Click Here to Email This Story to a Friend Click Here for a Printer Friendly Version
Scout.com RSS Feeds 
ACC Fearless Predictions, Sept. 22, Part 2

CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Sep 20, 2007

Previews and Predictions for the Week 4 ACC Games, Part 2


ACC
Atlantic Boston Coll | ClemsonFlorida St | Maryland | NC State | Wake Forest
Coastal Duke | Georgia Tech | Miami | North Carolina | Virginia | Virginia Tech

ACC Fearless Predictions Sept. 1
Sept. 8 | Sept. 15Sept. 29 
Oct. 6Oct. 13 | Oct. 20Oct. 27 | Nov. 3Nov. 10 | Nov. 17Nov. 24Dec. 1

How are the picks so far? SU: 24-5 ... ATS: 13-10-1

ACC Week Four Predictions, Part 1
 

ACC Saturday, Sept. 22

Army (1-2) at Boston College (3-0)  1:00 PM ESPN Classic
Why to Watch: The Eagles are on the verge of something special, and if you haven’t caught their act yet, it’s time. 3-0, with all three wins coming against ACC teams, this is quickly becoming the team to be. The offense has been effective and opportunistic, while the defense is among the best and most active in America.  The Army game begins a series of very winnable games against the Eagles, and that includes a day in South Bend in a few weeks. 7-0 before facing Virginia Tech is a must at this point. Army’s defense hasn’t been bad so far, but the offense has struggled mightily to put up points. It’s going to take an all-timer of an effort to win this, but BC could be napping after the statement-game 24-10 win at Georgia Tech last week.
Why Army Might Win: One word: Defense. The Knights are 17th in the nation in total defense, allowing just 268 yards per game, is seventh in pass defense, and is only allowing 16.67 points per game. Since 20 of those points have come from opposing defenses or special teams, the Knights are actually allowing ten a game on defense. As good as BC is, it’s not the type of team that’ll put up 50 on the board unless it gets involved in a shootout. Army should be able to keep within striking distance for a while.
Why Boston College Might Win: All the parts are there on both sides of the ball, and all the pieces are clicking. From QB Matt Ryan, to the emergence of Andre Callender as a perfect fit for the offense, to the defense that keeps forcing big play after big play. BC is third in the nation with 11 takeaways and sixth overall with a plus-two turnover margin. If the Knights are excited about that running output last weekend, they might get glum quickly against BC, which allows just 40.3 yards per game on the ground, fourth best in the nation. Considering the Eagles have beaten Wake Forest, NC State and Georgia Tech, who can all run, the D has been better than it gets credit for.
Who to Watch: After being the first-ever rookie to start at quarterback for Army against Navy last year, Carson Williams was expected to launch a campaign for the starting job early on. Instead, he lost out to David Pevoto during summer practice and was expected to wait his turn. But when Pevoto went down with an injury two weeks ago in the win over Rhode Island, Williams took over and completed 12-of-20 passes for 148 yards and the winning touchdown. Last week, he was 14-of-34 for 165 yards against Wake and seems ready to re-assert himself as the Army’s top QB. He’ll make a slew of big mistakes, but these are the growing pains he’ll need to fight through.
What Will Happen: If BC expects an easy game against Army, it might find itself in some early trouble. The tough Knight D will hold up for a half, and then the BC talent and experience will take over.

CFN Prediction: Boston College 38 ... Army 6 .. Line: Boston College -29
Must See Rating: (5 Curb Your Enthusiasm - 1 Kid Nation) ...
1.5


Duke (1-2) at Navy (1-2)
  1:00 PM
Why to watch: For the first time in almost two years, the only streak Duke is looking to further is a winning one.  The Blue Devils shocked Northwestern in Evanston last Saturday, ending the nation’s longest losing streak at 22 games and winning away from Durham for the first time since 2003.  With the confidence the program gained by finally breaking through and closing out a tight game, it has enough talent, particularly on defense, to pull another surprise at some point this season.  Navy is trying to regroup from an emotional overtime loss to Ball State that easily could have ended up in the win column.  It was a game the Middies were supposed to win, so there’s no margin for error against programs, such as Duke, if they plan to be bowling for a fifth December in-a-row.  Depth is becoming a major concern in Annapolis with Navy losing key players on defense in each of the last two weeks.
Why Duke might win: Don’t underestimate the impact that last week’s victory will have on a young program that was pining for something positive to happen.  Or the impact of the recent injuries to a Navy defense that’s already 93rd nationally in total defense and dead last in sacks.  This is the ideal venue for Blue Devil QB Thaddeus Lewis to have a monster game with the help of his primary receivers, Eron Riley, Jomar Wright, and Raphael Chestnut.
Why Navy might win: No one’s stopping this running attack, especially a team with mediocre linebackers like Duke has.  The Middies lead the country in rushing at 378 yards a game, including a whopping 521 yards last week on 65 carries.  Duke’s ACC-worst defense is going to get worn out by Kaipo-Noa Kaheaku-Enhada, Adam Ballard, Eric Kettani, and the rest of Navy methodical triple-option attack.
Who to watch: While Ballard is the mainstay at fullback for Navy, Kettani is making it hard for Paul Johnson to keep him out of the lineup.  Not your typical north-south bruiser, he packs 4.5 speed into a thick, 6-1 and 233-pound frame, and is coming off a career day of nine carries for 126 yards and two touchdowns against Ball State.  He could be the next Ballard as early as this fall.
What will happen: Provided the Naval Academy doesn’t have to rely on one of its kickers to win the game, it’ll avoid another upset by pounding out almost 400 yards between the tackles and keeping its hobbled defense on the sidelines for extended periods of time.  
CFN Prediction: Navy 29 ... Duke 24 .. Line: Navy -10.5
Must See Rating: (5 Curb Your Enthusiasm - 1 Kid Nation) ...
2

William & Mary (2-1) at Virginia Tech (2-1)
  1:30 PM
Why to Watch: The Hokies took a step ahead on the comeback trail last week with a 28-7 win over a stubborn Ohio team that had it tied at seven at halftime. This week’s game represents another chance to get the offense rolling, which sputtered in the first two games of the year. Every game now is vital in the improvement of freshman QB Tyrod Taylor, but this is a good enough William & Mary team to put up more than just a good fight. The Hokies can’t start looking ahead to North Carolina and ACC play quite yet.
Why William & Mary Might Win: The Tribe boasts the second most potent FCS offense, with a well-rounded attack that puts tremendous pressure on opposing defenses thanks to a passing attack that averages 354 yards per outing. Don’t look for a tremendous defensive effort from this bunch, which has allowed 35 points per game so far, but that’s fine; Virginia Tech isn’t exactly built for shootouts. W&M could stay alive in this far, far longer than Hokie fans might like.
Why Virginia Tech Might Win: The Hokie attack awoke in the second half last week against Ohio, producing 21 points. By the time the day was over, Taylor had completed 18-of-31 passes for 287 yards in his starting debut, and took a major step in his development as the leader of the program. Believed to be the only late-summer freshman enrollee to be starting in big-time college ball, Taylor was poised and productive, and made most of the right decisions. Meanwhile, the Tech defense limited Ohio to five first downs, and should be able to use its superior speed to put pressure on Tribe QB Jake Phillips and prevent attack from getting going.
Who to Watch: By the time he’s done at William & Mary, Phillips may well be the top passer in school history, quite a distinction, considering Dave Corley threw for 9,805 yards. Phillips is on fire this year, having thrown for 1,010 yards to lead the nation and posting a passing efficiency of 202.7, also best among FCS teams. If Taylor is struggling, and Phillips outplays him, the Tribe might be in a position to pull off the shocker.
What Will Happen: Bill ‘n’ Mar, welcome to the Hokie defense. Taylor will make a few mistakes, but for the most part, he’ll be the star of the show.
CFN Prediction: Virginia Tech 31 ... William & Mary 7 .. Line: No Line
Must See Rating: (5 Curb Your Enthusiasm - 1 Kid Nation) ...
1.5


Maryland (2-1) at Wake Forest (1-2)
  3:30 PM ESPNU
Why to Watch: These two haven’t exactly bolted from the gate, checking in at a combined 3-3 despite coming in with high expectations, but each remains a player in the ACC race and has significant bowl hopes. Maryland opens league play with this one, hoping to bounce back from last week’s loss to West Virginia, while the Deacons hope to build on their win over Army, the season’s first, and a nice respite from their tough opening run against Boston College and Nebraska. Can Maryland finally break through and show it belongs in the ACC race, or can Wake Forest finally kickstart its season?
Why Maryland Might Win: Even though the Terps were run through by the Mountaineers, they remain ranked 16th nationally in total defense (266.0 yards/game) and particularly effective against the pass, allowing just 117 yards per game. Running back Keon Lattimore has cranked out 100-yard games in each of the last two weeks, while QB Jordan Steffy has been accurate, if not spectacular. Beating Wake Forest requires balance and mistake-free football, and this Maryland team should be able to do both. Masters at controlling the tempo, the Terps are hanging on to the ball for almost 35 minutes a game, second in the nation.
Why Wake Forest Might Win: The Deacons will try to load up against Lattimore and the run and force Steffy to try to win the game. Allowing just 87 yards per game on the ground, Wake will likely force several long third down attempts. If Steffy isn’t on, or starts to force things, the opportunities will be there to come up with a few big plays. Turnovers have hurt the Deacon offense so far, but when it’s mistake-free, the misdirection plays and efficiency should be enough to keep things moving on a Terp defense that’s effective for stretches, but is hardly disciplined.
Who to Watch: When Kenny Moore returned a punt 55 yards for a touchdown last week against Army, it marked the first time Wake had that happen in four years. It also continued his all-purpose binge this season, catching 15 passes against Boston College and rushing for 116 yards against Nebraska. With the quarterback situation still up in the air, even though starter Riley Skinner is expected to come back this week after suffering a shoulder injury, Moore should once again be invaluable.
What Will Happen: With Skinner likely back, the Deacon offense will be a bit more effective than Maryland’s. Expect a relatively low-scoring game with Wake coming through thanks to several field goals making up for stalled drives.
CFN Prediction: Wake Forest 26 … Maryland 20 ... Line: Wake Forest -3
Must See Rating: (5 Curb Your Enthusiasm - 1 Kid Nation) ...
3

ACC Week Four Predictions, Part 1


Related Stories
Game Day: UNC vs. Virginia
 -by InsideCarolina.com  Sep 14, 2007
Gameday: NC State vs. Wofford
 -by PackPride.com  Sep 14, 2007
Shannon Prepares for Father – Son Matchup
 -by CanesTime.com  Sep 14, 2007

Story Tools
Top Stories 
Search Stories 
Discuss on Forums