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MAC Fearless Predictions, Sept. 1, Part 2

CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Aug 26, 2007

Previews and Predictions for the Week 1 MAC Games, Part 2.


MAC
East  Akron | Bowling Green | Buffalo | Kent State | Miami Univ. | Ohio | Temple
West  Ball State | Central Mich | Eastern Mich | Northern Illinois | Toledo | West Michigan

MAC Week One Fearless Predictions
 

MAC Saturday, September 1

Eastern Michigan at Pitt 6:00 PM
Why to watch
: Is this the season that Pittsburgh finally turns a succession of solid recruiting classes into production on the field and a bowl game?  It better be or else the heat could become unbearable for head coach Dave Wannstedt.  There’s no doubt the talent level has improved since Wanny returned home, but the Panthers begin 2007 without emotional leaders Tyler Palko and H.B. Blades, or leading receiver Derek Kinder, who tore his ACL earlier this month.  While not overly sexy, the program will be built around solid line play and a physical ground game.  Playing Eastern Michigan won’t tell Pittsburgh much about itself, but it will provide the right opponent for a fast start.  Even with a veteran team, and coming off a 1-11 season that included a bunch of close calls, the Eagles are the heavy favorite to finish in the MAC West cellar.  
Why Eastern Michigan might win: With tackles Josh Hunt and Jason Jones shoring up the interior and leading tackler LB Daniel Holtzclaw providing run support, the Eagles can slow down the Pitt ground game, forcing new QB Bill Stull to play beyond his limits.  Shifty Eastern Michigan QBs Andy Schmitt and Tyler Jones will be able to move the ball on a Panther D that’s replacing six starters from a unit that allowed more than 40 points in last year’s final three games.
Why Pittsburgh might win: Eastern Michigan might be able to stall Pitt’s running game.  And it might have success in pass defense.  It won’t, however, be able to do both Saturday night.  Behind behemoths Mike McGlynn, assuming his shoulder is healthy, and Jeff Otah, this is Wannstedt’s most formidable offensive line, which will eventually wear down an undersized Eagle defense.  The Panthers’ determination to establish a ground game and stable of backs that includes LaRod Stephens-Howling, Kevin Collier, and LeSean McCoy will carry them to a comfortable win.
Who to watch: Obviously it hurts to lose a proven player, such as Kinder, but Pitt is loaded at receiver and will recover just fine this year.  Oderick Turner, T.J. Porter, and Marcel Pestano are all capable of being leading men at WR U., and TE Nate Byham is an outstanding downfield threat with substantial upside.  All four will help Stull make the transition from clipboard-holder to starting quarterback in 2007.
What will happen: Lots and lots of young talent will be on display for Pitt, as the Panthers break in new starters and try to erase the memory of last year’s brutal 0-5 finish.  If not for the opponent, they’d be vulnerable for getting picked off in Week 1.
CFN Prediction: Pittsburgh 38 ... Eastern Michigan 13... Line: Pitt -20
Must See Rating: (5 Hef wants you to take his place on The Girls Next Door, but you can’t because you have to watch this game - 1 Cavemen) ... 1.5
Final Score: 
  

Gardner-Webb at Ohio 7:00 PM

Why to Watch:
 Ohio looks to get off to a hot start with an apparent layup before making the trip to UL Lafayette, while Gardner-Webb looks to build off a nice 2006 with a good-looking veteran team returning. The Bobcats match up well with the Bulldogs, and if they're planning on being a threat to win the MAC title, they need to show they can beat up all the teams they're supposed to. GWU is one of those teams.
Why Gardner-Webb Might Win: GWU has a high-octane passing attack that should be able to bomb away with Devin Campbell leading a veteran offense with nine starters returning. Campbell will throw plenty of interceptions, he tossed 17 last year with eight in the final three games, but he'll also have a few moments when he'll push the Bobcat secondary deep. Defensively, ten starters return, but ...
Why Ohio Might Win: ... will the experience matter? GWU couldn't stop anyone's running game, and few teams are able to pound the ball like the Bobcats. Kalvin McRae should be able to crank out yards in chunks, while on the other side of the ball, the defense should be able to force several mistakes. GWU was awful last year at hanging on to the ball and is all but certain to lose the turnover battle.
Who to Watch: The key for the Bulldogs to stay in the game is field position, and outside of turnovers, they should have it thanks to punter Michael Henna, who averaged over 43 yards per punt. He has to pin the Bobcats deep over and over again. Ohio's offense knows it can run, but can it throw when needed? Theo Scott is a good runner who could add a nice change of pace when McRae gets tired, but Brad Bower could grow into the better option. He's a better passer and gives the offense a sorely-missed dimension.
What Will Happen: Ohio will convert four turnovers into points, while the defense will limit the GWU passing game from getting any meaningful big plays. The Bobcats should be well ahead by the time Campbell gets going.
CFN Prediction: Ohio 34 ... Gardner-Webb 10
... Line: No Line
Must See Rating: (5 Hef wants you to take his place on The Girls Next Door, but you can’t because you have to watch this game - 1 Cavemen) ... 1
Final Score: 
 

Army at Akron 7:00 PM (played in Cleveland)
Why to Watch: It's the first game of the Stan Brock era as he tries to take over for Bobby Ross and move Army forward. It could be a long and rough task with a team that needs some seasoning and retooling after several rough seasons. It's going to be a while before the Black Knights can reasonably dream about a bowl game, but with Rhode Island up next, a 2-0 start is likely with an upset win in Cleveland. This is a must-win for an Akron team that has to go on the road to face Ohio State and Indiana before kicking off the MAC season with Kent State. For a team looking to win its second MAC title in three years, or at least be in the hunt, this is the type of game it has to win to show it's good enough to considered a threat.
Why Army Might Win: If Army's defensive front is ever going to come up with a big game, this would be the week against an Akron offensive line that'll need several games before it's ready for prime time. If the D can dictate the action, and make a few plays behind the line, something it wasn't able to do throughout last year, the still-developing Zip passing game could struggle. Injuries were a problem for the Zips this summer; they didn't get nearly as much time as they'd have liked to come up with a starting quarterback.
Why Akron Might Win: Yeah, Akron has offensive line problems, but Army really has problems up front. Only one starter returns, and while there's size, finding a starting five, much less any developed depth, has been tough. Considering the offense struggled to produce, the Zip defense, that returns eight starters and should be among the best in the MAC. Forget about running on the Akron line with good size and strength against a mediocre ground game.
Who to Watch: Each team is still dealing with quarterback issues. Army's most talented player, at least the one with the most potential, is sophomore Carson Williams, a prototype passer who has yet to find any consistency in practices. Senior David Pevoto is a big, strong passer with more mobility, and he has the experience to potentially bridge the gap until Williams is fully prepared to be the franchise. For Akron, the quarterback battle came down to Carlton Jackson and Chris Jacquemain, with Jacquemain winning the job because the coaching staff felt he'd screw up the least. While he won't bomb away, he won't force throws and won't turn it over.
What Will Happen: Akron's defense and running game will be too much for Army to handle. The Black Knight offense won't be consistent enough to crank out enough big drives after the Zips get up early.
CFN Prediction: Akron 27 ... Army 14
... Line: Akron -5
Must See Rating: (5 Hef wants you to take his place on The Girls Next Door, but you can’t because you have to watch this game - 1 Cavemen) ... 1.5
Final Score: 
 

Central Michigan at Kansas   7:00 PM
Why to Watch: The last time Kansas played a MAC team, it got tagged in a stunning double-overtime loss to Toledo. Now the Jayhawks have an even tougher task against the defending MAC champion with enough talent to not only repeat, but to give KU a nightmare of an opener. CMU new head coach Butch Jones has a loaded team with 14 starters back including the league's best group of skill players. If Kansas can get by the opener, and doesn't get tripped up again by Toledo, it'll almost certainly be 4-0 going into the Big 12 opener at Kansas State. CMU has to face Toledo next week, while anything less than a great performance this week will be a big disappointment for the MAC, as well as the Chippewas.
Why Central Michigan Might Win: Is the KU pass defense going to be any better? The Jayhawks allowed way too many yards and only gets a few starters back in the back seven. CMU has the receivers to test out 2006's worst pass defense from the start, while the speedy running combination of Ontario Sneed and Justin Hoskins should be effective. Basically, QB Dan LeFevour and the boys should make this a shootout.
Why Kansas Might Win: Central Michigan's defense wasn't anything special last year, and even though it'll be decent at times throughout this year, it'll bend and bend and bend some more. If the KU offense can click right away, which isn't a given considering all the turmoil in the depth chart up until this week, it should be able to put up points and yards in bunches. Defensively, the small, quick KU linebacking corps should be able to generate decent pressure into the CMU backfield.
Who to Watch: Is the KU backfield finally settled? The much-publicized quarterback battle between Todd Reesing and Kerry Meier was won by Reesing, but head coach Mark Mangino has never been afraid to switch around his quarterbacks if the results aren't there. Meier has all the skills, but has been mistake-prone throughout his career. Reesing isn't big, but he can run and has a decent arm. Also getting a starting nod will be sophomore Jake Sharp as the team's tailback. He's a speedster who could potentially crank out home runs, but the power will come from Brandon McAnderson, the starting fullback who was also in the hunt for the starting tailback job.
What Will Happen: Don't expect much in the way of defense. Central Michigan will get just enough from its veteran D, especially up the middle with a big game from the tackles, to pull off the upset. Expect plenty of fireworks, lots of home runs, and momentum swing after momentum swing. This might be a case of the last team with the ball getting the win.
CFN Prediction: Central Michigan 34 ... Kansas 31
... Line: Kansas -7.5
Must See Rating: (5 Hef wants you to take his place on The Girls Next Door, but you can’t because you have to watch this game - 1 Cavemen) ... 3
Final Score: 
 

Purdue at Toledo 7:00 PM
ESPNU
Why to Watch: This is a dangerous game for the Big Ten. Purdue won't be looking ahead to Eastern Illinois, but it might not be taking Toledo completely seriously despite losing the final two games of last year in a slightly disappointing season. The Rockets know all about disappointment after finishing 5-7 in what should've been a MAC title contending season. Toledo is a lot better this year and has a shot against a big name its house for the first time since last year when it came up with a double-overtime win over Kansas in the Glass Bowl. Now the Rockets hope they can keep up in a shootout to start the season off with a confidence-builder before next week's showdown against defending MAC champion Central Michigan. Purdue needs all the early wins it can get with a tough midseason stretch starting at the end of September.
Why Purdue Might Win: If the Toledo corners aren't night-and-day better than last year, this could be really, really ugly. The safeties are tremendous, but the Rockets need plays from the outside after the corners came out of 2006 without an interception. Purdue's receiving corps might be the best in America, at least it's among the deepest, and it should be able to come up with plenty of big plays if the Rocket defensive front doesn't generate any pressure.
Why Toledo Might Win:  Toledo might have concerns at corner, and the defense might not be a brick wall, but Purdue's defense has been MIA for years. The run defense has been shoved around by anyone who tried to run the ball, and the Toledo offensive line, led by All-American John Greco, is good enough to control the line of scrimmage from the opening snap. The Rocket receiving corps has been a disappointment, but it has the size and potential to light up the Purdue secondary if it's not far better than last year.
Who to Watch: And the Toledo starting quarterback is ... ? Actually, sophomore Aaron Opelt is the likely number one, with junior Clint Cochran No. 1A. Opelt has all the talent to run the Toledo spread offense the way it's supposed to, with a great combination of passing and running skills. As good as he was as a freshman, he didn't lead the offense to enough big drives. Cochran is a good passer who has to stay healthy. Each will likely see time early on this year. Trying to stop the Rocket passing game is a Purdue secondary that gets all four starters back, but needs to be far, far tighter. Corner Terrell Vinson has to make a few big plays early on to cut off one side of the field for the Rocket quarterbacks.
What Will Happen: Lots of yards, lots of points, and lots and lots of big plays. This should be a wild shootout with several momentum swings. Purdue will have more offense and will get a good game from QB Curtis Painter on the way to a hard fought, exciting win, but Toledo will have its chances to pull off the upset.
CFN Prediction: Purdue 38 ... Toledo 30
... Line: Purdue -7
Must See Rating: (5 Hef wants you to take his place on The Girls Next Door, but you can’t because you have to watch this game - 1 Cavemen) ... 3
Final Score: 
 

Bowling Green at Minnesota  8:00 PM
Big Ten Network
Why to Watch: No one's quite sure what to make of new Minnesota head coach Tim Brewster, but if nothing else, he'll sure make things interesting. A true rah-rah type of college coach, he's all energy and all fire, but he's also not allowing his team to be anything less than great right off the bat. This begins a two-game series against the MAC for the Gophers, with Miami University coming up next week, and along with a date against Florida Atlantic, they must sharpen up in a hurry to take advantage of a relatively easy start to the Big Ten season. Bowling Green, who's also breaking in several new coaches, gave Wisconsin all it could handle in last year's season opener, and with an improved team and good options on offense, it could pull off the upset with the right breaks.
Why Bowling Green Might Win: BGSU is one of the few teams that should be able to run with the Gophers. With a great backfield trio of Eric Ransom, Chris Bullock and Dan Macon, the Falcons could control the tempo against a decent, but not sensational, Gopher defensive front. After the way Minnesota blew the Insight Bowl against Texas Tech, all the pressure will be on the Maroon and Gold side to win and win big. The longer this stays close, the tighter the collar will get.
Why Minnesota Might Win: Bowling Green has a quick, athletic defensive front that'll emphasize making big plays, but it's not all that big and could get pushed around by the better offensive lines. This might not be the Gopher front five of recent years, but it's more than good enough get the spread offense working with enough athleticism and quickness to open some big holes for the shifty running backs. While there might not be a lot of pounding, the ground game will be more effective than Bowling Green's.
Who to Watch: Each team is still trying to figure out its quarterback situation. Anthony Turner was Bowling Green's main man last year and appeared to be the main man going into spring ball but Tyler Sheehan was a little bit better and now appears to have an inside line on the job. Sheehan is a big passer who should get the Falcon air attack going again, while Turner is more mobile. For Minnesota, it's whoever runs the spread better. Junior Tony Mortensen has a wee bit more experience and is getting every chance to start, but the more mobile redshirt freshman Adam Weber appears to be the favorite for the most playing time early on, and the better fit, after mostly practicing with the first team this summer. While both Bowling Green quarterbacks might play, Brewster has stated that whoever's the starter will be the starter without changing things around.
What Will Happen: It might not be a pretty game, and if you're into big passing numbers this won't be for you. Minnesota's offensive line will be the difference, but Bowling Green is good enough to make this a fight for three quarters.
CFN Prediction: Minnesota 31 ... Bowling Green 14
... Line: Minnesota -16.5
Must See Rating: (5 Hef wants you to take his place on The Girls Next Door, but you can’t because you have to watch this game - 1 Cavemen) ... 2
Final Score: 
 
 

MAC Week One Fearless Predictions

  

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