ACC Fearless Predictions, Nov. 22, Part 2
Clemson WR Aaron Kelly
Clemson WR Aaron Kelly
CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Nov 20, 2008


Previews and Predictions for the Week 13 ACC Games, Part 2


ACC
Atlantic Boston Coll | ClemsonFlorida St | Maryland | NC State | Wake Forest
Coastal Duke | Georgia Tech | Miami | North Carolina | Virginia | Virginia Tech

ACC Fearless Predictions Aug. 30 | Sept. 6 | Sept. 13 | Sept. 20
- Sept. 27 | Oct. 4 | Oct. 11 | Oct. 18 | Oct. 25 | Nov. 1 | Nov. 8 | Nov. 15     

How are the picks so far? SU: 52-29 ... ATS: 28-39

- ACC Week 13 Predictions, Nov. 22

Saturday, November 22

Clemson (5-5) at Virginia (5-5), 12:00 EST, ESPN GamePlan
Why to watch: The ACC has nine possible bowl tie-ins. Eight schools are already bowl-eligible. Clemson and Virginia are hoping to fill that final opening with a win this week in Charlottesville. Although the Tigers have been one of this season’s biggest flops, they still have a chance to reward the seniors with one final bowl experience. Clemson got to .500 with last week’s 31-7 rout of Duke, one of its most complete wins of the season. Virginia returns from its bye week knowing that one win could mean more than just bowl eligibility. Although the Cavaliers certainly aren’t looking ahead, they do recognize that wins over Clemson and Virginia Tech could lead to a Coastal Division crown. They’re just a game out of first place, and could fare well in a tiebreaker if Georgia Tech and North Carolina are also in the mix.
Why Clemson might win: The Cavaliers will have plenty of problems scoring points this weekend. Not only do they have the ACC’s worst running game, but QB Marc Verica will be trying to navigate the league’s stingiest pass defense. That’s a recipe for lots of punts and three-and-outs. Virginia is averaging only 17 points a game, a number it’ll fight to reach Saturday afternoon. The Tiger defense has been steady all season, holding six of its last eight opponents under 300 total yards.
Why Virginia might win: Beating up on Duke is hardly an indication that Clemson has turned a corner. This is essentially the same Tiger team that’s gone 2-4 since the end of September, turning the ball over way too often and playing poorly along both lines. The Cavaliers defense, which ranks second in the league in sacks, will have its way with a suspect Clemson front wall. Virginia can rattle Cullen Harper the conventional way, with rush ends Matt Conrath and Alex Field, or by blitzing Clint Sintim and Antonio Appleby. Harper has been a shell of his expectations, neutralizing the potential of his surrounding skill position talent.
Who to watch: Since Verica won’t have much luck throwing into the teeth of the Clemson defense, Virginia will need a big game from RB Cedric Peerman. While not flashy or NFL-ready, he is the undisputed sparkplug for the Cavalier offense. A downhill runner that’ll take tacklers for a ride, he’s gone over 100 yards three times, all Virginia upsets. If the Cavs are going to poke their heads above .500, they’ll need another productive day from their senior workhorse.
What will happen: Neither team will be able to build much of a cushion as both defenses dominate the tempo of the game. If you don’t know the names of the Virginia and Clemson punters and kickers, you will after watching this game for four quarters. The Cavs are more rested and better coached, which will provide the margin of victory in a tight, low-scoring affair.
CFN Prediction: Virginia 20 … Clemson 17... Line: Clemson -2.5 
Must See Rating: (5 Valkyrie – 1 Paris Hilton’s My New BFF) … 3
 
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Boston College (7-3) at Wake Forest (6-4), 3:30 EST, ABC
Why to watch: Do not sleep on Boston College simply because it appears to be buried in fourth place of the Atlantic Division. With wins over Wake Forest and Maryland in the final two games, the Eagles will soar past everyone and return to a second straight ACC championship game. Period. They cleared their first—and possibly tallest hurdle a week ago, knocking off Florida State on the road and in primetime. Although the Demon Deacons aren’t out of contention in the division, they’re certainly not headed in the right direction. Wake Forest had its chances to remain tied for the Atlantic lead, but failed to deliver when it mattered in a 21-17 loss to North Carolina State. A win this Saturday, coupled with a Terrapin loss to the Seminoles would create a three-team logjam heading into the final weekend of the regular season.
Why Boston College might win: The Eagle defense has awoken from a mini-slump, and is playing like it did in September. Boston College has allowed just 17 points in the last two games, rising to No. 8 nationally in total defense. The front seven, which is bolstered by LB Mark Herzlich and tackles B.J. Raji and Ron Brace, will cause all kinds of problems for a Deacon line that’s yet to exit the work-in-progress phase. Wake Forest has done a poor job of protecting Riley Skinner and run blocking, which explains the team’s paltry 20-point scoring average.
Why Wake Forest might win: Boston College is having scoring problems of its own. QB Chris Crane is 97th nationally in passing efficiency and neither Montel Harris nor Josh Haden is a true every-down back. The Eagles haven’t reached 30 points in any of its last five games, and won’t do so again this weekend. Like this week’s opposition, Wake’s strength is on defense, where NG Boo Robinson, LB Aaron Curry, and CB Alphonso Smith are all-conference players. The Deacons are yielding only 18 points a game and will often create more big plays than the offense. Crane must resist the temptation to force the ball, or else the Wake Forest defenders will make him pay all afternoon.
Who to watch: Wake Forest will need every available weapon to solve the stingy Boston College defense. That means it’s time for Josh Adams, last year’s ACC Rookie of the Year, to let it all hang out now that he’s back from an ankle injury. After carrying the ball just two times a week ago, he’ll be counted on to somewhat lighten the load on Brandon Pendergrass, who’s performed well as the spot starter.
What will happen: Both schools have 29 takeaways this season, so the team that protects the ball is going to win. Crane is capable of being rattled, which is exactly what the aggressive Wake Forest defense will try to do. It’ll mix up its coverages and blitz occasionally, forcing the quarterback to make errant throws and give the Deacons a short field to navigate. Wake is 4-1 in Winston-Salem, where it’ll spend the final two weekends of the regular season.
CFN Prediction: Wake Forest 21 … Boston College 17... Line: Wake Forest -2 
Must See Rating: (5 Valkyrie – 1 Paris Hilton’s My New BFF) … 3.5
 
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Duke (4-6) at Virginia Tech (6-4), 5:30 EST, ESPNU
Why to watch: Even after dropping a crucial game to Miami last Thursday and falling into a third place tie in the Coastal Division, all is not lost for Virginia Tech. The Hokies will be favored to win their final two games in Blacksburg, and as long as the ‘Canes lose to Georgia Tech on Thursday, they’ve got a prayer of coming out on top once tiebreaker rules are applied. The best news coming out of Miami was that Tyrod Taylor and Sean Glennon both played at quarterback, giving the program its best situation at the position in weeks. Duke’s dreams of an unlikely bowl invitation are becoming more improbable with each passing week. Since surprising Vanderbilt on Oct. 25, the Blue Devils have lost three straight and appeared to be running out of gas at Clemson last weekend.
Why Duke might win: Their offense fading fast, the Blue Devils must count on an unlikely source, the defense, to have a chance at the upset. The unit has played better than expected this fall, and will be able to contain a Hokie offense that’s last in the ACC in yards per game and sacks allowed. Linebackers Michael Tauiliili and Vincent Rey, and DE Greg Akinbiyi are high-energy, disruptive players who can make stops behind the line, especially if Taylor and Glennon show any lingering effects from their ankle injuries.
Why Virginia Tech might win: Not only has the Duke offense been on a steady decline, but now QB Thaddeus Lewis is a question mark with a foot injury. If he can’t play, the Blue Devils could be held under 10 points for a second straight week. While the Hokies haven’t been spectacular defensively, they have been solid, creating turnovers and sacks, and holding opponents to an average of 20 points a game. Duke’s persistent inability to run the ball will allow Tech to drop a man back in coverage and completely shut down passing lanes.
Who to watch: In a season of uncertainty in the Hokie backfield, RB Darren Evans has become the unlikely sure-thing. While just a true freshman, he’s third in the ACC in rushing and has scored nine touchdowns. A week after being cooled down by the Miami defense, he’ll likely get back on track with a second career 100-yard game at the expense of Duke.
What will happen: After peaking at the end of September, Duke has run out of magic and is limping to the end of the regular season. It’ll provide little competition to Virginia Tech on the road and with its most valuable player hobbling. The Hokies will get off to a fast start and cruise to a rare comfortable victory.
CFN Prediction: Virginia Tech 30 … Duke 10... Line: Virginia Tech -17 
Must See Rating: (5 Valkyrie – 1 Paris Hilton’s My New BFF) … 2
 
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- ACC Week 13 Predictions, Nov. 22