NFL Fearless
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Week 9
Cleveland at
Baltimore
1:00 pm CBS November 18, 2007
Why to Watch: Although the Steelers held on 31-28 to beat the Browns in
the Big Ketchup Bottle last weekend, the Browns are light years ahead of where
many of the best NFL prognosticators thought they would be entering week
eleven. The Browns are second in the AFC North with a 5-4 record, two games
behind the aforementioned Steelers in the standings. The Ravens are third in
that race, but not playing anywhere near the level of a playoff team; last
year’s 13-3 playoff team these Ravens are not, that’s for sure. The Browns beat
the Ravens 27-13 in Cleveland in September, but the Ravens can flip the
standings and get back in the playoff race with a win at home.
Why Cleveland Might Win: The Browns have one of the best passing games
in the NFL. Behind strong performances from quarterback Derek Anderson, wide
receiver Braylon Edwards and tight end Kellen Winslow, the Browns are tenth in
the league, averaging 236.8 yards per game. Meanwhile, the Ravens are giving up
203.3 yards per game. However, that’s been with the help of a healthy
secondary. Suffice it to say, the Ravens secondary isn’t completely healthy (at
least five secondary members are ‘questionable’) and a shell of the unit that
started in the first matchup.
Why Baltimore Might Win: The Ravens have done nothing at all offensively
lately, but the Browns have the worst defense in the league. The Browns are
last in scoring defense, giving up 29.3 points per game, last in total defense
(410.6 YPG), 28th in rush defense (137.8 YPG) and 31st in
pass defense (272.8 YPG). If the Ravens are going to have a chance to win, the
Raven offense must take advantage of the Browns weak defense.
Who to Watch: Raven running back Willis McGahee was brought to Baltimore
to provide some balance in the offense, but with such a weak passing game,
McGahee is going to have to carry the Ravens offense this week. He ran for only
60 yards on 17 carries against the Bengals last week and needs well over 100 to
give the Ravens a chance to win this game.
What Will Happen: The Ravens will turn the ball over at least twice,
especially with Kyle Boller starting, and Anderson will make them pay. He’ll
light up the ravaged Ravens secondary for 275+ yards and a pair of touchdowns,
one to Edwards and one to Winslow. The score might be closer than the game
indicates as the Browns bounce back after losing last weekend.
CFN Prediction: Browns 23 … Ravens 17
... Line: Cleveland -3
Must See Rating: (5 On HBO, "Michigan vs. Ohio State: The Rivalry"
- 1 Writer strike induced reruns) ... 2.5
New York
Giants at
Detroit
1:00 pm Fox November 18, 2007
Why to Watch: This is a pivotal game for both teams. And, ‘pivotal’
doesn’t do it justice. Both teams are coming off of huge defeats – the Giants
lost to NFC East leader Dallas 31-20 to fall to 6-3, two games behind Dallas in
the division, while the Lions lost to Arizona 31-21 on the road, leaving the
Lions two games behind Green Bay in the NFC North division chase. A second
consecutive loss for either team could precipitate a fall into mediocrity (and
missing the playoffs), while a win keeps that team’s hopes alive for a Wild Card
berth. It’s big, alright, downright pivotal.
Why the Giants Might Win: The Lions are a one-trick pony offensively.
It’s a dadgum good trick, that passing game, but the running game is so poor
that the Giants disruptive defensive line can pin its ears back and rush
quarterback Jon Kitna all day long. The Giants have four defensive linemen with
four and a half sacks or more, including Osi Umenyiora, who is tied for second
in the NFL with nine and a half sacks. The ability to pressure Kitna and limit
the Lions passing game is the ultimate key for the Giants this weekend.
Why Detroit Might Win: For as good as the Giants are up front, the
secondary can be had. Just ask Tony Romo. The Cowboys signal caller lit up the
Giants for 20-28 passing for 248 yards and four touchdowns, but more
importantly, he took advantage of the matchup problems that his receivers
created downfield against the Giants secondary. Kitna has the opportunity, with
his corps of receivers, to have similar success.
Who to Watch: Lions’ running back Kevin Jones, who has been ruled
probable for this week’s game. The Lions ran for negative 18 yards last week,
although if it’s negative, can you say that you ran for that amount of yardage?
Regardless, Jones’ ability to provide anything in the running game is a must for
the Lions this week. Even if he rushes for 50 yards, he gives the Giants
defense a little something to think about. A small something.
What Will Happen: With both teams understanding the importance of this
game, it’ll be a hard fought physical game that Giants running back Brandon
Jacobs will take control of in the fourth quarter. He’ll run for 125+ yards,
with most of the damage coming in the second half. The Giants will ride the 27
Train to a key seventh victory.
CFN Prediction: Giants 31 … Lions 27...
Line: New York -2.5
Must See Rating: (5 On HBO, "Michigan vs. Ohio State: The Rivalry"
- 1 Writer strike induced reruns) ... 4
New
Orleans at
Houston
1:00 pm Fox November 18, 2007
Why to Watch: The Saints four game winning streak came to an end last
week against the formerly winless Rams 37-29. Yes, the formerly winless Rams.
The Texans, well, they didn’t lose to the “Bye” week, which was good news taking
into account all of the injuries the Texans have had lately, including the loss
of Pro Bowl cornerback Dunta Robinson. Of course, the arrival of Reggie Bush in
a Saints uniform will sure draw the attention of Texans fans, as many in Reliant
Stadium dream of #25 in red and blue. Bush is still a bit banged up, but he’s
ready to make Houston pay for not selecting him two years ago in the 2006 NFL
Draft. The winner of this one gets to .500 record and an outside shot at a wild
card spot.
Why New Orleans Might Win: The Texans secondary is full of second
teamers and rookies. Quarterback Drew Brees kicked this team in gear with four
strong passing performances before last week’s loss to the Rams and it’s highly
doubtful that the Texans can stop him with a rookie at one corner (Fred Bennett)
and a converted safety (Von Hutchins) at the other. The Saints are fourth in
the league in passing yardage per game, averaging 266.9 YPG, so expect #9 to
play pitch and catch for much of the day…
Why Houston Might Win: …however, don’t expect much different from the
Texans. Quarterback Matt Schaub is scheduled to return to the lineup after
concussion issues, as is Pro Bowl receiver Andre Johnson, who was lost to injury
in the Carolina win in week two. When he went out of the lineup with a knee
injury, Johnson was leading the NFL in receiving yards per game, but the Texans
still threw the ball relatively well with Kevin Walter getting much of the
action in Johnson’s stead. Add in the fact that the Saints defense is 29th
in the league stopping the pass, yielding 251.2 yards per game, and the ball
will be in the air most of the day.
Who to Watch: Johnson’s knee kept him on the sideline for seven games and
his return couldn’t come at a better time. How much he’ll be able to do is
still up for debate, especially with a knee injury, but his presence should open
up things downfield for Walter and Andre Davis. Schuab needs his security
blanket back after getting pounded in the last two games he played, so Johnson’s
return is vital on a number of different fronts.
What Will Happen: The Texans are going to finally put the ball in the end
zone from the red zone. They’ve been awful in that area throughout the season,
but with Johnson back, Schaub will throw at least three touchdowns and lead the
Texans to a huge win. The Texans have never been .500 this late in the season,
so a win in this game is quite important.
CFN Prediction: Texans 35 … Saints 31
... Line: Houston -1
Must See Rating: (5 On HBO, "Michigan vs. Ohio State: The Rivalry"
- 1 Writer strike induced reruns) ... 3
Kansas
City at
Indianapolis
1:00 pm CBS November 18, 2007
Why to Watch: No player in the NFL wants to get back on the field more
than Indianapolis quarterback Peyton Manning. Last Sunday night in San Diego,
Manning had his worst game as an NFL quarterback, throwing six interceptions
against the Chargers in a 23-21 loss. The Chiefs didn’t fare much better,
losing at home 27-11 to the Broncos to fall out of a first place tie with the
division leading Chargers. The Chiefs will give Brodie Croyle the start at
quarterback for the first time, looking to get him some confidence and giving
this offense a boost. That’s a daunting task on the road for the former Alabama
star, even with Pro Bowl defensive end Dwight Freeney on the IR.
Why Kansas City Might Win: The Chiefs might win because of who the Colts
don’t have in the lineup. Freeney’s ability to come off the edge is sorely
missed against any offense, but one that features an inexperienced quarterback
in his first start would be in major trouble against Freeney. However, the
offensive line doesn’t have to deal with stopping Freeney and can focus its
efforts on getting all receiving threats involved in the passing game. The
Chiefs are averaging 207.9 yards per game through the air, 17th in
the NFL, and, even with Croyle at the helm, should approach their average with
Freeney out of the game
Why Indianapolis Might Win: The game’s in Indianapolis and Peyton won’t
have two awful back-to-back outings. Manning played last Sunday’s game without
both Marvin Harrison and Dallas Clark and still put the Colts in position to win
the football game in the last minute. With Clark probable, he’ll have his
‘slot’ weapon available against a Kansas City defense that is tied for 18th
in the NFL against the pass – 213.3 yards per game. Manning shouldn’t throw the
ball 56 times as he did last week, but at least he’ll have his ‘team’ around
him.
Who to Watch: Colts running back Joe Addai was held in check against the
Chargers. He carried the ball 22 times for only 56 yards and had three
receptions for only 16 yards. San Diego made Addai the focus of the defensive
game plan last week and Manning has to help keep that from happening this
weekend. Against the Patriots, Addai carried this offense and the Colts
should’ve won the ballgame. Against the Chargers, he was taken out of the game
and the Colts offense struggled all game long. It doesn’t take a rocket
scientist to understand how important Addai is this weekend against the Chiefs.
What Will Happen: The Colts will get right back up on the horse after
being knocked back on their heels in losses to the Pats and the Chargers. The
Chiefs are far from being in that upper echelon of teams, so expect the Colts to
unleash Manning, Addai and company early and often. This one shouldn’t be close
for the defending champs.
CFN Prediction: Colts 27 … Chiefs 10 ...
Line: Indianapolis -14.5
Must See Rating: (5 On HBO, "Michigan vs. Ohio State: The Rivalry"
- 1 Writer strike induced reruns) ... 3
Oakland
at Minnesota
1:00 pm CBS November 18, 2007
Why to Watch: Two teams headed in the wrong direction take the field
against one another on Sunday in the Dome. The Raiders have lost five in a row,
including last week’s debacle against Chicago in which Rex Grossman led the
Bears to a 17-6 win over Oakland. Minnesota didn’t look much better in Green
Bay, leaving the Dairy State with a 34-0 shutout loss after losing star rookie
running back Adrian Peterson during the game. One of these teams has to win to
end the misery, right? Right?!?
Why Oakland Might Win: With no Adrian Peterson in the lineup, the
Vikings game plan must change accordingly, which means more passing game.
That’s the best news that the Raiders could have going into this game.
Minnesota’s offense is averaging a paltry 152.6 yards per game, the 31st
ranked passing offense in the league. The Vikings void at running back plays
right into the hands of the Raiders defensive strength – its fourth ranked pass
defense. The Raiders are giving up only 183.2 yards per game and it’s highly
questionable that the Vikings can throw for anything close to that number this
week.
Why Minnesota Might Win: Even with Peterson out of the lineup, the
Vikings still have a former 1,000 yard back Chester Taylor and the Raiders don’t
stop the run. Oakland is 29th in the league against the run,
yielding 144.2 yards per game, so even without Peterson, head coach Brad
Childress won’t veer from the Vikings number one ranked rush offense. The
Vikings have the best run offense in the league, averaging 172.3 yards per game
and the Vikes won’t veer from what got them here.
Who to Watch: The Raiders linebackers. Last week against the Bears, the
Raiders three linebackers Robert Thomas, Kirk Morrison and Thomas Howard
combined for 26 tackles and a sack. The play of this trio held the Bears to
under 80 yards rushing and gave the offense a chance to stay in the game.
Oakland needs another quality performance from its linebackers to slow down
Taylor and the Vikings running game.
What Will Happen: The Vikings will get enough out of Taylor and
quarterback Brooks Bollinger to take the Super Bowl XI rematch even though it’ll
be a Daunte Culpepper grudge game. It might be an ugly win, but a win
nonetheless after Taylor, who averaged over 12 yards a carry last week against
the Packers, rushes for close to 100 yards and a touchdown to lead Minnesota to
a win.
CFN Prediction: Vikings 17 … Raiders 10
... Line: Minnesota -5.5
Must See Rating: (5 On HBO, "Michigan vs. Ohio State: The Rivalry"
- 1 Writer strike induced reruns) ... 2
Miami
at Philadelphia
1:00 pm CBS November 18, 2007
Why to Watch: The watch is now on in Miami. Can the 2007 Dolphins win a
game? Nine games and nine L’s. Last week the culprit was the visiting Buffalo
Bills who came to Miami and won an ugly 13-10 AFC East tete-a-tete. With that
being said, will the 1976 Buccaneers pop the cork on the champagne if the
Dolphins win? Just curious. The Eagles got off the schneid after some
difficult weeks for their quarterback and head coach, beating divisional foe
Washington 33-25 in D.C. Miami rookie quarterback John Beck will start for the
first time this week against Jim Johnson’s blitz happy defense, so the 1976 Bucs
could be holding on to the champagne another week.
Why Miami Might Win: Law of averages says the Dolphins have to win some
time, right? Right?!? Well, law of averages aside, the Dolphins offense
presents a much different package this week with John Beck in the lineup. Miami
has been dependent on the running game, rushing for 119.4 yards per game, 11th
in the NFL, but with Beck, the Dolphins may utilize more of the short, quick
passing game. That, combined with running back Jesse Chatman pounding the rock,
could give the Eagles problems on Sunday.
Why Philadelphia Might Win: The real Donovan McNabb showed up last
Sunday in Washington. The same, consistent Brian Westbrook showed up as well.
McNabb lit up Washington on Sunday, completing 20 of 28 passes for 251 yards and
four touchdowns, while Westbrook had 100 yards rushing (5.0 YPC) and 83 yards
passing, including a 57 yard touchdown. It’s no secret that Miami’s defense is
vulnerable – it’s 20th in the NFL in total defense, giving up 334.2
yards per game, so expect a little McNabb and a little more Westbrook on Sunday.
Who to Watch: Miami defensive playmaker Jason Taylor has been quiet most
of this season, after being named defensive player of the year in 2006. He has
five sacks on the season but hasn’t been a game changer, a playbook wrecker, if
you will, as he was last season. Although the Eagles made significant
adjustments to their pass protection schemes, they still gave up 12 sacks in a
game this season, so Taylor should have an opportunity to finally put his stamp
on this game.
What Will Happen: The Eagles up and down season should continue its ride
on the up escalator this week against the winless Dolphins. Beck is still a
rookie and the Eagles should be able to load the box to stop Chatman and the
Dolphins running game. McNabb and Westbrook should have consecutive strong
outings and lead the Eagles to another decisive win.
CFN Prediction: Eagles 27 … Miami 13
... Line: Philadelphia -10
Must See Rating: (5 On HBO, "Michigan vs. Ohio State: The Rivalry"
- 1 Writer strike induced reruns) ... 2
San
Diego at
Jacksonville
1:00 pm CBS November 18, 2007
Why to Watch: The Chargers were pretty much abysmal on offense Sunday
night in the rain at home against Indianapolis, but two huge returns by Darren
Sproles were the difference in the 23-21 win over the defending Super Bowl
champs. Jacksonville also came up with perhaps a
season-changing/season-defining 28-13 win over Tennessee in Nashville to keep
them in a tie for second place in the AFC South. The Jaguars ride the
inconsistency wave more often than any other team in the league and playing at
home provides no comfort for head coach Jack Del Rio. Consequently, it’s hard
to discern which team will show up on both sidelines in this one.
Why San Diego Might Win: Even though the best runner in last week’s game
was 5’6” Darren Sproles, the Chargers still have the best running back in the
game on their side – LaDainian Tomlinson. After a subpar start to the season,
Tomlinson has worked his way into the top 12 in the league in rushing, averaging
81.4 yards per game (11th in the NFL). The Colts did a great job
stopping him on first and second down and putting the Chargers in third and
long, but Jacksonville may not have as much luck. The Jags are 15th
in the NFL in rush defense, giving up over 100 yards per game, so Tomlinson
should get back on track and take the pressure off of quarterback Philip Rivers,
who struggled mightily against the Colts.
Why Jacksonville Might Win: Vince Lombardi once coined the phrase “Run
to Daylight” and the Jaguars have taken that to heart. Behind the one-two
combination of Maurice Jones-Drew and Fred Taylor, Jacksonville’s offense is
third in the league in rush offense, averaging 142 yards per game. Furthermore,
San Diego’s defense got a lot of help from its return game last week; after
falling behind early, the Colts had to abandon the running game and rely on
Peyton Manning to carry them. The Jaguars won’t veer from the running game and
should pound Jones-Drew and Taylor 35 to 40 times, which is the right formula
when facing the 21st ranked San Diego rush defense.
Who to Watch: Rivers looked like a junior high quarterback against the
Colts. The rain affected him mightily, but excuses aside, Rivers has had a
tough season. He’s 21st in the NFL in passer rating (77.9), which
includes his 30.6 performance last week. He has a perfect 1:1 TD to
interception ratio, throwing ten touchdowns and ten interceptions. The Chargers
may win the AFC West by default, but until Rivers picks up his ‘game’, the
Chargers won’t go much further. They won’t win games on the road like this, in
other words.
What Will Happen: The Jaguars will take the ball away from the Charger
offense and won’t give it back. The Chargers won’t get the return game
touchdowns as they got last weekend and won’t survive the punishing Jaguars
running game. Jones-Drew and Taylor will combine for 150+ yards and two
touchdowns in a second consecutive Jaguar victory.
CFN Prediction: Jaguars 21 … Chargers 20
... Line: Jacksonville -3
Must See Rating: (5 On HBO, "Michigan vs. Ohio State: The Rivalry"
- 1 Writer strike induced reruns) ... 4
Arizona
at Cincinnati
1:00 pm Fox November 18, 2007
Why to Watch: Well, the good news for these two teams was that each won
last week – the Cardinals beat the Lions 31-21 and the Bengals bested the Ravens
21-7 without scoring a touchdown. The bad news has been that while both teams
envisioned having winning records by week eleven of the NFL season, it hasn’t
turned out quite that way. Arizona is 4-5 and in second place in the weakest
division in the NFC, while the Bengals have three wins in the tough AFC North.
Mathematically, neither team is out of the playoff hunt, but a loss will pretty
much kill any realistic hopes that either team has of seeing post-season
football in 2007.
Why Arizona Might Win: How good was Arizona against the run last
weekend? How about “Very”? Exceptional? Yes, yes, any adjective works,
especially when you hold a team to negative yardage on the ground. Detroit ran
the ball eight times against the Cardinals, registering -18 yards in the
process. Defensive tackle Darnell Dockett and company are 13th in
the NFL against the run and can force Cincinnati into being completely
one-dimensional on offense, as this defense did last week to Detroit. The Lions
have a similar offensive make-up as the Bengals, so this should play well for
the Cardinals defense this week.
Why Cincinnati Might Win: Interestingly enough, the defense may actually
be a reason the Bengals might win this week. Sure, the Cardinals aren’t the
Ravens offensively, but the defense did keep the Ravens out of the end zone
until the fourth quarter. Raven running back Willis McGahee was held to 60
yards rushing and because the Bengals kept the Ravens off the field, the offense
ran 16 more plays during the game. Carson Palmer and the Cincinnati offense
with 16 more plays, the equivalent of two or three more possessions during a
game? That helps immensely.
Who to Watch: The Cardinal quarterback situation. Starting quarterback
Kurt Warner is the full-time starter and was fantastic last week against the
Lions – 26 of 36 for 259 yards and three touchdowns. However, in certain
situations, head coach Ken Whisenhunt will use Tim Rattay. In fact, he did so
last week and with one throw, Rattay hit a two-yard touchdown. The eclectic mix
of former MVP and journeyman quarterback seems to be working and could again
this week in Cincinnati.
What Will Happen: The Bengals offensive line will protect Palmer this
week and he’ll respond with a solid 275+ yard, three-touchdown performance to
lead the Bengals to win number four. The Cardinals will get a strong
performance from Warner/Rattay; however, the Bengals defense will create a
turnover or two to give Palmer the ball back for a couple of additional
possessions.
CFN Prediction: Bengals 28 … Cardinals 23
... Line: Cincinnati -3
Must See Rating: (5 On HBO, "Michigan vs. Ohio State: The Rivalry"
- 1 Writer strike induced reruns) ... 2
Tampa
Bay at
Atlanta
1:00 pm Fox November 18, 2007
Why to Watch: With the turmoil that resulted in Atlanta this summer, it’s
difficult to know whether the Falcons winning three games this season should be
denigrated or hailed. Most critics have lambasted head coach Bobby Petrino for
his handling of this team, but with the hand he was dealt, winning three games
should be applauded. The Falcons third win came last week as Atlanta scored
late in the fourth quarter to beat the Carolina Panthers 20-13. As crazy as it
sounds, the Falcons are only two games behind the division leading Buccaneers
who rested up during a bye week last weekend. The Buccaneers hold on the
division lead is tenuous at best, so the Falcons can make up some ground with a
win this weekend.
Why Tampa Bay Might Win: It’s the freakin’ Falcons, right? They can’t
win two in a row, can they? Regardless, quarterback Jeff Garcia is having a
strong season as the Bucs first year starting quarterback. He’s sixth in the
league in passer rating with 95.5, completing 65.9% of his passes, nine
touchdowns and only three interceptions. Atlanta’s defense is 11th
in the league against the pass, yielding 202.4 yards per game and Garcia can
riddle this secondary with the short, controlled passing game, setting up the
deep ball to receiver Joey Galloway.
Why Atlanta Might Win: The Falcons are on a roll, baby. One win in a
row! All kidding aside, the Falcons found a way to win last Sunday in Charlotte
(as it seems they always do), beating the Panthers 20-13. One of the brightest
spots in that win and a distinct reason why the Falcons will have a chance to
win a second game in a row is running back Warrick Dunn. The eleven year
veteran ran for 89 yards, including a 30 yard run for a touchdown to kick off
the Falcons scoring. This Tampa Bay defense isn’t near as good as the 2002
version – note the 113.2 yards rushing per game allowed, tied for 18th
in the NFL – so expect plenty of Dunn this weekend.
Who to Watch: Falcon defensive tackle Rod Coleman was a menace last week
and the Panthers had a difficult time blocking the talented lineman. He
finished the game with only three tackles, but he had two sacks, a forced fumble
and a quarterback hurry. His ability to get pressure at the feet of Tampa Bay
quarterback Jeff Garcia is a major key to this game, not to mention clogging the
running lanes for running backs Michael Pittman and Earnest Graham.
What Will Happen: Maybe last week was a precursor of things to come for
the Falcons. Dunn will have a strong game, rushing for 85+ yards and a
touchdown, while Byron Lefwich has a solid game, throwing for 225+ yards and a
touchdown. The combination will help lead the Falcons to win number four on the
season and an upset that’ll bring the Falcons within one game of the NFC South
lead. Believe it.
CFN Prediction: Falcons 23 … Buccaneers 20
... Line: Tampa Bay -3
Must See Rating: (5 On HBO, "Michigan vs. Ohio State: The Rivalry"
- 1 Writer strike induced reruns) ... 2.5
Carolina
at Green Bay
1:00 pm Fox November 18, 2007
Why to Watch: 8-1. There isn’t an NFL expert worth his salt that had the
Green Bay Packers winning eight of their first nine games. Not one. But, the
Packers are for real and if the 34-0 shutout of the Vikings last week didn’t get
your attention, then it might never happen. Quarterback Brett Favre needed a
running game to emerge to take the Packers to greater heights and he’s gotten
that help from Ryan Grant. The Panthers, on the other hand, don’t even have a
quarterback to rely upon, with Jake Delhomme, David Carry and Vinny Testaverde
all injured at various points in the season (not to mention a less than quality
running game). Last week, the Falcons beat the Panthers in Charlotte on a last
minute Alge Crumpler touchdown catch and run. The loss left the Panthers in a
must win situation, one game behind the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the NFC South.
Why Carolina Might Win: The Carolina defense still has some ‘juice’.
The D held Warrick Dunn to just over three yards a carry – take out his thirty
yard run early in the game and the average would have been just over two yards
per carry. Rookie linebacker Jon Beason has been a stud all season long,
perhaps the best defensive rookie in the league; he had eleven tackles on the
day and sets a physical standard that the rest of the defense has to match. The
Packers have run the ball better lately, but if the Carolina defense, 18th
in the NFL in rush defense, gets great play from its front four, it can force
the Packers to be one-dimensional on offense.
Why Green Bay Might Win: There are 119 reasons why the Packers might not
only win this week, but make a lot of noise in the NFC playoffs. Packer running
back Grant ran for 119 yards on 25 carries and a touchdown against the Vikings.
The Packers have been looking for a running game all season long and may have
found one in the form of Grant, the former Domer. The Panthers are tied for 18th
in the NFL in rush defense, giving up 113.2 yards per game, so Grant should have
a significant impact yet again.
Who to Watch: Where has Julius Peppers been this season? He’s had two
sacks. Two. Perhaps one of the best players on the defensive side of the ball
in the league has all of two sacks this season. He’s not generating pressure
off the edge and has been nearly invisible this season. To stop the Packers, he
can’t be hidden any more.
What Will Happen: The Pack is on a high, while the Panthers can’t figure
out who’s going to play quarterback. The Packers have found balance on
offense. The Panthers can’t find Steve Smith, who may not play this week. The
Packers have Brett Favre who has consistently kicked Father Time’s backside.
The Panthers have Vinny Testaverde who is Father Time’s youngest child. You
figure out what’s going to happen.
CFN Prediction: Packers 27 … Panthers 13 ...
Line: Green Bay -10
Must See Rating: (5 On HBO, "Michigan vs. Ohio State: The Rivalry"
- 1 Writer strike induced reruns) ... 3
Pittsburgh at
New York Jets
4:05 pm CBS November 18, 2007
Why to Watch: How much worse can the season get for the Jets? They’ve
lost six in a row and it took a bye week last week to break the losing streak.
At 1-8, the Jets are in great shape for the number one pick in the 2008 NFL
Draft and a visit from Pittsburgh could assist the Jets on their voyage to the
top of the Draft charts. The Steelers are 7-2 on the season, including last
week’s 31-28 nailbiter over division foe Cleveland. However, the Steelers’ two
losses, Arizona and Denver, have come after home wins on the road, so the Jets
can take some solace in the fact that the Steelers are traveling to the
Meadowlands on Sunday.
Why Pittsburgh Might Win: Perfect offensive balance. Quarterback Ben
Roethlisberger threw the ball 34 times against the Browns, while the run game
piled up 35 carries. The balance accounted for 31 points and 401 yards total
offense. The Jets can’t handle a team with a balanced offense, not to mention
any competent offense. The Jets are last in the league in rush defense, giving
up 152.2 yards per game, and 24th in pass defense, yielding 228.0
yards per game. The Steelers ability to run and throw equally well is a recipe
for success against this porous Jets defense.
Why the Jets Might Win: The Jets found a defense during the bye week?
Other than that it’s hard to imagine this Jets team winning this game with one
of the worst defenses in the league. The insertion of Clemens into the starting
lineup is perhaps a boost that can kick start a career and a stagnant offense.
The Jets are 29th in the league in total offense, but Clemens can
stretch the field with his arm and escape the pocket with his legs.
Who to Watch: The Steelers pass rush. One week after knocking Steve
McNair into next week, the Steelers produced all of zero sacks. Ze-Ro. Facing
an inexperienced quarterback, former Oregon Duck Kellen Clemens, the pass rush
must at least produce pressures, if not sacks. Sacks are a luxury item this
week given the fact that Clemens is a more mobile quarterback; however, forcing
him out of the pocket could force some back-breaking turnovers.
What Will Happen: The Steelers will own this game from jump. Running
back Willie Parker will hammer on the Jets weak run defense, while
Roethlisberger throws less than 20 times in a Pittsburgh win. This one won’t be
close.
CFN Prediction: Steelers 31 … Jets 13
... Line: Pittsburgh -9.5
Must See Rating: (5 On HBO, "Michigan vs. Ohio State: The Rivalry"
- 1 Writer strike induced reruns) ... 2
Chicago
at Seattle
4:15 pm Fox November 18, 2007
Why to Watch: The Bears’ up-and-down season is on the upswing after a
17-6 win over the Oakland Raiders on the road. Quarterback Rex Grossman came
off the bench to throw the go-ahead touchdown in the fourth quarter. The win
put the Bears at 4-5 on the season, four games behind the scalding hot Green Bay
Packers in the NFC North, and in chase mode for a potential wild card playoff
berth. Seattle was thoroughly dominant in its 24-0 shutout of the San Francisco
49ers, a win that kept the Seahawks alone in first place in the NFC West. It’s
a tenuous hold on first place with the Cardinals one game back in the division
chase. Wins are vital for the past two NFC champions, especially the Bears.
Why Chicago Might Win: The Bears found a quarterback last week?
Perhaps? Okay, so it’s just Rex Grossman, but he finally showed why he was a
first round pick last week at Oakland, throwing the deep ball for the
game-breaking 59 yard touchdown to receiver Bernard Berrian. Grossman’s ability
to stretch the field may open things up for Cedric Benson, who was last seen
grinding out 76 yards on 29 carries and a touchdown. The Bears could use all
the passing game improvement they can handle.
Why Seattle Might Win: The Seahawks decided to throw the football right
out of the shoot against the 49ers. And, they did it pretty well. Quarterback
Matt Hasselbeck threw for 278 yards on 27 of 40 passing and a couple of
touchdowns on Monday night. Considering the fact that the Bears secondary has
been banged up much of the year, the Seahawks gameplan won’t, and shouldn’t, be
a one-week type of thing. The Bears are 15th in the NFL, giving up
211 yards per game, so Hasselbeck should be licking his chops this week.
Who to Watch: With the Seahawks due to throw the ball all over the yard,
pressure off the edge is tantamount for a Bears defense that held the Raiders to
six points last week. That edge pressure should come from defensive end Adawale
Ogunleye, who had three sacks last week against Oakland. He and Tommie Harris
both have seven sacks on the season, so expect Hasselbeck to have to throw on
the run throughout the game.
What Will Happen: The Seahawks hammered the 49ers last week, but won’t
have it as easy this week. The Bears will get a strong game from Benson,
finally, and ride him for much of the game against a stout Seahawks run
defense. However, Hasselbeck will take over late in the game and pull this one
out of the fire late in the fourth quarter for a narrow Seattle win.
CFN Prediction: Seahawks 24 … Bears 23
... Line: Seattle -5
Must See Rating: (5 On HBO, "Michigan vs. Ohio State: The Rivalry"
- 1 Writer strike induced reruns) ... 3.5
Washington at
Dallas
4:15 pm Fox November 18, 2007
Why to Watch: The only thing that could make this rivalry game more
exciting this weekend would be if George Allen and Jimmy Johnson were leading
his respective former team. Well, that and if the Redskins were 8-1 like the
Cowboys. Washington couldn’t hang on to a lead in the second half against
Philadelphia, losing 33-25 at home to drop the record to 5-4 and three games
behind Dallas in the NFC East. Dallas, on the other hand, has won three in a
row since the loss to New England, including last week’s key 31-20 win over the
New York Giants. However, with rivalry games, you know what you can do with the
records. It’s ‘Skins v. ‘Boys – anything can happen.
Why Washington Might Win: Thank god for quarterback Jason Campbell and
running back Clinton Portis. The defense was putrid last week against the
Eagles, especially in the fourth quarter. However, Campbell threw for three
touchdowns, while Portis pounded out the carries, thirty times for 137 yards.
Dallas’ defense is only 21st in the league in scoring defense, so the
Redskins can put some points up on the board with a little Campbell and a lot of
Portis.
Why Dallas Might Win: No one can stop this offense, arguably the second
best unit in the league…and a unit that would be the best in the league if the
New England Patriots didn’t exist. Quarterback Tony Romo is third in the league
behind Ben Roethlisberger and Tom Brady in passer rating. A few more games like
the one he had last week in New York and he might surpass both guys ahead of him
– 20 of 28 for 247 yards, four touchdowns and one interception. He might be
streaky, but he’s on a good streak right now and that’s not good news for a
Washington secondary missing Sean Taylor this weekend.
Who to Watch: Dallas defensive end DeMarcus Ware has become one of the
most dominating defenders in the NFL. Against New York, Ware registered a sack
and a quarterback hurry, in addition to ten tackles on the night. Ware is such
a blur off the edge and will create huge problems for quarterback Jason
Campbell.
What Will Happen: The Cowboys aren’t into making statements. Uh, yeah
right. Wade Phillips’ bunch is ready for the Redskins one week before the
annual Thanksgiving game next Thursday. Romo will have another three touchdown
game against the ‘Skins, while the running game will slice up the Redskins 11th
ranked rush defense.
CFN Prediction: Cowboys 35 … Redskins 14
... Line: Dallas -10.5
Must See Rating: (5 On HBO, "Michigan vs. Ohio State: The Rivalry"
- 1 Writer strike induced reruns) ... 4
St.
Louis at
San Francisco
4:15 pm Fox November 18, 2007
Why to Watch: The Rams finally won! The Rams finally won! It was such a
big feat, we had to tell everyone twice. St. Louis finally found its offense
and in so doing, experienced winning for the first time in 2007, beating the
Saints 37-29 in the Superdome. Even though the Rams have only one win, they’re
probably playing much better football than their counterparts – the 49ers. San
Francisco has struggled mightily since winning the first two games of the
season, including a 17-16 win over St. Louis in week two. The 49ers latest loss
was 24-0 in Seattle, a game in which the 49ers did little to stay competitive.
Consequently, the NFC West cellar awaits the loser.
Why St. Louis Might Win: Rams quarterback Marc Bulger is back! The
passing game is back! The offense is whole again. Bulger lit up the Saints
last week down in the Big Easy, 27 of 33 for 302 yards and two touchdowns (most
importantly, no picks). Seven different receivers caught passes for Bulger and
the end result was a win. The indirect result was the 133 yards rushing that
the Rams piled up, 76 of those from star Steven Jackson. But, the Rams may not
need to run the ball, given the fact that they’re facing the 21st
ranked pass defense in the league, giving up 216.4 YPG. Uh oh, balls will be-a-flyin’.
Why San Francisco Might Win: Well, the Rams did get their one win, so
perhaps a letdown is on its way. Perhaps. Is it possible that the offense can
be somewhat productive this week against the Rams 19th ranked
defense? The Rams are giving up 332.3 yards total offense per game and should
give the 49ers a shot at moving the ball effectively. The 49ers offense can
only improve and the Rams are the defense that it can happen against.
Who to Watch: The 49ers quarterback Alex Smith was the first pick in the
2005 NFL Draft, but is playing like an undrafted free agent. Against Seattle,
Smith completed less than 50% of his passes (12 of 28 passes) and just over 100
yards (114 to be exact). The 49ers have the worst passing offense in the
league, averaging 128.4 yards per game and Smith is the worst passer in the
NFL. The third year starter had better start playing better, well, he can’t
play much worse.
What Will Happen: Although Smith will have his best game of the season,
the Rams offense found its groove last week in New Orleans. Bulger will light
up the 49ers, with another 275+ yards passing and take home a second consecutive
road win.
CFN Prediction: Rams 27 … 49ers 21
... Line: St. Louis -2.5
Must See Rating: (5 On HBO, "Michigan vs. Ohio State: The Rivalry"
- 1 Writer strike induced reruns) ... 1.5
New
England at
Buffalo
8:15 pm NBC November 18, 2007
Why to Watch: Well, how about the fact that every time you tune in to a
New England Patriots game in 2007, you could be watching history in the making.
That’s reason enough, huh? Everyone knows what the Patriots are doing this
season. 9-0. Outscoring opponents by an average of 22 points per game. A
league leading 355 points scored in nine games (just under 40 points per game).
Perfection is on the line each and every week from here on out. But, Buffalo
has improved mightily since the Patriots hammered the Bills 38-7 earlier this
season. Buffalo continues to find ways to win, even if its ugly like last
week’s 13-10 win over the Dolphins in Miami. Can Buffalo help the 1972 Dolphins
pop the cork this week?
Why New England Might Win: For what reason will the Patriots not win?
Too much rust after a bye week? Pressure of being undefeated this late in the
year? Tom Brady upset he wasn’t named People’s Sexiest Man Alive? Let’s be
honest, the Patriots have the fourth ranked defense in the league, giving up
less than 280 yards per game. The offense is the best in the league, averaging
nearly 40 points per game and 428.7 yards per game. What’s there not to like?
No Sammy Morris?
Why Buffalo Might Win: Well, the Bills may not have much chance to win
without Marshawn Lynch, but the Bills have some new found confidence after four
wins in a row. Last week, the Bills manufactured another win on the road,
partially behind the strength of the defense. Consequently, the Bills are ninth
in the NFL in scoring defense, giving up 18.4 points per game.
Who to Watch: Buffalo’s defensive front seven. Miami running back Jesse
Chatman ran all over the Bills defensive front, to the tune of 124 yards on 27
carries. The last thing that the Bills can afford to have happen is for the
Patriots to run the ball right down their throat, providing the perfect
complement to Brady’s passing game.
What Will Happen: The Patriots will fight through a rough first quarter
and the emotion of a home game for the streaking Bills, but reality will set in
around the second quarter. Brady will abuse the secondary throughout the game,
lighting them up for 300+ yards and three more touchdowns. The Patriots pick up
win number ten. Cue Mercury Morris and his iceberg lecture.
CFN Prediction: Patriots 40 … Bills 14
... Line: New England -16.5
Must See Rating: (5 On HBO, "Michigan vs. Ohio State: The Rivalry"
- 1 Writer strike induced reruns) ... 3.5
Tennessee at
Denver
8:30 pm ESPN November 18, 2007
Why to Watch: After a tough loss at home to the Jaguars, the Titans have
to travel to Denver for the first of two consecutive road games. The fightin’
VYs had ample opportunity to make plays in the fourth quarter to overcome the
two touchdown deficit, but the Titans couldn’t take advantage and now venture to
Denver, a winner over Kansas City 27-11 in Arrowhead. In the tough AFC,
Tennessee can’t afford another loss with additional AFC South games on the
horizon if it wishes to make the playoffs. Denver, believe it or not, is just
one game out of the AFC West race, so to keep pace, it must win key games at
home.
Why Tennessee Might Win: Even though the Jaguars ran the football well
on the Titans, Tennessee is still fourth in the league against the run, giving
up 77.1 yards per game. The Broncos ran well last week against the Chiefs, but
Tennessee has one of the best defensive front sevens in the league. On the flip
side, Denver’s defensive front isn’t. The Broncos are 31st in the
league against the run and the Titans are fourth in the league, averaging 139.8
yards per game.
Why Denver Might Win: Somehow, some way the Broncos find a way to run
the football. The list of running backs that have rushed for 100 yards in a
game for the Broncos in the Mike Shanahan era is long and obscene, in some cases
obscure. Well, add Selvin Young to the list. Last week, the former Texas
product ran for 109 yards on twenty carries against the Chiefs and now he’s
geared up for the Tennessee front seven. After what the Jaguar running backs
did to Tennessee, Young could have another strong game…and must for the Broncos
to win yet again.
Who to Watch: Denver defensive end Elvis Dumervil continues to make plays
off the edge, regardless of how Lilliputian he may appear to be. He had a sack
and a forced fumble last week and is vital in a game against Vince Young. Sacks
won’t be the proper measure of his production this week as it’ll be more
important to contain Young than to pile up the sack numbers. However, Dumervil
can be the fly in the Titans pass protection ointment, if you will.
What Will Happen: Vince Young will finally have a ball game worthy of VY
status. Since the injury incurred at Tampa Bay, Young has struggled, but this
week, he rises up and saves the Titans in a tough spot. He’ll make some key
throws on a late drive that sets up a game winning Rob Bironas field goal to put
the Titans back in the win column.
CFN Prediction: Titans 17 … Broncos 16 ...
Line: Denver -2.5
Must See Rating: (5 On HBO, "Michigan vs. Ohio State: The Rivalry"
- 1 Writer strike induced reruns) ... 3