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NFL Fearless Predictions - Week 14

CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Dec 5, 2007

Breakdowns, picks and predictions for all the week one NFL games.

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Week 12

Chicago at Washington 8:00 pm NFL Network December 6, 2007
Why to Watch: The NFL Network hit the proverbial jackpot with last week’s Green Bay v. Dallas game, but this week it’s handed a matchup of two underachieving NFC playoff wannabees.  The Bears are a shell of the 2006 team that won the NFC Championship, sitting at 5-7 after a 21-16 loss to the Washington’s NFC East rival New York Giants last weekend.  The Redskins sent out ten guys on the first play as a tribute to the late Sean Taylor, then lost the game after head coach Joe Gibbs called two consecutive time outs before a lengthy Bills field goal.  Rian Lindell banged home the shorter field goal attempt and sent the Redskins to the showers with loss number seven.  A four game winning streak could put one of these teams in playoff contention, but four won’t fit into three, if you catch my drift.
Why Chicago Might Win:  Quarterback Rex Grossman hasn’t lit the world on fire – I mean, he is Rex Grossman, by god, but this week he faces a secondary that has struggled with injuries and key players being out.  The result is a defense that is 17th in the NFL in pass defense, yielding 216.8 yards per game.  Unfortunately for the Redskins, Grossman was a respectable NFL quarterback last weekend.  He completed 25 of 46 passes for 296 yards and a touchdown, and most importantly, with no picks.  Another performance like that and the Redskins defense may be in trouble.  Again.
Why Washington Might Win:  The Redskins have done everything lately but win a game.  Last week, the defense was stellar for three quarters of the game against the Bills.  But, in this game, expect the difference to be Clinton Portis and the Redskin running game.  The once vaunted Bear defense is 27th in the NFL against the run, yielding 130.8 yards per game, so expect a strong game from Mr. Portis (or one of his different character names).  He only rushed for 50 yards on 25 carries last week, but the Bears defense gave up 154 to Derrick Ward last week.
Who to Watch: Redskin tight end Chris Cooley is a guy who has to be involved in this football game for the Redskins to have a chance.  Cooley is the team’s leading receiver and should be the number one guy due in large part to the Bears inability to stop the run.  Huh?  Well, what’s the perfect play call off of the running game?  Play action.  Who to?  Cooley.  He’s caught 53 balls for 584 yards and increase that number significantly on Thursday night.
What Will Happen: The Redskins are desperate for a win.  Pure and simple.  Quarterback Jason Campbell will have a solid game, throwing for 225+ yards and a couple of touchdowns, while Portis pounds out a C note worth of yardage on the ground.  However, the Redskins have had a short week with no time whatsoever to prepare after missing a day of practice to attend the Sean Taylor funeral. Washington simply won't be prepared.
CFN Prediction: Bears 24 ... Redskins 17
... Line: Washington -3
Must See Rating: (5 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show - 1 Margot At The Wedding) ...2

Carolina at Jacksonville 1:00 pm Fox December 9, 2007
Why to Watch: The former expansion partners face off on the banks of the St. John’s River this week, all be it, heading in opposite directions.  Although the Jaguars lost last week to the defending champion Colts 28-25 on the road, Jack Del Rio’s gang has won two of its last three and is sitting pretty for a wild card position in the tough AFC.  The Panthers, on the other hand, have a losing record and without a visit from the putrid 49ers would be on a five game losing streak.  Thank god for Trent Dilfer, huh?  Well, Dilfer or Vinny Testaverde, the 44-year old starting quarterback.  Now that the Panthers are playing a true NFL team, we’ll see if the losing continues.
Why Carolina Might Win:  The Panthers secondary and linebackers had one of the best performances of the weekend, picking off 49er quarterback Dilfer four times, including a pick six by Richard Marshall.  Jaguar quarterback David Garrard threw his first pick of the season last week at Indianapolis, so maybe this group can come up with another solid performance.  The Panthers are tenth in the league in pass defense, giving up 207.2 yards per game and will be a stern test for Garrard.
Why Jacksonville Might Win:  The Jaguars run the football as well as any offense in the league.  The offense is second in the league rushing the football, piling up 141.0 yards per game on the ground.  But, it’s not one guy.  One week Maurice Jones-Drew is a star.  The next, Fred Taylor finds the fountain of youth.  Last week, Taylor ran for 104 yards on 14 carries, while MJD ran for 52 yards and a touchdown on eleven carries.  With the running game leading the way, Garrard rides the coattails, completing a high percentage of passes, 24 of 29 for 257 yards and a touchdown last week against the Colts.
Who to Watch: Jaguar rookie safety Reggie Nelson had a pick last week against the Colts and is a key figure in the Jaguar defense.  This unit has struggled mightily against the pass, ranking 27th in the league, but the Panthers don’t quite remind anyone of the Colts.  However, Testaverde will test Nelson deep down the middle of the field.
What Will Happen: The Jags, at home, one week after a tough loss, will bounce back against the Panthers in a big way.  The offense will produce 175+ yards on the ground, while Garrard completes a high percentage of his 20 to 25 throws against the Panthers defense.  The Panthers will score late when the result is no longer in doubt.
CFN Prediction: Jaguars – 31…Panthers – 17
Line: Jacksonville -10.5
Must See Rating: (5 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show - 1 Margot At The Wedding) ...3

Miami at Buffalo 1:00 pm CBS December 9, 2007
Why to Watch: If the Dolphins actually had won a game prior to this week, this game would have very little to no intrigue at all.  But, the 1976 Buccaneers and the rest of the nation will be watching to see if the current Dolphin squad can make history, a different sort of history than what the 1972 Dolphins made 35 years ago.  With only four games left, the Dolphins lost a golden opportunity to win a game last week against the two win Jets.  Unfortunately, the Jets left with win number three, a 40-13 loss for Miami.  Loss number 12.  Ouch.  The Bills had no business beating the Redskins, but did just enough to keep it close in the fourth quarter to win on Rian Lindell’s last second field goal (a gift from Joe Gibbs). 
Why Miami Might Win:  The Bills are starting a rookie quarterback who has been solid, if not spectacular (QB Trent Edwards was 22 of 36 for 257 yards, no TDs, no picks), but the Dolphin defense is third in the league against the pass, yielding a paltry 178.3 yards per game.  Without Marshawn Lynch at running back, the passing game has been more a part of the offense, which plays right into the Dolphins’ hands.
Why Buffalo Might Win:  They have to, don’t they?  Can the Bills, at 6-6, actually lose to one of the worst teams in recent memory?  There might be a bit more pressure on the Bills in this one; in fact there’s a ton more pressure on the Bills not to lose to an 0-12 football team.  The thing about this Bills team is that there’s not one thing that it does well, but it still shows up and wins games.  The emergence of Edwards throwing the football makes them a bit more diverse on offense, a unit that is 31st in the league in total offense (274.8 yards per game).  Considering that Edwards threw for 257 last week, perhaps that total offense number is trending upward.
Who to Watch: Without Lynch, the Bills running game hasn’t suffered completely.  Last week, running back Fred Jackson averaged over five yards a carry, rushing for 82 yards on 16 carries.  The Dolphins are dead last in the league against the run, giving up 149.7 yards per game, so Jackson and the Bills running backs could have a field day, no pun intended.
What Will Happen: The Bills will take advantage of a beat up, physically and mentally whipped Miami squad.  Edwards won’t need to throw for 200 yards, but he’ll do that and then watch his running game dominate the fourth quarter.  Buffalo wins game number seven to stay in playoff contention, while the Dolphins lose unlucky number 13.
CFN Prediction: Bills – 24…Dolphins – 10 
Line: Buffalo -7
Must See Rating: (5 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show - 1 Margot At The Wedding) ...1.5

San Diego at Tennessee 1:00 pm CBS December 9, 2007
Why to Watch: If the season ended today, these two would have the same record.  One would be a division champ, while the other would be at home watching the playoffs (well, given the right tiebreaker).  Luckily for the Titans, the season doesn’t end for another four weeks.  The 28-20 win over the Texans last week stopped the bleeding and put them in a tie with the Cleveland Browns for the last wild card spot in the AFC with a record of 7-5.  The Chargers are also 7-5, but fortunately, play in the AFC West where nine wins might lock away a division title.  Norv Turner’s crew beat the Chiefs last week 24-10 to maintain a secure grip on the division lead.
Why San Diego Might Win:  Mr. Tomlinson is back on track in a big way.  Last week against the Chiefs, he went large.  How about 177 yards rushing large.  The Titans aren’t likely to give up 177 yards on the ground, but last week against the Texans, Tennessee gave up 86 rushing yards to Ron Dayne.  This is a Texans rushing game that couldn’t run its way out of a paper bag earlier in the season, yet it moved the ball on the ground effectively.  Expect #21 to get plenty of touches on Sunday.
Why Tennessee Might Win:  Could it be that Merrill Hoge’s favorite whipping boy is actually becoming a competent NFL quarterback?  Yes, Vince Young has made significant strides, now that he’s as close to 100% as he’s been since injuring his leg down in Tampa.  Against the Texans, Young completed 21 of 31 for 248 yards and a couple of touchdowns to lead the Titans to the 28-20 victory.  The Chargers are only 22nd in the league against the pass, giving up 222.8 yards per game.  VY should have ample opportunity to hurt this secondary as he did last week to the Dunta Robinson-less Texans.
Who to Watch: The biggest key to stopping Tomlinson is literally the biggest guy on the field, defensive tackle Albert Haynesworth.  Arguably the best interior defensive player in the league, Haynesworth proved that he’s the key cog for this front seven.  He hasn’t been on the field 100% of the time and it’s obvious when he’s off the field.  You’ll know whether he’s on the field early or when looking at LT’s numbers on the stat sheet.
What Will Happen: Young will take charge in the most physical battle of the weekend (not including the Patriots-Steelers tete-a-tete).  He’ll have a couple of vital scrambles early in the game that’ll set up deep throws downfield late in the game.  Tomlinson will have 100+ yards on the day, but Young will be the star down the stretch, leading the Titans to win number eight.
CFN Prediction: Titans – 21…Chargers – 20
Line: San Diego -1
Must See Rating: (5 Hef wants you to take his place on The Girls Next Door, but you can’t because you have to
Must See Rating: (5 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show - 1 Margot At The Wedding) ...4.5

Tampa Bay at Houston 1:00 pm Fox December 9, 2007
Why to Watch: The Bucs lead the NFC South due in large part to a dominating defense.  Surprise, surprise the Bucs are winning with defense, yet again?  Yep, heard that one before?  The Bucs lead the NFC South division by three games with an 8-4 record.  Well, Texan fan, heard this one before – the Texans lost to the Tennessee Titans 28-20 last week, although that one was as gut-wrenching as the previous meeting, or the one before that or the one before that, or…you get the point.  The Texans’ loss left them at 5-7 with a monster four game schedule remaining and it’s plausible that this team that had designs on, at a minimum, a .500 record, might be looking at seven wins at best.  With no playoff hopes remaining, the Texans must prove they can be competitive against a strong team in this league or it’s back in the top ten, in the NFL Draft for 2008.
Why Tampa Bay Might Win:  As noted above, the Bucs, known for their stout defensive units in the past, have another one this season.  The defense is second in the league in scoring defense (15.6 points per game), fourth in total defense (291.8 YPG) and fourth in pass defense (185.8 YPG).  The Texans have been up and down all season on offense, but one consistent aspect about this offense has been the inability to move the football effectively against active, aggressive defenses.
Why Houston Might Win:  The Texans are a different ball club playing at home.  They’re 3-2 at home and the two losses have been to the Colts and the Titans by a combined eight points.  One of the best aspects of the previous three games has been the emergence of the running game, especially Ron Dayne.  He’s still the three yards and a cloud of dust back that he was at Wisconsin, but the last three weeks, he ran for 89 yards, 78 yards and 86 yards, which seemed all but impossible after watching this team try to run the ball all season long.  The Bucs only Achilles heel on defense is run defense – 16th in the league, so keep an eye on the Dayne Train.
Who to Watch: The Bucs defensive ends Greg White, Jovan Haye and Gaines Adams.  White was drafted by the Houston Texans, but cut before his rookie campaign.  Good thing that he’s nearly impossible to block and is coming back to Houston to make a point.  The trio of pass rushers has 15 sacks combined and could wreak serious havoc on a passing game that won’t have starting quarterback Matt Schuab under center. 
What Will Happen: The Texans are going to compete hard, especially after two straight road losses, however, there’s only so much they’re going to be able to do against the Buc defense.  The Buccaneer offense will rely on running back Earnest Graham in the run game and receiver Joey Galloway to stretch the depleted Texans secondary throughout the game.  Bucs win a physical, hard-hitting battle.
CFN Prediction: Bucs – 20…Texans – 13
Line: Tampa Bay -3
Must See Rating: (5 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show - 1 Margot At The Wedding) ...2

Oakland at Green Bay 1:00 pm CBS December 9, 2007
Why to Watch: Could the streak be over?  Green Bay quarterback Brett Favre has played in 248 consecutive games, but left last week’s game in Dallas with a shoulder separation.  So, the most intriguing reason to watch this game is whether Favre can make it 249 games in a row.  The Packers lost their second game of the season, a 37-27 track meet in Dallas, while the Raiders won their second in a row – a 34-20 win over the Denver Broncos.  The win put the Raiders at 4-8, doubling their win total of last year, and only three games back in the AFC West division race.  Wait, uh, no, that can’t happen, can it?  Well, it’s game 13 and they’re still mathematically alive, so anything is possible.
Why Oakland Might Win:  Number one draft pick JaMarcus Russell made his first appearance of the season and proved why he was drafted number one and why he’s not the full-time starter going into the last quarter of the season.  However, this team has won the last two weeks behind a bruising running game that averages 135.0 yards per game (fourth in the NFL).  Running back Justin Fargas followed up his stellar game at Kansas City with a 33 carry/146 yard/one TD performance against the Broncos.
Why Green Bay Might Win:  The passing game didn’t miss a beat last week after Favre went out of the game.  Rodgers replaced Favre in the second quarter and completed 18 of 26 passes for 201 yards and a touchdown.  So, perhaps Favre can do his best Aaron Rodgers imitation.  However, the Raiders have struggled to stop the run all season long – 30th in the league, giving up 148.0 yards per game – and Ryan Grant is one of the biggest surprises of the season.  He ran for 94 yards and two touchdowns on 14 carries against Dallas and with Favre not 100%, he could see twice that number of carries on Sunday.
Who to Watch: Raider quarterback Josh McCown sat for a spell on Sunday to allow Russell to get his feet wet, but his time on the field was time well spent.  He completed 14 of 21 passes for 141 yards and three touchdowns in one of his best performances of the season or of his career.  The Packers had trouble slowing down Tony Romo last week, so if McCown has success early, he’ll see a lot of heat late.  If McCown can get his confidence early and be effective, alongside Fargas’s running, the Raiders might be tough to stop.
What Will Happen: The Raiders are going to jump out front and wake up the sleeping giant, if you will.  Grant is going to pound on the front seven for 125+ yards and a couple of touchdowns to put the Raiders to sleep.
CFN Prediction: Packers – 27…Raiders – 17
Line: Green Bay -10
Must See Rating: (5 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show - 1 Margot At The Wedding) ...2.5

Dallas at Detroit 1:00 pm Fox December 9, 2007
Why to Watch: The Patriots loss notwithstanding, the Cowboys are rock solid and definitively the best team in the NFC.  The 37-27 win over Green Bay put the Cowboys at 11-1 and in the driver’s seat for home field advantage throughout the playoffs.  For as good as the Cowboys have played lately, the Lions have been the complete opposite.  Last week’s loss to the Vikings was the fourth in a row and it was probably the worst loss of the four.  The Vikings scored 28 second quarter points en route to a 42-10 butt-kicking of the Lions.  The Lions need four straight wins to fulfill Jon Kitna’s ten win prediction, which, yes, would mean a win over the Cowboys this week.
Why Dallas Might Win:  What didn’t the Cowboys do last week against the Packers, huh?  The defense picked off Brett Favre twice.  Quarterback Tony Romo completed 19 of 30 passes for 309 yards and four touchdowns.  Marion Barber averaged nearly five yards per carry on 17 carries.  T.O. had a stellar game (7 catches for 156 yards and a touchdown), while Patrick Crayton had two touchdown grabs.  Add to the fact that the Cowboys had a couple of additional days of rest after a Thursday night game and the Cowboys are as tough as they’ve been in a good long time.
Why Detroit Might Win:  Because they’re not supposed to?  That’s about the only reason with the way this team has played lately and the team they’re facing on Sunday.  However, the Lions can still throw the football, eighth in the league at 249.4 yards per game, although receiver Roy Williams is out for the rest of the season.  The Cowboys secondary picked off Favre twice, but Aaron Rodgers lit them up for the rest of the game.  So, what you’re saying is there’s hope? Yep, hope.
Who to Watch: Let’s be clear about this – Marion Barber is a beast.  A flat running stud beast.  The Cowboys are flashy - a quarterback who dates Hollywood starlets, T.O (enough said), but it’s Barber who provides the punishment and scares opposing defensive coordinator.  He runs like Laurence Maroney is coming to take his job and his former Gopher teammate is up in New England.  He’s sharing time with Julius Jones and still has nearly 800 yards rushing (796 yards) and averages nearly five yards a carry and has seven touchdowns.
What Will Happen: The Lions will do the unexplainable – they’ll force this one into the fourth quarter.  Romo won’t be on his game early and will throw a couple of picks to help keep the Lions in the game (not quite the Bills game, but similar).  However, in the fourth, Barber’s punishing running will wear down the 31st ranked defense in the league and Romo will make one key throw to win this game.
CFN Prediction: Cowboys – 28…Lions – 23
Line: Dallas -11
Must See Rating: (5 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show - 1 Margot At The Wedding) ...4

New York Giants at Philadelphia 1:00 pm Fox December 9, 2007
Why to Watch: The last time we saw these two in the Meadowlands, the Eagles hadn’t figured out how to block the Giants defensive line and quarterback Donovan McNabb was sacked a dozen times.  Suffice it to say, the Giants won the game handily 16-3.  Since that game, the Giants have made a strong bid for a wild card, while the Eagles are tied in the NFC East cellar with the Washington Redskins.  Last week, quarterback Eli Manning threw a late touchdown to Amani Toomer to lead the Giants to win number eight 21-16.  The Eagles, on the other hand, suffered loss number seven at the hands of the Seattle Seahawks, a 28-24 loss, at the Linc.
Why the Giants Might Win:  With the struggles quarterback Eli Manning has had this season, it’s a good thing that the running game has picked up the slack.  The Giants are sixth in the league in rushing, averaging 127.5 yards per game.  Last week, Derrick Ward ran for 154 yards, but was lost late in the game with an injury.  No worries.  Starting running back Brandon Jacobs is due back this week after missing a pair of games with a hamstring injury.
Why Philadelphia Might Win:  Donovan’s back.  Donovan’s back!  The Eagles starting quarterback is ready to get back on the field after injuries kept him out of the last two weeks.  For as good as A.J. Feeley was against New England, he threw four interceptions (seven in two weeks) against the Seahawks that killed any hopes of winning the game.  As long as the Eagles protect the edge, they’ll move the football against the Giants defense.  The Giants are 12th in the league against the pass, giving up 210.2 yards per game, so the Eagles can move the football through the air, with McNabb or Feeley, no matter who starts.
Who to Watch: Giants tight end Jeremy Shockey has always been a tough matchup for the Eagles, due in large part to the fact that the Eagles bring so many blitz looks to the party.  The Eagles safeties or linebackers have serious man-to-man cover issues with Shockey in the passing game.  He’s second on the team in receptions with 54 grabs for 597 yards and three touchdowns.  Keep an eye on #80 on Sunday.
What Will Happen: The Giants running game will take over and be the reason why they win this game.  Jacobs and the offensive line will pound on the salty Eagles defense, wearing them down by the fourth quarter.  No matter who plays quarterback for the Eagles, he’ll throw a pick or three to kill any Eagle hopes for a win.
CFN Prediction: Giants – 23…Eagles – 20
Line: Philadelphia -3
Must See Rating: (5 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show - 1 Margot At The Wedding) ...3.5

St. Louis at Cincinnati 1:00 pm Fox December 9, 2007
Why to Watch: Try to find a good reason to watch this game this weekend.  The Rams are a three win, underachieving squad coming off of a 28-16 win over the hapless Falcons.  The Bengals are a four win, underachieving squad coming off of a 24-10 loss to the Steelers.  The sweepstakes for Darren McFadden starts here, well, okay that’s if Miami passes on him like Houston passed on Reggie, wait, let’s not bring that up again.  Anyhow, these two are playing out the string and hoping that a number two or three draft spot is waiting for them come April 2008.
Why St. Louis Might Win:  Rams quarterback Gus Frerotte lit up the Falcons last week for 311 yards, but takes a seat this week with the starting quarterback Marc Bulger returning to the lineup.  If Frerotte can throw for 311 yards, what is Bulger going to do against the Bengals defense.  The Bengals are 29th in the league in total defense giving up 357.2 yards per game and more importantly, give up 238.2 yards per game through the air – 26th in the league.
Why Cincinnati Might Win:  Although Rudi Johnson is back in the backfield, quarterback Carson Palmer is going to have pitch it around the yard for the Bengals to win this game.  Against Pittsburgh, he struggled mightily against the number one pass defense in the league (17 of 44 for 183 yards, no touchdowns/no picks).  However, the Rams aren’t the Steelers in the secondary.  The Rams are 20th in the league, giving up 220.9 yards per game through the air, so Palmer should be much better than last week.
Who to Watch: Rams running back Steven Jackson is healthy and rolling. He ran for 96 yards on 20 attempts and a touchdown against the Falcons.  The Bengals aren’t that much better defending the run (23rd in the league – 118.9 yards per game), so watch Jackson pile up triple digits in rushing yardage on Sunday.
What Will Happen: Palmer goes off early and often on the Rams secondary.  He’ll throw for 300+ yards and four touchdowns after his meager showing last weekend in Pittsburgh.
CFN Prediction: Bengals – 34…Rams – 20
Line: Cincinnati -6.5
Must See Rating: (5 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show - 1 Margot At The Wedding) ...2

Arizona at Seattle 4:05 pm Fox December 9, 2007
Why to Watch: The Seahawks have separated from the rest of the NFC West after a four game winning streak, including last week’s 28-24 win over Philly on the road.  At 8-4, the Seahawks have a two game lead on the Cardinals, but a Cardinal win moves them one game closer to the Seahawks.  Plus, a Cardinal win gives Arizona the tiebreaker advantage over Seattle, as the Cardinals won the first game in week two 23-20 in Glendale.  Even with a two game lead, this game is vital for the Seahawks in this NFC West race.  The Cardinals beat the Browns last weekend, hanging on for a 27-21 win.  This might be the best non-Patriots game of the weekend.
Why Cardinals Might Win:  When Matt Leinart went out of the lineup, the Cardinals passing game was left in the hands of former MVP Kurt Warner, a shell of his former self.  Well, that was the thought.  Warner has been solid nearly every time out, including last week’s 18 of 30/169 yard/two touchdown performance.  The Cardinals offense is 11th in the league in passing offense, averaging 239.8 yards per game and much of that has to do with the fact that Warner has been effective all season long.
Why Seahawks Might Win: With running back Shaun Alexander either inactive with an injury or ineffective on the field, quarterback Matt Hasselbeck has become the focal point of the offense.  Last week in Philly, Hasselbeck was 21 of 38 for 249 yards and a touchdown and is eighth in the league with 3,074 passing yards.  The Cardinals is 24th in the league against the pass, giving up 223.2 yards, so Hasselbeck should have another strong game against this defense.
Who to Watch: With Warner resurrecting his career, so to speak, Cardinal running back Edgerrin James is trying to do the same.  Last weekend against the Browns, James was the difference, rushing 24 times for 114 yards in the win.  Provided he can have similar output against the 14th ranked rush defense in the league, the Cardinals should win this game.  If not…  
What Will Happen: …the Seahawks will win the game by stopping James early and picking off Warner late.  Hasselbeck will have a decent game, but Maurice Morris will run for 95+ yards against the Cardinals defense to lead the ‘Hawks to an important win.
CFN Prediction: Seahawks – 31…Cardinals – 21
Line: Seattle -7
Must See Rating: (5 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show - 1 Margot At The Wedding) ...4

Minnesota at San Francisco 4:05 pm Fox December 9, 2007
Why to Watch: These two teams are following the exact paths expected of these two teams at the outset of the season.  Most thought that one team would be emerging as a young, up-and-coming team that could make some playoff noise.  Most thought that other team would be playing out the string at this time of the year.  It’s just that most of us thought that the Vikings would be playing out the string and the 49ers would be playoff bound.  However, the Vikings have been a pleasant surprise this year at 6-6 and right in the thick of the wild card playoff race.  The 42-10 win over Detroit last week might’ve been the Vikings most impressive win of the season, while the 49ers loss to the Panthers might’ve been their most disappointing loss of the year.
Why Minnesota Might Win:  When the Vikings’ running back Adrian Peterson hurt his knee in a 34-0 loss at Green Bay, the prevailing thought was that the Vikes were in serious trouble.  However, that’s not the case.  In fact, the offense has been nothing but potent over the last few weeks.  Peterson returned last week and along with Chester Taylor, ran for 186 yards on 29 carries and three touchdowns (two for Peterson and one for Taylor).  The Vikings possess the number one rushing offense in the NFL, rushing for 176.8 yards per game.
Why San Francisco Might Win:  The 49ers are playing at home?  Trent Dilfer is still at quarterback?  It’s tough to find some reasons why this team will win again this season, but the Vikings might be ripe to be had.  The 49ers must rebound from the debacle that was last week’s visit to Carolina.  Dilfer can’t be much worse than he was last weekend against the Panthers (four interceptions), especially against a Vikings defense that is last in the league against the pass (278.7 yards per game).
Who to Watch: Vikings receiver Sidney Rice has been overshadowed by fellow rookie Peterson; however, the rookie from South Carolina is developing into one heck of a target.  Last week Rice had five catches for 53 yards and a touchdown.  He’s thrown for touchdowns and caught touchdowns in recent weeks and will be a top notch go-to receiver by season’s end.
What Will Happen: The Vikings are a legitimate playoff threat, the type of team you don’t want to see in the postseason.  They’ll prove that to the 49ers in a definitive win on the road.  Taylor and Peterson will charge through the 49ers porous front seven, while quarterback Tarvaris Jackson continues to improve (28 for 36 combined over his last two weeks) with a solid 200+ yard/one touchdown performance.  The Vikings win with relative ease.
CFN Prediction: Vikings – 28…49ers – 14
Line: Minnesota -8.5
Must See Rating: (5 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show - 1 Margot At The Wedding) ...2

Kansas City at Denver 4:15 pm CBS December 9, 2007
Why to Watch: The AFC West race isn’t quite over yet, so these two still have some hope.  It might be a small glimmer of hope, but hope nonetheless.  It’s more plausible that these two are playing for draft positioning and pride.  The Broncos took one on the chin last week, losing 24-10 to the Raiders to fall to 5-7 on the season, while the Chiefs are still removing LaDainian Tomlinson’s cleat marks from their chests after a 24-10 loss.  The Chiefs loss leaves KC at 4-8 on the season and desperate for a road win.  The Broncos beat the Chiefs 27-11 in Kansas City earlier this season.
Why Kansas City Might Win:  The Chiefs season hasn’t gone according to plan – they’ve not played well enough to win the games, as Herman Edwards would say.  However, it’s not for lack of effort by the Kansas City defense.  The defense gave up 177 yards rushing to Tomlinson, however, the defense is still ranked ninth in the league in total defense, giving up 313.2 yards per game, and it’s eighth in the league in scoring defense, yielding 19.2 points per game.  With an offense that is one of the worst in the league, the defense has kept the Chiefs competitive, last week’s performance against LT, notwithstanding.
Why Denver Might Win:  Young quarterbacks have ups and downs throughout a season or career, but the good ones typically don’t follow one bad game with another.  Quarterback Jay Cutler completed only 50% of his passes and threw two interceptions against the Raiders, one of his worst games in a four game span.  The offense is ninth in the league rushing the football, picking up 120.8 yards per game, but Cutler’s passing acumen has helped move the offense up to 13th due to his throwing accuracy.  With his bad game out of the way, expect the Broncos to move the ball effectively through the air against the Chiefs defense.
Who to Watch: The two tight ends.  Broncos tight end Tony Scheffler isn’t Tony Gonzalez, but he’s a definite weapon for Cutler, especially in the red zone.  He’s third on the Broncos in receptions with 29 and has three touchdowns, but he only had one catch last week against the Raiders.  Gonzalez, on the other hand, had 140 yards receiving to add to record breaking career numbers.  Chiefs quarterback Damon Huard or Brodie Croyle won’t, and don’t have trouble finding him in the passing game.
What Will Happen: The Broncos will get a much better game from Cutler, but it’ll be the Bronco running game that will take advantage of the Chiefs 21st ranked rush defense.  Running back Travis Henry won’t run for 177 yards, but he’ll pick up 100+ yards and a touchdown to celebrate his winning appeal.
CFN Prediction: Broncos – 27…Chiefs – 23
Line: Denver -7
Must See Rating: (5 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show - 1 Margot At The Wedding) ...3

Pittsburgh at New England 4:15 pm CBS December 9, 2007
Why to Watch: Steeler defensive back Anthony Smith would tell you to not even watch because it won’t even be close – the Steelers will win.  He guarantees it.  Really, why would you want to watch a game of which you know the outcome?  Honestly, though, every game from here on until the Patriots lose a game is must see television.  The Patriots found another way to win on Monday night in Baltimore, beating the Ravens 27-24 after taking the best shot the Ravens could muster.  Although many have touted this 12-0 Patriots as the best of all-time, the Steelers are definitely not afraid of the big, bad wolf.  The 9-3 Steelers squad is making sure the Patriots know exactly who they are, isn’t that right Mr. Smith?
Why Pittsburgh Might Win:  Willis McGahee - 138 yards rushing.  That one sentence gives not only the Steelers, but all three teams left on the schedule, hope that the invincible Patriots could go down.  McGahee ran over, around, past and through the Patriots and allowed the Ravens the luxury of keeping the ball out of quarterback Kyle Boller’s hands.  That’s not a huge concern this week with Ben Roethlisberger, but the ability to control the ball on the ground, in this offense, is problematic for the Patriots.  The Steelers want to pound Willie Parker 25 times behind one of the league’s best offensive lines and if they do, Roethlisberger could have a field day on play action.
Why New England Might Win:  They’re destined to win them all, icebergs be damned?  Honestly, the Patriots have found different ways to win all season.  Last week against Baltimore, nothing really clicked on offense, yet Tom Brady and company found the way to the end zone.  Brady’s still the number one passer in the league and although the Steelers have the number one defense in the league (230.8 total yards per game), the teams that have beaten the Steelers have thrown the ball well against them.  And, don’t think Brady won’t go after Smith at safety either and test Mr. Guarantee.
Who to Watch: Earlier this season, outside linebacker James Harrison had one of the best defensive games of the season against the Ravens.  No matter whether he dropped back in coverage or rushed the quarterback, he had a profound effect on that game.  However, in this game, the ability to rush the quarterback and put pressure on Brady throughout is a major key to winning this game.
What Will Happen: The Steelers formula for winning plays well in this game.  Brady needs to be pressured - that they can do.  The Steelers can run the football.  Roethlisberger can make any throw he needs to make without turning the ball over.  It still won’t be enough to stop this Patriot team.  Brady will carve up the zone blitz scheme in the second half for win number 13.
CFN Prediction: Patriots – 31…Steelers – 28 
Line: New England -10.5
Must See Rating: (5 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show - 1 Margot At The Wedding) ... 5

Cleveland at New York Jets 4:15 pm CBS December 9, 2007
Why to Watch: The Browns, the most surprising team of the season, ran into an Arizona buzz saw last week.  After winning four of its previous five games, the Browns lost in a nailbiter 27-21 as a Kellen Winslow touchdown catch was ruled out of bounds as time expired.  The Jets finally got win number three, but it took going to Miami to get a 40-13 win.  The Browns’ loss didn’t knock them out of the playoff race, but a loss here could really make the road to a wild card berth even more arduous.  A win for the Jets moves one step further away from Darren McFadden, if he declares for the NFL Draft, that is.
Why Cleveland Might Win:  The Browns are one of the most potent offenses in the league.  The Jets have one of the worst defenses in the league (25th in total defense – 351.3 YPG).  That should be a formula for success this weekend for the Browns.  Last week, Browns quarterback Derek Anderson had another 300 yard passing game against the Cardinals in a losing effort. 
Why the Jets Might Win:  Quarterback Kellen Clemens has improved by leaps and bounds in his short starting quarterback career.  Against the Dolphins, Clemens completed 15 of 24 passes for 236 yards and a touchdown, while the running game cranked out over four yards a carry on 40 carries.
Who to Watch: The Jets lost linebacker Jonathan Vilma for the season earlier in the campaign.  However, rookie David Harris has made up for his absence and then some.  The former Michigan star leads the Jets in tackles with 91, 19 more than the next closest defender.  Although the Browns don’t run the ball as well as they throw it, Harris is key in stopping running back Jamal Lewis.
What Will Happen: Surprise, surprise.  The Jets will pull the upset as the home underdog.  Clemens will throw the ball effectively and not turn it over, piling up 200+ yards, while running backs Leon Washington and Thomas Jones combine for 125+ yards on the ground.  Anderson will struggle with the Jets 11th ranked pass defense as the Jets defense plays one of its best games of the year.
CFN Prediction: Jets – 27…Browns – 26 
Line: Cleveland -3.5
Must See Rating: (5 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show - 1 Margot At The Wedding) ...2.5

Indianapolis at Baltimore 8:15 pm NBC December 9, 2007
Why to Watch: If the Ravens couldn’t beat the Patriots, maybe they can knock off the defending Super Bowl champions?  Maybe.  The Ravens lost a gut-wrenching 27-24 contest to the Patriots, a game that could have potential lingering effects with the emotion that was involved in the game (note Bart Scott’s meltdown late in the game).  The Colts had their own physical, emotional battle with divisional foe Jacksonville, but the results were a stark contrast to that of the Ravens.  Peyton Manning’s bunch beat the Jaguars 28-25.  The best tonic for the frustrated Ravens will be to see the Colts across the field.  Perhaps.
Why Indianapolis Might Win:  Don’t look now, but even without Marvin Harrison, Peyton Manning is back, well, he never really left.  The fact of the matter is that Manning has seriously struggled until a few weeks ago and last Sunday’s game was his best of the season.  He threw four touchdown passes against the Jags, accounting for every touchdown on the day.  The Ravens gave up 287 yards passing to Tom Brady last week and are 15th in the NFL in pass defense, giving up 215.3 yards per game.  Meaning?  Meaning that Manning may have a big day.
Why Baltimore Might Win:  How good was running back Willis McGahee last Monday night?  McGahee has been in the league since 2003, but really since 2004 and that Monday night game was the first time that he looked like the 2002 Miami Hurricane that set the college world on its ear.  He ran with power, burst and looked like the type of back who could carry the Baltimore offense the rest of the season.  The Colts have not shut down good running backs this season and are 18th in the league against the run, giving up 108.3 yards per game.  McGahee, running as he did, could have a big day.
Who to Watch: Ravens pass rushers.  When the Patriots got in second and third and long, the Ravens pass rushers gave Brady all kinds of problems.  Antwan Barnes had the first sack of his career, while Terrell Suggs also sent his best regards to the Patriots quarterback.  The Pats struggled blocking the Ravens edge rushers and the Colts still aren’t completely healthy at tackle.  Keep an eye on how much pressure Barnes, Suggs and company generate on Manning.
What Will Happen: The Ravens will reduce the penalties this week and get a 100+ yard game from McGahee.  But, Manning will counter with another 275+ yard/three touchdown performance to lead the Colts to victory number eleven.
CFN Prediction: Colts – 27…Ravens – 24
Line: Indianapolis -9
Must See Rating: (5 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show - 1 Margot At The Wedding) ...4

New Orleans at Atlanta 8:30 pm ESPN December 10, 2007
Why to Watch: For some reason, the Falcons get a second opportunity to prove their wares on a Monday night broadcast, although some may not call it an opportunity with the way this team is playing.  The Falcons’ losing continued last week, as Atlanta lost to St. Louis 28-16.  The Saints bungled a reverse late in the fourth quarter in a 27-23 loss to Tampa Bay.  Earlier this season, the Saints beat the Falcons 22-16 in New Orleans.  The loss to Tampa Bay cost the Saints any chance, a slim chance at that mind you, to overtake the Bucs in the NFC South.  The Falcons loss just pushed them closer to the top of the 2008 NFL Draft order.
Why New Orleans Might Win:  After getting shredded by one of the Flying McCowns last week, the Saints get some sort of reprieve facing the Falcons Joey Harrington or even Chris Redman.  The former Oregon Duck has been in and out of the lineup all season long, partly because the offense has done nothing with him under center.  Redman was better last week against the Rams but he’s been a career back-up.  The Falcons are 26th in total offense, averaging just under 300 yards per game.  As such, the Saints have a better opportunity to be successful against this offense than Tampa Bay’s.  However…
Why Atlanta Might Win:  …even though the Falcons haven’t moved the ball effectively this season, the Saints defense is one of the worst in the league.  The Saints are 26th in the league in total defense, giving up 351.7 yards per game and in the last meeting, the Falcons generated more offense (334 yards vs. 310 yards) in the first meeting between these two and piled up 435 yards of offense against the Rams.
Who to Watch: Falcons running back Jerious Norwood was finally named the starter and it’s been a long time coming.  It took only eight carries for Norwood to hit 94 yards rushing, providing some home run hitting ability in the running game.  Norwood will be a key figure in this week’s matchup against the Saints run defense.
What Will Happen: This is actually going to be a little more entertaining game than first expected.  Quarterback Drew Brees will throw for over 300 yards and three touchdowns to lead the Saints to a vital win for their playoff hopes.
CFN Prediction: Saints – 34…Falcons – 30
Line: New Orleans -4.5
Must See Rating: (5 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show - 1 Margot At The Wedding) ...2

 



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