ACC Fearless Predictions, Oct. 18, Part 2
Georgia Tech DE Michael Johnson
Georgia Tech DE Michael Johnson
CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Oct 14, 2008


Previews and Predictions for the Week 8 ACC Games, Part 2


ACC
Atlantic Boston Coll | ClemsonFlorida St | Maryland | NC State | Wake Forest
Coastal Duke | Georgia Tech | Miami | North Carolina | Virginia | Virginia Tech

ACC Fearless Predictions Aug. 30 | Sept. 6 | Sept. 13 | Sept. 20
- Sept. 27 | Oct. 4 | Oct. 11 

How are the picks so far? SU: 39-15 ... ATS: 17-23

- ACC Week Eight Predictions, Oct. 18

Saturday, October 18

Georgia Tech (5-1) at Clemson (3-3), 12:00 EST
Why to watch: Although it’s only been a week since Clemson dropped to 3-3 with a loss to Wake Forest, the program has endured a season’s worth of changes since that time. On Monday, the Tigers ended the nine-year reign of Tommy Bowden, replacing him with young assistant Dabo Swinney. The program is also expected to begin a new era at quarterback with sophomore Willy Korn, a former blue-chip recruit who was named the starter before the coaching change. There isn’t a 3-3 team in the country that’s going to generate more headlines or national intrigue this weekend than Clemson. Georgia Tech may have won a game last weekend, but it lost some swagger in the process, eking out a three-point win over Gardner-Webb. In their defense, the Yellow Jackets were facing a shortage of healthy quarterbacks. The probable return of Josh Nesbitt ought to rectify the situation, as the team aims to stay within a game of Virginia Tech in the Coastal division race.
Why Georgia Tech might win: Considering the tumult facing Clemson, Tech couldn’t be catching it at a better time. The coach is new, the quarterback is new, and the team is trying to process all of the changes. The Tigers must also contend with the nation’s eighth-ranked ground game and a tremendous defense that hasn’t yielded more than seven points in any of its last three games. Tech will dominate a flimsy Clemson interior, forcing Korn into rookie mistakes. RB C.J. Spiller is not expected to play, which means there’s one less weapon that the defense has to worry about.
Why Clemson might win: Georgia Tech can certainly move the ball on the ground, but that hasn’t equaled many points. The Yellow Jackets average just 25 points a game, and the uncertainty at quarterback will be a problem against the Tiger D. Since getting bombed in the opener with Alabama, Clemson has allowed just 12 points a game and has held up well against the run. Tackles Dorell Scott and Jarvis Jenkins form as tough an interior as there is in the ACC.
Who to watch: If Georgia Tech hopes to leave Death Valley with a victory, Nesbitt has to be at full strength. He sat out the last two games with a hamstring injury, and the offense suffered, scoring just 37 combined points against Duke and Gardner-Webb. If he’s not 100, it could be up to freshman Jaybo Shaw, who missed last week’s game with a concussion. If third-stringer Calvin Booker is in the game, it’s a bad sign for the Yellow Jackets.
What will happen: If Clemson couldn’t put it together in recent games with Maryland or Wake Forest, what makes anyone believe it’ll rise up now? Georgia Tech suddenly has an enormous advantage on the sidelines and its edge along both lines will be evident. In a physical, low-scoring game, Tech will keep Clemson reeling, spoiling the debuts of Swinney and Korn.
CFN Prediction: Georgia Tech 20 … Clemson 16 …. Line: Georgia Tech -1
Must See Rating: (5 The Real Housewives of Atlanta – 1 Celebrity Rehab With Dr. Drew) … 4
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North Carolina (5-1) at Virginia (3-3), 3:30 EST, ABC
Why to watch: North Carolina is hot, and after beating Notre Dame in a classic, beginning to get more recognition on a national level. Butch Davis has the Tar Heels way ahead of schedule, ranked No. 18 in the latest AP poll and still in the hunt in the ACC Coastal. The win over the Irish, however, came at a price. Brandon Tate, the team’s multi-dimensional threat, was a lost for the year with a knee injury, a stiff blow to the offense and the special teams. All the talk of Al Groh’s demise has been greatly exaggerated. He’s got Virginia playing its best football of the season, blowing past Maryland and East Carolina in consecutive. Credit the coaching staff for getting the program to .500 and turning around a season that appeared to be beyond repair in September. With a win here, the ‘Hoos can start seriously talking about bowl eligibility.
Why North Carolina might win: Carolina has an opportunistic defense that’s quick to the ball and No. 2 nationally in takeaways. The Heels will give up some yards, but are stingy in the red zone and have been a genuine asset to the offense. Linebackers Bruce Carter, Quan Sturdivant, and Mark Paschal will make sure that Cedric Peerman and the 100th-ranked Virginia running game never get to top gear. Although the Cavs have played better on offense lately, they’re still averaging just 17 points a game and lack the playmakers to match Carolina’s defensive speed.
Why Virginia might win
: It took a while, but the Cavalier defense has finally started to come around, pressuring the quarterback and limiting the big plays that were prevalent in the early going. Sparked by LB Clint Sintim and DE Matt Conrath, Virginia is second in the ACC in sacks and have held the last three opponents under 100 yards in rushing. When Carolina isn’t getting help from the defense and special teams, the 91st-ranked offense has had trouble scoring and sustaining drives. Without Tate on the field, the Cavs can assign extra resources to help Ras-I Dowling stop Hakeem Nicks.
Who to watch: Shaun Draughn as been a blessing over the last two games for the Carolina running game. He’s taken over for Greg Little, grinding out 200 yards and a touchdown over his last 36 carries. A converted defensive back, he hits the hole quickly and is always pushing forward. The staff must decide what to do with Little, who came to Chapel Hill as a receiver and could be moved back to bolster the team’s depth at the position.
What will happen
: Coming off an emotional win over Notre Dame, North Carolina will have its hands full with a resurgent Virginia squad. The lead will change hands several times and the outcome will be in doubt in the final quarter. No stranger to close games, the Heels will pull out another squeaker on a field goal from Casey Barth.
CFN Prediction: North Carolina 24 … Virginia 21 …. Line: North Carolina -5.5
Must See Rating: (5 The Real Housewives of Atlanta – 1 Celebrity Rehab With Dr. Drew) … 3
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Miami (3-3) at Duke (3-2), 3:30 EST, ESPNU
Why to watch: Since blowing past Texas A&M in the third week, Miami has had a hard time getting back on track, losing close games against North Carolina and Florida State, and barely getting past UCF last Saturday. The offense is inconsistent, the defense has holes, and the injuries to key players have begun to mount. If the ‘Canes hope to land a postseason berth, it has to win games it’s supposed to, such as this week versus Duke. The Blue Devils certainly lack Miami’s talent, but they’re no longer a pushover that automatically goes in the win column. Duke has been a different team under David Cutcliffe, one that makes fewer mistakes and has some punch on offense. The Blue Devils have played the Hurricanes tough in each of the last two years, so another close game shouldn’t surprise anyone.
Why Miami might win: Of course this is not a vintage Hurricane defense, but there’s still enough speed and talent to handle a one-dimensional Duke offense. The Blue Devils can’t run the ball, which won’t change versus the nation’s 16th-ranked run defense. While Thaddeus Lewis will make some connections with WR Eron Riley, he’ll also have a hard time navigating the athletes that roam the Miami secondary. The ‘Canes will look to exploit one of the ACC’s worst run defenses by getting 20-25 touches for Graig Cooper.             
Why Duke might win: Do the Blue Devils have the better defense in this game? Don’t laugh. They’re only allowing 18 points a game and the pass defense has been surprisingly stingy. The front seven has been stout, led by linebackers Vincent Rey and Michael Tauiliili, and linemen Greg Akinbiyi and Vince Oghobaase. Duke will not back down to a Miami offense that has problems at quarterback and is generally not clicking in any area. The ‘Canes managed just 216 yards and 2-of-17 third down conversions against UCF.
Who to watch: Riley is the big-play guy of the Duke offense, but Miami is well-aware of skills and will adjust accordingly. The Blue Devils need a second option in the passing game to assist Lewis and take some of the heat off No. 15. It’s time for true freshman Johnny Williams to play like he a month ago. In Week 2 against Northwestern, he caught 11 passes for 135 yards, but has just seven grabs for 77 yards since.
What will happen: Why not Duke? Miami has shown nothing but flaws in the last three games, and appears to be regressing on offense. While the ‘Canes will be flat, the Blue Devils will pounce on the opportunity to slay a former power and make more headlines. They’ll hand Miami a painful loss, riding a solid effort from the defense and a bunch of hook-ups between Lewis and Riley.
CFN Prediction: Duke 24 … Miami 20 …. Line: Miami -5.5
Must See Rating: (5 The Real Housewives of Atlanta – 1 Celebrity Rehab With Dr. Drew) … 2.5
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ACC Week Eight Predictions, Oct. 18