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SEC Fearless Predictions, Nov. 10
South Carolina RB Cory Boyd
South Carolina RB Cory Boyd
CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Nov 6, 2007


Previews and Predictions for the Week 11 SEC Games.


SEC
East  Florida | Georgia | Kentucky | South Carolina | Tennessee | Vanderbilt 
West Alabama | Arkansas | Auburn | LSU | Ole Miss | Miss State

SEC Fearless Predictions Sept. 1Sept. 8 | Sept. 15Sept. 22 | Sept. 29 
Oct. 6Oct. 13 | Oct. 20Oct. 27 | Nov. 3Nov. 17Nov. 24Dec. 1 
 

How are the picks so far? SU: 62-14 ... ATS: 40-24-2

SEC Fearless Predictions, Week 11, Part 2

SEC Game of the Week

Florida (6-3) at South Carolina (6-4)  7:45 PM  GamePlan
Why to watch
: Never really a rivalry with Florida dominating the series for years, things got interesting in a big hurry when Steve Spurrier took over in Columbia. Now this is one of the circle games on the SEC schedule and even has a little bit of potential impact on the East race. South Carolina needs to beat the Gators and hope for Georgia to lose one of its final two games to at least get in the discussion of tie-breakers (needing Tennessee to lose once more, as well), while Florida needs to win this week and get two Georgia losses to play for the title. Before thinking realistically of what might be, USC needs to simply halt a rough three-game losing streak starting with a home loss to Vanderbilt, continuing with a tough overtime loss to Tennessee, and last week, getting run all over by Arkansas in an all-time woeful defensive performance. A one-time BCS challenger not only has the Gators this week, but has to deal with Clemson to close out. The Gators get a layup against Florida Atlantic before dealing with Florida State.
Why Florida might win: It might not seem like it, but Florida is running the ball extremely well. Most of the production has come from Tim Tebow, who holds the SEC single-season record for rushing touchdowns by a quarterback with 14, but Kestahn Moore is coming off a nice 85-yard day against Vanderbilt, and Percy Harvin has gotten even more involved with a 113-yard, two touchdown day. South Carolina is banged up, bruised, and reeling, and is showed last week by giving up 542 rushing yards and four touchdowns to Arkansas. The Gators might not have a Darren McFadden or a Felix Jones, but they should be able to break out a few big runs if their speedsters can get into the linebacking corps with a little room to move.
Why South Carolina might win: If you want to throw the ball one Gator secondary, chuck it up and hope for the best. Vanderbilt didn't have much luck last week, but it doesn't have the passing game South Carolina can crank out if Blake Mitchell is rolling. Needing to keep up the pace against Arkansas, Mitchell threw for 364 yards and two touchdowns in one of the best games of his career. If the offensive line can keep him upright, he should have another 300 yard day. Florida's pass rush is hit or miss, and if it doesn't get a few big hits early, the secondary will be dinked and dunked on to death.
Who to watch: Because his team is 6-3 and out of the national title hunt, Tim Tebow has fallen out of the running for the Heisman. While he's still in the mix to be a finalist, he's not being talked about as a true favorite, even though it could be argued that he's been the best player in college football this year. Considering the running backs have been spotty, and top receiver Andre Caldwell is just now getting into the flow after missing time earlier this year hurt, Tebow has to be given credit for leading the nation in passing efficiency, while also leading the Gators in rushing and with at least one rushing touchdown in every game. His injured shoulder is apparently getting a bit better, and with a layup against Florida Atlantic next week, this might be a game for him to start running full throttle again after carrying it just 19 times in the last two weeks.
What will happen: Emotions will always be sky-high for Florida, but South Carolina is too beaten up and struggling too much defensively to handle a relatively rested Florida team with all the offensive parts starting to work. It'll be a bit of an offensive shootout with the Gators getting just enough balance in the fourth quarter to keep a hot Mitchell off the field.
CFN Prediction: Florida 41 ... South Carolina 35  ... Line: Florida -6.5
Must See Rating: (5
Seinfeld: Season 9 - 1 Bee Movie) ... 4

SEC Saturday, November 10th

Auburn (7-3) at Georgia (7-2)  3:30 PM  CBS
Why to watch
: Things have changed in a big way since last season when the two met in one of the pivotal games of the SEC season. Georgia had been reeling, losing four of five, shocked an Auburn team 37-15 at Auburn to ruin its national title hopes, and has won ten of the last 12 games since. Now it could be Auburn's turn to ruin Georgia's year. The Dawgs can rise above the muddled SEC East race by beating the Tigers and Kentucky, and hoping for a Tennessee loss, to play for the SEC title. Auburn needs a miracle to be in the SEC title game, with LSU needing to lose twice, but it can put itself in an interesting position for a possible BCS at-large bid by beating Georgia and Alabama impressively. These are two very good teams that will likely be among the top ten teams in the country to start 2008, so while this season is far from over, this could turn out to be a tone-setter for next year.
Why Auburn might win: The defense has been terrific over the last five games. LSU was able to hang up 30 points on the Tigers, with Matt Flynn throwing for 319 yards, but the running game was kept in relative check, and that was LSU. Georgia's offense is fine, but if it's not running the ball well, it's not likely to put points up in bunches. Outside of the LSU game, since the start of October, Auburn has given up seven points to Vanderbilt, seven to Arkansas, while holding the Hog ground game to 67 yards, three to Ole Miss and three to Tennessee Tech. Georgia's offensive line might be playing well, but it's not going to be able to dominate the Tiger defensive front four, and it's not going to open up big holes for Knowshon Moreno.
Why Georgia might win: It's not like Auburn's offense is going to be confused with Texas Tech. The Tiger attack is a great matchup for Georgia, with an average passing game and a decent ground game that doesn't crank out big yards against top teams. Auburn only ran for 99 yards on Florida and 97 on LSU, and it isn't going to motor for more than 150 on the Dawg defense that's been solid all year long against everyone but Tennessee. If the Bulldogs can somehow come out hot, and get up by double-digits early on, Auburn will have to rely fully on Brandon Cox to throw his way back into the game.
Who to watch: All but benched earlier in the year after throwing two interceptions in each of the first three games, and bottoming out with a 4-of-12 performance in the loss to Mississippi State, Cox has been unbelievably solid ever since completing 67% of his passes for eight touchdowns and just one interception. While he won't bomb away for 300 yards, he won't make many mistakes. His job against the Bulldogs will be to keep the chains moving and keep Georgia's offense off the field. Meanwhile, Georgia, while needing to run the ball to win, has gotten more production from Matthew Stafford and the passing attack over the last three games. In the winning streak, he has throw for over 200 yards in each of the three with six touchdowns and two interceptions, and is starting to look more and more like the star he's supposed to be. He hasn't had a defining game yet, but this could be it.
What will happen: Expect yet another CBS afternoon classic coming down to the final moments. The team that loses the turnover battle will lose, and Georgia will make more mistakes with Auburn's defensive line getting just enough pressure in the second half to pull off the tough win.
CFN Prediction: Auburn 20 ... Georgia 17   ... Line: Georgia -1
Must See Rating: (5
Seinfeld: Season 9 - 1 Bee Movie) ... 4

Kentucky
(6-3) at Vanderbilt (5-4) 
2:00 PM  GamePlan
Why to watch
: These might be improved Kentucky and Vanderbilt teams, but after all the improvements and the good battles and the upsets, the two are still in the SEC East basement. That can quickly change for the winner, especially if it's Kentucky, who has won three in a row over the Commodores and four of the last five. Already bowl eligible, now it's about jockeying for a better position after spending two weeks off to lick its wounds after a lousy 31-14 home whupping from Mississippi State. If the Wildcats can get hot and beat Vandy, Georgia at Georgia, and Tennessee, they'll do no worse than tie for East title. Vanderbilt got blasted by Florida last week in its first attempt to become bowl eligible, and now it needs to win one of its final three games against either Kentucky, Tennessee or Wake Forest for a sixth win.
Why Kentucky might win: Vanderbilt doesn't have the offense to keep up with UK if Andre Woodson and the boys get rolling. The Cats average 39 points per game, while the Commodores haven't scored more than 31 against any FBS team. This isn't an explosive Commodore offense with a passing game that struggles to get anything consistently going. UK's defense might not be a rock, but it's been strong at keeping the big pass plays to a minimum. If Vandy isn't running well, it's not going to keep up the pace UK will set. 
Why Vanderbilt might win: The Commodores should be able to generate pressure on Andre Woodson. Able to crank out seven sacks on South Carolina and five on Miami University, there was little pass rush generate last week against Florida, unable to stop Tim Tebow or throw him off his game. The UK offensive line isn't a brick wall in pass protection like Florida's is and will allow a few big shots. It might not be this simple, but Vandy is 4-0 when it gets two sacks or more, and 0-4 against FBS teams when it generated two sacks or fewer.
Who to watch: Can Andre Woodson have a game like he came up with last year? In the 38-26 win over the Commodores, Woodson threw for 450 yards and four touchdowns with Keenan Burton catching 11 passes for 171 yards and two touchdowns. On the other side, Vandy WR Earl Bennett has destroyed the Wildcats catching 13 passes for 99 yards and five touchdowns against the Cats as a freshman, and made 11 catches for 220 yards and a touchdown last year. With the passing game not clicking, Bennett hasn't been explosive over the last five games and hasn't been able to get into the end zone. Even so, he'll be a marked man this week.
What will happen: Kentucky has too much firepower for Vandy to keep up. Will the two weeks off mean the Cats will be sloppy or sharp? The Commodores will need turnovers to keep up, and they won't get them from Woodson, who'll go back to his ultra-efficient ways.
CFN Prediction: Kentucky 34 ... Vanderbilt 24 ... Line: Kentucky -3.5
Must See Rating: (5
Seinfeld: Season 9 - 1 Bee Movie) ... 2.5

SEC Fearless Predictions, Week 11, Part 2

   

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