2008 CFN C-USA Preview
Predictions & Quick Team Previews
Team Previews &
Predictions
East
East Carolina
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Marshall
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Memphis
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So. Miss
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UAB
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UCF
West
Houston
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Rice
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SMU
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Tulane
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Tulsa
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UTEP
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2008 CFN Conference USA Preview
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CFN All-Conference USA Team &
Top 30 Players
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Rankings
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Predictions
Conference USA
Championship: Tulsa over UCF
East
T1.
East Carolina
Predicted record: 6-6
Conf. record: 6-2
Best
Offensive Player:
WR
Jamar Bryant, Jr.
Best
Defensive Player:
DE C.J.
Wilson, Jr. (or DE Marcus Harris, Sr., if healthy)
Offense:
One
player won’t be enough to replace current Tennessee Titan RB Chris
Johnson. As good as he was running the ball, he may be missed more as a
kickoff returner and a receiver out of the backfield. Fortunately, the
Pirates are well-stocked at the position, returning letterwinners
Dominique Lindsay, Jonathan Williams, Norman Whitley, and Brandon
Simmons. The budding star is Williams, a 6-1, 210-pounder that averaged
almost seven yards a carry in limited action as a true freshman. After
using three different starters a year ago, Skip Holtz would prefer to
have one quarterback for the entire season. Patrick Pinkney is the
dual-threat. Rob Kass is the strong-armed pocket passer. After needing
emergency heart surgery and missing all of 2007, behemoth T Terence
Campbell resumes his career with an eye on bolstering a line that’s
missing two starters.
Defense:
Nine starters
are back from a defense that excelled at takeaways and is absolutely
loaded in the trenches. All four of last year’s starters and nine
lettermen comprise a defensive line that’ll send a couple of kids to the
NFL and has the depth and girth of many ACC programs. While Zack Slate
and C.J. Wilson apply the pressure from the outside, Jay Ross, Khalif
Mitchell, and Linval Joseph are 300-pounders that clog running lanes on
the inside. Although the Pirates have a chance to be special up front,
the opposite is true on the last line of defense. The East Carolina
secondary allows too many big plays through the air, lacking the cover
corners to shut down the other team’s best receiver.
T1.
Marshall
Predicted record: 7-5
Conf. record: 6-2
Best
Offensive Player:
TE Cody Slate,
Jr.
Best
Defensive Player:
DE
Albert McClellan, Jr.
Offense:
New
coordinator John Shannon is installing an up-tempo, one-back offense
that was a smashing success at Toledo. His first objective will be to
find a triggerman out of a tightly-packed group that includes last
year’s backup Brian Anderson, Georgia Tech transfer Jonathan Garner, and
redshirt freshmen Mark Cann, the favorite coming out of spring. Whoever
gets the ball will spend plenty of time looking for WR Darius Passmore
and TE Cody Slate, and handing the ball off to Darius Marshall. The Herd
is deep at the skill positions, meaning the play of the quarterback and
an unproven offensive line will dictate whether the offense sputters or
shines in Shannon’s debut.
Defense: First-year coordinator
Rick Minter is implementing an aggressive defense that’ll make good use
of Marshall’s depth and athleticism at linebacker by frequently lining
up in a 3-4 set. In a conference that’s become increasingly reliant on
the pass, Minter can take solace in inheriting eight defensive backs
with starting experience, including leading tackler C.J. Spillman. As
seasoned as the group is, it’s also quite beatable, which is why a
player like redshirt freshman CB DeQuan Bembry could knock a vet out of
the starting lineup. DE Albert McClellan is the type of edge rusher
who’s going to make everyone around him more effective. Before getting
injured last season, he was the 2006 Conference USA Defensive Player of
the Year, racking up 19 tackles for loss and 11 sacks.
T1.
Southern Miss
Predicted record: 8-4
Conf. record: 6-2
Best
Offensive Player:
RB Damion
Fletcher, Jr.
Best
Defensive Player:
LB Gerald
McRath, Jr.
Offense:
Gone are
the days when the Eagles would keep it on the ground 40 times a game,
content to let the running attack and defense lead the way. Fedora is
an offensive innovator, who wants to attack with a one-back, no-huddle
offense that spreads the field vertically and horizontally. Although
it’s clear where the offense is headed, Southern Miss won’t forget about
the running game, especially with all-league RB Damion Fletcher on the
roster. Remember, Fedora’s Oklahoma State offense ranked No. 8
nationally on the ground a year ago. Of the three players vying to win
the quarterback job, sophomore Martevious Young and freshman Austin
Davis broke from the pack in what’s become an increasingly tight
competition.
Defense: You can call the Southern Miss D the Nasty Bunch,
but the moniker hasn’t really fit for a few years. New coordinator Todd
Bradford hopes to change that by installing an aggressive, in-your-face
defense aimed at making the quarterback uncomfortable. While it sounds
good in theory, it won’t be easy to deliver when the front four will be
starting four new players. If they can’t get penetration, expect plenty
of blitzes from an undersized and athletic back seven. Hey, at least the
Golden Eagles can count on LB Gerald McRath, a man among boys and a
candidate to leave a year early for the NFL Draft.
T1.
UCF
Predicted record: 7-5
Conf. record: 6-2
Best
Offensive Player:
LT
Patrick Brown, Sr.
Best
Defensive Player:
CB/PR Joe Burnett, Sr.
Offense:
Considering the gaping hole that exists in the running game, the Knights
are going to need more production from a passing attack that was last in
the league and 105th nationally a season ago. The battle to
replace Kyle Israel at quarterback will focus on Joe Weatherford,
brother of Florida State’s Drew Weatherford, and Michael Greco, a
220-pound dual-threat southpaw that conjures up images of Tim Tebow
light. As if the running game needed more problems, Phillip Smith, Kevin
Smith’s successor, suffered a lower leg injury and finished the spring
on crutches. If he’s unavailable for any length of time, UCF will be
forced to dig deep into the roster, relying on unknowns, such as James
Jamison and Ronnie Weaver. Led by starters Rocky Ross and Kamar Aiken,
the receivers will be a strength if they can cut down on dropped passes.
Defense: In light of the
problems on the other side of the ball, the defense may have to carry
the offense in the early stages of the season. The unit welcomes back
nine starters, 10 if you count LB Jordan Richards, who was slated to
start before suffering a season-ending injury. The secondary, in
particular, is flush with senior talent, led by all-leaguers Joe Burnett
and Sha’Reff Rashad. It was those two ball hawks, along with Jason
Venson and Johnell Neal that helped UCF lead the conference with two
dozen picks a year ago. The defense’s biggest objective will be to find
replacements for DE Leger Douzable and DT Keith Shologan, the line’s
best pass rusher and run-stuffer, respectively. If they can stay
healthy for a change, the Cory Hogue-led linebackers will be deep and
disruptive.
5.
Memphis
Predicted record: 5-7
Conf. record: 6-2
Best
Offensive Player:
WR Duke
Calhoun, Jr.
Best
Defensive Player:
DT Clinton
McDonald, Sr.
Offense:
The
Tigers boast a veteran offensive line that believes it can be the most
dominant in the West era. Exactly who the group will be blocking for
has yet to be determined. Underappreciated QB Martin Hankins needs to be
replaced after throwing 43 touchdowns over the last two seasons. Since
the strength of the team is at wide receiver, the staff must uncover an
able distributor. Versatile Matt Malouf brings an interesting blend of
run and pass. The wild card, however, is JUCO transfer Arkelon Hall, a
former Washington State signee and one of the highest-rated pocket
passers of 2005. The running game has been ravaged by graduations,
defections, and injuries, creating opportunities for transfer Curtis
Steele, sophomore Jeremy Longstreet, and redshirt freshman Mike Davis.
Defense: The strength of the
defense resides at safety and on an experienced line that’s led by
all-league candidate Clinton McDonald, a sneaky-good penetrator from the
inside. The front wall will need to be extra special to compensate for
a back seven that’s defenseless versus any passing game with a pulse.
The Tiger defensive backs like to take chances and play aggressively,
accepting the occasional blown coverage for takeaways that go the other
way. Unfortunately for the defense, the corners get burned regularly,
but the momentum-changing plays have been non-existent. New coordinator
Tim Walton’s lofty goal for Memphis is to maintain that frenetic,
high-energy personality, while improving its tackling and fundamentals.
6.
UAB
Predicted record: 2-10
Conf. record: 1-7
Best
Offensive Player:
QB Joseph
Webb, Jr.
Best
Defensive Player:
FS
Will Dunbar, Sr.
Offense:
Topping
Callaway’s list of offensive priorities is to improve a running game
that was last in the league a year ago. The coach is keeping his
fingers crossed that Aaron Johns, a gifted former Alabama running back,
can qualify academically after missing the mark last season. QB Joseph
Webb offers some interesting options, both as a strong-armed passer and
a scrambler on designed running plays. He’ll have no shortage of
quality targets. Frantrell Forrest led the team with 49 receptions as a
freshman, Mike Jones tore it up in the spring, and Roddell Carter is
physical junior college transfers capable of contributing immediately.
Jake Seitz anchors a young line that was unexpectedly solid in pass
protection but needs to step it up in the running game.
Defense: Underclassmen were
everywhere last year, which should start to pay dividends this season.
The Blazers got shoved around by every opponent not named Alcorn State,
prompting Callaway to demand more physicality in the front seven. UAB
does return its best player, all-league S Will Dunbar, who could have
left for the NFL after 2007. A sure-tackling playmaker that paced the
team with 122 stops, he’s the leader of a vulnerable secondary. The
Blazers other building blocks will be ends Bryant Turner and Joe Happe,
linebackers Joe Henderson and Mike Tashman, and CB Kevin Sanders, all of
whom showed flashes of productivity in 2007. The offense better be
prepared to score plenty of points because the program will need them to
have a chance at winning more than two games this fall.
West
1.
Tulsa
Predicted record: 8-4
Conf. record: 6-2
Best
Offensive Player:
WR Brennan
Marion, Sr.
Best
Defensive Player:
DE Moton
Hopkins, Sr.
Offense:
A star
will be born as soon as the staff decides on its next starting
quarterback. The hurry-up, no-huddle offense is that prolific under
coordinator Gus Malzahn. The early edge goes to David Johnson, who
backed up Paul Smith for three seasons and spent a year in the system.
However, he’s no lock to win the job, and will get challenged by Clark
Harrell and Jacob Bower, a coveted JUCO recruit. The transition to a
new starter will be made easier by the presence of a veteran line and
1,000-yard receivers Brennan Marion, Trae Johnson, and Charles Clay. As
if the Hurricane needs more weapons, the program’s leading rushers from
the last two years are also back. Tarrion Adams ran for 1,225 yards and
caught 30 passes after starter Courtney Tennial was lost with a
season-ending Achilles injury.
Defense: Even more than the need
to develop a quarterback, Tulsa has to remake a 3-3-5 defense that
allowed more than 40 points to six opponents, and graduated its best
defenders. The linebackers, the backbone of the defense, have been
robbed of three all-league players, and the secondary needs a refresher
course on how to stop the pass. The Hurricane is banking on holdovers
Mike Bryan and Tanner Antle, and junior college transfer Kaipo
Sarkissian to fill the voids at linebacker on a defense that’s putting
out APBs for consistent stoppers. For a pick-me-up, the coaches will
point to all-conference end Moton Hopkins, who led the linemen in
tackles, tackles for loss, and sacks a year ago.
2.
Houston
Predicted record: 6-6
Conf. record: 5-3
Best
Offensive Player:
QB
Case Keenum, Soph.
Best
Defensive Player:
DE
Phillip Hunt, Sr.
Offense:
While
there’ll be subtle differences based on personnel, Houston is basically
installing the same Texas Tech spread that’s perennially among the
nation’s leaders in passing. The first order of business will be to
decide between quarterbacks Case Keenum and Blake Joseph, who split time
a year ago. Joseph has the stronger arm, but Keenum is more accurate on
intermediate routes and moves well outside the pocket, making him a nice
fit for Holgorsen’s system. If the offense is going to hum early, the
receivers need to step up, putting pressure on last year’s backups L.J.
Castile, Tim Monroe, and Chris Gilbert. After missing most of 2006 and
2007 with a knee injury, promising T SirVincent Rogers is a welcome
addition to a line that’s replacing Jeff Akeroyd on the right
side.
Defense: After leading
Conference USA in total defense, Houston expects to be even stingier
this season under first-year coordinator John Skladany. And why not? The
Cougars return eight starters, and the transition to the 4-3 couldn’t
come at a more ideal time. While the defense is a little shorthanded at
linebacker, it’s brimming with talent and experience along the defensive
line. The best of the group is explosive end Phillip Hunt, who led the
league with 10.5 sacks and requires more than one blocker.
All-conference CB Kenneth Fontenette needs more help from a secondary
that got torched by every decent passing game it faced.
T3.
Tulane
Predicted record: 5-7
Conf. record: 3-5
Best
Offensive Player:
WR Jeremy Williams, Jr.
Best
Defensive Player:
LB David Skehan, Sr.
Offense:
If the
personnel supports it, Bob Toledo would like to run a balanced offense
that isn’t afraid to air it out or employ the occasional trick play.
Unfortunately, question marks at quarterback and running back could
stifle his ingenuity. The workhorse out of the backfield will be Andre
Anderson, a hard-running 210-pounder that’s ready to step out of Forte’s
shadow. After his chief competition, Andre Agers, was suspended, the
Green Wave was left with just one other scholarship tailback. Although
Toledo might wait until August to name his starting quarterback, Kevin
Moore clearly assumed the favorite’s role in the spring, showing the
best arm strength and a good command of the offense. Whoever gets the
nod will benefit from playing behind a veteran line and throwing to an
improving receiving corps that’s led by Jeremy Williams.
Defense: Now that coordinator
Thom Kaumeyer is gone, it’s up to O’Neill Gilbert to keep the defensive
momentum going from last season. Gilbert inherits seven starters and a
stern mandate to improve the pass defense. The Green Wave secondary got
toasted for 17 touchdown passes over last year’s final six games in a
league that got more pass-happy with the offseason hirings of June
Jones, Kevin Sumlin, and Larry Fedora. There are also concerns at
defensive tackle, where last year’s top three performers have run out of
eligibility. Tulane will try to compensate for its suspect corners with
a pass rush that’s fueled by all-league-caliber ends Reggie Scott and
Adam Kwentua. At linebacker, last year’s leading tackler Evan Lee will
be joined by David Skehan, a veteran making the switch from safety.
T3.
UTEP
Predicted record:
5-7
Conf. record: 3-5
Best
Offensive Player:
QB Trevor
VIttatoe, Soph.
Best
Defensive Player:
S Da'Mon
Cromartie-Smith, Jr.
Offense:
QB Trevor
Vittatoe had a sensational freshman debut for the Miners, throwing 25
touchdown passes and emerging as the new face of the program. His
favorite target Jeff Moturi was equally impressive in his first
significant action, catching 65 passes for 891 yards and 13 touchdowns.
With a year of experience behind them, they’re poised to become the most
prolific pitch-and-catch combo in Conference USA. When UTEP runs the
ball, it’ll likely go to the left side, where T Mike Aguayo, G Cameron
Raschke, and C Robby Felix are returning starters. As long as the line
does its job, Terrell Jackson and Donald Buckram are a pair of shifty
backs capable of igniting the running attack.
Defense: UTEP was gutted for at
least 45 points six different times in 2007, closing the year in tatters
for the third straight season. Price shook up his staff in the offseason
and signed some quick fixes out of the junior college ranks, but there’s
no easy solution for a unit that was routinely pushed around. New
coordinator Osia Lewis brings from New Mexico a 3-3-5 set that uses
three hybrid safeties and attacks from different spots on the field. The
Miners have been especially repugnant in pass defense, yielding more
than 300 yards a game, but do have some building blocks for Lewis to
call a foundation. Safety Da’Mon Cromartie Smith and CB Cornelius Brown
earned honorable mention All-Conference USA recognition as
sophomores.
5.
SMU
Predicted record:
3-9
Conf. record: 2-6
Best
Offensive Player:
QB Justin Willis,
Jr.
Best
Defensive Player:
CB Bryan McCann,
Jr.
Offense:
First-year head coach June Jones wants to spread the field with four or
five receivers on every play and air it out with short and intermediate
strikes. His most prized inheritance, QB Justin Willis, has served his
suspension and made his way back to the team. He doesn’t have a
howitzer, but that’s never been a prerequisite for success for Jones’
pupils. The junior understands the game well, has a good pocket
presence, and throws a catchable ball, ingredients for a solid season.
In this offense, there’s a need for capable receivers. Lots of them.
Emmanuel Sanders is a great start, but the Mustangs need quantity along
with quality. Sophomore playmaker Aldrick Robinson had a breakthrough
spring and figures to benefit the most from the change in offense.
Defense: June Jones has never
worried too much about defense in his coaching career. He’ll fit in well
at SMU. The Mustangs had one of the nation’s worst units a year ago,
finishing 116th in total defense and 117th in
scoring defense. Things don’t figure to get any better for a group
that’s undersized up front, inexperienced at linebacker, and ineffective
in pass defense. The defense is especially thin at cornerback after
losing Jonathan Lindley and Brandon Jones to graduation. One bright note
is the return of S Rock Dennis, a heralded junior college transfer, who
sat out last year with a shoulder injury.
6.
Rice
Predicted record:
3-9
Conf. record: 1-7
Best
Offensive Player:
WR Jarett
Dillard, Sr.
Best
Defensive Player:
FS Andrew Sendejo,
Jr.
Offense:
QB Chase
Clement is the catalyst of an offense that’s broken a slew of school
records over the last two seasons. A year ago, he led the Owls in
rushing as well as passing, accounting for 3,912 yards and 37
touchdowns, showing a knack for elevating his play late in games. The
receiving corps will again give overmatched league secondaries fits.
Jarett Dillard was a Biletnikoff Award finalist two years ago, and James
Casey is a 23-year old former professional baseball player who debuted
with 46 receptions. Bailiff’s quest to run the ball with more authority
is a direct challenge to a line that got routinely abused and is
revamping the left side.
Defense: The Owls lose little on
defense, but that’s not necessarily cause for optimism. Rice finished
near the bottom of the country in many statistical categories, allowing
43 points a game and finishing dead last in pass defense. Although the
staff spent the past few months hammering home the importance of
fundamentals and sound tackling, there’s no easy solution for a squad
that lacks the basics, like size, speed, and depth. On a positive note,
Rice does return a proven, fringe all-league player at each unit. DE
Scott Solomon led the Owls in sacks as a freshman and was a monster in
the spring. Although Brian Raines isn’t very big, he’s been a two-year
tackling machine at linebacker. The best is yet to come for FS Andrew
Sendejo, who led the team with 107 tackles in his sophomore year. It’s a
start.