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ACC Fearless Predictions, Nov. 17, Part 2

CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Nov 16, 2007

Previews and Predictions for the Week 12 ACC Games, Part 2


ACC
Atlantic Boston Coll | ClemsonFlorida St | Maryland | NC State | Wake Forest
Coastal Duke | Georgia Tech | Miami | North Carolina | Virginia | Virginia Tech

ACC Fearless Predictions Sept. 1
Sept. 8 | Sept. 15Sept. 22 | Sept. 29 
Oct. 6Oct. 13 | Oct. 20Oct. 27 | Nov. 3Nov. 10 | Nov. 24Dec. 1

How are the picks so far? SU: 55-26 ... ATS: 35-38-1

ACC Week 12 Predictions, Part 1

ACC Saturday, November 17th

Miami (5-5) at Virginia Tech (8-2)   3:30 EST, ABC
Why to watch: It used to be that when these two schools met, a Big East title would hang in the balance.  Today, Miami is little more than a nuisance in the way of Virginia Tech’s goal of conquering the ACC Coastal division.  Four miserable losses in the last five games have the Hurricanes sinking into obscurity and toward Duke at the bottom of the division.  Last weekend’s 48-0 loss to Virginia on a night that the school said farewell to the Orange Bowl will go down as one of the biggest embarrassments in the modern history of the program.  A sudden, and unlikely, turnaround is the only thing that’ll keep Miami from missing the postseason for the first time since 1997.  Virginia Tech is on the opposite spectrum, rebounding from its Oct. 25 collapse to Boston College with pivotal wins over Georgia Tech and Florida State.  The Hokies control their own destiny in the division, needing wins over the ‘Canes and Virginia a week from now to play for an ACC title and a BCS bowl game in Jacksonville Dec. 1.  Feeling that two quarterbacks are better than one, Frank Beamer plans to use both freshman Tyrod Taylor and junior Sean Glennon for a second straight game.  
Why Miami might win: Last Saturday night was a poor representation of this, but there’s still enough future NFL talent on the ‘Cane defense to stall a Virginia Tech offense that ranks 107th in the country, and has been equally inept through the air as on the ground.  The Hokie offensive line has been a problem area, yielding a ton of sacks and opening few holes, that won’t get any breaks from a Miami line that includes ends Calais Campbell, Vegas Franklin, and Eric Moncur, and tackle Teraz McCray.                                                                                
Why Virginia Tech might win: Recent losses to North Carolina, NC State, and Virginia are signs that Miami has packed it in this season.  The Hurricanes are horribly inconsistent of offense and prone to too many turnovers.  The Hokies will capitalize with an attacking defense that’s third in the country in points allowed and No. 8 in total defense.  The way Miami is executing on offense, it’ll need help from the defense and special teams to reach double digits in Blacksburg.  As bad as Tech has been with the ball in 2007, the offense has been playing markedly better over the last few weeks, getting production from RB Branden Ore, and cranking up the passing game.
Who to watch: The way the Virginia Tech defense has been playing it doesn’t need any extra help, but it’s going to get it with the return of LB Vince Hall from a broken wrist.  One of the ACC’s top linebackers, he’ll be worked in slowly, bringing intensity and a run stopping presence that Miami’s feeble offense won’t be able to navigate.
What will happen: As far as Virginia Tech is concerned, this is still Miami, and a chance to kick an old rival when it’s down.  The Hokies will tune up for next week’s trip to Charlottesville by stuffing the Hurricane offense, and pounding the ‘Canes under the .500 mark.
CFN Prediction: Virginia Tech 27 … Miami 13 ... Line: Virginia Tech -17
Must See Rating: (5
On HBO, "Michigan vs. Ohio State: The Rivalry"  - 1 Writer strike induced reruns) ... 3           

NC State (5-5) at Wake Forest (6-4)  4:00 EST, ESPNU
Why to watch: This time last month, the only way NC State players were getting to a bowl game was if they purchased a ticket.  Four games—and four wins—later, the Wolfpack has passed Florida State and Maryland in the Atlantic Division, while pulling within one win of bowl eligibility.  Not too shabby for a program whose only win in the first half of the year came against Wofford.  With first-year coach Tom O’Brien at the controls, NC State has turned things around on the strength of an improved passing game, the running of sophomore Jamelle Eugene, and a stingier defense.  Wake Forest is already bowl eligible, but that won’t guarantee a spot in the postseason; a seventh win, however, will.  The Demon Deacons’ slim hopes for an Atlantic Division title were dashed last week in a 44-10 loss at Clemson, the program’s most lopsided defeat in almost three years.
Why NC State might win: The Wake Forest offense has disappeared the last two weeks, largely due to the inconsistent play of the offensive line.  The Wolfpack will take advantage with a defense that’s gotten steadily better during the winning streak, bringing DE Willie Young off the edge, and containing the Deacon backs with active senior LBs James Martin and Ernest Jones.  The light has started to go on for NC State QB Daniel Evans, who’ll have success getting the ball to his favorite receivers, Donald Bowens and John Dunlap, on short and intermediate routes.
Why Wake Forest might win: Yeah, the Deacon D sprung leaks in Death Valley last Saturday, but that was the exception rather than the rule with the unit.  Wake Forest is very tough on opposing runners, and has almost as many picks as touchdowns allowed.  While Evans and Eugene have provided a spark lately, moving the ball on East Carolina and North Carolina is easier than getting it done versus an underrated unit from Wake.  On offense, the Deacons will pound away at the ACC’s worst run defense with the combination of Josh Adams and Micah Andrews.
Who to watch: Wake Forest C Steve Justice and NC State DT Demario Pressley, who’ll see each other on Sundays next year, will be waging a four-quarter battle in the trenches.  Justice is one of the nation’s premier centers, but he’ll get challenged by Pressley, who’s a run-stuffer that can get into the backfield.  Justice needs to light a fire under his linemates, who’ve underachieved in the last two games.
What will happen: After throwing the ball more than it likes last week, Wake Forest will return to its roots, grinding out a blue-collar win behind the running of Adams and Andrews, and the multi-dimensional talents of WR Kenny Moore.
CFN Prediction: Wake Forest 27 … NC State 19 ... Line: Wake Forest -6
Must See Rating: (5
On HBO, "Michigan vs. Ohio State: The Rivalry"  - 1 Writer strike induced reruns) ... 3

North Carolina (3-7 at Georgia Tech (6-4)  Noon, GamePlan
Why to Watch: Although the Tar Heels have been officially rendered bowl ineligible, thanks to last week’s loss to North Carolina State, they can still climb past the Yellow Jackets in the ACC standings with a win Saturday and a season-closing triumph over hapless Duke next weekend. GT, meanwhile, wants to build on the momentum it generated last week with a rout of the Blue Devils, the better to head into next week’s game with surging Georgia on something of a high. The future of the Yellow Jacket program could hinge on the next two weeks. Suffer the indignity of losing at home to Duke, and follow it up with a loss to Georgia, and head coach Chan Gailey could be in big, big trouble.
Why North Carolina Might Win: The Tar Heels will have to do this with their solid defense and their passing attack, not a bad formula against the Yellow Jackets, who lack a particularly explosive offense (last week against Duke excepted) and are far more susceptible to the pass than the run. T.J. Yates threw for 241 yards against the Wolfpack and has thrown for 12 touchdowns this year. UNC will stack the line to try to keep the Yellow Jackets from running the football and hope they can keep Taylor Bennett uncomfortable in the pocket with pressure from Hilee Taylor (10 sacks, two versus NC State) and Marvin Austin.
Why Georgia Tech Might Win: The Yellow Jackets can play their game again now that Tashard Choice is back in the lineup. Choice had 170 yards and two scores against the Blue Devils, and he helps GT play ball control to be able to rely on its defense to set the overall tone. He should be quite eager to play UNC, which gave up 159 yards rushing to Jamelle Eugene last Saturday and has been inconsistent against solid running teams. Expect the Tech defense to go after Yates, with an aggressive line that’s leading the way to the nation’s statistically best pass rush, while the Tar Heels allow three sacks a game and have struggled to keep their quarterback from getting popped. GT should also come up with its share of tackles for loss and stuff the UNC running game.
Who to Watch: It has been another great year for GT senior kicker Travis Bell, who passed the 300-point mark against Duke and has scored at least a point in 48 straight games, the best streak in the nation. Bell has made 20-of-23 field goals this year, and is a perfect 28-of-28 on PAT tries, hardly a surprise since he hasn’t missed any of his 129 extra point attempts throughout his career. Bell’s second field goal against the Blue Devils was his 20th this year and established a new single-season school record. GT doesn’t always score a lot of points. That’s where having a great kicker does wonders.
What Will Happen: With Choice back, the Yellow Jackets have the key cog in their offense available and should make quick work of the overmatched Heels.
CFN Prediction: Georgia Tech 30 … North Carolina 13 ... Line: Georgia Tech -10
Must See Rating: (5
On HBO, "Michigan vs. Ohio State: The Rivalry"  - 1 Writer strike induced reruns) ... 2

ACC Week 12 Predictions, Part 1

 

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