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Big East Fearless Predictions, Sept 1, Part 2

CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Aug 25, 2007

Previews and Predictions for the Week 1 Big East Games, Part 2


Big East 
Cincinnati | Connecticut | Louisville | Pittsburgh | Rutgers
South Florida | Syracuse | West Virginia

Big East Week One Fearless Predictions, Part 1

Big East Saturday, September 1

Elon at South Florida
Why to watch: With I-AA Elon on the opening day menu, the agenda for South Florida is simple: pick up a W, work off the rust from a long off-season, and keep everyone healthy before next weekend’s trip to Auburn.  No longer a novelty act, the 2007 Bulls are built for more than just a winning season and a consolation prize bowl game in December.  With a ton of key players back from last year’s 9-4 team, and West Virginia and Louisville visiting, the program believes it’s ready to compete for a Big East crown and an automatic BCS bowl bid.  Setting the tone for a second straight year will be do-everything QB Matt Grothe, who led the Bulls in passing, rushing, and scoring in 2006.  The defense, which returns seven starters and boasts one the country’s best corner duos, will again be underrated and underpublicized.  With all of Elon’s receivers back for another season, the Phoenix will once again feature one of the Southern Conference’s most dynamic passing attacks.  Leading the way will be super-sized All-American Terrell Hudgins, who caught 69 passes for 1,027 yards and eight touchdowns as a freshman phenom in 2006.
Why Elon might win: If this becomes a battle of special teams, advantage Phoenix.  Elon boasts a trio of all-league-caliber specialists in punter Brandon Lane, kicker Andrew Wilcox, and returner Michael Mayers.  To have a prayer of pulling off the monumental upset, the Phoenix needs Lane to consistently bury the sporadic USF offense deep in its own territory, and Mayers to shorten the field for the offense.  Both are capable of doing their parts in Tampa on Saturday.
Why South Florida might win: With Trae Williams and Mike Jenkins locking down Hudgins, Elon’s best player will be neutralized at Raymond James Stadium.  Without the benefit of a decent running game, DE George Selvie and the Bulls will feast on QB Donny Kirby, a redshirt freshman playing in his first college game.  The USF offense may not erupt, but it won’t have to with the defense keeping the Phoenix in single digits for most of the game.
Who to watch: True freshman RB Mike Ford gets his first opportunity to show why he’s being called the highest-rated recruit to ever sign with South Florida.  A 6-2, 220-pound SEC talent playing in the Big East, he’ll be making his highly-anticipated debut with the Bulls, likely as the backup to Benjamin Williams.
What will happen: While the defense dominates an overmatched opponent, the offense, especially the line, will use this game as a tune-up for next week’s sudden ramp up in competition.  Ford will delight the home crowd, notching his first 100-yard game on just a dozen or so carries.
CFN Prediction: South Florida 43 ... Elon 10... Line: No Line
Must See Rating: (5 Hef wants you to take his place on The Girls Next Door, but you can’t because you have to watch this game - 1 Cavemen) ... 1
Final Score: 
  

Connecticut at Duke
2:00 PM
Why to Watch:  This matchup, 2004, in San Antonio in the Final Four … riveting.  Football, 2007, in Durham, NC, well, not as intriguing, but worth paying attention to nonetheless.  Duke hasn’t won a game since 2005 and has an honest chance of finally ending a long, painful streak with a veteran team good enough to pull off the W.  Connecticut is trying to get back to ‘bowl team’ status after a 4-8 season in 2006 marred by breakdowns on both sides of the ball.  Although a loss in the opener won’t crush either team’s overall hopes, a win could set the tone for a much improved season. Basically, this is seen as a must-win for each side.
Why Connecticut Might Win:  As the Huskies break in a new quarterback Tyler Lorenzen, the running game should dominate with running back Donald Brown shouldering much of the load early on.  Duke linebacker Michael Tauiliili, the Blue Devils leading tackler the last two years, is suspended for this game, so Brown should have plenty of success rushing against a softer D.
Why Duke Might Win:  It’s hard to find a team in the ACC with as much experience on offense as the Blue Devils.  For the first year in some time, the Devils have a consistent, balanced attack with quarterback Thaddeus Lewis leading the way and just enough talent at receiver to start putting the ball in the air.  With a year under his belt, Lewis should be more consistent, reduce the turnovers and generate big plays against a shaky Husky secondary that might not be ready for prime time.
Who to Watch: Duke defensive tackle Vince Oghobaase was a five-star recruit out of Texas three years ago, but he has yet to blossom into a game-changing defender.  However, few linemen in the ACC have his blend of quickness and size, and if he puts it all together, he could be special.  He’s got to take his game to a new level this fall, starting with this matchup, and without Tauiliili in the lineup, he has to gum up the works and keep Brown from running inside.
What Will Happen: Duke will win.  Yes, that’s not a misprint, Duke will win.  Lewis will have a strong passing day and will avoid the mistakes that plagued him at times last year.  It’s not going to be a walk in the park, but the pieces are there to end the school’s football nightmare right off the bat.
CFN Prediction: Duke 23 … Connecticut 20 …
Line: Connecticut -5.5
Must See Rating: (5 Hef wants you to take his place on The Girls Next Door, but you can’t because you have to watch this game - 1 Cavemen) ... 2
Final Score: 
  


Western Michigan at West Virginia 3:30 PM
Why to watch: For the second straight year, expectations are soaring for No. 3 West Virginia, which begins 2007 with its highest pre-season ranking in school history.  Once again, the catalysts will be Heisman contenders Patrick White and Steve Slaton, the ‘eers dynamic offensive duo that no defense over the last two years has been able to stop.  Whether West Virginia can maintain its spot among the nation’s elite will depend on the play of a defense that got routinely shredded during the second half of 2006.  The unit gets an early test from a balanced Western Michigan offense that can get it done on the ground with RB Mark Bonds or through the air with Tim Hiller and a productive set of receivers.  The experienced Broncos are coming off their first bowl game in nearly two decades, a three-point loss to the Big East’s Cincinnati, and will again be in the thick of things in the tightly-packed MAC West.
Why Western Michigan might win: While the Mountaineers can score points in bunches, they can also allow them in a hurry as well, as evidenced late last year.  West Virginia lacks a consistent pass rush and is vulnerable through the air, a recipe for success for the Bronco passing game.  Before suffering a devastating knee injury that cost him all of last year, Hiller tore through the MAC for 20 touchdown passes and just three picks as a freshman.  In WR Jamarko Simmons, he also has a playmaker that can challenge the Mountaineers downfield.
Why West Virginia might win: White and Slaton.  Yeah, yeah, it’s way obvious, but while West Virginia won’t have much success through the air against a terrific Bronco secondary, it’ll be up to the two stars to be the difference-makers in a potential bear trap game.  The physical Mountaineer offensive line will control the line of scrimmage, giving the team’s two stars enough room to snap off a handful of back-breaking scampers down the field.
Who to watch: Although White and Slaton dominate the headlines and post-season honors, Western Michigan will pay dearly if it forgets about versatile Mountaineer FB Owen Schmitt.  An ideal change-of-pace at 6-3 and 260 pounds, he’s a devastating lead blocker, who moves with the quickness and agility of a tailback when the ball’s in his hands.  Think Mike Alstott from a decade ago.  
What will happen: Western Michigan is a veteran, battle-tested squad that won’t cower at the sight of the frenzied Morgantown crowd.  The Broncos will keep things interesting for the first half before the Mountaineers’ speed and depth help them pull away in the third quarter.
CFN Prediction: West Virginia 37 ... Western Michigan 17... Line: WVU -24
Must See Rating: (5 Hef wants you to take his place on The Girls Next Door, but you can’t because you have to watch this game - 1 Cavemen) ... 2.5
Final Score: 
  

Eastern Michigan at Pitt 6:00 PM
Why to watch: Is this the season that Pittsburgh finally turns a succession of solid recruiting classes into production on the field and a bowl game?  It better be or else the heat could become unbearable for head coach Dave Wannstedt.  There’s no doubt the talent level has improved since Wanny returned home, but the Panthers begin 2007 without emotional leaders Tyler Palko and H.B. Blades, or leading receiver Derek Kinder, who tore his ACL earlier this month.  While not overly sexy, the program will be built around solid line play and a physical ground game.  Playing Eastern Michigan won’t tell Pittsburgh much about itself, but it will provide the right opponent for a fast start.  Even with a veteran team, and coming off a 1-11 season that included a bunch of close calls, the Eagles are the heavy favorite to finish in the MAC West cellar.  
Why Eastern Michigan might win: With tackles Josh Hunt and Jason Jones shoring up the interior and leading tackler LB Daniel Holtzclaw providing run support, the Eagles can slow down the Pitt ground game, forcing new QB Bill Stull to play beyond his limits.  Shifty Eastern Michigan QBs Andy Schmitt and Tyler Jones will be able to move the ball on a Panther D that’s replacing six starters from a unit that allowed more than 40 points in last year’s final three games.
Why Pittsburgh might win: Eastern Michigan might be able to stall Pitt’s running game.  And it might have success in pass defense.  It won’t, however, be able to do both Saturday night.  Behind behemoths Mike McGlynn, assuming his shoulder is healthy, and Jeff Otah, this is Wannstedt’s most formidable offensive line, which will eventually wear down an undersized Eagle defense.  The Panthers’ determination to establish a ground game and stable of backs that includes LaRod Stephens-Howling, Kevin Collier, and LeSean McCoy will carry them to a comfortable win.
Who to watch: Obviously it hurts to lose a proven player, such as Kinder, but Pitt is loaded at receiver and will recover just fine this year.  Oderick Turner, T.J. Porter, and Marcel Pestano are all capable of being leading men at WR U., and TE Nate Byham is an outstanding downfield threat with substantial upside.  All four will help Stull make the transition from clipboard-holder to starting quarterback in 2007.
What will happen: Lots and lots of young talent will be on display for Pitt, as the Panthers break in new starters and try to erase the memory of last year’s brutal 0-5 finish.  If not for the opponent, they’d be vulnerable for getting picked off in Week 1.
CFN Prediction: Pittsburgh 38 ... Eastern Michigan 13... Line: Pitt -20
Must See Rating: (5 Hef wants you to take his place on The Girls Next Door, but you can’t because you have to watch this game - 1 Cavemen) ... 1.5
Final Score: 
  
 

Big East Week One Fearless Predictions, Part 1

  

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