5-2) at Arizona State (7-0) 10:00 EST
Why to watch: USC was the Pac-10 favorite entering the season.  Cal took the baton after the Trojans lost to Stanford.  Oregon is now the flavor of the week.  Has anyone noticed that Arizona State is one of just five teams that have yet to lose a game in 2007?  For an unbeaten program, the Sun Devils aren’t getting much respect these days, but that’ll change if they can extend the Bears’ losing streak to three games Saturday night.  Arizona State has quietly played very well this fall, beating opponents by an average of 22 points and playing with a physical mentality that meshes with first-year head coach Dennis Erickson’s philosophy.  Star RB Ryan Torain is out for the year, putting Keegan Herring and Dmitri Nance in the role of picking up the slack.  Not long ago, Cal was the No. 2 team in the country, thinking about much more than just a Rose Bowl invite.  That was then and this is now.  The Bears have slipped to No. 21 in the BCS after consecutive agonizing losses to Oregon State and UCLA, and need to stop the bleeding immediately before the 2007 season gets put on life support.  If Cal can regroup and run the table, a BCS bowl game will still be there for the taking.
Why Cal might win: Which of Arizona State’s wins this year should convince anyone that this team is a bona fide player in the Pac-10 race?  Unlike Cal, which has been able to measure itself against Tennessee, Oregon, and UCLA, only one of the Sun Devils’ victims even has a winning record.  Now that QB Nate Longshore’s ankle is healthy again, the Bears will get back to being one of the league’s most explosive offenses, exposing an overrated ASU defense with the speed of receivers DeSean Jackson and Lavelle Hawkins, and the shiftiness of RB Justin Forsett.  After facing seven straight offenses that lack balance, the Devil D will not be prepared for the wave of weapons and options that it’ll have to cover.
Why Arizona State might win: It’s going to be a big night for QB Rudy Carpenter, who’ll get little resistance from a Cal defense that can’t get a hand on the quarterback and continues to struggle in pass defense.  The Bears have just two sacks over the last three games, which is comforting news for a Sun Devil offensive line that’s been horrible in pass protection.  With more time than he’s accustomed to, Carpenter will hook up with a quartet of quality receivers that’s led by Michael Jones.  Not your typical backup, Herring has five 100-yard games in his career, and will make a smooth transition as Torain’s successor.  Yes, this is the ASU defense’s toughest test of the year, but this group tackles well, prevents the big play, and stops the run better than any edition when Dirk Koetter was in Tempe.
Who to watch: Cal is at its very best when Forsett gets running lanes, which weren’t that abundant in last week’s loss to UCLA.  If the Bears can pop a few runs early, it’ll take the pressure off Longshore, while opening things up in the passing game.  Forsett will be the responsibility of Arizona State LB Robert James, who is covertly having an outstanding senior season that should garner him postseason recognition.

What will happen
: Sort of like Urban Meyer in Kentucky last week, you just don’t expect a Jeff Tedford-coached team to lose three games in-a-row.  While Arizona State is not living a lie, it will fail to graduate from beating mid-level opponents to handling a Cal team that still has the potential to reach the top 10.  As he did against Oregon and UCLA, Jackson will elevate his game, amassing 200 all-purpose yards and scoring a couple of times.
CFN Prediction: California 34 … Arizona State 30 ... Line: Arizona State -3
Must See Rating: (5 America's Most Smartest Model - 1 Marie Osmond on DTWS) ... 4.5

 

  

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