ACC Fearless Predictions, Sept. 27, Part 2
Wake Forest QB Riley Skinner
Wake Forest QB Riley Skinner
CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Sep 24, 2008


Previews and Predictions for the Week 5 ACC Games, Part 2


ACC
Atlantic Boston Coll | ClemsonFlorida St | Maryland | NC State | Wake Forest
Coastal Duke | Georgia Tech | Miami | North Carolina | Virginia | Virginia Tech

ACC Fearless Predictions Aug. 30 | Sept. 6 | Sept. 13 | Sept. 20

How are the picks so far? SU: 27-8 ... ATS: 10-14

- ACC Week Five Predictions

Saturday, September 27

Colorado (3-0) at Florida State (2-1), 3:30 EST, ABC
Why to watch: With a chance to send a message to the country that it’s on the way back to prominence, Florida State flopped, losing ugly to Wake Forest. The Seminoles were bad on so many levels, including failing to reach the end zone and turning the ball over seven times. After teasing everyone with routs of Western Carolina and Chattanooga, the ‘Noles got exposed as a team in need of work. Lots of work. FSU is still making too many mental errors and unable to develop sustained consistency at quarterback. Can they build from here, or do the FSU follies continue? A visit from Colorado will answer plenty about Florida State’s mindset and direction. The Buffaloes are riding high after upsetting West Virginia in overtime with a large television audience glued to the waning moments. While it wasn’t as profound as last September’s upset of Oklahoma, it did get the Buffs to the lip of the Top 25 cup and to 3-0 for the first time since 2004. A trip to Florida gives Dan Hawkins a chance to spread his program’s message to a whole new corner of the map.
Why Colorado might win: The Florida State offense is a comedy of errors, marked by turnovers, penalties, and a lack of depth on the offensive line. The Seminoles will have a hard time moving the chains on a Buffalo defense that just got done holding West Virginia to 14 points, and has yielded just a pair of touchdown passes all year. On the inside, George Hypolite and Brandon Nicolas are a couple of future pros, who’ll dominate that suspect ‘Nole front wall. We saw last week what happens when Florida State can’t run the ball and must put the offense in the hands of quarterbacks Christian Ponder and D’Vontrey Richardson.
Why Florida State might win: Lost in last week’s debacle was the play of the defense, which kept the Demon Deacons out of the end zone despite those seven turnovers. Had the ‘Noles not been so sloppy with the ball, they might have pitched a shutout. LB Derek Nicholson was a force of nature, and the return of DT Budd Thacker helped ease the congestion for DE Everette Brown and the rest of the defensive linemen. For all the problems facing Florida State, the defense isn’t one of them, giving up just one touchdown through the first three quarters.
Who to watch: The Seminoles will have to contend with a couple of true freshmen backs, blue-chip recruit Darrell Scott and diminutive Rodney Stewart, who scooted for 166 yards on 28 carries in the win against West Virginia. The Buffs don’t have many lethal weapons at wide receiver, which will allow S Myron Rolle to spend more time pressing up to stop the run.
What will happen: The Florida State defense will turn this into an ugly game of punts, three-and-outs, and field goal attempts. It’ll also help lead the Seminoles to a stabilizing victory, holding Colorado to just 300 total yards and a touchdown short of a road upset. Richardson will provide the difference on offense, getting to the corner and beating the Buff secondary to the end zone.
CFN Prediction
: Florida State 17 … Colorado 13 ... Line: Florida State -7
Must See Rating: (5 Debate No. 1 - 1 The 2008 Primetime Emmys) … 3
- Click here to receive ATS Consultants FREE selections

Navy (2-2) at Wake Forest (3-0), 3:45 EST, ESPNU
Why to watch: Go ahead and underestimate Wake Forest, but you’ll do so at your own peril. The Demon Deacons continued their recent mastery of Florida State, beating the Seminoles, 12-3, for a third straight year. While it wasn’t a Picasso, it still counts, and has propelled the program into the favorite’s role to win the ACC. Sandwiched between last week’s emotional win in Tallahassee and next week’s titanic visit from Clemson is a game with Navy, which authored an important victory of its own. The Midshipmen used some halftime adjustments and a late field goal from Matt Harmon to surprise Rutgers in front of an electric crowd in Annapolis. The win offsets last week’s loss to Duke, keeping the Middies on track to vie for a six bowl berth in-a-row.
Why Navy might win: When the Midshipmen are winning, the option offense is clicking, and no one is more important to the attack than point guard Kaipo-Noa Kaheaku-Enhada. It was no coincidence that he returned from injury on the same day that Navy was upsetting a team from the Big East. He was a little rusty, but his leadership was indisputable and his presence helped spring FB Eric Kettani for his best game of the month. Kaheaku-Enhada, Kettani, and Shun White form a relentless trio that will try to wear down the Wake Forest run defense.
Why Wake Forest might win: The Deacons’ issues along the offensive line won’t be evident against a Navy defense laboring to get a push up front. The holes will be wide than they’ve been all year for Josh Adams and Brandon Pendergrass, and QB Riley Skinner will get the time he needs to locate WR D.J. Boldin and TE Ben Wooster. The Midshipmen have been horrible in pass defense, yielding nine touchdown passes in the first three games, a trend that Skinner & Co. plan to further Saturday afternoon.
Who to watch: Wake Forest LB Aaron Curry continues to play with the skill and intensity of an All-American candidate and a future NFL player. He leads the Deacons in tackles and tackles for loss, and picked off the pass that snuffed out Florida State’s comeback bid last weekend. With the Middies content to run the ball 50 times, No. 59 will hear his number called about a dozen times before the final whistle.
What will happen: If Wake Forest gets caught looking ahead to its ACC clash with Clemson, it’s liable to get blindsided by Navy. The Middies are capable of shocking unsuspecting opponents, especially with Kaheaku-Enhada back at the controls. The Deacons will struggle longer than they’d like before finally shaking free in the final 30 minutes. Until Navy can start playing better defense, it’ll have a hard time picking off one of the nation’s better rounded programs.
CFN Prediction
: Wake Forest 41 … Navy 27... Line: Wake Forest -15.5
Must See Rating: (5 Debate No. 1 - 1 The 2008 Primetime Emmys) … 2.5
- Click here to receive ATS Consultants FREE selections

South Florida (4-0) at North Carolina State (2-2), 7:30 EST, ESPNU
Why to watch: North Carolina State rose up and knocked East Carolina from the ranks of the unbeaten last Saturday with a 30-24 upset win. It’ll try to do the same to South Florida this weekend. It was the first signature win in the Tom O’Brien era and something the Wolfpack can build upon going forward. If State can overachieve for a second straight week, it can start seriously thinking about making a run at bowl eligibility in November. South Florida remained unbeaten with a win at Florida International, but it was a lot tougher than anyone could have imagined. The Bulls have won their last three games by eight points or fewer, a disturbing trend that could catch up to them over the final eight games. At No. 13 in the AP poll, they’re the highest ranked Big East team, but head coach Jim Leavitt knows his team has flaws that need to be addressed.
Why South Florida might win: N.C. State’s 109th-ranked offense is going to have a whale of a time trying to score on the Bulls. South Florida has the nation’s No. 12 defense, a speedy unit that will put non-stop pressure on Harrison Beck, who’s replacing injured Russell Wilson at quarterback. The Wolfpack offense is predicated on establishing the run, which no one has done successfully versus USF. The Bulls are allowing just over two yards a carry and have yet to allow more than 76 yards in a game. With offenses fixated on DE George Selvie, others such as NT Terrell McClain and DE Craig Marshall, are stepping up and making stops.
Why NC State might win: The Wolfpack D may not have as many recognizable names as South Florida, but it’s been every bit as feisty this month. State has already created a dozen turnovers, second only to Wake Forest in the ACC, and has been able to get consistent pressure up front with ends Willie Young and Shea McKeen. If the Pack can force QB Matt Grothe into mistakes, the talent gap between these two schools will be erased.
Who to watch: South Florida LB Tyrone McKenzie has been playing like a man possessed since the season began. He’s making plays all over the field, and has registered at least one tackle for loss in all four games. He’ll be keeping a close watch on Wolfpack RB Andre Brown, who was one of the heroes on Saturday, powering his way to 73 yards and the game-winning touchdown.
What will happen: South Florida is going to struggle to shake North Carolina State, a program that’s been playing much better of late and will be energized by the Carter-Finley crowd. The Bulls will survive another close call, snuffing out a Wolfpack drive for the tying touchdown late in the final quarter.

CFN Prediction
: South Florida 28 … NC State 16... Line: USF -8
Must See Rating: (5 Debate No. 1 - 1 The 2008 Primetime Emmys) … 4
- Click here to receive ATS Consultants FREE selections   

Virginia Tech (3-1) at Nebraska (3-0), 8:00 EST, ABC
Why to watch: The Bo Pelini era in Lincoln technically began on Aug. 30 when Western Michigan visited Memorial Stadium. For most Husker fans, however, things don’t really get started until Virginia Tech comes to town for Saturday night’s primetime affair. Nebraska is unbeaten, yet really hasn’t been tested, and has delivered mixed results on both sides of the ball. This weekend will give the program a chance to show a big chunk of the country just how far along it’s coming under Pelini. Give credit to Frank Beamer and the Hokies for rebounding with three straight wins after dropping the opener to East Carolina. No one is pretending this is a vintage Tech team, yet it’s eked out back-to-back three-point wins over ACC rival, stamping it the early favorite in the Coastal division. There’s no substitute for a great coaching staff, something Husker fans hope to be preaching before too long.
Why Virginia Tech might win: The one constant for the Hokies this fall has been the play of the defense, which has gotten better with each passing week. In last week’s pivotal win over North Carolina, the unit had four sacks and created an equal number of turnovers. The pressure is coming from multiple sources across the line, including speedy ends Orion Martin and Jason Worilds. The Husker offense has been sporadic, and will have problems with this Tech D. Beating up on the likes of Western Michigan and New Mexico State has not prepared it for a well-coached group that will strip the ball and wrap up its tackles.
Why Nebraska might win: Although this isn’t your daddy’s Blackshirt defense, it’s already evident Pelini is having a positive impact on that side of the ball. Since having some breakdowns versus Western Michigan, the Huskers have gone more than eight quarters without allowing a touchdown pass and have been particularly stingy in the red zone. Led by lineman Ndamukong Suh, Nebraska already has nine sacks, which is good for No. 2 in the Big 12. The way the Hokies are sputtering on offense, ranking 112th nationally, their problems moving the ball figure to continue this weekend.
Who to watch: Pelini hasn’t decided on a feature back, so he’ll continue using three, Marlon Lucky, Roy Helu, Jr., and Quentin Castille, who all offer something a little different to the offense. The Huskers are averaging 189 yards a game on the ground, meaning something is working. The trio will have to be a factor because Joe Ganz is going to find it difficult throwing on CB Victor Harris and an improving Hokie defensive backfield.
What will happen: Intangibles are always tough to gauge, but you’ve got to figure that the atmosphere in Lincoln will be electric and the Huskers will feed off that energy. While the program isn’t where it needs to be yet, it’ll still capture its most important victory of the past few years. The heroes will be on a defense that keeps QB Tyrod Taylor from making big plays and forces the Hokies to attempt field goals when touchdowns are needed.
CFN Prediction
: Nebraska 27 … Virginia Tech 16 ... Line: Nebraska -7
Must See Rating: (5 Debate No. 1 - 1 The 2008 Primetime Emmys) … 4
- Click here to receive ATS Consultants FREE selections     


-
ACC Week Five Predictions


  



Story Tools
Top Stories 
Search Stories 
Discuss on Forums