Big 12 Fearless Predictions, Sept. 27
Colorado DT George Hypolite
Colorado DT George Hypolite
CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Sep 23, 2008


Previews and Predictions for the Week 5 Big 12 Games

Big 12
North Colorado | Iowa St | Kansas | Kansas State | Missouri | Nebraska
South Baylor | Oklahoma | Oklahoma State | Texas | Texas A&M | Texas Tech

Big 12 Fearless Predictions Aug. 30 | Sept. 6 | Sept. 13 | Sept. 20

- Big 12 Week Five Predictions, Part 2

How are the picks so far? SU: 34-5 ... ATS: 17-13

Big 12 Game of the Week

TCU (4-0) at Oklahoma (3-0), 7:00 EST Fox Sports
Why to watch: September 3rd, 2005. Oklahoma was coming off a loss to USC for the 2004 national title and had won 26 of its previous 29 games. TCU opened up the 2005 season by pulling off a shocking 17-10 win. That was only Oklahoma’s second home loss since 1998 (a 16-13 gaffe to Oklahoma State at the end of 2001 was the other), and it was the first loss to a team from outside the BCS since a 51-31 loss to San Diego State in 1996. This year, TCU is flying under the Mountain West radar compared to BYU and Utah, but it has the nation’s leading defense and leads the nation in run defense. It hasn’t played a top-notch offense yet, but now it’ll get its chance to show whether or not it really is ready to handle the big boys. Oklahoma has arguably been the nation’s most dominant team over the first few weeks, winning its first three games by a combined score of 164 to 42. It’s the nation’s best scoring offense vs. the nation’s No. 3 scoring defense. It’s the Mountain West getting a shot at another big feather in its cap after spending the first few weeks ripping up the Pac 10. It should be an interesting tell-tale battle no matter what happens.
Why TCU might win: The lines. TCU doesn’t have the offensive and defensive lines that Oklahoma has, but they’re playing extremely well. The offensive front has allowed just three sacks in four games, while the defensive front has come up with a whipping 36 tackles for loss and is eighth in the nation in sacks with 14. This is a typical, aggressive, productive Gary Patterson defense that swarms to the ball and gets to the quarterback. If nothing else, this will be the most pressure OU QB Sam Bradford has faced all season.
Why Oklahoma might win: It’s not like TCU has faced a brick wall of a run defense. The Horned Frog running game has been impressive so far, but the best run defense it has dealt with is …. New Mexico? The TCU passing attack hasn’t had to do much, and it hasn’t exactly been efficient even with everyone keying on the ground game. You can’t beat Oklahoma if you’re one-dimensional. TCU might be fourth in the nation in tackles for loss, but OU leads the country averaging ten per game.
Who to watch: TCU quickly reloaded on its defensive front with Matt Panfil and Cody Moore going from out of the spotlight to superstar status. Panfil, a 232-pound senior end has tremendous quickness and has blown up now that he’s the No. 1 guy. He has come up with 3.5 sacks and seven tackles for loss, while Moore, a tremendously quick tackle, has cranked out 5.5 tackles for loss and three sacks. These two are disruptive forces who have to play big roles to pressure Bradford.
What will happen: TCU will start out well for a few drives and should keep OU in check for a quarter, and then the Sooner offense will be the Sooner offense. TCU’s passing game won’t be able to do enough to offset the lack of a running game, while OU will go on a big run for about ten minutes to put the game away.
CFN Prediction
: Oklahoma 27 … TCU 10 ... Line: Oklahoma -17.5
Must See Rating: (5 Debate No. 1 - 1 The 2008 Primetime Emmys) … 4
- Click here to receive ATS Consultants FREE selections
 

 Saturday, September 27

Army (0-3) at Texas A&M (1-2), 12:30 EST
Why to watch: Texas A&M needed to hold on for dear life two years ago to beat Army 28-24 in a supposedly neutral site game in San Antonio. Both programs have changed drastically since then, and neither for the better. Army has been awful so far with the new running game not doing enough to lead an offense that’s 115th in the nation in yards and is next-to-last in scoring. On a nine-game losing streak dating back to last year, the Black Knights desperately need something positive to happen. Texas A&M hasn’t done much better to start off the year, barely beating New Mexico and losing home games to Arkansas State and Miami. The Big 12 season starts out next week against Oklahoma State, and the Aggies have a lot of work to do to be ready.
Why Army might win: If the Army offense is ever going to work against a name team, this would be the time. The Aggie run defense has been awful, giving up 255 yards to Arkansas State and 216 yards and three scores to New Mexico. The linebackers haven’t played well, and this week, they’re going to need to shine at a whole other level if the Army option attack finally starts to kick in.
Why Texas A&M might win: Army’s offense has been awful. It would be one thing to score a total of 20 points in three games against LSU, Florida and Georgia, but Army has played Temple, New Hampshire, and Akron. The offense isn’t working, and there isn’t any passing game to fall back on. The defensive line has been abysmal against mediocre offensive lines, the turnovers won’t stop flowing, and the special teams have stunk. Other than that, Army has been fine.
Who to watch: The Texas A&M quarterback this week will be … both? The Aggie coaching staff can’t figure out the quarterback situation as both Stephen McGee and Jerrod Johnson have shoulder injuries. McGee is back after missing last week, while Johnson, who had a nice day against Miami but took too many sacks, will also be in the mix. The Aggies can play either one, or both, against Army and it won’t matter. However, the team needs a leader to work around before diving into Big 12 play.  
What will happen: Texas A&M will suddenly look like a BCS title contender against a team that might be the worst in college football.
CFN Prediction
: Texas A&M 38 … Army 13 ... Line: Texas A&M -28.5
Must See Rating: (5 Debate No. 1 - 1 The 2008 Primetime Emmys) … 2
- Click here to receive ATS Consultants FREE selections

Colorado (3-0) at Florida State (2-1), 3:30 EST, ABC
Why to watch: With a chance to send a message to the country that it’s on the way back to prominence, Florida State flopped, losing ugly to Wake Forest. The Seminoles were bad on so many levels, including failing to reach the end zone and turning the ball over seven times. After teasing everyone with routs of Western Carolina and Chattanooga, the ‘Noles got exposed as a team in need of work. Lots of work. FSU is still making too many mental errors and unable to develop sustained consistency at quarterback. Can they build from here, or do the FSU follies continue? A visit from Colorado will answer plenty about Florida State’s mindset and direction. The Buffaloes are riding high after upsetting West Virginia in overtime with a large television audience glued to the waning moments. While it wasn’t as profound as last September’s upset of Oklahoma, it did get the Buffs to the lip of the Top 25 cup and to 3-0 for the first time since 2004. A trip to Florida gives Dan Hawkins a chance to spread his program’s message to a whole new corner of the map.
Why Colorado might win: The Florida State offense is a comedy of errors, marked by turnovers, penalties, and a lack of depth on the offensive line. The Seminoles will have a hard time moving the chains on a Buffalo defense that just got done holding West Virginia to 14 points, and has yielded just a pair of touchdown passes all year. On the inside, George Hypolite and Brandon Nicolas are a couple of future pros, who’ll dominate that suspect ‘Nole front wall. We saw last week what happens when Florida State can’t run the ball and must put the offense in the hands of quarterbacks Christian Ponder and D’Vontrey Richardson.
Why Florida State might win: Lost in last week’s debacle was the play of the defense, which kept the Demon Deacons out of the end zone despite those seven turnovers. Had the ‘Noles not been so sloppy with the ball, they might have pitched a shutout. LB Derek Nicholson was a force of nature, and the return of DT Budd Thacker helped ease the congestion for DE Everette Brown and the rest of the defensive linemen. For all the problems facing Florida State, the defense isn’t one of them, giving up just one touchdown through the first three quarters.
Who to watch: The Seminoles will have to contend with a couple of true freshmen backs, blue-chip recruit Darrell Scott and diminutive Rodney Stewart, who scooted for 166 yards on 28 carries in the win against West Virginia. The Buffs don’t have many lethal weapons at wide receiver, which will allow S Myron Rolle to spend more time pressing up to stop the run.
What will happen: The Florida State defense will turn this into an ugly game of punts, three-and-outs, and field goal attempts. It’ll also help lead the Seminoles to a stabilizing victory, holding Colorado to just 300 total yards and a touchdown short of a road upset. Richardson will provide the difference on offense, getting to the corner and beating the Buff secondary to the end zone.
CFN Prediction
: Florida State 17 … Colorado 13 ... Line: Florida State -7
Must See Rating: (5 Debate No. 1 - 1 The 2008 Primetime Emmys) … 3
- Click here to receive ATS Consultants FREE selections


Arkansas (2-1) at Texas (3-0), 3:30 EST ABC
Why to watch: Let’s try this again. Hurricane Ike postponed this showdown between two former Southwest Conference superpowers, and since then, Arkansas got hammered by Alabama 49-14 and Texas rolled over Rice. Longhorn head man Mack Brown wanted this off-week to rest up for the Big 12 season with a trip to Colorado, the battle with Oklahoma, and a home date with Missouri to kick off a killer stretch of conference games without a break. The Hogs need time in general. Like Texas, they don’t get any sort of a break. This was supposed to be the off-week to prepare for Florida and then Auburn, but now it’s all about trying to get the Bobby Petrino era rolling with a statement performance in Austin. Arkansas is 2-1, it’s not like things have gone into the tank from the start, but the wins over Western Illinois and UL Monroe were too tight for comfort. Meanwhile, Texas beat Florida Atlantic, UTEP and Rice by a combined score of 146 to 33.
Why Arkansas might win: This is going to be a theme for most of the year: the Texas secondary is struggling. To be fair, teams are bombing away in comeback mode to try to keep up with the Longhorn offense, but it’s not like the Texas defensive backs are stopping anyone cold allowing 255 yards to FAU, 267 to UTEP, and 301 to Rice. Casey Dick and the SEC-leading Arkansas passing game should be able to bomb away.
Why Texas might win: Pressure. Texas is getting into the backfield early and often, cranking out nine sacks and 22 tackles for loss. The Arkansas offensive line has been a disaster so far allowing ten sacks and doing little for the running game. Injuries have been a problem, but it’s also about the transition to the new coaching staff and the offense. The Texas defensive front should be able to take advantage and force plenty of mistakes.
Who to watch: While Chase Daniel, Sam Bradford, and Graham Harrell are just a few of the Big 12 quarterbacks getting noticed on a national scale, Colt McCoy is playing as well as any of them, if not better. Now only is McCoy taking the passing game to another level, hitting 78% of his passes for 833 yards and 11 touchdowns with an interception, and he leads the team with 194 rushing yards and two touchdowns. By far, this is his toughest test yet, but it’ll be nothing like he’ll face over the next few weeks.
What will happen: Texas will need a while to get going with little running game to rely on outside of McCoy, but there will be enough of an offensive mix for the Longhorns to get by with ease. Two key Hog turnovers will make an interesting battle a blowout.
CFN Prediction: Texas 38 … Arkansas 17 ... Line: Texas -27.5
Must See Rating: (5 Debate No. 1 - 1 The 2008 Primetime Emmys) … 3
- Click here to receive ATS Consultants FREE selections


- Big 12 Week Five Predictions, Part 2

  
          


 



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