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SEC Fearless Predictions, Nov. 3, Part 2

CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Oct 31, 2007


Previews and Predictions for the Week 10 SEC Games, Part 2


SEC
East  Florida | Georgia | Kentucky | South Carolina | Tennessee | Vanderbilt 
West Alabama | Arkansas | Auburn | LSU | Ole Miss | Miss State

SEC Fearless Predictions Sept. 1Sept. 8 | Sept. 15Sept. 22 | Sept. 29 
Oct. 6Oct. 13 | Oct. 20Oct. 27 | Nov. 10 | Nov. 17Nov. 24Dec. 1 

How are the picks so far? SU: 56-13 ... ATS: 37-22-2

SEC Fearless Predictions, Week 10, Part 1

SEC Saturday, November 3rd

Tennessee Tech (4-5) at Auburn (6-3)  2:30 PM
Why to watch
: Auburn gets to take a week off and rest everyone up before dealing with a road trip to Georgia and Alabama in the final key stretch of the season. The Tigers are coming off a go-through-the-motions 17-3 win over Ole Miss, and aren't planning on getting cute and opening up the attack this week. It won't need to against a Tennessee Tech team that's lost four straight. If you've been waiting to see what the Auburn backups can do, this is the game for you.
Why Tennessee Tech might win: The Auburn coaches have all but acknowledged that they'll be taking it easy this week. The Golden Eagles don't have nearly enough on either side of the ball to threaten an upset, but the offense has gotten it going a little bit over the last month with a good mix of offensive balance and relatively efficient passing game. The offense leads the OVC in scoring cranking out 33.56 points per game and could bomb away on an Auburn defense that'll show up and hope that'll be enough to get the win.
Why Auburn might win: The TTU run defense has been giving up yards in chunks while allowing three touchdown runs in each of the last three games and 11 in the last four. The defensive line has no hope of holding up if and when Auburn chooses to pound the ball, and by the fourth quarter, if it's not already a laugher of a blowout, the Tigers should be able to get its backs to the outside in space whenever it wants to. Defensively, even the Tiger backups should be able to get into backfield at will.
Who to watch: Games like this are vital to do some tuning up and tweaking, and Auburn will do just that as the coaching staff continues to play around with star pass rushing defensive end Quentin Groves. The All-America caliber playmaker will see a little more time at linebacker in order to make space for Antonio Coleman, who emerged as a burgeoning star when Groves was out with a foot problem. Coleman, a sophomore, has 25 tackles and leads the team with 12.5 tackles for loss.
What will happen: Get there late and you might miss the game. Auburn should be able to turn it on whenever it wants to and put it away.  The goal will be to get up early, sit everyone important, and work on Georgia.
CFN Prediction: Auburn 38 ... Tennessee Tech 0 ... Line: No Line
Must See Rating: (5
Heidi Klum on Victoria's Secret Fashion Show - 1 Heidi Klum on Oprah) ... 1

UL Lafayette
(1-7) at Tennessee (5-3)  4:00 PM
Why to watch
: As bad as UL Lafayette has been this year, going 1-7 complete with a home loss to McNeese State, it has enough firepower to potentially give a certain-to-be-sleepwalking Tennessee a little bit of trouble. The Ragin' Cajuns played relatively well in the season-opening 28-14 loss to South Carolina, but if Tennessee is trying, this won't be pretty. Tennessee won't be trying. The Vols are coming off an emotional overtime win over South Carolina, and needs to gear it up for Arkansas and Vanderbilt over the next two weeks. ULL will treat this has a bowl game, and with its running game, could keep this close far longer than the Vol faithful might like.
Why UL Lafayette might win: ULL might not be winning, but it sure can run the ball. Led by QB Michael Desormeaux, who leads the team with 883 yards, and two-time 1,000-yard rusher Tyrell Fenroy, the Rajun' Cajuns have torn off 300 yards in three of their last five games with 345 against a strong Troy defense and 317 two weeks ago against Florida Atlantic. Tennessee faced two teams this year with running quarterbacks and gave up 255 yards and four touchdowns to Florida, and 178 yards and a score to Arkansas State. The Vols will give up yards, but ...
Why Tennessee might win: The offense will do whatever it wants to. For ULL to be successful, it needs to control the clock with its ground game, keep the chains moving, and get decent play from the defense in at least one area. It's not happening. The Ragin' Cajun defense has been one of the Sun Belt's biggest disappointments giving up yards any way opposing offenses want to take them. ULL hasn't allowed fewer than 400 yards all year, gave up 681 to Arkansas State and 527 to North Texas. The defensive front isn't getting any sort of a push into the backfield, while the linebacking corps has seemingly been a step slow and out of place from game one.
Who to watch: Injuries on the offensive line continue to crush ULL's season, but on the plus side, Fenroy appears to be back to his old form after struggling through an ankle problem. When right, he's one of the Sun Belt's premier players with 13 career 100-yard games, but he's only been able to find the end zone twice so far this year and hasn't been able to get 20 carries wind mid-September. He needs to be established early on to take the pressure off Desormeaux.
What will happen: ULL will take its $750,000, get its 250 rushing yards, and go home with yet another big loss.
CFN Prediction: Tennessee 44 ... UL Lafayette 17 ... Line: Tennessee -30
Must See Rating: (5
Heidi Klum on Victoria's Secret Fashion Show - 1 Heidi Klum on Oprah) ... 4.5

South Carolina (6-3) at Arkansas (5-3)   8:00 PM  ESPN2
Why to watch
: The focus for the first few moments before the game will be on the six South Carolina students killed in a beach house fire with the Gamecock players wearing special stickers on their helmets. On the field, South Carolina will look to right the ship after going from BCS contender to possible SEC also-ran after being stunned by Vanderbilt 17-6 and losing a brutal overtime heartbreaker to Tennessee. However, things can get interesting with a win over the Hogs this week and a win over Florida to follow, and if Tennessee loses two of its final three SEC games. First, the Gamecocks have to get by an Arkansas team looking to make a big run to overcome a rough first half of the year. The Hogs might be 1-3 in conference play, but they've been roughly three plays away from being unbeaten and are now on a two game winning streak having beaten Ole Miss and FIU by a combined score of 102 to 18. This is their final true home game of the year before dealing with Tennessee, Mississippi State and LSU.
Why South Carolina might win: The Gamecocks are finding ways to get it done. This isn't a particularly strong team in any one are, but there aren't any brutal weaknesses either. Everyone is pitching in with the right plays at the right times, and while the lack of a true identity has proven costly at times, it's allowed different players to step up in different games. The defense has done a great job of bending, but not breaking, while the secondary has been phenomenal. Arkansas doesn't throw the ball, and it won't be able to this week.  
Why Arkansas might win: Lost in the disappointing year has been the phenomenal job done by the Arkansas defense. After struggling over the first few weeks, the Hogs have allowed 9.8 points per game over the last five, with only UT Chattanooga and Florida International getting to double-digits in blowouts. The secondary has been at another level, while the run defense has been good enough to stop most offenses cold for extended stretches. South Carolina doesn't have the high-octane attack that can keep up if Darren McFadden and Felix Jones are running wild.
Who to watch: Back at quarterback for Arkansas is Casey Dick, who practiced this week despite suffering a concussion and missing time against FIU. While his struggles are well documented, he made his first big splash in last year's 26-20 win over the Gamecocks by completing 11 of 19 passes for 228 yards and a touchdown with an interception. Meanwhile, it'll be musical quarterbacks once again for South Carolina as Blake Mitchell gets the start for Chris Smelley. Steve Spurrier is desperately looking for consistency out of one of his two passers, and he'll be quick to pull Mitchell if things aren't going well.
What will happen: Arkansas will get the ground game going right from the opening snap and a beaten up USC won't be able to recover. Down by two scores right away, the Gamecocks will try to bomb their way back into the game, and the Hog secondary will show why it's playing better than any group in the SEC at the moment.
CFN Prediction: Arkansas 28 ... South Carolina 20 ... Line: Arkansas -5
Must See Rating: (5
Heidi Klum on Victoria's Secret Fashion Show - 1 Heidi Klum on Oprah) ... 3

 SEC Fearless Predictions, Week 10, Part 1