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CFN Three-Year Program Ranking - 1 to 10

CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Jul 29, 2007


CFN's 2007 Three-Year Program Rankings and Analysis ... Teams 1 through 10

Three Year Program Analysis

Teams 1 to 10

Program Rankings
Scoring System  
11 to 25 |  26 to 39
40 to 59 |
60 to 79 |
80 to 99 | 100 to 119
By Category
APR | Attendance

Bad Losses
Best Leagues
By Conference
Conf. Win %
Draft
| Elite Wins
Quality Wins
| D-I Wins

Quick Explanation of Scores
- Attendance: Home attendance average over the last three years divided by 10,000. Avg. Score: 4.32
- APR: The most recently released Academic Performance Rate. Avg. Score: 5.66
- Quality Wins: Wins over D-I teams that finished with a winning record. Avg. Score: 5.56
- Total Wins: Wins over D-I teams. Avg. Score: 17.13
- Players Drafted: Number of players drafted divided by two. Avg. Score: 5.85
- Conference Win %: Conference winning percentage times 10. Avg. Score: 5.00
- Elite Wins: Wins over D-I teams that finished with two losses or fewer, or on the road over teams that finished with three losses or fewer. Add an additional 0.5 for an Elite Win over a two-loss team on the road. Avg. Score: 0.80
- Bad Losses: Losses to teams that finished with four wins or fewer, or any loss to a non-D-I team. Subtract each loss from the overall total. Subtract an additional 0.5 for each bad loss at home. Avg. Score: 1.22
-
Detailed Explanation of the Scoring System and Categories


10. LSU

Score:
76.08
2006 Ranking:
3   2005 Ranking: 10
2004 Ranking:
7    2003 Ranking: 16
Program Analysis: It seems like LSU should be higher, but it loses its national title-winning 13-1 2003 season in this year's equation. If the 2007 team is as good as expected, the ranking will only go way up, especially considering only three players were taken in the 2005 draft class. The 30 D-I wins are great, and winning 79% of SEC games is as impressive as it gets. Expect a top five slot next year.


Attendance Score: 9.17
2006: 92,212  2005: 91,580  2004: 91,209
APR Score:
6
Total D-I Wins from 2004-2006:
30
Quality Wins from 2004-2006:
12
2006: Kentucky, at Tennessee, Arkansas (SEC Championship), Notre Dame (Sugar Bowl)
2005: Arizona State, Florida, Auburn, at Alabama, Miami (Peach Bowl)
2004:
Oregon State, at Florida, Troy
Players Drafted Score from 2004-2007:
15
2007: QB JaMarcus Russell, DB LaRon Landry, WR Dwayne Bowe, WR Craig David, DE Chase Pittman
2006: RB Joseph Addai, OT Andrew Whitworth, DT Claude Wroten, WR Skyler Green, DT Kyle Williams, DE Melvin Oliver, WR Bennie Brazell
2005: DE Marcus Spears, DB Corey Webster, DB Travis Daniels
Conference Winning % Score from 2004-2006:
7.92
Elite Win Score:
3.5   2006: Notre Dame (Sugar Bowl)  2005: at Alabama  2004: Miami (Peach Bowl)
Bad Losses:
0
 


9. Michigan

Score:
76.48
2006 Ranking:
8   2005 Ranking: 6
2004 Ranking:
8   2003 Ranking: 10

Program Analysis: Michigan joins Oklahoma, Ohio State and Georgia as one of just four teams to be in the top ten in each of the last five years. While the Wolverines might not have a win over Ohio State or in a bowl game over the last three seasons, the Attendance Score is still the best, the APR is fantastic, and winning 79% of Big Ten games doesn't hurt. Now the Wolverine fans want more Elite Wins.

Attendance Score: 11.07
2006: 110,026  2005: 110,915  2004: 111,025
APR Score:
8
Total D-I Wins from 2004-2006:
27
Quality Wins from 2004-2006:
12
2006: Central Michigan, at Notre Dame, Wisconsin, at Penn State 

2005: Northern Illinois, Penn State, at Iowa, at Northwestern
2004:
Miami University, Iowa, Minnesota, at Purdue
Players Drafted Score from 2004-2007:
13

2007: DB Leon Hall, DT Alan Branch, DE LaMarr Woodley, LB David Harris, WR Steve Breaston, LB Prescott Burgess, TE Tyler Ecker 
2006: DT Gabe Watson, WR Jason Avant, TE Tim Massaquoi
2005: WR Braylon Edwards, DB Marlin Jackson, C David Baas

Conference Winning % Score from 2004-2006:
7.92
Elite Win Score:
4  
2006: at Notre Dame, Wisconsin  2005: Penn State  2004: Iowa
Bad Losses:
0
 


8. Virginia Tech

Score:
76.88
2006 Ranking:
12   2005 Ranking: 15
2004 Ranking:
20   2003 Ranking: 15

Program Analysis: After years of being among the nation's most dangerous teams, Virginia Tech enters the top ten for the first time thanks to 29 wins, 15 Quality Wins, and by winning an impressive 83% in ACC play. The Attendance Score is the lowest in the top ten by far, and might always put a ceiling on how high the ranking can get. While the Draft Score is solid, most of it comes from a great 2006 class.

Attendance Score: 6.55
2006: 66,233  2005: 65,115  2004: 65,115
APR Score:
6
Total D-I Wins from 2004-2006:
29
Quality Wins from 2004-2006:
15

2006: Cincinnati, Southern Miss, Clemson, at Miami, at Wake Forest
2005: at NC State, Georgia Tech, at West Virginia, Boston College, at Virginia, Louisville (Gator Bowl)
2004:
West Virginia, at Georgia Tech, Virginia, at Miami

Players Drafted Score from 2004-2007:
15
2007: DB Aaron Rouse, WR David Clowney, OT Brandon Frye
2006: WR Jimmy Williams, DE Darryl Tapp, LB James Anderson, TE Jeff King, DT Jon Lewis, DB Justin Hamilton, C Jimmy Martin, OG Will Montgomery, RB Cedric Humes
2005: DB Eric Green, DB Vincent Fuller, OT Jon Dunn

Conference Winning % Score from 2004-2006:
8.33
Elite Win Score:
4.5  
2006: at Wake Forest  2005: at West Virginia, Louisville (Gator Bowl)  2004: at Miami
Bad Losses:
0
 


7. Georgia

Score:
76.94
2006 Ranking:
6   2005 Ranking: 4
2004 Ranking:
3   2003 Ranking: 6
Program Analysis:
When you win 44 games in four years, your ranking will be fantastic. Everything is rock solid across the board with great Attendance and APR Scores, an excellent Draft Score, and
a great conference winning percentage. It's a razor-thin margin between being a top five team and being on just on the outside, and the difference was the Quality Win and Elite Wins Scores. One more big win (like in the Sugar Bowl last year against West Virginia) and the Dawgs would've been fifth.

Attendance Score: 9.27

2006: 92,746  2005: 92,701  2004: 92,706
APR Score: 8
Total D-I Wins from 2004-2006:
27
Quality Wins from 2004-2006:
13
2006: at South Carolina, at Auburn, Georgia Tech, Virginia Tech (Chick-Fil-A Bowl)
2005:
Boise State, South Carolina, at Georgia Tech, LSU (SEC Championship)
2004:
at South Carolina, LSU, Florida, Georgia Tech, Wisconsin (Outback Bowl)
Players Drafted Score from
2004-2007: 17
2007: DE Quentin Moses, DE Charles Johnson, TE Martrez Milner, OT Ken Shackleford 
2006: DB Tim Jennings, TE Leonard Pope, OG Max Jean-Gilles, DB Greg Blue, DB DeMario Minter, DT Kedric Golston, QB D.J. Shockley,

2005:
DB Thomas Davis, DE David Pollack, WR Reggie Brown, LB Odell Thurman, QB David Greene, WR Fred Gibson
Conference Winning % Score from 2004-2006:
6.67
Elite Win Score:
4.5  
2006: at Auburn, Virginia Tech (Chick-Fil-A Bowl)  2005: LSU (SEC Championship)   2004: Wisconsin (Outback Bowl)
Bad Losses:
0
 


6. Florida

Score:
77.64
2006 Ranking:
14   2005 Ranking: 17
2004 Ranking:
6    2003 Ranking: 4
Program Analysis:
Win a national title, move up in the rankings. It's not hard to figure out that the Gators were going to make a monster jump, and it should only be better next year when
the 7-5 2004 season, complete with a Bad Loss to Mississippi State, is out of the equation. Basically, the chapter on the Ron Zook era will come to a close. Also of note is how the Gators are getting it done in the classroom with a lofty APR.

Attendance Score:
8.97
2006: 90,409  2005: 90,406  2004: 88,409
APR Score:
9
Total D-I Wins from 2004-2006:
28
Quality Wins from 2004-2006:
15
2006: Southern Miss, at Tennessee, Kentucky, LSU, Georgia, South Carolina, at Florida State, Arkansas (SEC Championship), Ohio State (BCS Championship) 
2005:
Louisiana Tech, Georgia, Florida State, Iowa (Outback Bowl)
2004:
South Carolina, at Florida State 
Players Drafted Score from
2004-2007: 15
2007: DE Jarvis Moss, DB Reggie Nelson, DT Ray McDonald, DT Marcus Thomas, DT Joe Cohen, DB Ryan Smith, WR Dallas Baker, RB DeShawn Wynn, LB Brandon Siler
2006: WR Chad Jackson, DE Jeremy Mincey, DB Demetrice Webb
2005: LB Channing Crowder, RB Ciatrick Fason, DB Reynaldo Hill

Conference Winning % Score from 2004-2006:
6.67
Elite Win Score:
3.5  
2006: LSU, Ohio State (BCS Championship)  2005: at Florida State
Bad Losses:
1
 
2004: at Mississippi State


5. Ohio State

Score:
80.42
2006 Ranking:
7   2005 Ranking: 3
2004 Ranking:
2   2003 Ranking:
7
Program Analysis: The big 11-2 2003 season didn't count towards this year's ranking, but a run to the 2007 BCS Championship game helped put the Buckeyes back into the top five. Outside of an average APR Score, there isn't a dud number in any category, The Attendance Score is a whopper, the Draft Score is unbelievable, considering only three Buckeyes were drafted in 2005, and there are lots and lots of wins.

Attendance Score: 10.5
2006: 105,096   2005: 105,017  2004: 104,876
APR Score:
5
Total D-I Wins from 2004-2006:
30
Quality Wins from 2004-2006:
14
2006: Northern Illinois, at Texas, Cincinnati, Penn State, Michigan 
2005:
Miami University, Iowa, at Minnesota, Northwestern, at Michigan, Notre Dame (Fiesta Bowl)
2004:
Cincinnati, Michigan, Oklahoma State (Alamo Bowl)
Players Drafted Score from 2004-2007:
20
2007: WR Ted Ginn, WR Anthony Gonzalez, DT Quinn Pitcock, RB Antonio Pittman, DE Jay Richardson, WR Roy Hall, QB Troy Smith, C Doug Datish
2006: LB A.J. Hawk, DB Donte Whitner, LB Bobby Carpenter, WR Santonio Holmes, C Nick Mangold, DB Ashton Youboty, LB Anthony Schlegel, DB Nate Salley, OG Rob Sims
2005: PK Mike Nugent, DB Dustin Fox, RB Maurice Clarett
Conference Winning % Score from 2004-2006:
7.92
Elite Win Score:
3   2006: at Texas, Michigan  2005: Notre Dame (Fiesta Bowl)  
Bad Losses:
0
 


4. Oklahoma

Score:
81.70
2006 Ranking:
4   2005 Ranking: 2
2004 Ranking:
4   2003 Ranking: 3

Program Analysis: Another year, another season in the top four of the rankings. No one else can claim that. Not USC. Not Texas. No one. The numbers are solid all across the board, but it might take another huge season to stay among the best of the best after losing the 12-1 season from the books next year. Also gone will be a monstrous 2005 draft class, and after only having three players picked last year.

Attendance Score: 8.45
2006: 84,561   2005: 84,331   2004: 84,532   
APR Score:
5
Total D-I Wins from 2004-2006:
31
Quality Wins from 2004-2006:
16
2006: Middle Tennessee, at Missouri, at Texas A&M, Texas Tech, at Oklahoma State, Nebraska (Big 12 Championship) 
2005:
Tulsa, Kansas, at Nebraska, Oregon (Holiday Bowl)
2004:
Bowling Green, Texas Tech, Texas, at Oklahoma State, at Texas A&M, Colorado (Big 12 Championship)
Players Drafted Score from 2004-2007:
20
2007: RB Adrian Peterson, LB Rufus Alexander, DE C.J. Ah You
2006: OG Davin Joseph, C Chris Chester, DT Dusty Dvoracek, WR Travis Wilson, LB Clint Ingram, RB J.D. Runnels
2005: OT Jammal Brown, WR Mark Clayton, DB Brodney Pool, WR Mark Bradley, DE Dan Cody, WR Brandon Jones, DB Antonio Perkins, DB Donte Nicholson, DB Michael Hawkins, LB Lance Mitchell, OG Wes Sims
Conference Winning % Score from 2004-2006:
8.75
Elite Win Score:
2.5   2005: Oregon (Holiday Bowl)  2004: Texas  

Bad Losses:
0
 


3. Auburn

Score:
85.16
2006 Ranking:
9     2005 Ranking: 12
2004 Ranking:
17   2003 Ranking: 17

Program Analysis: Others might have more wins, and others have more Quality Wins, but the Elite Win Score of eight is one better than USC, and four more than anyone else. This team brings it against the best. Just as impressive is the top APR Score; this team brings it in the classroom, too. Unfortunately, the ranking might go down after losing the 13-0 2004 season in the equation next year.

Attendance Score: 8.41
2006: 85,063   2005: 84,161   2004: 83,085
APR Score:
10
Total D-I Wins from 2004-2006:
31
Quality Wins from 2004-2006:
12
2006: LSU, at South Carolina, Florida, Nebraska (Cotton Bowl) 
2005:
South Carolina, at Georgia, Alabama
2004:
LSU, at Tennessee, Georgia, Tennessee (SEC Championship), Virginia Tech (Sugar Bowl)
Players Drafted Score from 2004-2007:
14
2007: OG Ben Grubbs, RB Kenny Irons, LB Wil Herring, DB David Irons, WR Courtney Taylor
2006: OT Marcus McNeil, WR Devin Aromashodu, DE Stanley McClover, WR Ben Obamanu

2005:
RB Ronnie Brown, RB Carnell Williams, DB Carlos Rogers, QB Jason Campbell, DE Jay Ratliff

Conference Winning % Score from 2004-2006:
8.75
Elite Win Score:
8   2006: LSU, Florida  2005: at Georgia, Alabama  2004: at Tennessee, Georgia, Tennessee (SEC Championship), Virginia Tech (Sugar Bowl)

Bad Losses:
0
 


2. Texas

Score:
87.25
2006 Ranking:
2    2005 Ranking: 9
2004 Ranking:
11   2003 Ranking:
13
Program Analysis: For the second straight season, Texas is number two by a comfortable margin. The 20 Quality Wins blows everyone else away, with three more than USC, and the 33 overall wins are better than everyone but Pete Carroll's bunch. The APR should probably be better for such a great school, and the Draft Score is just above-average compared to the other top teams.

Attendance Score: 8.50
2006: 88,505   2005: 83,333   2004: 83,094   
APR Score:
5
Total D-I Wins from 2004-2006:
33
Quality Wins from 2004-2006:
20
2006: Rice, Oklahoma, at Nebraska, at Texas Tech, Oklahoma State
2005: UL Lafayette, at Ohio State, at Missouri, Oklahoma, Colorado, Texas Tech, Kansas, Colorado (Big 12 Championship), USC (Rose Bowl)
2004: North Texas, at Texas Tech, at Colorado, Oklahoma State, Texas A&M, Michigan (Rose Bowl)
Players Drafted Score from
2004-2007: 16
2007: DB Michael Griffin, DB Aaron Ross, OT Justin Blalock, DE TIm Crowder, DE Brian Robison, DB Tarell Brown, OG Kasey Studdard
2006: QB Vince Young, DB Michael Huff, DB Cedric Griffin, TE Dave Thomas, OT Jonathan Scott, DT Rodrique Wright
2005: RB Cedric Benson, LB Derrick Johnson, TE Bo Scaife
Conference Winning % Score from 2004-2006:
8.75
Elite Win Score:
4   2005: at Ohio State, USC (Rose Bowl)  2004: Michigan (Rose Bowl)  
Bad Losses:
0
 


1. USC

Score:
94.12
2006 Ranking:
1   2005 Ranking: 1
2004 Ranking:
10   2003 Ranking:
24
Program Analysis: Make it three straight years for the Men of Troy, and once again, it's not even close with a whopping 6.87 points ahead of No. 2 Texas. Going 36-3 over a three-year span certainly makes the rating high, and as expected, the fans have starting showing up more and more. Fine, so the APR is average, but everything else is unbelievable. Only Florida State has had as many drafted players over the last three years, Only Texas has more Quality Wins, only Auburn has a better Elite Win score, and no one has more wins.

Attendance Score: 8.92
2006: 91,480   2005: 90,812   2004: 85,229 
APR Score:
5
Total D-I Wins from 2004-2006:
36
Quality Wins from 2004-2006:
17
2006: at Arkansas, Nebraska, Arizona State, Oregon, California, Notre Dame, Michigan (Rose Bowl) 
2005:
at Oregon, at Arizona State, at Notre Dame, at California, Fresno State, UCLA
2004:
Virginia Tech, California, Arizona State, at Oregon State, Oklahoma (Orange Bowl)
Players Drafted Score from 2004-2007:
22
2007: WR Dwayne Jarrett, WR Steve Smith, C Ryan Kalil, LB Dallas Sartz, LB Oscar Lua
2006:
RB Reggie Bush, QB Matt Leinart, OT Winston Justice, OG Taitusi Lutui, RB LenDale White, DE Frostee Rucker, TE Dominique Byrd, DB Darnell Bing, RB David Kirtman, DT LaJuan Ramsey, OG Fred Matua
2005: DT Manuel Wright (supplemental draft), WR Mike Williams, DT Mike Patterson, DT Shaun Cody, LB Lofa Tatupu, QB Matt Cassell
Conference Winning % Score from 2004-2006:
9.20
Elite Win Score:
7  
2006: Michigan (Rose Bowl)  2005: at Oregon, at Notre Dame, UCLA  2004: California, Oklahoma (Orange Bowl)  
Bad Losses:
0