2008 CFN Big Ten Preview
Predictions & Quick Team Previews
Team Previews &
Predictions
Illinois
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Indiana
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Iowa
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Michigan
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Michigan State |
Minnesota
Northwestern
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Ohio State
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Penn State
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Purdue
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Wisconsin
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2008 CFN Big Ten Preview
-
CFN All-Big Ten Team &
Top 30 Players
- Big Ten Unit
Rankings
- Big Ten Schedules &
Predictions
By
Pete Fiutak
1.
Ohio State
Predicted record: 12-0
Conf. record: 8-0
Best
Offensive Player:
RB Chris
Wells, Jr.
Best
Defensive Player:
LB James
Laurinaitis, Sr.
Offense:
The
Buckeyes are loaded with ten returning starters and the one new face to
the mix, sophomore right tackle Bryant Browning, is on the verge of
being a star. A shockingly balanced attack last year, averaging 197
yards per game both rushing and receiving, might lean even more heavily
on the running game with Chris "Beanie" Wells a Heisman candidate
working behind a durable, tough front five. The passing game gets back
the dangerous receiving tandem of Brian Robiskie and Brian Hartline,
while QB Todd Boeckman will once again be a steady, efficient
triggerman. The key will be to get more offensive scoring pop and to
figure out how to mix in all the talented young backups. How will
super-recruit Terrelle Pryor fit into the quarterback rotation, if at
all? Can speedy tailback Brandon Saine get more carries? There's an
embarrassment of riches to get excited about.
Defense: Sackmaster Vernon
Gholston and productive all-around LB Larry Grant are gone. That's about
the only negative on what was the nation's best total and scoring
defense. The stunning decisions by LB James Laurinaitis and CB Malcolm
Jenkins to return for their senior seasons, when they would've been
first round draft picks this year, makes the already good-looking
defense something special. All four starters return to the secondary
that helped lead the way for the nation's best pass defense. Laurinaitis
and running-mate Marcus Freeman will make up for the potential issue at
the third linebacking spot, while Lawrence Wilson, Cameron Heyward, and
Thaddeus Gibson are great-looking ends who should be camped out in
opposing backfield. The key will be the tackles. Mediocre last season,
at least by Buckeye standards, Todd Denlinger, Doug Worthington, Dexter
Larimore and Nader Abdallah are expected to be far better.
2.
Wisconsin
Predicted record: 10-2
Conf. record: 7-1
Best
Offensive Player:
TE
Travis Beckum, Sr.
Best
Defensive Player:
LB
Jonathan Casillas, Sr.
Offense:
The
offense wasn't nearly as efficient as it should've been with nine
starters returning in 2006, but injuries to the line, the receiving
corps, and to P.J. Hill had something to do with that. Now the attack
welcomes back eight starters led by Hill and a phenomenal corps of
running backs with four good options to carry the load. The tight end
combination of Travis Beckum and Garrett Graham might be the best in the
nation, and the line returns four starters with the one hole, center,
all patched up. The question mark is at quarterback where neither Allan
Evridge nor Dustin Sherer stood out in spring ball, while the receiving
corps doesn't have any sure-thing weapons. There's a whole slew of
young, athletic talent, but it would've been nice to have had more
veterans to help out the new passer. That, along with the problems the
Badger line has had in pass protection over the last few years, will
mean it'll be all about running the ball, running the ball, and running
it some more early on.
Defense: Banged up all year, the
defense didn't do anything particularly well, but it didn't struggle in
any one area, either. The big question will be health with several
players suffering big injuries over the last 12 months. The D line is a
mess with all four starters coming off an injury with the biggest hits
taken by DE Matt Shaughnessy (broken leg) and DT Jason Chapman (torn
ACL). The secondary could be terrific, but projected starting corners
Allen Langford and Aaron Henry are coming off torn ACLs suffered late
last year. The linebacking corps will clean up plenty of messes with the
three starters, led by Jonathan Casillas, returning. On the plus side,
all the injury problems have led to developed depth across the board.
The second teamers, at most spots, are ready.
3.
Michigan
Predicted record: 7-5
Conf. record: 5-3
Best
Offensive Player:
RB Brandon
Minor, Jr.
Best
Defensive Player:
DT
Terrance Taylor, Sr.
Offense:
If
nothing else, this will be interesting. The pieces aren't there for Rich
Rodriguez to run things the way he did at West Virginia, so offensive
coordinator Calvin McGee will have to scramble a bit. It's not like
there isn't Michigan-level talent, but there's a ton of inexperience and
few sure things. Starting with the positives, the running backs, despite
losing Mike Hart, should be fantastic with Brandon Minor, Carlos Brown
and Kevin Grady to be the focal point of the attack. Greg Mathews leads
a tall, fast receiving corps that looks the part. And then there are the
issues. The quarterback situation is shaky with Steven Threet taking the
early lead in the race. While he’s a nice talent, he’s a tall passer;
he’s not Pat White. The line could be the biggest concern with little
returning experience and no veteran depth whatsoever.
Defense: While there's plenty of
uncertainty on offense, Scott Shafer's defense should be solid after
bouncing back from a disastrous start. The line has the potential to be
among the best in the nation, but now all the talent needs to turn into
more production with tackles Terrance Taylor and Will Johnson and ends
Tim Jamison and Brandon Graham needing to dominate. The secondary was
terrific last year, and it will be again even with new safeties to go
with strong corners Morgan Trent and Donovan Warren. The question is the
linebacking corps that should be decent, but nothing special outside of
Obi Ezeh in the middle.
T4.
Iowa
Predicted record: 7-5
Conf. record: 4-4
Best
Offensive Player:
DT
Mitch King, Sr.
Best
Defensive Player:
WR
Andy Brodell, Sr.
Offense:
Can a
team be more snake-bit by injuries? The Hawkeye attack went into the
tank when the top three targets, Andy Brodell, Trey Stross, and TE Tony
Moeaki, all got hurt early. Making matters worse were the maladies on
the line that killed the rushing production and almost got QB Jake
Christensen killed. On the plus side, just about everyone is back and
healthy with the exception of running back, where it'll take JUCO
transfers Nate Guillory and Shonn Greene to add some life into the
attack. If everyone's healthy, the Big Ten's worst offense will come up
with a night-and-day turnaround.
Defense: Considering there was
no help whatsoever from the offense, the defense came up with a
fantastic season allowing 351 yards and 19 points per game. There will
be major changes to be made, especially on the outside, but the middle
of the line will be among the best in the Big Ten with the return of
tackles Mitch King and Matt Kroul. The safeties should be solid, but
Bradley Fletcher and Drew Gardner need to shine at corner considering
the pass rush might not be steady right away. The biggest issue is at
linebacker where A.J. Edds leads a very green, but very athletic group
of young prospects.
T4.
Michigan State
Predicted record: 7-5
Conf. record: 4-4
Best
Offensive Player:
RB Javon
Ringer, Sr.
Best
Defensive Player:
LB Greg
Jones, Soph.
Offense:
There isn't going to be a whole lot of fancy going in in this offense.
The huge front five will line up and smack D lines in the mouth as it
tries to open up holes for the speedy backs to tear through. Javon
Ringer is a special back who could be a threat for 2,000 yards if he
stays healthy, and he'll get plenty of help with a few good backups,
mainly Andre Anderson. The receiving corps is a question mark needing
Mark Dell to be the new Devin Thomas, but veteran QB Brian Hoyer is a
good one who'll make the youngsters better. He'll need time, which he
might not have behind a mediocre pass blocking line. Depth is an issue
up front, while the backups all along the offense are a bit green.
Defense: In the past, under
former head coach John L. Smith, the defense tried to be aggressive and
go all out, and it didn't work. In Mark Dantonio's first season, the
defense wasn't going to sell out and was going to play a little more
conservatively, and it worked, but not in the exact way that everyone
expected. The pass rush turned into one of the best in the country, and
the overall production was solid, even if the defense gave up too many
points. Even with some big losses, like ends Jonal Saint-Dic and Ervin
Baldwin, the defense should be on the verge of becoming special. Unlike
last year, everyone knows what they're doing with all the young speed
and athleticism about to wreak havoc. Cincinnati transfer Trevor
Anderson might be an even better end than Saint-Dic, Otis Wiley appears
to be back to being the all-star NFL prospect he was supposed to be
going into last year, and Greg Jones leads a linebacking corps that can
fly. There will be some rough patches, but overall, this will be a
better and better D as the season goes on.
T4.
Penn State
Predicted record: 8-4
Conf. record: 4-4
Best
Offensive Player:
OG Stefen
Wisniewski, Soph.
Best
Defensive Player:
DE
Maurice Evans, Jr.
Offense:
Everything is in place to be really, really good. The line could be the
best in a conference full of terrific front fives, the receiving trio of
Derrick Williams, Jordan Norwood and Deon Butler might not be the
be-all-end-all, but it's among the nation's most experienced corps and
will be solid, and the running back tandem of Evan Royster and
speed-demon Stephfon Green will likely be an upgrade. It all comes down
to the quarterback play. Anthony Morelli tried hard, but he wasn't
efficient and he didn't do enough to make the offense special, so his
loss isn't all that big a deal. Daryll Clark is a mobile veteran with
plenty of upside, while Pat Devlin is the one-time superstar recruit
who's the quarterback of the future, and possibly the present. The
coaching staff will work a bit more with a spread attack to get the ball
in the hands of the receivers on shorter, quicker patterns, but the
quarterback have the ability to air it out when needed.
Defense: This will be a good
defense overall, but it's not going to be as good as last season. The
linebacking corps carried the defense for the last few years, but this
season, it's all about pass rushing terror Maurice Evans and the line.
The loss of tackles Chris Baker and Phil Taylor, who were suspended this
spring and booted off the team, will hurt, but the Nittany Lion
defensive line could still be among the best in America. It'll have to
be with Dan Connor and Sean Lee gone from the linebacking corps (Lee
will be back next year after injuring his knee). The back seven will be
fine as long as the line plays like last year, when it led the way to
the nation's seventh best run defense and was second in the country in
sacks, but if there's a drop-off in production up front, the secondary
could be in big trouble.
T4.
Purdue
Predicted record: 6-6
Conf. record: 4-4
Best
Offensive Player:
QB Curtis
Painter, Sr.
Best
Defensive Player:
LB Anthony
Heygood, Sr.
Offense:
Offensive
coordinator Ed Zaunbrecher has some holes to fill at wide receiver and
the line, and while the receivers should turn out to be fine with good
speed and size likely make up for the lack of experience, the line could
be an issue if the myriad of health issues suffered this off-season
carry over into the fall. The running game will be better with the
return of Kory Sheets and Jaycen Taylor, a talented, but underutilized,
1-2 punch. Running the show is Curtis Painter, considered by some to be
the best quarterback prospect for the 2009 NFL Draft. He'll have to make
his green receiving corps shine and he'll have to show he can light up
the better secondaries and not just the ones on the average teams.
Defense: After two years of
abysmal defense, defensive coordinator Brock Spack finally got some
production out of his side of the ball. It wasn't a brick wall of a
defense by any stretch, but it was far better overall than it was.
Things should be even better with six starters returning, and most of
the new starters full of experience. It's not going to be a star-studded
group, and there isn't any major strength, but there isn't a glaring
problem, either. The pass rush should be decent from all four spots on
the line, while the emergence of Jason Werner, now paired with Anthony
Heygood, will give the Boilermakers a great set of outside linebackers
to work around. The secondary will be fine if David Pender can grow into
a No. 1 corner and if Torri Williams is in the mix at strong safety
after being suspended this off-season.
8.
Illinois
Predicted record: 6-6
Conf. record: 3-5
Best
Offensive Player:
QB
Juice Williams, Jr.
Best
Defensive Player:
CB
Vontae Davis, Jr.
Offense:
The
offense came through like it was supposed to last season as it led the
Big Ten, and finished fifth in the nation, in rushing averaging 257
yards per game. The scoring was sporadic and the passing game
inefficient, but there's little arguing with a Rose Bowl berth. The
line, one of the most productive in the nation last year, gets three
starters back and won't have a problem filling the other two holes. The
receiving corps, led by Arrelious Benn, is big, fast, and talented, and
now it'll get used more as Juice Williams, one of the nation's most
dynamic running quarterbacks, appears ready to be a more efficient
passer after a strong spring. The big concern is at running back where
it'll take a committee of average backs to try to replace Rashard
Mendenhall and his 1,681 yards and 17 touchdowns.
Defense: The defense never got
any credit for a not-that-bad 2006 season, and it got glossed over by
all the attention given to the offense in 2007. It wasn't a killer, but
it was strong against the run and it didn't get pasted outside of the
beginning (Missouri) and the end (USC). This year's group doesn't have
the same experience, but it should be more athletic with the star
recruits of the last few years about to shine. The strength is a line
that gets all the key parts back. The other top recruit from two years
ago, Martez Wilson, adds an NFL-caliber body at outside linebacker,
while Brit Miller is about to blossom into a star moving from the
outside to J Leman's spot in the middle. The secondary isn't anything
special, but Vontae Davis is one of the best corners in the country.
T9.
Minnesota
Predicted record: 6-6
Conf. record: 2-6
Best
Offensive Player:
QB Adam
Weber, Soph.
Best
Defensive Player:
DE Willie
VanDeSteeg, Sr.
Offense:
Considering it was a year of transition, the offense didn't do too
poorly. It didn't get any help from the defense, and there were too many
turnovers, but the spread worked. Adam Weber all but shut down any
quarterback controversy with a strong spring, but he'll need help. The
line will be decent, as it always is at Minnesota, but it'll need time
to jell. Eric Decker is an All-Big Ten caliber receiver, and Jack
Simmons, if he can stay healthy, has tremendous potential at tight end,
but the No. 2 receiver is a huge question mark with a few true freshmen
needing to produce. RBs Duane Bennett and Jay Thomas are extremely
quick, but Thomas is coming off a torn ACL.
Defense: New defensive
coordinator Ted Roof, the former Duke head coach, is trying to get the
woebegone Gopher defense back to the basics. Tackle, get into the
backfield, and tackle ... and tackle. Problem one was getting into the
backfield, with end Willie VanDeSteeg struggling early and then breaking
his wrist, but Roof will try to get his front seven to generate more
pressure to help out a secondary that struggled for the last few years.
The linebacking corps needs to be more physical and has to do a far
better job of tackling. Steve Davis and Deon Hightower are decent
veterans, but they have to be far better. A slew of top JUCO transfers
are about to take over the secondary with safety Tramaine Brock the star
of the show. Corner Traye Simmons and safety Simoni Lawrence could start
from day one.
T9.
Northwestern
Predicted record: 6-6
Conf. record: 2-6
Best
Offensive Player:
RB
Tyrell Sutton, Sr.
Best
Defensive Player:
DT
John Gill, Sr.
Offense:
New
offensive coordinator Mick McCall has one main goal going into the
season: hurry everything up. The offense will go to a no-huddle,
fast-paced attack to get everyone into more of a rhythm, and while a
slight change in style and philosophy might seem like an issue, it
shouldn't be for the veteran skill players. QB C.J. Bacher's job is to
get the ball to his playmakers as quickly as possible, and that
shouldn't be a problem with almost all of the top targets returning. RB
Tyrell Sutton is a star to revolve around as both a runner and a
receiver, but unlike last year, he has to stay healthy. The line is an X
factor with three new starters coming in, but last year's group was full
of talented veterans and it was mediocre. The new front five is more
athletic and a better fit for the new style.
Defense: New defensive
coordinator Mike Hankwitz wants to attack, attack, attack. He might not
have the athletes to go nuts with the blitzing, but the experience is
there to be far more consistent. The key will be the line that gets all
four starters back after a disappointing season against the run and with
little pass rush from the ends. The back seven is more athletic in the
past with promising linebackers that should be good after they get their
feet wet. Brendan Smith is back at safety after missing most of last
year hurt. His return should help a good secondary that should be far
more productive if there's a steady pass rush. Veteran depth is a
problem across the board, but the talent level has been upgraded over
the past few years.
11.
Indiana
Predicted record: 5-7
Conf. record: 1-7
Best
Offensive Player:
QB Kellen
Lewis, Jr.
Best
Defensive Player:
DE
Greg Middleton, Jr.
Offense:
The IU
spread offense made a few changes as it went to more of an up-tempo,
no-huddle attack this spring. However, it did it with star QB Kellen
Lewis suspended (he's back now), without key receiver James Bailey (he
transferred), with top running backs Marcus Thigpen running track, and
with seemingly most of the line injured. The offense will rely on
shorter, quicker passes, which isn't really Lewis's game, and will work
more with the running backs to get more of a ground game going. Who'll
step up and replace the 16 touchdowns and deep play ability of James
Hardy? Will the line be healthy? Can the running backs actually produce?
This was a good scoring offense last year that doesn't have a lot of
stars, but has a ton of question marks.
Defense: While the defense wasn't great, and was hardly
consistent, it was far better than it had been in several years. Now
there's plenty of hope for one of the best defensive seasons the program
has had in a long, long time with pass rushing terror Greg Middleton and
solid tackle Greg Brown starring up front, Will Patterson and Geno
Johnson leading a strong linebacking corps, and the defensive backs all
just good enough to not be a weakness. Finding a second corner on the
other side of Chris Phillips will be job one, and not buckling against
the better running teams will be a must, but all the pieces are there
for a good season.