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ACC Fearless Predictions, Oct. 6, Part 2

CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Oct 3, 2007

Previews and Predictions for the Week 6 ACC Games, Part 2



ACC
Atlantic Boston Coll | ClemsonFlorida St | Maryland | NC State | Wake Forest
Coastal Duke | Georgia Tech | Miami | North Carolina | Virginia | Virginia Tech

ACC Fearless Predictions Sept. 1
Sept. 8 | Sept. 15Sept. 22 | Sept. 29 
Oct. 13 | Oct. 20Oct. 27 | Nov. 3Nov. 10 | Nov. 17Nov. 24Dec. 1

How are the picks so far? SU: 35-10 ... ATS: 20-17-1

ACC Week 6 Predictions, Part 1

ACC Saturday, Oct. 6

Wake Forest (2-2) at Duke (1-4)   1:00 PM
Why to Watch: Wake Forest has won two in a row, including a thrilling come-from-behind triumph against Maryland two weeks ago and is looking to insinuate itself back into the ACC race after an early stumble. And though the Blue Devils are 1-4, they were within three points of Miami last week midway through the fourth quarter and have played some good football in the past three weeks. Neither team looks to be an ACC juggernaut, but this could be an interesting matchup of two schools which don’t appear to be bad as their combined 3-6 record indicates.
Why Wake Forest Might Win: The Demon Deacons looked like a brand new team in the second half against Maryland, and appear to be ready to make a move now that QB Riley Skinner is back from his separated shoulder. With Skinner at the helm, Wake’s multiple offense will operate far more effectively, and the fits and starts that characterized the first few weeks of the season should be replaced by a smoother attack that outflanks opponents and can score many different ways. Expect Wake to put good pressure on Duke QB Thaddeus Lewis, a good thing, since the Blue Devils pass often, and the Deacons boast senior end Jeremy Thompson, who has five sacks.
Why Duke Might Win: Moral victories don’t count for too much in college football, but the Blue Devils have earned a couple in the past two weeks, losing a heartbreaker to Navy and playing Miami tough in the Orange Bowl. The Blue Devils continue to be one of the conference’s most dangerous offenses, thanks to Lewis, who has thrown for 1,200 yards and 11 scores. He was sharp against the Hurricanes, completing 18-of-27 passes for 241 yards and two scores. If the Duke front line can keep him clean, Lewis could do some damage. On the other side, the Blue Devils need linebacker Vincent Rey to create some havoc for the Deacon attack. Rey had 10 solo tackles against Miami and is a ferocious ball tracker.
Who to Watch: Skinner separated his shoulder in the opener against BC, and though Brett Hodges, his backup, was solid, Skinner is the right man to trigger the Deacon attack. It took him a little while to get going against Maryland, but he finished with 219 yards passing and a touchdown and threw a six-yard scoring strike to John Tereshinski with 0:03 left in regulation to force OT.
What Will Happen: The Deacons aren’t overwhelming, and Duke is better than it was last year, but Wake has too much, especially with Skinner at full strength.
CFN Prediction: Wake Forest 31 … Duke 20 ... Line: Wake Forest -7
Must See Rating: (5 Paris on Letterman - 1 Singing Bee) ... 2

NC State
(1-4) at Florida State (3-1)   3:30 PM  ABC
Why to Watch: After dispatching Alabama last weekend, the Seminoles appear to be on a good roll. In fact, since the first half of the opener against Clemson, FSU has been a defensive nightmare for opponents, and now that Xavier Lee has appeared to rejuvenate the offense, this could be seeing a legitimate ACC title contender emerging. Florida State takes the next step this week against a shaky North Carolina State team that has made some strides and thrown some punches but has lacked staying power.
Why North Carolina State Might Win: The Wolfpack looked pretty good on pass defense last week and was able to keep Louisville quarterback Brian Brohm under wraps, for him, allowing 251 yards. On the other side of the ball, NC State will continue its quest for balance, with Andre Brown, who had 92 yards rushing last week handling the ground chores. If Harrison Beck’s ailing left shoulder prohibits him from playing, look for Daniel Evans, last year’s starter, to take over. Evans was sound last week, leading the Pack to its only touchdown.
Why Florida State Might Win: When Nick Saban says your defense is one of the best he’s seen in a while, you have something going on. That’s what the ‘Noles are doing now: stopping people. They’re one of the best in the nation at stopping the run, and they have improved against the pass. FSU is fast and nasty on defense and should have a few turnovers Saturday against a team that has coughed it up 18 times so far this year. When the Seminoles have the ball, look for a more dangerous downfield passing attack that should make receivers Greg Carr and De’Cody Fagg more productive. And as for the struggling FSU ground game, a Saturday against one of the nation’s worst rushing defenses should help that out.
Who to Watch: After leading the Seminoles to victory last week by throwing two touchdown passes, Lee spoke of patience. Now, he’ll likely speak of starting. Lee will probably be under center to begin the game against the Wolfpack after throwing for 224 yards and rushing for 59 more against Alabama. What he needs to keep the job is efficiency and consistency, two qualities that have eluded him. No one has doubted his talent; now it’s time for him to be more productive on a regular basis. Do that, and FSU becomes a dangerous team.
What Will Happen: It might be a new coaching staff and a new team, but NC State’s recent history in the series will get FSU jacked up. The Pack doesn’t have enough to stay close to the Seminoles, who could run up a big number if Lee keeps the mistakes to a minimum.
CFN Prediction: Florida State 27 … NC State 10 ... Line: Florida State -18
Must See Rating: (5 Paris on Letterman - 1 Singing Bee) ... 2.5


Virginia (4-1) at Middle Tennessee (1-4)  7:00 PM
Why to Watch: This is a big deal, even if MTSU is 1-4. The Blue Raiders are trying to build some momentum after last week’s 47-6 rout of Florida International, and are hoping to continue the Sun Belt momentum at home against BCS teams, with Florida Atlantic beating Minnesota and Troy beating Oklahoma State. Virginia, meanwhile, takes an interlude from ACC play, where it has established itself as something of a surprise. The biggest shocker comes on offense, where the Cavs have rebounded nicely from week one’s inept performance at Wyoming. We’re not talking juggernaut here, but last week’s 44-14 win over Pittsburgh showed how effective the O can be without any wide receiver stars.
Why Virginia Might Win: After last week, it looks like the Cavs are finally ready to go on O. Jameel Sewell played most of the game at QB and threw for 169 yards and three scores and also ran for 64 yards. It was an all-around excellent effort, and teamed with the production of Cedric Peerman in the ground game, it gave UVA a balanced, potent attack. If those two are on top of things the offense, which has scored at least 22 points in each of the last four games, will be fine. You already know about the sturdy Virginia D, which is solid against the run and improving against the pass.
Why Middle Tennessee Might Win: The Blue Raiders will rely heavily on new starting QB Dwight Dasher, who was a touchdown machine against Florida International, throwing for three and rushing for two. If he’s given some time to operate, Dasher can beat teams in all phases. The freshman has taken a little time to get going after taking over in the third game, against LSU, but he seems to be more comfortable. He’ll try to make use of all-purpose weapon Desmond Gee, a sophomore back, who could touch the ball 30 times through runs, passes and returns. If Virginia’s defense lets down, it could be stunned.
Who to Watch: Even though Peerman was “held” to 87 yards rushing against Pittsburgh, he scored twice and remains the ACC’s most productive back with 566 yards, establishing himself as the main offensive weapon, and not always Sewell, the offense revolves around. He has topped 100 yards in three of the last four games, with a 186-yard effort against North Carolina his high-water mark.
What Will Happen: The Cavaliers will use their offensive balance and solid defense to keep Middle Tennessee from getting too much traction.  However, it’ll take at least three quarters to put it away.
CFN Prediction: Virginia 30 … Middle Tennessee 13 ... Line: Virginia -10
Must See Rating: (5 Paris on Letterman - 1 Singing Bee) ... 1.5


ACC Week 6 Predictions, Part 1
 

 

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