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ACC Fearless Predictions, Nov. 1
Florida State DE Everette Brown
Florida State DE Everette Brown
CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Oct 30, 2008

In case you haven't noticed, the ACC race has gotten really, really good. Oh yeah, and Florida State is good again led by Everette Brown and one of the nation's better defenses. They face a huge test against Georgia Tech this weekend. Check out the Previews and Predictions for the Week 10 ACC Games.


ACC
Atlantic Boston Coll | ClemsonFlorida St | Maryland | NC State | Wake Forest
Coastal Duke | Georgia Tech | Miami | North Carolina | Virginia | Virginia Tech

ACC Fearless Predictions Aug. 30 | Sept. 6 | Sept. 13 | Sept. 20
- Sept. 27 | Oct. 4 | Oct. 11 | Oct. 18 | Oct. 25 

How are the picks so far? SU: 45-21 ... ATS: 23-29

ACC Game of the Week

Florida State (6-1) at Georgia Tech (6-2), 3:30 EST, ABC
Why to watch: Wasn’t the epitaph being written for Florida State just a little over a month ago? Although the ‘Noles were given up for dead after losing at home to Wake Forest, they’ve risen from the ashes to win four straight and move into a first place tie in the Atlantic Division. No, this edition won’t be confused with some of Bobby Bowden’s best teams, but it’s winning the games it would have fumbled in recent years. Georgia Tech, conversely, no longer controls its own destiny in the Coastal Division after losing late at home to resurgent Virginia. For the time since Paul Johnson took over, the Yellow Jackets are facing a genuine gut-check game that could decide whether they remain in the league race or start preparing for a second-tier December bowl game.
Why Florida State might win: While Tech’s option presents a unique challenge, the Seminoles are defending the run better than anyone in the ACC, yielding just 79 yards a game. This is a veteran, athletic defense that has depth and star power at each level. Yellow Jacket QB Josh Nesbitt appears to have regressed running the option, and the running game, in general, had a sub par October. With the likes of Derek Nicholson, Toddrick Verdell, and Myron Rolle swarming to the ball, Nesbitt will make the kinds of mistakes that have plagued him in his first season at the controls.
Why Georgia Tech might win: Whatever strides the Seminole offense has made under Jimbo Fisher are about to evaporate. The Jackets will dominate Florida State, especially near the line of scrimmage. The ‘Noles have an inexperienced offensive line that’ll be taken to school by a Tech front led by Vance Walker, Darryl Richard, Michael Johnson, and Derrick Morgan. Plus, the Florida State backs are dinged up and QB Christian Ponder is still in the early stages of his development. If Tech can make him force passes, DB Morgan Burnett will capitalize by adding to his nation’s high interception total.
Who to watch: The way these two defenses play, this is the type of game that could ride on the legs of the kickers. That gives a significant edge to Florida State, whose senior Graham Gano has connected on 13-of-14 field goals, including his last 12 attempts. Although Georgia Tech’s Scott Blair has gotten better since a shaky September, coaches would rather not see him trotting out on the field with the game hanging in the balance.
What will happen: Gone for now are the days when Florida State can simply run right through ACC opponents. The ‘Noles have begun to learn how to win ugly out of necessity. They’ll do so again in Atlanta, toughing out a close defensive struggle by forcing turnovers and keeping Nesbitt and RB Jonathan Dwyer from popping big runs. While the option has shown signs of progress at Tech, it’s still an unfinished product that’ll labor to move the ball on such an athletic defense
CFN Prediction: Florida State 23 …Georgia Tech 19 ... Line: Florida State -2
Must See Rating: (5 RocknRolla – 1 High School Musical 3: Senior Year) … 4
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Saturday, November 1

Miami (5-3) at Virginia (5-3), 12:00 EST, ESPN GamePlan
Why to watch: Virginia continues to author the most improbable story of the ACC season, upsetting Georgia Tech for its fourth consecutive win. Much like last year, there nothing sexy about the Cavaliers, who are winning with a solid defense, a power running game, and a limited number of mistakes. Now that the hunter has become the hunted, Virginia will try for the first time to protect its one-game lead in the Coastal Division. Miami remained in the hunt for the division with its 16-10 victory over Wake Forest last weekend. Although the Hurricanes have won three straight, they’ve looked sloppy at times getting there are hardly a finished product. Besides the obvious desire to move up in the standings, they’d also like to pay back the Cavs for last year’s 52-7 loss in the Orange Bowl swan song.
Why Miami might win: While this is not a vintage Hurricane defense, it still ranks No. 15 in the country and has enough talent and speed to shut down the vanilla ‘Hoo offense. Virginia averages just 17 points a game and as a team has thrown twice as many interceptions as touchdown passes. Marc Verica has been a nice caretaker since Pete Lalich transferred, but he’ll hardly make the Miami secondary quiver. The Cavalier run defense is vulnerable, so expect to see a heavy of Graig Cooper and Javarris James, who’s working his way back from an injury.
Why Virginia might win: Cavalier defensive coordinator Bob Pruett has quietly done a terrific job this season. During the four-game winning streak, Virginia has allowed just 12 points a game, collected a dozen sacks, and been burned for just a single touchdown pass. The linebackers have been outstanding, particularly Clint Sintim, who’s performing at an All-America level. In comes Miami with one of the most inconsistent offenses in the ACC and sporadic play from freshmen quarterbacks Robert Marve and Jacory Harris. The ‘Canes’ troubles with the ball will continue against a disciplined defense that makes few mistakes.
Who to watch: Virginia DE Matt Conrath is just a redshirt freshman, but his enormous potential shines through whenever he breaks from the huddle. Second behind Sintim in sacks and tackles for loss, he’s got the wingspan of a condor and a non-stop motor, the latter generating comparisons to former Cavalier Chris Long. Down the road, Conrath is going to be a star. For now, he’ll still be a nuisance for the Miami tackles.
What will happen: This has all of the makings of a low-scoring defensive scrum that isn’t decided until the final minutes of the fourth quarter. In other words, an environment that Virginia knows well. The Cavaliers are playing with the quiet confidence of a team that now feels it can win every game as long as it doesn’t have to mount a big comeback. Miami is an ordinary football team, which lacks the offensive execution to rally late or have much success early against an underrated UVa defense.
CFN Prediction: Virginia 22 … Miami 20 ... Line: Miami -1
Must See Rating: (5 RocknRolla – 1 High School Musical 3: Senior Year) … 3.5
 
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Clemson (3-4) at Boston College (5-2), 3:30 EST, ESPNU
Why to watch: Last November, Clemson and Boston College battled for a spot in the ACC championship game. This November, both schools are trying to remain relevant on varying levels. The Eagles fell from the top of the Atlantic Division with last week’s 45-24 loss to North Carolina and can ill-afford another defeat. The pressure is really beginning to mount for QB Chris Crane, who’s been unable to string a couple of decent game in-a-row. The Tigers had a bye week to get better acclimated to life without head coach Tommy Bowden and try to get a quarterback healthy. If Clemson is going to make a late push for bowl eligibility, it has to have either Cullen Harper or Willy Korn at 100%.
Why Clemson might win: Say what you will about the Tigers’ demise, but don’t point fingers at the defense. Since the opening day debacle with Alabama, Clemson has allowed just 15 points a game, playing especially well in pass defense. That means more problems for Crane and a passing game that has been ineffective throughout the year. The inside-outside push of tackles Dorell Scott and Jarvis Jenkins and end Ricky Sapp, respectively, will prevent the Eagles from getting much going on the ground either.
Why Boston College might win: The Eagles had defensive breakdowns in Chapel Hill, but that’s not indicative of their potential as a group. They remain in the top 10 nationally in total defense and pass defense, while doing a nice job of pressuring the quarterback. Boston College will get penetration, especially with Ron Brace and B.J. Raji on the inside, against a Clemson offensive line that’s been an Achilles’ heel all season. Not only are Harper and Korn on the mend, but dangerous RB C.J. Spiller is laboring with a hamstring injury.
Who to watch: With Brian Toal out for the season with a broken leg, Mark Herzlich is being counted on to play an even bigger role for Boston College at linebacker. Don’t bet against him. The junior is in the midst of a breakout year that’s shed light on his ability to defend the run and pressure the quarterback. An All-ACC candidate, he leads the Eagles with 62 tackles and has pitched in 4.5 tackles for loss.
What will happen: Boston College’s one-week bout with defensive ineptitude is over. The Eagles will manhandle the Tigers up front, hitting James Davis before he gets up field and getting in the face of whichever injured quarterback is able to go. While Boston College will stumble on offense, it’ll get just enough from Crane and rookie RB Montel Harris to remain in the Atlantic Division race.
CFN Prediction: Boston College 24 … Clemson 17 ... Line: Boston College -5.5
Must See Rating: (5 RocknRolla – 1 High School Musical 3: Senior Year) … 3
 
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Duke (4-3) at Wake Forest (4-3)
, 3:30 EST
Why to watch: Wake Forest, the perennial darling of the ACC, is laboring to stay in the hunt for an Atlantic Division that looked to be its domain just a few weeks ago. The Demon Deacons are having a devil of a time generating much offense, a product of an offensive line that’s having a hard time holding its blocks. While hope comes in the form of five straight games in the state of North Carolina, Wake is one more loss away from being in trouble for bowl eligibility. Duke, on the other hand, dramatically improved its chances for its first bowl since 1994 by surprising Vanderbilt, 10-7, in Knoxville. Although it didn’t go the way David Cutcliffe drew it up, it still represented another big step forward for the program and the first-year coaching staff.
Why Duke might win: How bad have things gotten for the Wake Forest offense? It’s now gone five consecutive games without scoring more than 17 points. The Deacons are determined to finally get backs Josh Adams and Brandon Pendergrass unleashed, but don’t count on it. It hasn’t happened all season for a team averaging just 109 yards a game on the ground. The Blue Devils have actually played pretty well on defense this fall, getting solid production from a front seven that’s bolstered by veteran playmakers, like LB Michael Tauiliili and DE Greg Akinbiyi.
Why Wake Forest might win: Duke is at its best when Thaddeus Lewis is getting the ball in the hands of top receiver Eron Riley, but that’ll be no small chore against the Demon Deacon pass defense. With Alphonso Smith, Kevin Patterson, and Chip Vaughn manning the air waves, Wake Forest is 22nd nationally in pass efficiency defense, allowing just three touchdown passes over the last five games. If the Blue Devils can’t get things moving through the air, it won’t be able to improvise with a futile running game getting only 109 yards a game.
Who to watch: LB Aaron Curry is back to playing like a beast again for Wake Forest. Somewhat quiet this year by his standards, he erupted against Miami for three tackles for loss, a sack, and a pass deflected. If he’s on again this week, everyone on the defensive unit, from the linemen to the defensive backs is going to benefit.
What will happen: The Wake Forest is set to explode. Okay, they’ll score more than 17 points in a game for the first time in almost two months, getting a couple of touchdown passes from Skinner and a touchdown run from Adams. The defense will come up big, picking off a pair of passes and giving the offense the short fields it desperately needs.
CFN Prediction: Wake Forest 23 … Duke 13 ... Line: Wake Forest -7
Must See Rating: (5 RocknRolla – 1 High School Musical 3: Senior Year) … 2
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