C-USA Fearless Predictions, Sept. 13

CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Jul 17, 2008


Previews and Predictions for the Week 3 C-USA Games

Storylines ACC | Big East | Big Ten | Big 12 | C-USA
MAC
| M-West | Pac 10 | SEC | Sun Belt | WAC

Conference USA
East  UAB | UCF | East Carolina | Marshall | Memphis | Southern Miss
West  Houston | Rice | SMU | Tulane | Tulsa | UTEP

C-USA Fearless Predictions Aug. 30 | Sept. 6

How are the picks so far? SU: 17-3 ... ATS: 11-5

- Conference USA Week Three Fearless Predictions, Part 2

C-USA Game of the Week

East Carolina (2-0) at Tulane (0-1), 3:00 EST
Why to watch: Step aside, BYU. East Carolina is the king of the non-BCS programs for now. The Pirates and head coach Skip Holtz have become national storylines with wins over Virginia Tech and West Virginia to start the season. They’ve risen to No. 14 in the latest AP poll behind the accurate passing of Patrick Pinkney and the play of a no-name defense. However, now ECU must avoid a letdown in its first game outside North Carolina and against a lame opponent. Tulane is coming off a lackluster 20-6 loss to Alabama in its first game of the season, managing just 86 yards rushing and failing to reach the end zone. The Green Wave would love to pick up a signature win here and establish a launching point in Bob Toledo’s second year with the program.   
Why East Carolina might win: While the Pirates have no stars on defense, they’re playing as a cohesive unit that limits big plays and doesn’t miss tackles in the open field. Neither the Hokies nor the Mountaineers could solve this group, which doesn’t bode well for the Green Wave. Tulane was miserable on offense in the opener, and will have to juggle the offensive line to compensate for an injury to starting LG Tyler Rice.  
Why Tulane might win: Lost in last week’s game in Tuscaloosa is the fact that the Green Wave defense played exceptionally well, holding ‘Bama to 172 yards and winning the battle at the line of scrimmage. CB Josh Lumar was active in pass defense and on the blitz, and LB Evan Lee was a factor in run defense. While East Carolina has been efficient on offense, it’s not as if it harbors the kind of playmakers that’ll blow Tulane out of the Superdome.  
Who to watch: Pirate linebackers Pierre Bell and Quentin Cotton may never play a down past this season, but they’re making the most of their senior seasons in Greenville. The pair has been the catalyst for the defense, doing as good a job in pass defense as it does stopping the run.  
What will happen: Tulane will score first, but the rest of the game will belong to East Carolina. Although this would be a perfect place for a sluggish performance, the Pirates are playing too well on defense and along both lines to gag to this Green Wave team.                       

CFN Prediction
: East Carolina 28 ... Tulane 13 ... Line: East Carolina -13.5
Must See Rating: (5 Entourage premiere - 1 One Tree Hill premiere) … 3
- Click here to receive ATS Consultants FREE selections

Saturday, September 13

UAB (0-2) at Tennessee (0-1), 12:30 EST, ESPN Gameplan
Why to watch: Tennessee has had two long weeks to dwell on its gut-wrenching opening day loss to UCLA. It couldn’t have been easy for the players, coaches, or fans. Still, the Volunteers know that there’s plenty to play for, such as an SEC title, even if a perfect season is off the table. They remember that last year’s squad also opened with a demoralizing loss in California, yet went on to win the East Division and nearly knocked off LSU in Atlanta. UAB has battled in both of its games, a trademark under Neil Callaway, but has fallen short in bids to beat Tulsa and Florida Atlantic. The Blazers are making progress on offense, but until they can make more stops and develop some depth, moral victories will be a common occurrence.
Why UAB might win: All of a sudden, the Blazer offense has become potent, amassing more than 400 yards in each of the first two games. Dual-threat QB Joe Webb has forced opposing defenses to respect his legs as well as his arm. He leads the team in rushing and has done an effective job as a passer, especially when he’s locked in on rangy WR Frantrell Forrest. When Tennessee needed to make stops in the opener, it allowed a vanilla UCLA offense with a journeyman quarterback to score two critical fourth quarter touchdowns.
Why Tennessee might win: The Blazers have allowed 94 points in two games and are ranked 117th nationally in total defense, numbers that won’t improve in Knoxville this weekend. With the talented Volunteer offensive line paving the way, UT will move the ball at will on the overmatched UAB defense, especially on the ground. With enough touches, this is one of those games that both Arian Foster and Montario Hardesty are capable of going over 100 yards on the ground.
Who to watch: If Tennessee is going to regroup and get back in the SEC title hunt, it’s incumbent upon QB Jonathan Crompton to play much better than he did in the opener. He played like a rookie, completing less than 50% of his passes and too often sailing the ball above the receiver’s head. Like the rest of the team, he needs to use this week’s visit from UAB to get right before back-to-back killer games with Florida and Auburn.
What will happen: Forget about any chance of Tennessee getting caught napping in a sandwich game between UCLA and Florida. The Vols will be focused on putting UAB away as quickly as possible, dominating along both lines and getting multiple turnovers from the defense
CFN Prediction: Tennessee 48 … UAB 13 ... Line: Tennessee -30
Must See Rating: (5 Hole in the Wall - 1 First Blood) … 1.5
- Click here to receive ATS Consultants FREE selections  

Air Force (2-0) at Houston (1-1), In Dallas, 3:30 EST, CSTV
Why to watch: This weekend’s meeting at Robertson Stadium will be the first between Air Force and Houston. The Cougars have split their first two games, getting by Oklahoma State, 56-37, in Stillwater last Saturday. While Kevin Sumlin’s new spread offense has been surging with Case Keenum at the controls, Houston’s upside will be limited if the defense can’t slow down decent offenses. The Falcons have opened with wins over Southern Utah and Wyoming, which is doubly impressive considering how many starters from last season are being replaced. The antithesis of this week’s opponent, Air Force has been leaning on an underrated defense until the offense gets on track. A 3-0 start would set the Academy up nicely for a run at a second straight bowl berth.
Why Air Force might win: Although the Cougars will present unique challenges, the Falcon D appears up to the challenge. Air Force has yielded just 10 points in two games, including a complete effort last week in Laramie. It’s a physical, well-coached group that’s getting outstanding all-around play from S Chris Thomas and DE Jake Paulson. Houston will continue to attack on offense, but it’s going to earn every yard it gets on Saturday.
Why Houston might win
: The Cougars would like to turn this game into a track meet. If they’re successful, Air Force is not where it needs to be to keep up. The Houston offense is cooking behind Keenum, leading the country in passing after two games, while going 10-for-10 in red zone opportunities. As good as the Falcons have been on defense, slowing down an attack with this much speed and complexity is an entirely different challenge.
Who to watch: Entering the season, Mark Hafner was a good tight end for the Cougars. In this offense, however, he’s blossomed into a terrific wide receiver, manning the inside Y slot. He already has 15 catches for 182 yards and three touchdowns, and will be a handful for the Falcon linebackers.
What will happen: In a study of complete opposites, Air Force will try to control the clock with a disciplined ground game, while Houston wants to get up and down the field as quickly as possible. Both will have their moments, but the Cougars will eke out the win with a long drive for the go-ahead score late in the game.
CFN Prediction: Houston 34 … Air Force 27 ... Line: Houston -4.5
Must See Rating: (5 Hole in the Wall - 1 First Blood) … 3
 
- Click here to receive ATS Consultants FREE selections  

Rice (2-0) at Vanderbilt (2-0), 7:00 ET
Why to watch: An off-the-radar game for most college fans, Rice-Vanderbilt has the ingredients to be one of the sneaky good match ups of Week 3. Known better for their academic prowess than their athletic achievements, this is the first time since 1956 that both institutions have started 2-0 in the same year. Whichever program gets to 3-0 will be labeled one of the feel-good stories of the first quarter of the season. In front of a national TV audience, Vandy stunned South Carolina for a second straight year, rallying in the second half for its first home win over a ranked opponent in 16 years. Rice was even more dramatic in its second victory, using a Chris Jammer 69-yard interception with 11 seconds left to topple Memphis, 42-35.
Why Rice might win: Even a step up in class isn’t going to slow down an Owl offense that’s scored 96 points in the first two games and boasts one of the most prolific pitch-and-catch combos in NCAA history. Chase Clement to Jarett Dillard has been virtually unstoppable the last two years, but it’s not the only arrow in Rice’s quiver. When Dillard isn’t open, Clement can also turn to the versatile James Casey, who’s second in Conference USA in receptions and will be used in a multitude of different ways.
Why Vanderbilt might win: Rice can’t stop anyone. The defense is horrible and subject to getting shoved around by a green, yet physical, Commodore offensive line. Vanderbilt does not have one of the most prolific offenses in the SEC, but it could look that way Saturday night. QB Chris Nickson is a veteran with good improvisational skills and RB Jared Hawkins is a 205-pound battering ram the size of most of the Rice linebackers.
Who to watch: Vandy CB D.J. Moore is one of the best players in the country that few outside the SEC have seen play. He’s a dynamite special teams performer with next level cover skills, making the match up with Dillard worthy of a spotlight every time the two go head-to-head.
What will happen: The finesse of Rice works well against Conference USA opponents, but not a physical SEC team that’s playing better than expected on defense. The Owls will deliver a big play or two in the passing game before wearing out in the second half to the Vandy power running game and pass rush.
CFN Prediction: Vanderbilt 35 … Rice 23 ... Line: Vanderbilt -7
Must See Rating: (5 Hole in the Wall - 1 First Blood) … 2.5
- Click here to receive ATS Consultants FREE selections  


- Conference USA Week Three Fearless Predictions, Part 2