WAC Fearless Predictions, Sept. 15, Part 2

CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Sep 13, 2007


Previews and Predictions for the Week 3 WAC Games, Part 2


WAC  
Boise State | Fresno State | Hawaii | Idaho | Louisiana Tech
Nevada | New Mexico St | San Jose State | Utah State


WAC Fearless Predictions Sept. 1Sept. 8 | Sept. 22 | Sept. 29 
 Oct. 6Oct. 13 | Oct. 20Oct. 27 | Nov. 3Nov. 10 | Nov. 17Nov. 24Dec. 1   

How are the picks so far? SU: 16-1 ... ATS: 6-4-1

WAC Week Three Fearless Predictions, Part 1

WAC Saturday, Sept. 15

Nicholls State (2-0) at Nevada (0-2)  9:05 PM GamePlan
Why to Watch: Okay, so the first-ever meeting between an FCS power and a member of the WAC isn’t exactly going to light up the TV ratings books, but considering the Colonels knocked off Rice in the season opener, and with Nevada reeling after an 0-2 start, this could have a little bit of drama. Nicholls is a perennial factor in the Southland Conference and a regular on the I-AA playoff circuit, so it has some chops. As for Nevada, it is searching for something to start up its season, after getting blown out by Nebraska on Sept. 1 and dropping a heartbreaking last-minute loss to Northwestern last Saturday. Don’t look for this one on the national front pages, but it has the potential to be entertaining, if only because the Pack piles up the yards and gives them away, and Nicholls won’t be intimidated by the step up in competition.
Why Nicholls State Might Win: In its two triumphs (Nicholls also beat Southern Arkansas), NSU has proven to be quite strong defensively, surrendering just 223.5 total yards a game and especially penurious against the pass (81 ypg). That’s quite an early performance, especially since one of the wins came over an FCS team. Nicholls is going to rely heavily on fullback Broderick Cole on offense and hope that QB Vin Montgomery (11-22, 248 yards, one TD) can be as productive as he was against Southern Arkansas, rather than against Rice (3-of-7, 86 yards).
Why Nevada Might Win
: Nevada looked much better against Northwestern than it did in the rout against Nebraska, hanging in until the last minute before fading. QB Nick Graziano isn’t the most accurate passer (50.8%), but he was solid last week and can get the ball downfield if given some time. Running back Luke Lippincott rushed for 140 yards against Northwestern and is a fine complement to Graziano. The Wolf Pack D, however, needs to tighten up, after allowing 528 total yards/game in its first two contests. Another reason to like the Pack is NSU’s propensity for laying the ball on the ground. Nicholls has fumbled nine times in two games, losing four of them.
Who to Watch: Ladarius Webb had a good sophomore year at Southern Mississippi, making 55 tackles and breaking up five passes before transferring to Nicholls State where he made quite a first impression. In the win over Rice, Webb picked off three passes and returned one for a touchdown, keying the upset. For the year, the 5-11, 205-pound safety has seven tackles, one pass defended and the three picks.
What Will Happen: Last week’s near-miss against Northwestern is a more accurate indication of Nevada’s talent than the loss to Nebraska. The Pack gets its first win with a solid offensive attack.
CFN Prediction: Nevada 34 … Nicholls State 14 ... Line: No Line
Must See Rating: (5 Britney at the VMAs - 1 Big Shots) ... 1


Hawaii (2-0) at UNLV (1-1)
  9:30 PM
Why to Watch: There is always something to see when the Warriors crank it up, and last week proved it. Despite being favored by four touchdowns, Hawaii needed a late surge to gain a come-from-behind win over host Louisiana Tech, casting major doubt over whether or not this top 25 team could really play with the better teams away from Aloha Stadium. After camping out in Houston this week, Hawaii heads to Vegas for its second straight mainland game, with a chance to prove that this isn’t some gimmick team that needs teams to make the long journey. If Hawaii is legitimate, it wins this game in a walk. Hawaii is trying to keep alive its BCS bowl hopes, while UNLV is trying to rebound after last week’s 20-13 heartbreaking late loss against Wisconsin. The program is still searching for a signature win in the Mike Sanford era, and this would be it.
Why Hawaii Might Win: If Colt Brennan has a little bit of time and some blood flowing in his arm, the Warriors have a shot to hang 50 on a quick, but mediocre UNLV secondary that played over its head against the Badgers. In just two games, Brennan has thrown for 964 yards and completed a ridiculous 76.2% of his passes with ten touchdown throws and one interception. His passing rating of 187.1 is ridiculous, as are his 9.54 yards/attempt. Simply put, he is the Hawaii offense, and he has five receivers with double-figure catch totals already. Yes, the Warriors are going to give up some yards and points, as they did last Saturday against Louisiana Tech, but in the end, Brennan is likely going to outscore ‘em all. UNLV doesn’t have the firepower to keep up the pace.
Why UNLV Might Win: Maybe those cheese-fed Wisconsin boys were dazzled by the Strip, but they needed a late TD to get out with a win. The Rebels are playing solid defense, allowing just 291 yards a game, and just 137.5 through the air. Granted, they haven’t seen anything like Hawaii yet, but the defense, as a whole has improved. The Rebel spread attack has gotten a jolt of energy from redshirt freshman Travis Dixon, who has shown himself capable of throwing and running well – just not in the same game. If he puts it together, UNLV should be able to hang for a while if this gets into a shootout.
Who to Watch: Even though Dixon is just the second freshman to start a season-opener under center for the Rebels, he wasn’t completely unprepared, having taken most of the first-team snaps while Rocky Hinds recovered slower than expected from knee surgery. Dixon ran for 108 yards and two scores in the win over Utah State and completed 23-of-36 passes for 258 yards and a score against Wisconsin. He is a solid 6-1, 190-pounder with good instincts and the ability to get the ball downfield. If he limits the mistakes, the Rebels should score some points against Hawaii.
What Will Happen: A shootout, what else? Hawaii has too many weapons, most notably the man under center, in this one. The long road trip could be a problem, but Brennan is too good to get rusty.
CFN Prediction: Hawaii 48 … UNLV 38... Line: Hawaii -17.5
Must See Rating: (5 Britney at the VMAs - 1 Big Shots) ... 3


Idaho (1-1) at Washington State (1-1)  10:00 PM
Why to watch: Entering its final non-conference game of 2007, Washington State is exactly where it figured to be after losing to Wisconsin in the opener and rebounding with a lopsided win over San Diego State.  Now, the Cougars need to get above .500, the first step toward securing a bowl game for QB Alex Brink, weathered head coach Bill Doba, and the rest of the program.  Brink was brilliant Saturday night, carving up the young Aztecs for 469 yards and five touchdowns, while spreading the ball out to ten different receivers.  The Cougars will be see a familiar face on the opposite side of the field, new Idaho head coach Robb Akey who tutored the Wazzu defense for many years.  His Vandal team held up rather well in the opener, losing 38-10 to USC, and picked up win No. 1 last week at the expense of I-AA, sorry, FCS, Cal-Poly. 
Why Idaho might win: No one knows the Washington State defensive personnel better than Akey, which is a unique advantage for Idaho and its freshman QB Nathan Enderle.  And it doesn’t take a former assistant coach to realize that this year’s Cougars are going to be very vulnerable through the air.  In two games against Tyler Donovan and Kevin O’Connell, they’ve given up 589 yards and four touchdown passes, a concern that isn’t going away anytime soon.
Why Washington State might win: The early indications are that this is going to be a fantastic year for the Cougar offense.  Brink is off to a sizzling start, RB Dwight Tardy provides punch in the running game, and the offensive line has allowed just one sack in two games.  With LB David Vobora and CB Stanley Franks, this is not a horrible Idaho defense, but slowing down a balanced Pac-10 offense will be too an order for this group of Vandals.
Who to watch: With a fast start to 2007, Washington State WR Brandon Gibson is building on last year’s 49-catch sophomore season.  A sure-handed target that’s terrific in traffic, he’s already caught 13 of Brink’s throws for 198 yards and three scores.  The battle between Gibson and Franks will be Saturday’s most intriguing game-within-a-game.
What will happen: With Akey on a different side of the field and the schools separated by just ten miles, this is a really big game for Idaho.  Big enough for the Vandals to record a respectable showing against a Pac-10 team for the second time in three games.  
CFN Prediction: Washington State 38 … Idaho 13 ... Line: Washington State -26 
Must See Rating: (5 Britney at the VMAs - 1 Big Shots) ... 1.5

San Jose State (0-2) at Stanford (0-1)  10:00 PM
Why to Watch: Something’s gotta give. Two winless teams hook up to see who can get off the schneid in a battle for the Bay Area. This is the 62nd meeting between the Bay Area rivals, and it will be interesting to see whether the road team can win for the first time in six years. Stanford didn’t look awful early on in its 45-17 season-opening loss to UCLA, but it faded late. SJSU, meanwhile, competed a little more vehemently in last week’s loss to Kansas State than it did while being dominated, 45-3, by Arizona State the week before. Spartans coach Dick Tomey is looking for continued improvement, while new Cardinal boss Jim Harbaugh wants his first I-A win.
Why San Jose State Might Win: After managing a mere 115 total yards against ASU on Labor Day weekend, the Spartans were more productive (293 total yards) in Manhattan and played with more intensity and fortitude. What that means for this week remains to be seen, but the offense was better. The question is whether the shoulder injury suffered by QB Adam Tafralis will be healed sufficiently for action this week. He said he’ll be fine. Meanwhile, Tomey needs to re-think his strategy of using Tafralis as a wideout after getting hurt catching a pass from Myles Eden. Both QBs will probably see action again this week, and San Jose State should be more productive offensively against a generous Stanford D that surrendered 624 total yards to the Bruins.
Why Stanford Might Win: Cardinal QB T.J. Ostrander looked fine against the Bruins, completing 27-of-59 passes for 331 yards and two scores. Now he must become more efficient, particularly if the Stanford ground attack is going to stall as it did against the Bruins (52 yards). Stanford should be successful, since the Spartans have given up 954 yards of total offense in just two weeks. It could be time for everybody to get healthy after time off to lick the wounds from the Bruin loss. Don’t expect SJSU to grind it out after managing just 113 rushing yards all year. That’s good news, because Stanford surrendered a career-high 195 yards on the ground to UCLA’s Kahlil Bell.
Who to Watch: Stanford sophomore free safety Bo McNally says in his media guide bio that if he had to cook for himself all the time, he would eat nothing but macaroni and cheese. Well, if he keeps playing as he did against UCLA, McNally will be eating steak. He had 15 tackles, including 10 solos, against the Bruins, almost enough to equal his total last season, when he had 21 stops. McNally is a hard hitter who loves contact and also has a nose for the ball. He picked off two passes last year and returned one for a touchdown. Yes, it’s not always a good sign when the free safety is making all the tackles, but at least Stanford can rely on McNally when rivals get through the front seven.
What Will Happen: The Cardinal didn’t look great against UCLA, but it has enough to knock off the Spartans. The home team continues to reign supreme in this rivalry.
CFN Prediction: Stanford 28 … San Jose State 20 ... Line: Northern Illinois -14 
Must See Rating: (5 Britney at the VMAs - 1 Big Shots) ... 2

 

WAC Week Three Fearless Predictions, Part 1
 

 


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