NFL Fearless
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11
Week 12
Green Bay
at Dallas
8:15 pm NFL Network
Why to Watch: Is there a reason not to watch two 10-1 teams battle for
NFC supremacy? Yeah, that’s what we thought. Both teams made quick work of
their Thanksgiving opponents. The Packers beat the Lions 37-26 on the road,
behind quarterback Brett Favre’s impressive performance, which included 20
straight completions at one point. The Cowboys 34-3 win over the Jets was as
systematic as it was boring. A little Marion Barber III, a little Tony Romo and
boom, this one was over by the end of the first quarter. Don’t expect that to
be the case in Dallas this Thursday. With Packer running back Ryan Grant
proving to be a solid addition to the running game, these two teams are similar
in just about every way. It’s a classic matchup and finally it means
something. A lot of something.
Why Green Bay Might Win: Although the Cowboys defense held the Jets
passing game to 142 yards, it won’t do that this week against Favre. The
gray-haired gunslinger is playing as well as he has in his entire career. He’s
second in the league with 3,356 passing yards and has thrown 22 touchdowns.
Furthermore, his young receivers are having strong seasons due in large part to
the leadership portrayed by rock solid veteran Donald Driver. Dallas’ defense
was shredded by the New England passing game earlier this year and the Packers
have the capability, including the right quarterback to pull off a similar
performance.
Why Dallas Might Win: For as good as Favre has been in his career, he’s
never beaten the Cowboys in Dallas and under extreme pass rush pressure, he’s
been known to throw his share of interceptions. Favre’s thrown eight
interceptions on the season and Ken Hamlin, Terence Newman and Anthony Henry
will be lurking in the secondary. The Cowboy defensive back trio has twelve
interceptions on the season and presents a severe road-block for the future Hall
of Fame quarterback. Given additional possessions in this game, Romo and his
number two offense in the league will put up 40 on the Packers 12th
ranked defense.
Who to Watch: Cowboy tight end Jason Witten is often the forgotten piece
in this offense. Barber and Julius Jones in the run game. T.O and Patrick
Crayton at the receiving spots. T. Romo at quarterback. Witten, on the other
hand, should be the biggest worry for the Packers defense. He’s a horrible
matchup for the Packers linebackers and/or safeties. He’s caught 59 passes on
the season for 750 yards and is a menace down the middle of the field against
cover two or Tampa two schemes.
What Will Happen: Favre is going to show up and play as well as he ever
has in Dallas; however, it won’t be enough to overcome the Cowboys offensive
performance. Witten is two touchdowns waiting to happen, while Romo will riddle
the Packers 18th ranked pass defense for 300+ yards and three
touchdowns. Cowboys go to 11-1, while the Packers dream of a rematch in
January.
CFN Prediction: Cowboys 38 …Packers 27
Line: Dallas -7
Must See Rating: (5 Nirvana
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5
Detroit
at Minnesota
1:00 pm Fox December 2, 2007
Why to Watch: The Vikings have improved each and every week and the 5-6
record doesn’t tell the whole story about this 2007 squad. Case in point, last
week’s matchup with the New York Giants. The Vikes destroyed the Giants last
week in the Meadowlands 41-17, due in large part to Giants quarterback Eli
Manning’s desire to play Santa Claus for the Minnesota defense. Three pick
sixes later, the Vikings flew back home with a decisive win, setting the tone
for the stretch run. The Lions, on the other hand, struggled yet again, losing
for the third straight week on Thanksgiving day to the Packers 37-26. Another
loss for the Lions and you can pretty much forget any plausible playoff
possibilities, a winning record or even a .500 record.
Why Detroit Might Win: The Lions haven’t been as productive throwing the
ball lately, but this is still the seventh best passing offense in the NFL,
averaging 251.2 yards per game. Quarterback Jon Kitna had a rough day against
the Packers, completing only 19 of 40 passes, but he’s facing a Vikings defense
that is last in the league in pass defense, yielding 283.1 yards per game. The
Vikings defense was much better last week against the Giants, but that was
against Eli Manning, not this Lions passing game.
Why Minnesota Might Win: Adrian Peterson or not, the Vikings can run the
football. The offensive line has been the big reason why the Vikings are
sniffing the playoffs. The Vikings possess the best running game in the league,
averaging 173.3 yards per game and don’t believe for a second that it’s all
Peterson. Chester Taylor didn’t run all over the Giants, but cranked out 77
hard yards against the Giants defense. And, because of the ability to run the
football, quarterback Tarvaris Jackson was brilliant last week, although he only
threw the ball 12 times (completing ten passes for 129 yards and a touchdown).
Who to Watch: All this talk about the Vikings running game is
overshadowing the play of rookie receiver Sidney Rice. A week after showing off
his passing skills, Rice caught three passes last week against the Giants,
including a 60-yard pass for a touchdown. He won’t have 100 catches in a season
playing with a second year quarterback; regardless, he’s starting to make an
impact late in the season.
What Will Happen: The Vikings won’t need Peterson to play with the way
that Taylor is running the football. Taylor will have another productive day
against a surprising Detroit front seven, rushing for 95+ yards on the ground
and the Lions will crumble once again. The Vikings are clearly the second best
team in the NFC North and are now 6-6 with a chance to get to the playoffs,
believe it or not.
CFN Prediction: Vikings – 24…Lions – 17
Line: Minnesota -3.5
Must See Rating: (5 Nirvana
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3
Seattle
at Philadelphia
1:00 pm Fox December 2, 2007
Why to Watch: The Eagles almost pulled off the biggest upset in NFL
history last week, losing to the Patriots 31-28 in a near flawless game. Well,
except for the first throw of the night and the last throw of the game for Eagle
quarterback A.J. Feeley. Take those two picks out of the equation and you
might’ve seen history of a different kind made by the Eagles. The Seahawks came
from behind to beat the Rams in St. Louis 24-19 as the Seattle defense had a
goalline stand late in the fourth quarter to win. Uh, with a little help from
St. Louis quarterback Gus Frerotte that is. The win put the Seahawks at 7-4,
two games ahead of the Cardinals and firmly in the driver’s seat in the
division.
Why Seattle Might Win: Can the Eagles expect to play the way they did
last week at New England? Doubtful. And, with the questions surrounding
Donovan McNabb and whether he’ll play, that’s a distraction that plays well for
the Seahawks. Add in the fact that Matt Hasselbeck is quietly (isn’t that how
everything is done in Seattle?) having a Pro Bowl season and the Eagles could be
in some trouble. Hasselbeck has thrown for 2,887 yards and 18 touchdowns and
should do some damage to the 22nd ranked Philly pass defense.
Why Philadelphia Might Win: How good has this offense been under the
leadership of Mr. Feeley, sans the three picks he threw against the Pats? Sure,
it’s only been a couple of games, but Feeley proved he’s capable of moving the
ball against anyone. The Seahawks are 14th in the NFL in pass
defense, giving up 213.3 yards per game. If the Eagles can slow down defensive
end Patrick Kerney and give Feeley time to throw, the Seahawks could have
struggle immensely. Especially due to the fact that…
Who to Watch: …the Eagles have Brian Westbrook. Now, one guy can’t win a
game by himself, but we’re seeing the impact he can have on this Eagles offense,
even if he doesn’t roll up 100 yard games on a week in/week out basis. There’s
no question that the Patriots went into last week’s game looking to stop
Westbrook and Feeley had one of the best games a quarterback has had this season
against the Pats because of it. Feeley’s not that good, people, but the respect
that the Patriots had for Westbrook, who still had 92 total yards and a
touchdown, allowed Feeley the opportunity to succeed.
What Will Happen: The negative body clock syndrome strikes the Seahawks
this weekend - having to travel clear across country to face a dangerous team
that should’ve won last week. Feeley will throw for 250+ yards against the 14th
ranked Seattle pass defense to lead the Eagles for another week. Westbrook will
be the key yet again, rushing for 85+ yards and catching five or six passes for
another 75+. The Seahawks won’t have an answer for Westbrook, Feeley and the
rest of the Eagles offense.
CFN Prediction: Eagles – 24…Seahawks – 20
Line: Philadelphia -3
Must See Rating: (5 Nirvana
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3
San Diego
at Kansas City
1:00 pm CBS December 2, 2007
Why to Watch: Rematch. Revenge? The Chiefs caught the Chargers during
an early season swoon and beat them in San Diego 30-16, but the teams went in
opposite directions after that game. The Chiefs have struggled, losing four out
of their last five games, including last week’s 20-17 loss to three win
Oakland. However, even with a 4-7 record, the Chiefs are only two games out of
first place. The Chargers are that team in first place, having won three of
their last five, including last week’s 32-14 blowout of Baltimore. This hasn’t
been a pretty season and nowhere near as successful as last year’s 14-win
season. San Diego has to prove it can win on the road and gain a measure of
revenge after being embarrassed at home earlier this season.
Why San Diego Might Win: If Raider running back Justin Fargas can run
all over the Chiefs defense, what in God’s name will LaDainian Tomlinson do to
them? He had a field day against the Chiefs in the last meeting…in the first
half. For a full 60 minutes, with Philip Rivers now playing like a real NFL
quarterback (25 of 35 for 249 yards, three touchdowns, no picks), the Chiefs
could face nine rings of Dante’s hell trying to tackle Tomlinson, unless the
Charger coaching staff goes away from him as in the second half of the last
meeting. Kansas City is 18th in the NFL against the run, so it’ll be
a long day, very long day for the Chiefs run defense. Long.
Why Kansas City Might Win: The Raiders run defense isn’t the 1985 Bears,
but the Chiefs running game shone last week. Third string rookie Kolby Smith
ran for 150 yards and two touchdowns on 31 carries. The Chargers defense has
been a shell of last year’s unit and is in the bottom third of the NFL in rush
defense, yielding 113.9 yards per game. Something tells me that we’ll see a lot
of Mr. Smith, part deux this weekend.
Who to Watch: Charger outside linebacker/defensive playmaker Shawne
Merriman has been taken out of games during this season (figuratively speaking
of course), but last week, he had seven tackles and a sack (six and a half on
the season). The Chiefs are starting inexperienced quarterback Brodie Croyle
and Merriman must be in his face throughout the afternoon, no matter whether he
faces double teams or not.
What Will Happen: Tomlinson is going to have his best game of the season
against the Chiefs. He had a brilliant first half against them earlier in the
season, but this week he’ll do it for a full 60 minutes. He’ll rush for 145+
yards and catch passes for 65+ more and three touchdowns to lead the Chargers to
win number seven.
CFN Prediction: Chargers – 31…Chiefs – 17
Line: San Diego -5.5
Must See Rating: (5 Nirvana
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2.5
New York Jets
at Miami
1:00 pm CBS December 2, 2007
Why to Watch: Can we bring back Ken O’Brien and Wesley Walker this week?
Maybe Dan Marino and the Marks Brothers? Please? Pretty Please?!? Well,
okay. We’re not happy about it, but we’ll deal with Kellen Clemens and John
Beck. The two teams have combined for two wins, both wins courtesy of the Jets,
including an earlier 31-28 win over the Dolphins in the Meadowlands earlier this
season. And, that was a Dolphins team with Trent Green and Ronnie Brown in the
lineup. Both team suffered losses – the Jets 34-3 on Thanksgiving to the
Cowboys and the Dolphins 3-0 to the Steelers on Monday night. For all of our
sakes, let’s pray for 80 degrees and sunny and decent football from both teams.
Why the Jets Might Win: The Dolphins have one of the most inept offenses
in the NFL, starting a rookie with no explosiveness at running back. Even the
Jets have a shot to stop them, and that’s with the 30th ranked
defense in the league, giving up 397.9 yards per game. And, oh yeah, someone
has to win this game, right?
Why Miami Might Win: The Dolphins don’t have too many opportunities to
win a game the rest of the season; expect Cam Cameron’s crew to bring the A game
to the table. Last week, the Dolphins defense was as tough as it’s been all
season long, holding the Steelers to three points and less than 200 yards total
offense.
Who to Watch: Dolphin running back Jesse Chatman. He was replaced by
Ricky Williams before the Steelers game last Monday night, but after Williams
went out of the game, Chatman got the call once again. He has been productive
when he’s gotten significant carries. The Jets give up 150.5 yards per game on
the ground and Chatman runs awfully hard. The Jets may see plenty of #28 on
Sunday.
What Will Happen: The Dolphins are going to break the eleven game winning
streak behind an improved performance from rookie quarterback Beck. He’ll throw
for 200+ yards and a touchdown, while Chatman runs for 90+ yards against the
Jets defense. There isn’t a better opportunity for a win for the Dolphins, so
if it doesn’t happen here…well, you don’t have to go there because the streak
ends here.
CFN Prediction: Dolphins – 17…Jets – 13
Line: Miami -1.5
Must See Rating: (5 Nirvana
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1
Jacksonville
at Indianapolis
1:00 pm CBS December 2, 2007
Why to Watch: The two best teams in the AFC South meet again in
Indianapolis with only one game separating them in the standings. The Colts
obliterated the Jaguars on a Monday night 29-7, but the two teams suffered for a
few weeks after that game. But, the skid ended for both teams as they enter
this one with two game winning streaks on the line. The Jaguars made quick work
of the Bills 36-14 for win number eight on the season, while the Colts ate
Falcon for Thanksgiving. Both teams are destined for the playoffs, but these
two know that the road to New England for the AFC Championship game is much
easier as a division champion than as a wild card.
Why Jacksonville Might Win: It might be hard to imagine, but quarterback
David Garrard may be the most valuable to his team in this division or in the
conference. Okay, so the Patriots without Tom Brady would suffer immensely, but
the Jaguars without Garrard were two levels below what they are with him. Case
in point, the Jags lost two games without #9 under center. He’s fourth in the
league in passer rating with a 103.1 rating and no, repeat, no interceptions.
It’s not rocket science, people – don’t turn the ball over and win.
Why Indianapolis Might Win: The Jaguar defense is one of the nastiest,
most physical units in the NFL, but the secondary has some work to do, if you
will. Jacksonville’s defense is 28th in the league giving up 246.5
passing yards per game, which is about the worst liability to possess against a
Manning-led offense (a Peyton Manning led offense, that is). Manning threw for
259 yards against the Jags when these two last met in Jacksonville and should go
for over 300 this week.
Who to Watch: He might have only caught five passes for 49 yards, but
just the fact that Dallas Clark is in the lineup for the Colts offense is huge,
especially for Manning. He opens up so much in the middle of the field no
matter where he’s lined up that he might be the most valuable member of this
offense. Blasphemous, you say? Just pop in the tape of the loss at San Diego
when he didn’t play.
What Will Happen: Manning hasn’t been the Peyton Manning of old, but his
three touchdowns and 272 yards passing last week against the Falcons proved that
he might be back to his old self. The Jags secondary still has some question
marks, especially with Rashean Mathis questionable this week. Regardless,
Manning is going to throw all over the Jaguar defense and lead the Colts to win
number ten.
CFN Prediction: Colts – 31…Jaguars – 21
Line: Colts -7
Must See Rating: (5 Nirvana
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4
San Francisco
at Carolina
1:00 pm Fox December 2, 2007
Why to Watch: Honestly, it might be more fun to jab needles in your eyes
than to watch a full 60 minute game that has quarterback Trent Dilfer on one
side and David Carr on the other. Well, that is if Carr is able to beat out
undrafted free agent Matt Moore or octogenarian Vinny Testaverde this week in
practice. These two teams aren’t very good, but the Niners fought hard last
week at Arizona and it paid off. An overtime strip sack of Cardinal Kurt Warner
precipitated a 37-31 win for the 49ers, while the Saints hammered the Panthers
31-6 in Charlotte. Think the home folks will like seeing Carr and company
crumble again under the weight of a three win San Francisco team? Uh, no.
Why San Francisco Might Win: There’s one reason why the 49ers may win
this, and any game the rest of the season. First name, Frank. Last name,
Gore. This guy put on a show last week against the Cardinals, one of the more
underrated run defenses in the league. Gore rolled 21 times for 116 yards and
two touchdowns, including a brilliant 35-yard run for six. The Panthers haven’t
stopped anyone lately and will struggle to stop the 49ers star back. This
defense gives up 112.3 yards per game and will receive a healthy dose of #21 on
Sunday.
Why Carolina Might Win: If anyone with a pulse could play quarterback
for the Panthers, Carolina might have a shot to win. Star receiver Steve Smith
has been marginalized by the awful play at quarterback, but it’s not for a lack
of trying. He was the leading rusher for the Panthers, running for 22 yards on
one carry and the leading receiver, snaring six passes for 47 yards. The 49ers
are 25th in the league against the pass, giving up 228.1 yards per
game, so maybe this is the week he gets back to being the ‘real’ Steve Smith.
Who to Watch: Flip a coin on the quarterback situation for the Panthers
and pick a guy to take snaps under center. David Carr is a washed-up never-was
and shouldn’t see any snaps again. Matt Moore completed eight of 14 passes, but
threw a pick and no touchdowns. Holy cow, can Vinny Testaverde get in the
wheelchair and take a few snaps sitting under center? Please? Maybe Jake
Delhomme is the most valuable player in the league, considering how quickly this
offense headed south after his injury.
What Will Happen: Even with the quarterback quandary in Carolina, the
Panthers will win one of the ugliest games of the weekend, relying heavily on
DeShaun Foster to pound on the 49ers 24th ranked defense. He’ll
bounce back from his minus five yard performance for 85+ yards and a touchdown,
the only one of the day, and could get some help from Smith. Neither team’s
quarterback(s) do(es) much of anything, so Foster is the king, on this day.
CFN Prediction: Panthers – 13…Niners – 9
Line: Panthers -3
Must See Rating: (5 Nirvana
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2
Houston
at Tennessee
1:00 pm CBS December 2, 2007
Why to Watch: The former Houston franchise taking on the current Houston
franchise is made all the more intriguing by the presence of Houston’s favorite
son, Tennessee quarterback Vince Young. However, with Young on the sidelines
earlier this year, the Titans won an unforgettable 38-36 game, 26 of those
points scored by Tennessee kicker Rob Bironas on a record eight field goals (and
two PATs). But, the Titans have lost two in a row, including last week’s 35-6
thrashing at the hands of the Cincinnati Bengals, while the Texans lost 27-17 to
the surging Cleveland Browns. A win by the Texans ties both teams in the cellar
in the AFC South at 6-6, while a loss by the Texans could signal another losing
season for the current Houston franchise.
Why Houston Might Win: The Texans struggled mightily in the run game
after receiver Andre Johnson and center Steve McKinney were injured. It’s no
coincidence that the loss of the Texans star receiver and offensive line leader
had a huge effect on running back Ron Dayne and company. Although McKinney is
out for the season, the running game has been much better since Johnson
returned. Last week, the ‘Dayne Train’ averaged just under five yards per
carry, rushing for 79 yards on 16 carries. In the first meeting, the Texans did
nothing in the running game, but after two strong performances by Dayne, the
Texans running game should produce enough rushing yardage to maintain the
run/pass balance necessary to beat the Titans.
Why Tennessee Might Win: The Texans couldn’t stop running water,
especially after the defense had been on the field for a significant amount of
time in the second half. Browns running back Jamal Lewis ran for 134 yards last
week against the Texans and Titan running back LenDale White ran for over 100 in
the first meeting against this defense. The Texans are 22nd in the
league against the run, so expect to see plenty of Titan running game on Sunday.
Who to Watch: Texans corner Von Hutchins moved over from a starting
safety position and played well two weeks ago against the Saints.
Unfortunately, last week, the Browns picked on Hutchins throughout the game,
whether the Texans were in man or zone coverage. The Titans won’t be afraid to
go after Hutchins when they throw the ball, considering how they went after now
injured Dunta Robinson in the first meeting. This doesn’t bode well at all for
the Texans.
What Will Happen: White will pound on the Texans in the second half as
Jamal Lewis did last week to help turn a close game into a two touchdown win for
the Titans. Young will throw for 200 yards, but won’t be the key to this game.
White will run for 120+ yards on the Texans front seven and a touchdown.
CFN Prediction: Titans – 27…Texans – 13
Line: Titans -3.5
Must See Rating: (5 Nirvana
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3
Atlanta
at St. Louis
1:00 pm Fox December 2, 2007
Why to Watch: If you don’t have the NFL Sunday Ticket, we feel sorry for
you. The Rams appeared to be headed back in the positive direction after two
consecutive wins, but the winning train derailed last week at home 24-19. A
game that had win written all over it until Rams quarterback…you know what,
let’s not remind Rams fans of the brutal ending. For as bad as the Rams were on
Sunday, the Falcons were worse on Thanksgiving night against the Colts. Peyton
Manning and company pounded Bobby Petrino’s group 31-13. This one is for better
draft position, well, for the loser, that is. And, that’s what’s more
important, right?
Why Atlanta Might Win: The Rams aren’t the Colts, for starters.
Regardless, the Falcons can run the football, but must do it by playing from in
front. Running back Warrick Dunn ran for 70 yards, but only touched the ball 17
times against the Colts. Jerious Norwood averaged 5.5 a carry against the Colts
and could be the X factor in this game. If quarterback Joey Harrington can
avoid the interceptions and get these two 25 to 30 carries in the aggregate,
they’ll have a chance to win. The Falcons are 22nd in the NFL in
rushing, averaging 94.5 yards per game, but have played most of the games this
year from behind.
Why St. Louis Might Win: You can’t fumble the snap on 4th and
goal late in the game two straight weeks in a row, can they? Nah, didn’t think
so. Plus, this isn’t a division leading team that they’re facing – it’s the
Falcons. Most people associate the Rams with offense, but the Rams defense is
improving every week. This unit is 15th in the league, giving up
320.7 yards total offense per game and could definitively improve that number
after facing a Falcons offense that is 28th in the league (286.9
yards per game).
Who to Watch: Quarterback Gus Frerotte has to be a bigger factor in this
game than he was replacing injured Marc Bulger last weekend in the loss to
Seattle. He completed over 60% of his passes, but he averaged only eight yards
a completion. With Steven Jackson back at 100%, it’s vital that Frerotte
stretch the Falcons secondary with deeper downfield throws to open more running
lanes for Jackson, facing the Falcons 26th ranked run defense (123.5
yards per game).
What Will Happen: The Rams will get a strong performance from a healthy
Jackson to lead St. Louis to a significant win at home. Jackson will run for
100+ plus on the Falcons and remind his fantasy owners why he was so coveted at
the beginning of the season. The Falcons rotating quarterback system will
continue to spin out of control as the Rams pressure Harrington for much of the
game.
CFN Prediction: Rams – 23…Falcons – 12
Line: St. Louis -4
Must See Rating: (5 Nirvana
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1.5
Buffalo
at Washington
1:00 pm CBS December 2, 2007
Why to Watch: The records are the exact same, 5-6. However, the road to
here has been a little different for each organization. The Bills, at 5-6, have
been a pleasant surprise in some sense, especially with the quarterback roller
coaster that they’ve dealt with this season. Unfortunately, the Bills have run
into two of the AFC’s best in back-to-back weeks, losing to the Patriots two
weeks ago and the Jaguars in Jacksonville 36-14 last week. But, there have been
more positives about the Bills play on the field this season than negative. Not
quite the case with the Redskins, who must now deal with the unspeakable tragedy
of losing Sean Taylor. The 19-13 loss last week to the Buccaneers was the third
loss in a row after a promising 5-3 start to the season. However, dealing with
losses are one thing; dealing with the loss of life of a teammate is quite
another.
Why Buffalo Might Win: Since Marshawn Lynch went to the sideline with an
injury, the Bills have struggled to generate offense of any sort, and now backup
Anthony Thomas is out with an injury. The load falls on guys with fresh legs,
though – Fred Jackson and rookie Dwayne Wright. The Redskins haven’t seen much
of these two on film, so that could work to Buffalo’s advantage against the
number eleven ranked rush defense in the league (97.5 YPG). Rookie Trent
Edwards, who showed some composure in earlier starts this season, will start in
place of a banged up J.P. Losman.
Why Washington Might Win: Eliminate quarterback Jason Campbell’s
interceptions against the Buccaneers and it was as strong a performance as any
last weekend. Campbell completed 30 of 49 passes for 301 yards and a touchdown,
but the two interceptions were crippling. He’s progressed slowly over this
season and if the turnover bug can be avoided, the Redskin offense should move
the ball effectively. The Bills secondary is 29th in the league
against the pass, giving up 258.7 yards per game, so Campbell should have
another big day, sans interceptions.
Who to Watch: Redskin safety Reed Doughty stepped into the starting
lineup when Taylor was injured and has played relatively well since becoming a
starter. The former D1AA star had eight tackles last week to lead the
Redskins. With his ability to fill in the alley and support the run, as well as
float in the middle to play the pass, Doughty is a key figure in this matchup.
What Will Happen: It’s difficult to gauge the Redskins mental state for
this one. They’re going to Miami for Taylor’s funeral the day following this
game, so there’s a distinct chance that they might not be altogether ‘there’ for
this one. However, the three hours spent on the field may be the best therapy
this team could have. Campbell is the key in this one, not turning the ball
over. Turnovers were the Achilles heel last week in Tampa and if Campbell can
throw to the guys in the white jerseys, they’ll win the game.
CFN Prediction:
Redskins – 23…Bills – 20
Line: Washington -6
Must See Rating: (5 Nirvana
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2.5
Cleveland
at Arizona
4:05 pm CBS December 2, 2007
Why to Watch: Talk about surprises, how about Romeo Crennel’s Cleveland
Browns (and please, keep your Romeo Cornell jokes to yourself)? If the season
ended today, the Browns would be in the playoffs with a 7-4 season, including a
27-17 win over the Houston Texans last week. Arizona appeared to be headed in a
similar direction, but couldn’t take care of business against the 49ers at home
last week, losing in overtime 37-31. But, in the NFC West, the Cardinals are
still in shouting range of the division leading Seattle Seahawks, but they won’t
remain there if they don’t take care of business at home.
Why Cleveland Might Win: The Browns can score some points – that’s a
good reason why they’ve won some games this season. Simple deduction, huh?
Derek Anderson and company are averaging 28.6 points per game, third in the
league in scoring offense behind the Patriots and the Cowboys. Anderson
continues to shine, as he did against Houston, completing 24 of 35 for 253 yards
and two touchdowns. Arizona gave up 31 points to the 49er offense last week
(six to the defense in overtime), so the Browns could name their score in this
game.
Why Arizona Might Win: The Cardinals passing game takes a backseat to no
other unit in the league, even without Matt Leinart at quarterback. Quarterback
Kurt Warner has thrown for over 2,000 yards and 13 touchdowns, while being
ranked seventh in the league in passer rating at 90.8. That’s with less than a
full slate of starts and an injured non-throwing elbow that would shelve a mere
mortal. Against the Browns, last week Texans quarterback Matt Schaub found open
receivers throughout the game, piling up 256 yards passing, so Warner could have
a big day against the worst defense in the league (397.9 yards per game).
Who to Watch: Browns tight end Kellen Winslow is the best tight end in
the game. Period. End of story. His game is complete. He has glue for
hands. He can get open against safeties and linebackers with equal aplomb.
But, most importantly, and the one aspect that separates him from Antonio Gates
and Tony Gonzalez, he blocks like a lithe offensive tackle. He was able to
reach block Texans defensive end Mario Williams on Sunday consistently, allowing
Jamal Lewis to rack up over a C note in rushing yards.
What Will Happen: The Browns have reached “on a roll” status and it won’t
stop after Sunday’s game. Anderson will pepper the Cardinals secondary with
throws to Winslow and finish the day with 275+ yards and a couple of
touchdowns. The Browns defense will make another statement that it’s, in fact,
a satisfactory unit that can keep teams out of the end zone. The ‘D’ did it
last week to the Texans, holding the Texans to 17 points, seven in the second
half. They’ll do it again to the Cards this weekend.
CFN Prediction: Browns – 27…Cardinals – 17
Line: Arizona -1
Must See Rating: (5 Nirvana
Unplugged, now on DVD - 1 Mr.
Bean's Holiday, now on DVD) ...
3,5
Denver
at Oakland
4:05 pm CBS December 2, 2007
Why to Watch: How ‘average’ is the AFC West this season? How about
‘very’? Case in point, the Broncos have won only two of their last five games,
including dropping last week’s game at Chicago 37-34, and are 5-6 on the
season. That type of performance in any other conference would have the Broncos
planning for the NFL Draft. In this division, the Broncos are one win and a
Chargers loss away from being tied for the division lead. The Raiders may be
too far back at 3-8 to make a run for the division title (three games back with
five to play), but the Lane Kiffin bunch will take any wins it can get after the
2-14 season the Raiders suffered through last year.
Why Denver Might Win: Ever since Rod Smith and John Lynch had a talk
with quarterback Jay Cutler about being a more vocal leader, the former Vandy
star has been phenomenal. Coincidence? I think not. Last week against the
Bears, Cutler completed 17 of 31 throws for 302 yards and a pair of touchdowns.
Under his leadership, the Broncos registered 430 yards of total offense. And,
let’s just say that the Raiders aren’t god’s gift to defensive football, this
year anyway – 20th in the league in total defense, 337.9 yards per
game. Expect another strong Cutler performance on Sunday.
Why Oakland Might Win: Throughout the history of the Oakland Raiders,
the deep ball has always been the great equalizer and the flashy part of the
Raiders offense. However, the Raiders rarely struggled throwing the football
and this year is no exception. Last week, Justin Fargas ran over and through
the Chiefs in a 20-14 win in Arrowhead Stadium. ‘Lil Huggy Bear ran for 139
yards and a touchdown on 22 carries and look who comes to town this week. The
Broncos are 29th in the league stopping the run, so Fargas is licking
his chops to face a talented, but scarred, defense.
Who to Watch: Bronco wide receiver Brandon Marshall has become one of the
best receivers in the AFC. He leads the Broncos with 59 receptions and 847
yards receiving and is Cutler’s go-to guy. The Raiders have had a rough time
covering big, physical receivers, but then again, so does everyone else. As
long as Marshall concentrates on catching the football, he should have another
productive day (97 yards receiving and a touchdown last week against Chicago).
What Will Happen: The Raiders aren’t the sexiest team in the league, but
with Culpepper under center, they’re a better offensive team. However, the
difference is going to be the way that Fargas runs the football against the
Broncos weak defensive front seven. Huggy Bear’s son will rush for a 100+ yards
and a touchdown to lead the Raiders to an upset, all be it at home.
CFN Prediction: Raiders – 21…Broncos – 20
Line: Denver -3.5
Must See Rating: (5 Nirvana
Unplugged, now on DVD - 1 Mr.
Bean's Holiday, now on DVD) ...
2.5
New York Giants
at Chicago
4:15 pm Fox December 2, 2007
Why to Watch: It’s the second half of the season, so it’s about time we
see the real Eli Manning. Yes, the one that we saw last week against the
Vikings. Yes, the one who threw three ‘pick sixes’ and single-handedly cost the
Giants a 41-17 loss to Minnesota. Okay, so it’s a little harsh, but in his four
years in the league, when has Eli Manning stepped up and played a quality game
down the stretch or in the playoffs? Luckily for the former Ole Miss product,
he’s not the only quarterback under the red hot glare of the spotlight in this
game. After doing close to nothing for much of a 37-34 win over the Broncos,
Bears quarterback Rex Grossman led a last minute game tying drive to put the
game into overtime. ‘Good’ Rexie showed up late in the game and the Bears won
because of it. Well, wait, they actually won because the Broncos were stupid
enough to kick to Devin Hester, but you get the point, right?
Why the Giants Might Win: Eli can’t honestly play like that for a second
straight game, can he? Last week was downright brutal, but at least, Manning
can rely on his running game. The Giants offense is tenth in the league,
rushing for 123.2 yards per game, while the Bears have struggled to slow down
opposing running attacks throughout the season. The Bears are 27th
in the league, yielding 126.8 yards per game, so Manning should dial up running
backs Reuben Droughns and Ahmad Bradshaw to keep pressure off of him throwing
the football.
Why Chicago Might Win: Hester. The best returner in the game is the
Bears’ best player. Last week, he proved that he could make a team pay for
being arrogant and stupid, returning a punt and a kickoff for touchdowns. So,
the Giants aren’t prideful, you say, and won’t kick the ball to Hester? Then,
Rexie’s offense is going to have starting field position around the 35 or 40
every single possession. If ‘Good’ Rexie shows up, wait, you know the rest.
Who to Watch: Bears running back Adrian Peterson is often confused with
the Vikings Adrian Peterson, the rookie from Oklahoma. However, the former
Georgia Southern star is a satisfactory blend of running/receiving skills who
can hurt the Giants both ways. He had 45 yards on 17 gut-busting carries and
led the Bears with five receptions for 41 yards. He’s a versatile weapon who
could be a thorn in the side of the Giants defense.
What Will Happen: After the struggles, the picks and the ridicule from
last week (and almost every other week), Manning is going to have one of the
best games of his career. Give me a second while I digest what was just
written. Manning is going to use the short passing game to gain confidence
against the Bears beaten up secondary and throw for 250+ yards and a couple of
touchdowns. This week, it’ll be Grossman who returns to his old form, throwing
a couple of drive-killing picks and he’ll spend much of the game running for his
life against the Giants pass rush. The Giants need a win desperately and will
play like it.
CFN Prediction: Giants – 31…Bears – 28
Line: New York Giants -2
Must See Rating: (5 Nirvana
Unplugged, now on DVD - 1 Mr.
Bean's Holiday, now on DVD) ...
4
Tampa Bay
at New Orleans
4:15 pm Fox December 2, 2007
Why to Watch: At 4-4 earlier this season, the Buccaneers led the NFC
South by a hair, just ahead of the surging Saints and disappointing Panthers.
But, a three game winning streak has put them two games up in the division race
and a win here against New Orleans all but seals the NFC South race. With a
31-14 win over the Saints earlier this season, the Bucs would be three games in
front and own the head-to-head tiebreaker. However, a Saints win would leave
only one game of space between the two and a realistic shot at catching the Bucs.
The Saints made short work of the Panthers on the road last week, shutting down
David Carr and the Carolina offense 31-6. The Saints are a much different team
than the one that went to Tampa in week two, but the Bucs are on a three game
streak. This could be the best game of the weekend.
Why Tampa Bay Might Win: The Bucs manufactured a win against the
Redskins last weekend, with perhaps the worst offensive performance in recent
memory (in a win, that is). Jeff Garcia went out with an injury and the
offensive burden fell on running back Earnest Graham’s shoulders. Graham has
improved every week, carrying the ball 21 times for 75 yards and a touchdown.
If Garcia’s not 100% healthy, Graham will have to pound out 20 tough carries
against the Saints for a shot to win the game.
Why New Orleans Might Win: Everyone knows how explosive this offense is
and can be, but the defense is better than expected against the run. The Saints
‘D’ is ninth in the league against the run, giving up 95.8 yards per game and
held the Carolina Panthers to 43 measly rushing yards, less than 2.4 yards per
carry. Do it again this week and Tampa Bay will be lucky to gain 200 total
yards on offense.
Who to Watch: Saints wide receiver Marques Colston’s effectiveness was
down earlier in the season, but he’s caught fire over the last six or seven
weeks. He’s tied for tenth in the league with 847 yards receiving on 68
receptions and six touchdowns and could be the X factor on Sunday. The Bucs
defense is fifth in the league against the pass, giving up 188 yards per game,
but Colston is a tough matchup in the short passing game for the Bucs.
What Will Happen: It’s going to be Reggie Bush time on Sunday in the Big
Easy. Although not 100%, the former Trophy winner will rush for 85+ yards and a
touchdown, while catching 50+ yards in passes and another touchdown for the
Saints. The Bucs can’t generate much offense with Gradkowski under center and
the turnovers he generates will turn the game in the Saints favor.
CFN Prediction: New Orleans – 27…Tampa Bay – 20
Line: New Orleans -3.5
Must See Rating: (5 Nirvana
Unplugged, now on DVD - 1 Mr.
Bean's Holiday, now on DVD) ...
3.5
Cincinnati
at Pittsburgh
8:15 pm NBC December 2, 2007
Why to Watch: If there is a football god, hopefully she’ll keep the rain
off of Heinz Field this week. Last Monday’s Noah’s Ark battle in Pittsburgh
gave new meaning to the word ugly, unless you’re a fan of 3-0 games. Most of
you aren’t, unless you have Jeff Reed on your Fantasy Football team. However, a
win is a win for the Steelers, especially after the overtime loss to the Jets
the week prior. The win over Miami didn’t tell us anything about the Steelers,
but Cincinnati’s 35-6 win over Tennessee may have told us all we need to know
about the Bengals reemergence over the last third of the season. The Steelers
beat the Bengals 24-13 in Cincinnati in week eight, but if the real Bengals show
up, the ones that sent Vince Young home disappointed last week, this one may not
end the same way.
Why Cincinnati Might Win: Someone found a certain receiver and removed
him from the milk carton – yeah, Mr. Ocho Cinco. Chad Johnson scored three
touchdowns against the Titans secondary and Carson Palmer threw for 283 yards on
32 of 38 passing along with the three touchdowns to Johnson. The Bengals are
third in the NFL in passing offense, averaging 270.5 yards per game…
Why Pittsburgh Might Win: …the Steelers have the number one defense in
the NFL – second in rush defense (77.1 YPG), first in total defense (229.2 YPG)
and most importantly, first in pass defense (152.1 YPG). Palmer threw for 205
yards in the last meeting, 65 yards less than his average and only had one
touchdown in the 24-13 loss. The Steelers weren’t tested last week, but have
been superb this season, especially in the secondary.
Who to Watch: Speaking of being found on the milk carton, how about
Bengals running back Rudi Johnson? The former Auburn product ran for 88 yards
last week against the Titans and his ability to pick up yards against the
Steelers on the ground could be the key for a Cincinnati upset.
What Will Happen: Roethlisberger will have another big day, this time,
though, he’ll get the Steelers in the end zone. He’ll throw for 250+ yards and
three touchdowns to lead the Steelers to a key divisional win, their ninth on
the season.
CFN Prediction: Steelers – 28…Bengals – 23
Line: Pittsburgh -7
Must See Rating: (5 Nirvana
Unplugged, now on DVD - 1 Mr.
Bean's Holiday, now on DVD) ...
3.5
New England
at Baltimore
8:30 pm ESPN December 3, 2007
Why to Watch: The Eagles proved the improbable is possible last Sunday
night against the Patriots, but can Baltimore muster enough offense to do
anything against the team now known as the greatest of all-time. Bill
Belichick’s crew battled through a 31-28 win against Philadelphia, win number
eleven on the season, in the closest game the Pats have played all season long.
The blueprint is now there for the Ravens to follow, but the question remains
whether they have the offensive weapons available to make a dent against the
Patriots defense. If last week’s 32-14 loss is any indication, it won’t
happen. But, no one thought the Eagles had much of a shot with A.J. Feeley at
quarterback and look what happened.
Why New England Might Win: Although the Eagles went Rocky Balboa on Ivan
Drago, aka the New England Patriots (“he’s cut, the big Russian’s cut!”), they
couldn’t knock out the Patriots when they had them on the ropes. It’s the best
that any team has played against the Patriots and yet the Patriots still win.
The Ravens haven’t once shown the offensive prowess to have a chance to win this
game. If not for running back Willis McGahee, the Ravens would struggle to move
the football effectively (21st in the NFL in passing 196.1 yards per
game). The Patriots are third in the league in total defense, so don’t expect
much from the Ravens this week.
Why Baltimore Might Win: If the Eagles can stay that close, the Ravens
can too, right? Isn’t that the message that every team will take into every
meeting with the Patriots from here on out? There’s hope and with McGahee
running the football, there’s more than a chance. McGahee is third in the
league with 910 yards rushing and is the hope for the Ravens this weekend.
Who to Watch: Everybody and their brother has been talking about how good
Randy Moss has been this season, but the Eagles found a way to take him out of
the game last Sunday night. He didn’t catch a ball in the second half and the
Patriots struggled to win the football game. Tom Brady may have to force the
football to Moss to keep him involved and, more importantly, the Ravens
secondary occupied.
What Will Happen: The Ravens will score a late touchdown; unfortunately,
the seven spot won’t beat the 41 that the Patriots put up on the board. Brady
will throw for 325+ yards and three touchdowns, if for no other reason than to
show the Ravens and everyone else that last week was a fluke. It was.
CFN Prediction: Patriots – 41…Ravens – 7
Line: New England -20.5
Must See Rating: (5 Nirvana
Unplugged, now on DVD - 1 Mr.
Bean's Holiday, now on DVD) ...
3.5