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ACC Fearless Predictions, Sept. 8, Part 2

CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Sep 6, 2007

Previews and Predictions for the Week 2 ACC Games, Part 2



ACC
Atlantic
Boston Coll | ClemsonFlorida St | Maryland | NC State | Wake Forest

Coastal
Duke | Georgia Tech | Miami | North Carolina | Virginia | Virginia Tech

ACC Fearless Predictions Sept. 1Sept. 15
Sept. 22 | Sept. 29 
Oct. 6Oct. 13 | Oct. 20Oct. 27 | Nov. 3Nov. 10 | Nov. 17Nov. 24Dec. 1

ACC Fearless Predictions, Week Two, Part 1
 

ACC Saturday, September 8

Samford (1-0) at Georgia Tech (1-0) 1:30 PM ESPNU
Why to Watch: Hey, if Appalachian State can bump off Michigan, then maybe Samford can do in the Yellow Jackets. Yeah, we’ll hear that for the rest of the year every time an FCS team lines up against one of the big boys, but that’s about the only reason why this thing might be competitive. That, and to see the stats Georgia Tech can pile up after destroying Notre Dame 33-3 last week. Tech running back Tashard Choice has a streak of eight consecutive 100-yard rushing days and figures to get a bunch of carries early on against a porous Samford run defense.
Why Samford Might Win: First-year Samford coach Pat Sullivan was the boss at TCU and has extensive I-A assistant experience, so he at least understands what must go into an upset of this magnitude. Beyond that, it’s going to fall on the balanced Bulldog offense, which produced 380 yards in its 23-21 opening-game win over West Alabama. Freshman running back Alex Barnett had 80 yards on the ground and looked solid, while senior QB Jefferson Adcock threw for 240 yards and two scores, despite completing only 16-of-38 passes.
Why Georgia Tech Might Win: Even though the GT passing attack sputtered some in the win over Notre Dame, and will be without top receiver James Johnson with a knee and back problem, the Jackets have plenty on the ground. He gained 196 yards on just 26 carries against the Irish and should feast on a Samford front seven that allowed 260 yards rushing in its opener. On the other side of the ball, a defense that collected nine sacks and held ND to minus-8 yards rushing should be able to throttle Samford and keep the Bulldogs off the scoreboard for much of the game.
Who to Watch: Choice has been on fire of late, but he likely won’t get too much work with Boston College coming up next week. This will be a game for QB Taylor Bennett. While the new starter isn’t going to throw the ball 50 times, Tech won’t want to rub it in; he has to fine-tune his arm after missing several open receivers last week. If he had been on, against the Irish, the Yellow Jackets would’ve hung 50 on the board. Basically, he has to tune up for BC.
What Will Happen: Unless Tech is still basking in the glow of humiliating the Fighting Irish, it should come out and tear through Samford from the start. Sullivan had a nice season-opening win, but this is quite a step up in class from West Alabama, and his Bulldogs will feel it. Expect to see Choice getting plenty of work, but don’t be surprised if Bennett goes downfield, should Samford sell out to stop the run. Adcock had success last week, but the aggressive, experienced GT defense will harass him most of the day.

CFN Prediction: Georgia Tech 45 ... Samford 6
... Line:  No Line
Must See Rating: (5 Mad Men - 1 Chelsea Lately) ... 1
Final Score: 
 

Maryland (1-0) at Florida International (0-1) 7:00 PM
Why to Watch: The Terps were impressive in their victory over Villanova last week, but that was Villanova. At least FIU is an FBS team … but barely. Bombed last week by Penn State 59-0, it’s going to take a while for the program to be competitive against any decent team, as it still tries to come back from 2006’s disaster. For Maryland, the continued development of QB Jordan Steffy is the key this week. The junior beat out Josh Portis in the summer and had a solid start against the Wildcats. He had better be good, because Portis is gone for the year thanks to an “academic issue.” FIU, meanwhile, is trying to take a stride or two under new coach Mario Cristobal, and the Terps are a little less formidable than Penn State.
Why Maryland Might Win: The Terps beat up on an FCS team, but there were some signs of progress which should carry over. Steffy was 19-of-24 for 174 yards and showed good mobility with 47 yards, and he should use his running ability to keep the FIU defense on its heels. Keon Lattimore ran for 106 yards and three scores. That balanced attack should be enough to overcome an FIU team that surrendered 549 total yards to PSU. If that isn’t enough, the revamped Maryland defensive front tallied four sacks, which is noteworthy considering the Terps managed just 20 all last year. Look out for Dre Moore and Carlos Feliciano, the starting tackles, to create some havoc.
Why Florida International Might Win: The Panthers hope their new spread attack will put enough pressure on the Terps to create some big plays. Trouble is, redshirt freshman quarterback Wayne Younger struggled last week, completing 12-of-25 passes for 117 yards and couldn’t get the offense moving. Then again, it was Penn State. In Happy Valley. FIU averaged just 9.6 points per game last year, so Cristobal is trying to open things up and will take plenty of chances. Maryland isn’t likely to take this game too seriously and could come out with a rocky, unfocused start.
Who to Watch: When Steffy was carted off the Bryd Stadium field last Saturday, Terp fans no doubt figured the season was over. After all, Portis was gone, and there was Steffy, unable to walk. The good news was that he had a cramp and was able to return. The better news was that he had an efficient game, showed the ability to run and pass and has one more game to get comfortable before West Virginia shows up on the schedule. Steffy isn’t a dynamo, but he has waited his turn and has the potential to be a strong leader. He also has the benefit of Lattimore and some solid targets to work with.
What Will Happen: It may take Maryland a little while to get going offensively, since Steffy is starting his first road tilt, but the Terps should be flexing their muscles by halftime. Look for Lattimore to get a lot of work early on, with Steffy moving to the forefront in selected situations. Maryland coach Ralph Friedgen isn’t going to show too much before WVU and the start of the conference season, so don’t expect a whitewash. But FIU is outclassed here and can only hope to keep this from being a laugher.
CFN Prediction: Maryland 35 ... FIU 9
... Line:  Maryland -25
Must See Rating: (5 Mad Men - 1 Chelsea Lately) ... 1.5
Final Score: 
 

Nebraska (1-0) at Wake Forest (0-1) 12:00 PM ESPN
Why to Watch: It’s news enough that the Cornhuskers are coming to little Groves Stadium to take on the Deacons, but this one has gone from a Nebraska layup when the contract was signed a couple years ago to an intriguing intersectional matchup after Wake Forest stunned the world with an ACC title, and looked awfully good in a 38-28 loss to Boston College last week. Nebraska has been pointing toward this season for a while and hopes to return to preeminence now that coach Bill Callahan has had three years to put his system into place. Meanwhile, the Deacons will try to rebound from last week’s tough loss, and will look to avoid a three-game losing streak without quarterback Riley Skinner (separated shoulder).
Why Nebraska Might Win: The I backs weren’t dashing across the plains as in days of old, but any time you pile up 413 yards rushing, you’re doing something right. Give credit to tailback Marlon Lucky (233 yards), but more hosannas should ring down on the Nebraska offensive line, which is leaner and faster this season after years of not being up to Husker snuff. The front five paved the way for 625 yards of total offense in the rout of Nevada. And while new starter (and Arizona State transfer) Sam Keller was average in his debut (14-of-25, 193 yards), he’ll face a Wake defense that surrendered 408 yards and five scores to BC’s Matt Ryan. Meanwhile, the Nebraska front seven will face a Wake ground attack that produced a mere four yards last week. If the Huskers don’t make mega-mistakes, they’ll win.
Why Wake Forest Might Win: Could the Huskers be looking ahead to USC? Their heads might be back in Lincoln worrying about next weekend's epic clash with the nation's best team. This week, t Deacons will likely be without Skinner, but redshirt freshman Brett Hodges showed a good command of the offense under tough circumstances. If the short passing game crackling, the Cornhusker secondary may find itself in one-on-one matchups that it might not win; the Wake receivers are better than given credit for. Defensively, the Deacons must force Nebraska into passing by crowding the box and forcing Keller to make plays. Possibly a bit rusty still, Keller is more likely to make mistakes than the Husker running backs will.
Whom to Watch: Hodges has a bit of an advantage heading into this game since Nebraska won’t have a lot of film on him, as they would have had on Skinner. That said, coming into a relief situation is one thing; starting against a nationally-ranked club is quite another. Hodges needs to trust the system, be precise with his throws and get rid of the ball quickly. If he does that, Wake will have a chance. If not, it could get uglier than a Phyllis Diller marathon.
What Will Happen: Wake’s home field energy will keep it close for a while, but in the end, Nebraska will wear down the lighter, thinner Deacons.
CFN Prediction: Nebraska 31 ... Wake Forest 20 ... Line: Nebraska -7.5
Must See Rating: (5 Mad Men - 1 Chelsea Lately) ... 4
Final Score: 
 

Miami (1-0) at Oklahoma (1-0) 12:00 PM ABC
Why to Watch: This would have been an absolute screamer about three years ago, and this was a stop-the-world type of game in the mid-to-late 1980s, but Miami’s recent slide takes some of the luster off. Who cares? It’s MIAMI vs. OKLAHOMA. There are still two monster programs that can still play a little, and will want to use this as a springboard to a potentially huge season. It’s a great opportunity for the ‘Canes to show whether things are already different under new coach Randy Shannon, or whether there the long road back to the elite ranks will take a while longer. As for Oklahoma, the Sooners must prove their offense can continue to click, after a 79-10 romp over helpless North Texas last week. Can OU QB Sam Bradford and RB DeMarco Murray really be that good? This could be their national coming out party.
Why Miami Might Win: The Hurricane defense played like its typical national title-caliber self in the 31-3 season-opening win over Marshall, piling up six sacks and picking off four passes. Two of the steals set up short-field situations for the Miami offense, masking yet another mediocre day from the other side of the ball. The Hurricane ground attack should pose problems for the Sooners, who have six new starters among their front seven and weren’t exactly tested by North Texas. The dynamic duo of powerful Javarris James and sleek Graig Cooper gives Miami an opportunity to control the game and keep the explosive OU offense off the field.
Why Oklahoma Might Win: Sure, the Hurricanes can run the ball, but QB Kirby Freeman completed just 9-of-21 passes for 81 yards against Marshall and failed to inspire and sort of confidence in the downfield passing game. Even if suspended wideout Sam Shields is back, the Sooners should be able to push up close to the line and dare Miami to pass, provided they account for Lance Leggett, the ‘Canes’ only breakaway threat. That’s not a problem, considering OU has one of the nation’s five best secondaries, if it’s not the best overall. As for that formidable Miami front four, particularly DE Calais Campbell, who had an interception last week, they’ll be facing Oklahoma’s stout offensive line that, like the secondary, is in the discussion among the nation’s best.
Who to Watch: Even though Bradford comes into the game with gaudier stats, completing 21 of 23 passes for 363 yards and three touchdowns, don’t throw dirt on Freeman quite yet; he might be able to thrive in a big game like this. The Hurricanes had several dropped passes against Marshall, and Shields’ absence meant the Thundering Herd was able to focus on Leggett and not let him loose, particularly on the many short slants and screens thrown his way. With Shields back and the many youngsters who were baptized against Marshall a little more comfortable, Freeman could well be more successful. Don’t expect 300 yards, but look for more success than he had last week. For OU, all eyes will be on Murray, who ran for five touchdowns against UNT. Certain to be a marked man, it might be time to ramp up the Heisman talk if he comes up with another big game. He’s that good.
What Will Happen: The Hurricanes are on the right path under Shannon’s tougher ways, but winning in Norman against a more talented Oklahoma team is asking too much. OU is at another level right now that Miami will get back to soon enough.
CFN Prediction: Oklahoma 24 ... Miami 13... Line: Oklahoma -10
Must See Rating: (5 Mad Men - 1 Chelsea Lately) ... 4.5
Final Score: 
 

North Carolina (1-0) at East Carolina (0-1)   6:00 PM CSTV
Why to watch: The Butch Davis era in Chapel Hill got off to a nice start with a shipshape 37-14 defeat of James Madison.  That’s called progress for a program that labored to beat I-AA Furman and William & Mary in recent years, and hasn’t had a winning season since 2001.  With Davis has come a new energy and a slew of talented underclassmen that dot the Tar Heel two-deep.  Chief among those fresh faces is redshirt freshman QB T.J. Yates, who debuted by going 13-of-18 for 218 yards, three touchdowns and a pick.  If North Carolina can keep rolling against East Carolina, enthusiasm for the football team will reach its highest point since Mack Brown was on the sidelines a decade ago.  The Pirates stepped into an impossible situation in Blacksburg last Saturday, and handled themselves rather well.  Faced with being the other team as Virginia Tech, and much of the nation, honored its slain students, ECU came close to pulling off a Herculean upset.  Once the non-conference portion of the schedule ends, the Pirates are good enough to win Conference USA and represent the league in the Liberty Bowl.  
Why North Carolina might win: East Carolina lacks the playmakers on offense to take advantage of a Tar Heel defense that’s very green in the secondary and about to replace one its few veterans, injured LB Chase Rice, with true freshman Bruce Carter.  The fact that the Pirates managed only 261 yards and one score last week was not just because the Hokies were the opponent.  QB Patrick Pinkney wouldn’t be getting his first career start if Rob Kass hadn’t been arrested for a DUI, and the Pirate receivers are a pedestrian bunch.   
Why East Carolina might win: The Pirate defensive line vs. the Tar Heel offensive line shapes up as a potential mismatch that’ll force Yates into mistakes in the first road game of his career.  While ECU was clamping down on a very good Hokie running game last weekend, North Carolina was struggling at the point of attack to create space against James Madison.  Things don’t get any easier for the Tar Heel blockers in this week’s trip to Greenville.       
Who to watch: Lightly recruited out of high school, LB Quentin Cotton has emerged in two seasons as a real find for Skip Holtz’s defense.  A sure tackler from the weakside, he was everywhere in the loss to Tech, making 14 tackles and two tackles for loss, and forcing a fumble.  With the Tar Heels likely to play it conservative Saturday, No. 50 will be around the ball a lot again this week.   
What will happen: While North Carolina is clearly heading north, it’ll struggle to move the chains this week against a physical, well-coached East Carolina defense.  The Pirates will get a couple of big plays on offense from mercurial RB Chris Johnson to make it close, but there won't be enough offense to win.           

CFN Prediction:
North Carolina 20 ... East Carolina 13... Line: East Carolina -7
Must See Rating: (5 Mad Men - 1 Chelsea Lately) ... 2.5
Final Score: 
        

ACC Fearless Predictions, Week Two, Part 1


  

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