Big 12 Fearless Predictions, Nov. 24, Part 2
Posted Nov 21, 2007

Previews and Predictions for the Week 13 Big 12 Games, Part 2

Big 12
North Colorado | Iowa St | Kansas | Kansas State | Missouri | Nebraska
South Baylor | Oklahoma | Oklahoma State | Texas | Texas A&M | Texas Tech

Big 12 Fearless Predictions Sept. 1Sept. 8 | Sept. 15Sept. 22 | Sept. 29 
Oct. 6Oct. 13 | Oct. 20Oct. 27 | Nov. 3Nov. 10 | Nov. 17Dec. 1

How are the picks so far? SU: 66-17 ... ATS: 40-32-1

Big 12 Week 13 Predictions, Part 1

Big 12 Saturday, November 24th

Kansas State (5-6) at Fresno State (6-4)  3:30 PM ESPN
Why to watch: Fresno State likes to think of itself as a sort of giant killer, but it's now more than five years removed from its 2001 season when it beat Colorado, Oregon State and Wisconsin and it hasn't pulled off too many impressive regular season wins since. It beat Kansas State in 2004, but that was when the program was well into its descent from the Big 12 title days. With two games left to play, a good season can become a great one with a win over the Wildcats and a win at New Mexico State. For KSU, a win means bowl eligibility after a 13th game appeared to be a sure thing just a few weeks ago. After starting out a decent 5-3 with a win over Texas and good showing against Auburn and Kansas, the Wildcats were shocked at Iowa State, got 73 hung on them by Nebraska, and couldn't handle the Missouri machine. A win would be the team's second road victory of the the year with the other coming in Austin.
Why Kansas State might win: Fresno State doesn't turn the ball over too often, but it never forces mistakes, either. To beat Kansas State, the Bulldogs can't get into any kind of a shootout, they don't have the firepower, so they're going to have to win the turnover battle. Don't hold your breath; FSU is 106th in the nation in turnover margin. This isn't a strong, consistent Bulldog passing team so field position will be at a premium. Fresno State usually wins that battle with a tremendous return game, but Kansas State will negate the advantage with the nation's top-ranked punt return unit and the eighth best punting game.
Why Fresno State might win: KSU QB Josh Freeman will be under as much pressure as he's had to face all season long. The Wildcat O line has done a terrific job of keeping its star clean for most of the year, but Fresno is great at manufacturing ways to get into the backfield. That pressure has helped a secondary that's done a great job all year long turning into one of the WAC's best. It got nailed for 491 yards in a shootout with Nevada, and gave up 410 yards to Hawaii, but that's WAC football. KSU should get its yards, but the Bulldogs will win their share of battles when the ball is in the air.
Who to watch: Fresno State sophomore A.J. Jefferson took over the kickoff return duties the fourth game of the season and has put together an All-America campaign ever since averaging 35.8 yards per try. Great from the start, he stepped up over the last two games averaging 52.7 yards per return with a touchdown in the win over Utah State, and averaging 35 yards a pop in the loss to Hawaii.
What will happen: Fresno State will play at another level with a big name coming to its house. Kansas State will get its passing yards, but not enough of them as the Bulldogs will be more physical, sharper, and tougher in the fourth quarter.
CFN Prediction: Fresno State 27 ... Kansas State 24 ... Line: PICK

Must See Rating: (5
The inside of your eyelids after eating two pounds of turkey  - 1 The inside of a gym with every 120 calories equaling a mile on the treadmill) ...2.5

Oklahoma State (6-5)
at Oklahoma (9-2)  3:30 PM  
Why to watch: The Big 12 South race just got really, really interesting. With the 34-27 loss at Texas Tech last week, Oklahoma lost out on its national title hopes while also giving Texas a ray of hope for the Big 12 championship. A Longhorn win over Texas A&M and a Sooner loss to Oklahoma State would mean Texas wins the South while OU would finish tied with OSU for second. the Cowboys are hardly going to be pushovers with a high-octane offense that should be able to put up big yards on an OU D that's still dizzy from Graham Harrell and the Red Raiders. Making things even tougher for OU is the status of starting QB Sam Bradford, who's questionable at best after sustaining a concussion early last week. Adding injury to insult, star RB DeMarco Murray is gone with a knee injury suffered on the final onside kick attempt. OSU famously won this rivalry game in 2001 and 2002 to ruin OU's national title dreams, but it hasn't beaten the Sooners since.
Why Oklahoma State might win: If it comes down to it, can Joey Halzle win a game for OU? The Cowboy secondary is getting ripped apart by everyone ranking second-to-last in America, just ahead of UTEP, but the Sooners might want to try to run the ball early on just to get Halzle's feet wet. He got hot late against Texas Tech, but struggled early on when the running game wasn't providing much help. Outside of a huge fourth quarter by Jamaal Charles of Texas, the run defense has been sound.
Why Oklahoma might win: This is Oklahoma. Lose one player, throw in another, get the same production. Remember, this was a team that was actually better last year when Adrian Peterson was out. Of course it wasn't a better team with Peterson on the sidelines, but the rest of the team picked up its production and the result was big win after big win. This is a good enough team to rally around Halze throwing the ball and Allen Patrick, who ran for 163 yards against OSU last year, and Chris Brown, who added 74 yards and two touchdowns, running it. Bradford and Murray weren't the only reasons why OU was 6-0 at home winning by a combined score of 319 to 92, 53 or 15. Supposedly, OU is going to turn the game over to is magnificent offensive line and try to run its way to a win, but ...
Who to watch: ... don't believe it. Kansas State's Jordy Nelson and Texas Tech's Michael Crabtree will end up taking the First Team All-Big 12 and All-America, honors, but the pro scouts are more interested in OU's Malcolm Kelly and Juaquin Iglesias. These two have been strangely quiet over the last several weeks, with Kelly only catching two touchdown pass since the third game of the year while Iglesias has only caught one touchdown pass in the last six games. Way overdue to break out, they should be able to torch the Cowboy secondary if Halzle is even mediocre.
What will happen: Oklahoma will be its typical Oklahoma juggernaut at home no matter who's under center or in the backfield. With its back against the wall, OU will overcome a few big pass plays from the Cowboys, and a 350-yard passing day from Zac Robinson, to go on to the Big 12 championship game.
CFN Prediction: Oklahoma 41 ... Oklahoma State 31 ... Tennessee 27 ... Line: Oklahoma -12

Must See Rating: (5
The inside of your eyelids after eating two pounds of turkey  - 1 The inside of a gym with every 120 calories equaling a mile on the treadmill) ...4

Big 12 Week 13 Predictions, Part 1