Big 12 Fearless Predictions, Oct. 18, Part 2
Oklahoma State QB Zac Robinson
Oklahoma State QB Zac Robinson
CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Oct 16, 2008


Previews and Predictions for the Week 8 Big 12, Part 2

Big 12
North Colorado | Iowa St | Kansas | Kansas State | Missouri | Nebraska
South Baylor | Oklahoma | Oklahoma State | Texas | Texas A&M | Texas Tech

Big 12 Fearless Predictions Aug. 30 | Sept. 6 | Sept. 13 | Sept. 20
- Sept. 27 |
Oct. 4 | Oct. 11

- Big 12 Predictions, Oct.18, Part 1

How are the picks so far? SU: 49-9 ... ATS: 25-24

 Saturday, October 18

Baylor (3-3) at Oklahoma State (6-0), 3:00 EST
Why to watch: All of a sudden, this is a really fun, really interesting game. Oklahoma State went from being non-existent on a national scale, despite a tremendous start, and now it has, arguably, the second best win of the season after Alabama’s win at Georgia with its stunning upset at Missouri. With the big South games ahead against Texas, Texas Tech and Oklahoma, the Cowboys can’t look past a suddenly dangerous Baylor team that ripped up Iowa State 38-10 last week. With a good offensive line and good special teams, along with a burgeoning star in QB Robert Griffin, the program is on the uptick. If the Bears can come up with a win this week, it would officially announce the arrival of the program as a player in the Big 12 South, even if it’s nowhere near ready to win the title.
Why Baylor might win: Griffin and the running game. The only way the Bears can keep up with the high octane Cowboys is if they’re able to control the clock and keep OSU off the field. That means Griffin has to go ballistic. Against Iowa State, the freshman didn’t get the ground game going, netting -15 yards, with a touchdown, thanks to a slew of stops behind the line, but he completed 21-of-24 passes for 278 yards and two touchdowns. If he does that again, BU has a shot.
Why Oklahoma State might win: Who’s going to stop this offense on a big drive? Missouri couldn’t do it. Troy and its great defense couldn’t do it. No one’s been able to do it. The nation’s No. 2 scoring offense was held to 28 points by the Tigers last week, but every time they needed a key play, they came up with one. This team is on a cool, calm, dead even keel, and isn’t going to panic if Baylor gets up early.
Who to watch: It’s time to start putting Oklahoma State QB Zac Robinson in the same discussion with Chase Daniel, Sam Bradford and Graham Harrell as one of the Big 12’s best quarterbacks. Outside of his four interceptions, he has been nearly flawless completing 71% of his passes for 1,250 yards and 12 touchdowns while running for 192 yards and five scores. Most importantly, he’s leading the way to wins. Big wins.
What will happen: Baylor will put up big yards and lots of points, and it won’t matter. The Cowboys will hang half a hundy up for the fifth time in six games.
CFN Prediction: Oklahoma State 52 … Baylor 27 … Line: Oklahoma State -
Must See Rating: (5 The Real Housewives of Atlanta – 1 Celebrity Rehab With Dr. Drew) … 3
 
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Kansas (5-1) at Oklahoma (5-1), 3:30 EST ABC
Why to watch: While the Big 12 world will be focusing on the Missouri – Texas showdown, this has the potential to be a preview of the Big 12 title game. Oklahoma has a lot of work to do, needing to win out and needing Texas to lose twice, but that’s not all that far-fetched considering the remaining Longhorn schedule. After last week’s 45-35 loss, OU has to prove it belongs back among the elite of the elite with a big win over a good KU team that has to play a real, live Big 12 South schedule after missing all the big boys last year. The Jayhawks have been fine, but nothing too special as they’ve struggled to beat mediocre Iowa State and Colorado teams. A win over Oklahoma would change around the entire season. The offense has been throwing well thanks to yet another decent year from Todd Reesing, but the defense has been average and the running game is struggling to find a steady back. OU has won four straight over KU with the last Jayhawk win coming in 1997.
Why Kansas might win: Reesing has to be amazing. He doesn’t have the players around him that Colt McCoy enjoys, but he has enough weapons to work with that he can be McCoy-like and keep up in a shootout. KU has a good punt return game, and efficient passing attack, and it doesn’t make a whole slew of mistakes, the South Florida loss aside. If Oklahoma is down in any way after the loss to Texas, KU has the type of offense that can go on a 21-point run to make this very interesting. No one buckles when things are going south like the Sooners.
Why Oklahoma might win: The Kansas secondary isn’t all that great. It hasn’t exactly faced a slew of good passing games, but the pass defense is allowing 214 yards per game. Granted, that’s because most teams are in comeback mode, but OU’s passing game should be able to produce without too much of a problem. For the first time since the South Florida loss, Reesing will be under pressure for a full sixty minutes. He threw for 381 yards against the Bulls, but that was on 51 attempts.
Who to watch: Has Jake Sharp finally found a home in the KU backfield? He was supposed to be the starter last year, but he was quickly reduced into a role player. He was supposed to be the main man coming into this year, but he struggled to get a few carries here and there. Finally, the coaching staff adjusted to its quick back and threw out the power game with a strong payoff. Sharp ran 31 times for 118 yards nd three touchdowns against Colorado, and along with 79 rushing yards caught three passes for 79 yards and three touchdowns in the win over Iowa State two weeks ago.
What will happen: There won’t be any pouting here. Oklahoma will come out roaring as Sam Bradford will throw for 350 yards and four touchdowns on the way to a big lead. Reesing will help mount a little bit of a comeback, but the Jayhawk defense won’t be able to come up with enough key stops.
CFN Prediction: Oklahoma 44 … Kansas 23 … Line: Oklahoma -19
Must See Rating: (5 The Real Housewives of Atlanta – 1 Celebrity Rehab With Dr. Drew) … 4
 
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Kansas State (4-2) at Colorado (3-3), 7:00 EST
Why to watch: Both teams are still in the hunt for a bowl game and there’s still a shot at finishing among the top three in the North. While that’s not exactly what either team was hoping for, that’s all that’s left for Colorado after losing three straight thanks to a lousy attack and a mediocre defense that can’t stop anyone from running the ball lately. Kansas State bounded back from a thumping from Texas Tech to win a shootout over Texas A&M, but the Wildcat defense has gone bye-bye. Basically, Ron Prince, a defensive coach, has the Big 12’s worst defense, and Dan Hawkins, an offensive coach, has the Big 12’s worst offense. This is part of an ugly stretch of four road games in five weeks for Kansas State, while the Buffs have to go on the road to deal with Missouri and Texas A&M after this.
Why Kansas State might win: Colorado has decided to stop scoring. It’s not working. There’s no running game, the passing attack is awful and the scoring has stopped. Even the scoring numbers, last in the Big 12, are misleading with 31 of the points coming against Eastern Washington and the special teams helping the cause in the 38-17 win over Colorado State. Kansas State could simply bomb its way to a win. However …
Why Colorado might win: … if the attack was ever going to break out, this would be the week. The Texas A&M offense was battling Colorado for the honor of being the most ineffective in the Big 12, and then it exploded last week on the woeful Wildcats. The secondary is abysmal despite the help of a steady pass rush, and the run defense is allowing 181 yards per game. That’s why the spotlight will be on …
Who to watch: … Colorado QB Cody Hawkins. The problems on offense haven’t been all his fault, his line stinks and he isn’t getting much help, but he was benched against Kansas last week with Matt Ballenger getting a little bit of time. Hawkins is still the starter, and he needs to blow up considering Texas A&M’s Jerrod Johnson went gonzo last week throwing for a school-record 419 yards and two touchdowns.
What will happen: Kansas State QB Josh Freeman will be better than Hawkins, and the Wildcat defense will be better than the Buffalo offense. However, CU will stay alive by running for over 200 yards and will pull it out late on a big special teams play.
CFN Prediction: Colorado 34 … Kansas State 30 … Line: Colorado -3
Must See Rating: (5 The Real Housewives of Atlanta – 1 Celebrity Rehab With Dr. Drew) … 3
 
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- Big 12 Predictions, Oct.18, Part 1

  
         



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