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Big 12 Fearless Predictions, Sept. 6
Oklahoma RB Chris Brown
Oklahoma RB Chris Brown
CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Jul 15, 2008

Chris Brown and Oklahoma get a chance to make a big statement in the national title chase with a good non-conference game against Cincinnati. Check out the Previews and Predictions for the Week 2 Big 12 Games.

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Big 12 Fearless Predictions Aug. 30

- Big 12 Week Two Predictions, Part 2

How are the picks so far? SU: 10-1 ... ATS: 4-4

Big 12 Game of the Week

Cincinnati (1-0) at Oklahoma (1-0), 3:30 EST
Why to watch: Oklahoma has crushed and killed everything in its path over the last few years at home, and last week was no exceptions with a 57-2 win over Chattanooga that couldn't been 107-2 if the coaching staff didn't call off the dogs. Now the Sooners get a strong test from a Cincinnati team looking for a breakout game in the Brian Kelly era. The new star on the Big East stage, UC has gone 12-3 under the head coach, and while this still might be a big season no matter what happens in Norman, a big performance could do wonders for the program and the conference, even in a loss. Considering the last OU game against a Big East team, the 2008 Fiesta Bowl loss to West Virginia, didn't go so well, this is an important game for the Sooners and the Big 12, too. After this week, OU has just one home game until seeing Kansas in mid-October, and two home dates until November, while Cincinnati faces two MAC teams, Miami and Akron, and travels to Marshall before kicking off its Big East season against Rutgers.
Why Cincinnati might win: The Bearcats have an efficient passing game and does all the little things right. Under Kelly, they don't turn the ball over, they keep the mistakes to a minimum, they have strong special teams and a tremendous return game, and they've been extremely tough on the road. The three losses under Kelly last year all came by a touchdown or less; UC doesn't get blown out. There's enough aggressiveness on defense to get to Sam Bradford and potentially hurry up the OU passing game.
Why Oklahoma might win: The Cincinnati defense is strong, but it struggled a little bit against the Eastern Kentucky passing game last week giving up just 147 yards, but put up a few deep plays. Cincinnati faced two high-level quarterbacks last year, Louisville's Brian Brohm and West Virginia's Pat White, and lost to both. Bradford is an elite passer who led the nation in passing efficiency last season and could pick apart the UC defense if given a little bit of time. If the O line plays like it's supposed to, Bradford will get the time to work.
Who to watch: Now this is Dustin Grutza's Cincinnati team. After the soap opera and saga of Ben Mauk, last year's star quarterback who has spent the off-season looking for an extra year of eligibility, and has been denied, the team needs a leader. Grutza, who has the main man two years ago and has thrown for 4,159 career yards and 27 touchdowns with 24 interceptions, was always on a short leash before, but now he's the leader of the attack. It might have just come against Eastern Kentucky, but the senior completed 21-of-28 passes for 296 yards and three touchdowns, and ran for 33 yards and a score.
What will happen: Cincinnati is too good to get blown out early, but this is a special Oklahoma team that plays at another level at home. The game won't get out of hand until the fourth quarter.
CFN Prediction: Oklahoma 38 ... Cincinnati 20 ... Line: Oklahoma -21
Must See Rating: (5 Entourage premiere - 1 One Tree Hill premiere) … 3.5
- Click here to receive ATS Consultants FREE selections 


Saturday, September 6

San Jose State (1-0) at Nebraska (1-0), 12:30 EST
Why to watch: Nebraska passed the first test in the Bo Pelini era with an impressive 47-24 win over a good Western Michigan team. The Broncos have a veteran defense that was ripped apart for 483 yards, including 345 through the air. Nebraska is hardly back to being the Big Red Machine that dominated for so long, but it was a good first step. San Jose State is going to be more than a mere layup, even if the Spartans needed a last minute touchdown pass to get by UC Davis 13-10. This a veteran, athletic Spartan team with a good defense and a veteran head coach in Dick Tomey who knows how to get a team up for a big game. There's a massive talent discrepancy, but San Jose State has just enough to make this interesting if the Huskers aren't on.
Why San Jose State might win: Nebraska's pass defense struggled last year, and it didn't do much to show things have changed against Western Michigan. Despite getting a steady pass rush to help the cause, the secondary still allowed 342 yards of passing offense. Granted, the Broncos were in comeback mode and had to keep throwing to stay alive, but the Spartans should be able push the ball through the air. The offense sputtered against UC Davis, but the passing game still put up 231 yards.
Why Nebraska might win: San Jose State couldn't handle the UC Davis pass rush, and now it's about to have a nightmare of a day. The Spartans gave up four sacks last week and struggled to keep the UCD linemen from hitting the quarterback. Nebraska was ultra-aggressive last week, cranking out four sacks and seven tackles for loss, and it should be able to get into the backfield on a regular basis. Set the over/under on 6.5 sacks; the Huskers should be able to come up with several drive-stopping plays.
Who to watch: It's the start of the Kyle Reed era at San Jose State. The transfer from Cal was supposed to be the main man from the start this off-season, but he suffered broken foot, got it relatively healthy, and then suffered a setback that cost him a shot at the starting job. Jordan LaSecla and Myles Eden were ahead of Reed going into last week, and they weren't bad combining to complete 12-of-15 passes for 94 yards, but they each threw a pick and didn't get the offense moving. In came Reed, who completed 14-of-18 passes for 132 yards and two touchdowns, including the game-winner. Now it's Reed's job.
What will happen: Nebraska won't be sharp, and the defense will show it still has a long way to go before it can be dominant, but it'll be a second straight double-digit win. It just might take three quarters to get the job done.
CFN Prediction: Nebraska 34 ... San Jose State 16  ... Line: Nebraska -25.5
Must See Rating: (5 Entourage premiere - 1 One Tree Hill premiere) … 2
- Click here to receive ATS Consultants FREE selections 

Montana State (1-0) at Kansas State (1-0), 3:00 EST
Why to watch: Kansas State might be looking past this date against an FCS team with a trip to Louisville ahead, but Montana State has a good enough team to hang around and make this far more interesting than the Wildcats might like. The Bobcats are expected to challenge for the Big Sky title with a decent defense and a high-octane offense that hung 59 points on Adams State in a blowout win. With a trip to Minnesota up next, MSU has a chance to make some headlines against the FBSers.
Why Montana State might win: Turnovers. This is a strong, aggressive MSU defense that forced five turnovers and three fumbles last week against Adams State. The defense also came up with five sacks and 12 tackles for loss. Kansas State lost the ball twice against North Texas and didn't generate any turnovers, and if MSU can somehow be plus-three in the turnover margin, and if it can generate a few early scoring drives, this could be a bit of a battle.
Why Kansas State might win: Kansas State has way too much speed. Montana State has a good team with enough talent to hang around and make this a ball game, but it doesn't have the home-run hitting speed the Wildcats do. The KSU offense was humming last week on North Texas with Josh Freeman throwing well, the running game working, and the offense doing what it needed to do to put the game away. When needed, there should be a big play here and there to keep Montana State at arm's length.
Who to watch: Without Jordy Nelson to throw to anymore, Freeman has to spread the ball around and make his receivers better. He did just that last week completing 18-of-24 passes for 232 yards and three touchdowns without an interception, and he ran five times for 23 yards and two scores. No longer the young player trying to grow into his role, Freeman now owns the team, and especially the offense. In a conference of great quarterbacks, he needs to keep improving week after week to be ready to battle with all the big boys.
What will happen: Montana State won't be bad, but Kansas State will have way too much on offense in the second half.
CFN Prediction: Kansas State 42 ... Montana State 17 ... Line: No Line
Must See Rating: (5 Entourage premiere - 1 One Tree Hill premiere) … 1.5
- Click here to receive ATS Consultants FREE selections 

Eastern Washington (0-1) at Colorado (1-0), 3:30 EST
Why to watch: Eastern Washington did a good job of hanging around with Texas Tech in a 49-24 loss last week, and with one of the best passing offenses among the FCS teams, there's a puncher's chance of pulling off the upset of Colorado doesn't show up. The Buffs had a nice, more-dominant-than-it-might seem, win over rival Colorado State, and with a showdown against West Virginia ahead next week, it could be in trouble if its head isn't in this game. This should be a fun game with plenty of passing and lots of points, and if Colorado isn't on, there could be a shocker.
Why Eastern Washington might win: The passing game. EWU has the ability to score in bunches with QB Matt Nichols, the defending Big Sky Player of the Year, getting most of his top weapons back, and he's coming off a 335-yard passing game with a touchdown against Texas Tech. However, he threw three interceptions. As long as he keeps his mistakes in check, and if he's able to get time to throw, the Eagles should be able to put close to 30 points on the board.
Why Colorado might win: Colorado has the balance and the explosiveness. From the passing of Cody Hawkins, to the running of super-recruit Darrell Scott, to the return game thanks to one of the stars in the Colorado State win, Josh Smith, there are more options than Colorado has had over the last few years, and there are more weapons than the decent, but not great EWU defense will be able to deal with.
Who to watch: Colorado will have to come up with a few big plays on defense to slow down the Eastern Washington offense, and that's where Ryan Walters comes in. The senior free safety is a great all-around playmaker who came up with
11 tackles, an interception, and broke up two passes in the win over Colorado State. He'll have to do more of the same this week as the tone-setter for the Buff defense.
What will happen: The two teams will combine for over 700 yards, but Colorado will crank out over 200 yards on the ground to come away with a tougher than expected win.
CFN Prediction: Colorado 31 ... Eastern Washington 21 ... Line: No Line
Must See Rating: (5 Entourage premiere - 1 One Tree Hill premiere) … 2
- Click here to receive ATS Consultants FREE selections 

Texas A&M (0-1) at New Mexico (0-1), 5:00 EST
Why to watch: While Virginia Tech and Pitt are among those battling it out for the honor of being the biggest disappointment of week one, but under the radar, Texas A&M and New Mexico came up with duds of their own. The Aggies, in the first game of the Mike Sherman era, not only lost, but they lost to a Sun Belt team at home dropping a tough 18-14 battle with Arkansas State. New Mexico at least lost to a Mountain West title contender and a potential BCS buster in TCU, but the 26-3 home defeat was still a major dud. All of a sudden, what appeared to be a nice matchup between two decent mid-level teams in their respective conferences becomes a battle of desperation. New Mexico hosts Arizona next week to end a three-game homestand, and then it's on the road for three of the next four game. A&M gets an improved Miami next week and might be looking at an 0-3 start if they crash and burn in Albuquerque.
Why Texas A&M might win: New Mexico is built on being able to run the ball, and it ran into a brick wall last week netting 56 yards against TCU. While Rodney Ferguson is one of the Mountain West's elite backs, he was held to 59 yards, while the Lobo offensive line allowed five sacks. The Texas A&M defensive line was able to get into the backfield against Arkansas State, and it should be able to do even more this week.
Why New Mexico might win: Turnovers. A&M shot itself in the foot last week with two fumbles and two interceptions, and while the Lobos also had a hard time hanging on to the ball, giving it away three times against TCU, they have good enough hitters to force a few takeaways if the Aggies get sloppy again. The Aggies might want to get the passing game going, but UNM has the best corner tandem in Glover Quin and DeAndre Wright that QB Stephen McGee might see all year long.
Who to watch: New Mexico QB Donovan Porterie is supposed to be on the verge of becoming one of the Mountain West's elite quarterbacks after two promising seasons, but he had a nightmare of an opening day completing 4-of-10 passes for 37 yards with an interception before getting knocked out with a neck injury, but he's fine and practiced all week. The offense will still try to revolve around Ferguson and the running game, but Porterie simply has to be better.
What will happen: It's not going to be pretty. The two running games should finally get going a bit for New Mexico, while the secondary will keep the Aggie passing game under wraps. Which team will rebound first? New Mexico, but if the Aggie running game gets into a groove and rumbles for 250 yards or more, Sherman will get his first win.
CFN Prediction: New Mexico 23 ... Texas A&M 20 ... Line: Texas A&M -3
Must See Rating: (5 Entourage premiere - 1 One Tree Hill premiere) … 3
- Click here to receive ATS Consultants FREE selections 

Kent State (0-1) at Iowa State (1-0), 7:00 EST
Why to watch: Don't blink, because this game could be one of the fastest played in week two. Kent State has to run the ball, it wants to run the ball, and it didn't run the ball last week in a 21-0 opening day loss to Boston College. The Eagles, with their defense and linebackers, were an awful matchup for the Golden Flashes, and Iowa State is hoping its defense can do a little of the same. The Cyclones throttled South Dakota State 44-17 to start the season, and have the in-state rivalry battle against Iowa next week, but if they can't hold down QB Julian Edelman, RB Eugene Jarvis, and the ground game, the upset is possible. Iowa State was shocked in last year's battle 23-14, and this year's Kent State team is better.
Why Kent State might win: Do the Cyclones have the linebackers to keep Jarvis and Edelman in check? The Cyclone defensive front is improving, but it'll have to adjust to the speed and the quickness early on. Jarvis ran for 113 yards and a touchdown last year against Iowa State, and Edelman ran for 75 yards and a score. This year's Cyclone linebacking corps isn't as good.
Why Iowa State might win: The Cyclones should be able to run the ball. The Kent State defensive front got shoved around by the Boston College offensive line, and the Eagle backs, considered a potential weakness going into the season, rolled for 230 yards. Iowa State's offensive line isn't as good as BC's, but it's not bad and it should be able to crank out a few long drives. Iowa State's offense tore off 229 yards on the ground last week, but that was against South Dakota State. If the ground game can hit the 200-yard mark, and if the defense can force Kent State to throw a bit, it'll be a second straight win.
Who to watch: And the Iowa State quarterback will be ... both. Again. Austin Arnaud is the starter, and he came up with a strong game completing 8-of-11 passes for 98 yards and a touchdown, and ran for a short score, while former wide receiver Phillip Bates completing 5-of-8 passes for 61 yards and a score to go along with 55 rushing yards. Bates is the dangerous X factor as a runner, while Arnaud is the better passer.
What will happen: Jarvis will be the star of the show with over 150 rushing yards, but Iowa State will get a second straight strong game out of its quarterbacks in a hard-fought Cyclone win.
CFN Prediction: Iowa State 24 ... Kent State 20 ... Line: Arkansas -11
Must See Rating: (5 Entourage premiere - 1 One Tree Hill premiere) … 2.5
- Click here to receive ATS Consultants FREE selections 


- Big 12 Week Two Predictions, Part 2

 

       

  

  

  

 



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