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Big East Fearless Predictions, Sept 8, Part 2

CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Sep 6, 2007

Previews and Predictions for the Week 2 Big East Games, Part 2


Big East 
Cincinnati | Connecticut | Louisville | Pittsburgh | Rutgers
South Florida | Syracuse | West Virginia


Big East Fearless Predictions Sept. 1Sept. 15Sept. 22 | Sept. 29 
Oct. 6Oct. 13 | Oct. 20Oct. 27 | Nov. 3Nov. 10 | Nov. 17Nov. 24Dec. 1

How are the picks so far? SU: 7-1 ... ATS: 3-2

Big East Fearless Predictions, Week Two, Part 1
 

Big East Saturday, September 8

West Virginia (1-0) at Marshall (0-1) 11:10 AM ESPN
Why to watch: For the first time in almost a century, West Virginia travels to Huntington to face Marshall in the second annual Coal Bowl.  A genuine feeling of hatred exists between these two schools, but until the Herd can close the widening gap on the Mountaineers, the game will only have regional appeal.  West Virginia got off to a fast start in the opener, torching a better Western Michigan team than the 62-24 score would indicate.  As has been the case for the past two seasons, the catalysts were QB Patrick White and RB Steve Slaton, who had their hands in seven touchdowns and enough highlight reel plays to get the Heisman talk rolling.  The Mountaineers remain No. 3 in the country, waiting for either USC or LSU to create an opening in the top two, but they’ll need to keep winning impressively.  If Marshall is about to inch closer to its glory days, you wouldn’t know it from the opener, a listless, mistake-filled loss at Miami.  With Ahmad Bradshaw in the NFL and Albert McClellan injured, last year’s offensive and defensive stars, respectively, are no longer in Huntington.  If the Herd wants to get back on the map for something other than a Hollywood flick, shocking a heavily-favored rival would be a great place to start.
Why West Virginia might win: As long as White and Slaton are healthy, no one is stopping this offense, so the way to beat the Mountaineers is to outrace them in a track meet.  Unfortunately for Marshall, it just doesn’t have the pieces on offense to stay close in a high scoring game.  The Herd managed just 234 yards and three points in the Orange Bowl, and QB Bernard Morris showed no signs of snapping out of his career-long funk. However …
Why Marshall might win: Western Michigan actually shutdown the WVU ground game for a quarter. The plan actually worked, to a point, until White showed off his passing accuracy. If you’re going to pick your poison, you’ll take White throwing the ball over running it. The main Achilles ’ heel remains a defense that allows a lot of big plays and is susceptible through the air.  Morris needs to have the game of his life, using his scrambling ability to avoid the rush and his big arm to find TE Cody Slate and an improving cast of young receivers.  The Herd should be able to move the ball, but none of that will matter if they can’t protect it.  Don’t discount the impact of a juiced home crowd that’s been waiting years for a visit from West Virginia.
Who to watch: Is anyone in the state of West Virginia happier these days than Mountaineer S Ryan Mundy?  Now a key member of the Mountie secondary, he transferred from 0-1 Michigan during the off-season.  The interior war between Marshall C Doug Legursky and West Virginia NG Keilen Dykes, two future pros, is an entertaining change-of-pace from all the burners that’ll be in Edwards Stadium.
What will happen: Spurred on by a geeked student section, Marshall will hang around for 15 or 20 minutes.  And then White, Slaton or WR Darius Reynaud will snap off a 60-yard run that quiets the crowd.  While emotion will carry the Herd for a while, its offense will be unable to get it to the finish line.
   
CFN Prediction:
West Virginia 41 ... Marshall 14 ... Line:  West Virginia -21
Must See Rating: (5 Mad Men - 1 Chelsea Lately) ... 2.5
Final Score: 
                                               

Grambling (1-0) at Pitt (1-0) 12:00 PM  
Why to watch: The good news for Pitt? It used Eastern Michigan as a tune-up and a matter-of-fact opening day win.  The bad news?  The victory cost the Panthers their quarterback, junior Bill Stull, who’s out for an indefinite period of time after injuring the thumb on his throwing hand.  While not irreplaceable, he was the clear winner to replace Tyler Palko for a reason, and both of his backups are freshmen.  Stull’s replacement will be either Kevan Smith or Pat Bostick, a mega-recruit from this year’s class.  Now more than ever, the Panthers need to dominate at the line of scrimmage, and establish a consistent running game.  The only good news surrounding the quarterback quandary is that Pitt’s next game will be against I-AA Grambling, and not some nasty Big East opponent.  The high-powered Tigers opened with a rout of Alcorn State, getting 303 yards and four touchdowns from Brandon Landers, the SWAC’s premier quarterback.
Why Grambling State might win: The Panther D better come ready to play for 60 minutes because Grambling is not your typical I-AA offense.  With Landers spreading the ball around to a bunch of slippery veteran wideouts, and freshman Frank Warren providing some pop in the running game, the Tigers will move the ball on a Pitt defense that’s still adjusting to life without LB H.B. Blades and CB Darrelle Revis.
Why Pittsburgh might win: If Dave Wannstedt is determined to run the ball with more conviction this Saturday, he and the Panthers have an ideal opponent to get it done.  While Grambling isn’t horrible against the run, it lacks the presence and skill to get penetration against the likes of Jeff Otah and Joe Thomas.  Unlike a week ago, the holes will be wider for RBs LeSean McCoy and LaRod Stephens-Howling, which is comforting news for the new starter behind center.
Who to watch: Mike McGlynn is a pro prospect and Pitt’s best blocker, but off-season shoulder surgery has limited his availability this year.  Now close to 100%, he’s expected to get more 30-35 reps Saturday afternoon, and could be used at either tackle, guard or center.  A healthy McGlynn would do wonders for the anemic Panther running game.
What will happen: With all eyes fixated on the freshman quarterback, Pitt’s freshman back, McCoy, will steal the spotlight and answer Wanny’s call for a better ground game.  A trip to East Lansing is next for the Panthers, so expect the intensity to last long into the second half.
CFN Prediction: Pitt 34 ... Grambling 14 ... Line:  No Line
Must See Rating: (5 Mad Men - 1 Chelsea Lately) ... 1
Final Score: 
                                                       

Maine
(1-0) at Connecticut (1-0) 7:00 PM GamePlan
Why to watch: Who cares that last week’s opponent came into the game riding a 20-game losing streak?  Needing a fast start in the worst way, Connecticut got it at the expense of beleaguered Duke, 45-14.  The Huskies bagged a momentum-building win, but also found a promising quarterback to build around for the next two seasons.  Tyler Lorenzen was a revelation in his first game out of junior college, going 22-of-30 for 298 yards and two touchdowns, while adding 56 yards on the ground.  If the 6-5 junior can continue making strides, his presence along with the running of Donald Brown will give UConn its most dynamic offense since Dan Orlovsky graduated.  The Huskies will try to get to 2-0 against Maine, a familiar foe from their days together in the Yankee and Atlantic 10 conferences.  Picked by league coaches to finish third in the new Colonial Athletic Association, the Black Bears opened 2007 with a 21-14 win over Monmouth, and would really benefit from upsetting a rival for regional recruits.
Why Maine might win: The Huskies’ woes in run defense could get exposed by a Black Bear offense that welcomes back four starters along the line, including all-league LT Shawn Demaray, and a ground game that produced a pair of 100-yard rushers last weekend.  On defense, Maine allowed just 61 yards on the ground to Monmouth, and will press the line to stop Brown.
Why Connecticut might win: Don’t look now, but for the first time in years, the Huskies appear capable of beating defenses in more than just one way.  The potential for balance exists now that Lorenzen can keep the opposition from ganging up on Brown at the line of scrimmage.  Although Maine is a disciplined and well-coached group, it simply doesn’t have the size or athleticism to stop a unit that’s confident and on the verge of getting crisper.
Who to watch: One of Lorenzen’s favorite targets is none other than D.J. Hernandez, one of a number of failed quarterbacks in Storrs, who’s making a successful switch to wide receiver.  A decent athlete and a big, physical, he had two catches for 69 yards and a touchdown, and another 43-yard pick-up negated by a penalty.  With further development, Hernandez will be a solid complement to No. 1 receiver Terrence Jeffers.
What will happen: No stranger to I-A foes, Maine won’t cower in front of a large crowd or a Big East opponent.  The Black Bears will, however, succumb to a UConn ground attack that’ll produce 200 yards, most on the strong legs of Brown.

CFN Prediction:
Connecticut 31 ... Maine 10 ... Line:  No Line
Must See Rating: (5 Mad Men - 1 Chelsea Lately) ... 1
Final Score: 
                                               

Syracuse (0-1) at Iowa (1-0)  8:05 PM Big Ten Network
Why to watch: A win’s a win, but Iowa came out of last week’s 16-3 victory over Northern Illinois with questions on offense and a goal to cut down on mistakes and unforced errors.  Sophomore QB Jake Christensen was only 12-of-29 for 133 yards with a touchdown in his debut as the full-timer, but it wasn’t all his fault.  The Hawkeye receiving corps, thinned by suspensions to Dominique Douglas and Anthony Bowman, dropped a bunch of passes that should have been caught.  Until the passing game sharpens, Iowa will lean heavily on a veteran defense and a running game that produced 250 yards last Saturday.  These days, Syracuse would take any win, no matter how ugly it looks.  Coming off an embarrassing 42-12 home loss to Washington in which nothing went right, the Orange are already staring down the barrel of a third straight losing season.  With a palpable death watch following third-year head coach Greg Robinson, Syracuse will need to quickly exorcise its Week One demons to keep this game competitive.
Why Syracuse might win: One thing the Orange defense can do is generate quarterback pressure and turnovers, which will cause problems for the unproven Christensen and a young Hawkeye offensive line.  With few concerns about the passing game, Syracuse can throw eight men into the box in order slow down the steady Iowa ground attack. Unlike last week when it had problems with Washington QB Jake Locker’s mobility, SU’s defense won’t have to watch for Christensen taking off too often, if at all.
Why Iowa might win: No matter how many defenders wind up near the line, the Hawkeyes are going to churn out plenty of yardage with the productive senior tandem of Albert Young and Damian Sims, who both went for 100 yards a week ago.  Allowing more than 300 rushing yards to Washington showed just how far the Orange D has to go, and Iowa should be able to take full advantage.  Orange QB Andrew Robinson has a bright future, but a road trip to Iowa City to face a feisty Hawkeye defense is a recipe for turnovers. He’ll be under even more pressure than he was against the Huskies.
Who to watch: The entire Iowa defensive line, particularly tackle Mitch King and end Kenny Iwebema, will have a field day against a brutal Syracuse offensive line that allowed seven sacks to Washington last Friday night.  King is a whistle-to-whistle battler, who’d warrant double teams if the rest of the Hawkeye line wasn’t so capable. Robinson had a relatively nice day throwing the ball, completing 20 of 32 passes for 199 yards and a score, but he’ll need to make better, faster decisions for SU to have a shot.
What will happen: Unlike last year in the 20-13 win in the Carrier Dome, Iowa won’t need an all-timer of a goal line stand. Behind the running of Young and Sims, and the play of the defense, Iowa will go wire-to-wire, sending Syracuse fans into a deeper state of despair.  The Hawkeyes will dominate on the interior, and only lose a shutout when the reserves enter the game.
CFN Prediction: Iowa 31 ... Syracuse 7... Line:  Iowa -22
Must See Rating: (5 Mad Men - 1 Chelsea Lately) ... 2
Final Score: 


Big East Fearless Predictions, Week Two, Part 1
 

 

 
 

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