Pac-10 Fearless Predictions, Sept. 6
Stanfrod RB Toby Gerhart
Stanfrod RB Toby Gerhart
CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Aug 5, 2008


Previews and Predictions for the Week 2 Pac-10 Games

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Pac 10 Fearless Predictions Aug. 30

How are the picks so far? SU: 5-3 ... ATS: 4-3

Pac 10 Game of the Week

Stanford (1-0) at Arizona State (1-0), 10:00 EST
Why to watch: Stanford’s opening week upset of Oregon State all of a sudden changed the look of the Pac 10 season and made Jim Harbaugh’s club a team to watch out for. The Cardinal’s thrilling 36-28 victory over the Beavers has the program thinking its timetable for success has been condensed. Yeah, Stanford is still a work-in-progress, but a win in Tempe will bring it a giant step closer to a bowl game and create a stir on The Farm. Arizona State breezed to a victory over Northern Arizona in its first game, getting 388 yards and a touchdown from QB Rudy Carpenter. The Sun Devils were lackluster in the win, fumbling three times and struggling on third down, which needs to be addressed now that the FCS portion of the schedule is over.
Why Stanford might win: Some of those offensive inefficiencies that poked through last Saturday are going to get exposed by the feisty Cardinal defense. Yeah, Stanford will give up yards, but with players like DE Pannel Egboh and LB Clinton Snyder manning the front seven, the unit brings a ton of heat and does a nice job of defending the run. Worrying about the ASU ground game won’t be an issue. With Keegan Herring hurting, there isn’t a threat to worry about. If the Arizona State offensive line hasn’t progressed from a year ago, it’s going to get whipped by this attacking group.
Why Arizona State might win: As exciting as the Stanford defense can be, it also can be undisciplined, especially against the pass. Enter Carpenter, who was in mid-season form last week, misfiring on just six passes and spreading the ball around to his deep and athletic corps of receivers. Michael Jones (if he’s available after suffering an Achilles tendon injury), Kerry Taylor, and Chris McGaha are going to cause serious match up problems for a Cardinal secondary lacking a lockdown corner.
Who to watch: For the first time in ages, an opponent will have to key on a Stanford running back. Toby Gerhart was a horse in the win over Oregon State, rumbling for 147 yards and two scores on 19 carries. If he and Anthony Kimble can keep the chains moving, it’ll do wonders for QB Tavita Pritchard’s completion percentage.
What will happen
: While Stanford is certainly heading in the right direction, it’s not quite ready to knock off one of the Pac-10’s premier teams on the road. They’ll stay competitive for four quarters, but won’t be able to match the offensive production of Arizona State. Carpenter will leave the stadium with MVP honors, tossing three touchdown passes to three different receivers
CFN Prediction: Arizona State 48 … Stanford 31 ... Line: Arizona State -14
Must See Rating: (5 Entourage premiere - 1 One Tree Hill premiere) … 3
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Saturday, September 6

BYU (1-0) at Washington (0-1), 3:00 EST
Why to watch: The popular choice to run the table and bust the BCS, BYU gets its first of a couple marquee chances to impress national voters. No, Washington isn’t a Pac-10 contender, but a win in Seattle is exactly what the program needs to start creating more widespread awareness. Disposing of Northern Iowa in the opener was great for compiling stats, but it did nothing to answer questions about the Cougar defense. The Huskies, and embattled head coach Ty Willingham, need a win in the worst way. To do so, however, they’ll need to make a sharp u-turn from last week’s dreadful 44-10 loss to Oregon, in which nothing went right. Washington is young and an inconsistent, but it needs to play like a tight, veteran team or the first half of the season could be an utter disaster.
Why BYU might win: The suspect Washington defense yielded 496 yards and tackled poorly versus Oregon, a preview of what’s to come this Saturday afternoon. The Cougars sport a fine-tuned offense that can push the pile with Harvey Unga or get vertical with QB Max Hall. Hall began the year with 486 yards, two touchdown passes, and just seven incompletions, spreading the ball out to a deep corps of receivers. The Huskies will have to be extra special to slow down this attack.
Why Washington might win: The book is still out on the Cougar defense, which is replacing a ton of starters and just allowed 362 yards and 17 points to Northern Iowa. QB Jake Locker is healthy and the Husky line has the size and experience to open holes for Brandon Johnson and Chris Polk. Getting C Juan Garcia back unexpectedly early from a foot injury provides a big boost to the entire offense.
Who to watch: The Huskies will have their hands full trying to contain BYU TE Dennis Pitta, who roasted the Panthers for 11 catches and 213 yards. He’s got good size and great hands, a challenge for a Washington defense that’s weak in the back seven and struggling to replace top LB E.J. Savannah.
What will happen: BYU is the better team, but beating a Pac-10 team on the road is never a foregone conclusion. Fueled by 300 total yards from Locker, the Huskies will hang tough for three quarters before fading down the stretch to the balanced Cougar offense.
CFN Prediction: BYU 34 … Washington 20 ... Line: BYU -21
Must See Rating: (5 Entourage premiere - 1 One Tree Hill premiere) … 3
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Utah State (0-1) at Oregon (1-0), 3:30 EST
Why to watch: Oregon has become a plug-and-play offense that can insert backups at key areas, such as quarterback, and still crank out the points. Take last Saturday, for example. Even after starter Justin Roper, who got the job when Nate Costa got hurt, suffered a concussion, backups Jeremiah Masoli and Chris Harper shredded the Washington defense en route to an impressive 44-10 victory. Roper is back and allowed to play, but it doesn’t matter who’s under center, the Ducks are capable of scoring on anyone. Utah State did little in its opener with UNLV to elevate beyond being one of the nation’s worst overall programs. The Aggies sputtered on offense, managing just 10 points through the first three quarters.
Why Utah State might win: The Aggie defense played pretty well in the opener, keeping RB Frank Summers in check and holding the Rebels to 353 total yards. They’ve got a veteran unit and a solid group of linebackers that’s led by Jake Hutton and Paul Igboeli. As good as Masoli was in relief, there’s no guarantee he’ll be as effective as the starter.
Why Oregon might win: Not only should the Ducks have no problem scoring, but their defense is fast, aggressive, and air-tight in the secondary. Utah State is loaded with question marks on offense, primarily at quarterback where neither Sean Setzer nor Diondre Borel are effective through the air. Those two will throw at least two more picks than touchdowns Saturday afternoon.
Who to watch: Oregon RB Jeremiah Johnson did a heck of a job of impersonating Jonathan Stewart in his first game back from knee surgery. He raced for 124 yards and two scores on just 15 carries, sparking a running game that averaged more than five yards a carry. If he continues to run well, life will be far easier for Roper.  
What will happen: After opening with a Pac-10 game against a rival, a visit from Utah State will give Oregon a chance to get healthy and get the backups reps in the second half. The offense will roll up silly numbers again, getting the backs and the receivers involved in the action. With a trip to Purdue up next, Mike Bellotti will look to get the starters to the sidelines as early as possible.
CFN Prediction: Oregon 48 … Utah State 10 ... Line: Oregon -35
Must See Rating: (5 Entourage premiere - 1 One Tree Hill premiere) … 1.5
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Oregon State (0-1) at Penn State (1-0), 3:30 EST ABC
 Why to watch: All of a sudden, a potential yawner of a game will get a glaring spotlight after yet another issue off-the-field for Penn State. After a nightmare of an off-season, the last thing the program needed was more negative publicity, but it's getting it and then some. All-America DE Maurice Evans, DT Abe Koroma, TE Andrew Quarless and CB A.J. Wallace will be suspended for a game, at least, after marijuana was discovered in Wallace's apartment. A major distraction, Penn State has to try to focus and deal with a wounded Oregon State team coming off a tough and embarrassing loss at Stanford. The Beavers put up big numbers, but couldn't handle the Cardinal running game. Games against USC and Utah are coming up after a date with Hawaii, and while OSU is overmatched against a fully-functional Penn State team, now the playing field has been leveled a bit. If the Nittany Lions can just get through this week, things ease up immeasurably against Syracuse and Temple.
 Why Oregon State might win: Besides the suspension factor, the Oregon State passing game should be able to put up big numbers with QB Lyle Moevao likely to get far more time to work. The running game should be able to work up the middle against the depleted Penn State defensive interior, while the Nittany Lion secondary, which gave up 198 yards in the 66-10 win over Coastal Carolina, could get bombed on for 300 yards. Oregon State's offense should be able to come up with a few big home runs.
 Why Penn State might win: If Stanford could run the ball on the one-time great Oregon State run defense, then Penn State should be able to do whatever it wants to. The Nittany Lion offensive line is fantastic, and it's only getting better each week with more and more experience. Stephon Greene and Evan Royster should be able to control the game on the ground while taking the heat off new starter Daryll Clark, who had a nice first game completing 11 of 14 passes for 146 yards and a touchdown.
 Who to watch: The Penn State suspensions take away from a special showdown between two of the nation's most electrifying punt returners and wide receivers. Oregon State's Sammie Stroughter is back after missing most of last year injured, and he hasn't missed a beat catching 12 passes for 157 yards and two touchdowns against the Cardinal. However, he was held to nine yards on three punt returns. On the other side, Williams caught just two passes against Coastal Carolina for 45 yards, but he all but ended the game on an 89-yard kickoff return for a score.
 What will happen: In the past, Penn State has rallied around adversity and came through big. This time should be no exception as the team will come together and focus, using the running game to pound its way to a win.
 CFN Prediction: Penn State 37 ... Oregon State 17 ... Line: Penn State -16.5
 Must See Rating: (5 Entourage premiere - 1 One Tree Hill premiere) … 3
 
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California (1-0) at Washington State (0-1), 6:30 EST
Why to watch: Oh yeah, Cal is good. Picked apart in the offseason for the way they finished 2007, the Bears responded with a quality win over Michigan State, getting contributions from the offense, defense, and special teams. Kevin Riley looked like the right choice at quarterback, and the running tandem of Jahvid Best and Shane Vereen makes the future look bright. Consistency has rarely been Cal’s calling card, however, so it’ll need a road win in Pullman to keep the critics quiet. Washington State struggled in its first game with Paul Wulff on the sidelines, losing badly to Oklahoma State. With Stanford playing well, it could come down to the Apple Cup to decide who occupies the Pac-10 cellar.
Why Cal might win: Against a solid Michigan State defense, the Bears did a nice job of moving the ball and keeping drives alive. Riley was relaxed and mistake-free in the pocket, and Best and Vereen were dynamite on the ground. Cal should have few problems keeping the momentum going against a Wazzu defense that’s shaky defending the run and the pass. Cameron Morrah is a big, athletic tight end, who’ll give fits to the pedestrian Cougar linebackers.
Why Washington State might win: Michigan State’s receivers were supposed to be green, but Mark Dell, in particular, looked like an All-American playing against the Cal secondary. The Cougars will attack that unit with veteran hurler Gary Rogers and Biletnikoff Award candidate Brandon Gibson. While Rogers floundered in his first game replacing Alex Brink, he has the arm strength and know-how to rebound in a hurry. Plus, he’s unlikely to endure too much pressure from the Bear pass rush.
Who to watch: Best dismissed any doubts about his health and durability in his return from a hip injury, scooting for 111 and a touchdown, while adding five catches for 63 yards. He got 29 touches against a physical Spartan team, which bodes well for the rest of his season. If he and Vereen continue picking up yards in chunks, the sky’s the limit for the Bear offense.
What will happen
: After the huge victory over Michigan State, there’s bound to be a hangover effect at Cal. It might take a quarter or 20 minutes before they snap out of it and begin carving up a Washington State defense that’s long on desire and short on talent
CFN Prediction: California 42 … Washington State 20 ... Line: California -13.5
Must See Rating: (5 Entourage premiere - 1 One Tree Hill premiere) … 2.5
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Toledo (0-0) at Arizona (1-0), 10:00 EST
Why to watch: While it won’t be the most important game of week two, Toledo’s trip to Tucson could make for the most entertaining game of the weekend. Both teams love to open things up on offense, and have the weapons to treat the scoreboard like a pinball machine. Arizona was flawless in its opening day demolition of Idaho, scorching the Vandals, 70-0. Now in his second season in Sonny Dykes’ wide-open offense, Willie Tuitama was sharp, throwing three touchdown passes in just two quarters. Even better, the rebuilt defense was stifling, giving the ‘Cats the start it needed. The Rockets were idle last Saturday, and will be making their first trip to the desert since 1985. They’ve got a chucker of their own, Aaron Opelt, and many of the key parts of an attack that led the MAC in total offense a year ago.
Why Toledo might win: Don’t read too much into Arizona’s defensive effort last weekend. Toledo isn’t Idaho. Beyond Opelt, the Rockets return RB DaJuane Collins and last year’s top receivers, Nick Moore and Stephen Williams. The Wildcats are still adjusting to eight new starters on defense, and will be vulnerable to high-powered, diverse offenses. Toledo is home to one of those attacks that can put up yards and points in bunches.
Why Arizona might win: Toledo is also home to one of the nation’s flimsiest defenses, which will be evident over and over again Saturday night. If Keenyn Crier punts more than twice, it’ll be a surprise. With Mike Thomas, Terrell Turner, and Delashaun Dean scorching defensive backfields, Tuitama is poised to become a record-setter this season. He looked extremely comfortable in the opener, which he’ll build on this weekend. The fact that Nic Grigsby rushed for 169 yards and two scores was an added bonus that makes the Wildcats much tougher to defend.
Who to watch: Is the Arizona defense a fluke? Although the unit was impenetrable last Saturday, it was only against Idaho. Naturally, Toledo will provide a much stiffer test. If redshirt freshman CB Trevin Wade, who intercepted two passes, can play nearly as well against the Rockets, the Wildcats may have their successor to Antoine Cason.
What will happen: It’ll be a tackling-optional contest dominated by the passing games. It’s a huge game for Arizona, which needs to build its confidence and resume one brick at a time. The Wildcats have the more explosive offense, and will outgun the Rockets behind Tuitama in one of the highest scoring games of the weekend.
CFN Prediction: Arizona 41 … Toledo 31 ... Line: Arizona -22
Must See Rating: (5 Entourage premiere - 1 One Tree Hill premiere) … 3
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