Pac-10 Fearless Predictions, Oct. 4, Part 2
Arizona State DE Dexter Davis
Arizona State DE Dexter Davis
CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Aug 5, 2008


Previews and Predictions for the Week 6 Pac-10, Part 2


Pac 10  
Arizona | Arizona StCalifornia | Oregon | Oregon St
Stanford | UCLA | USC | Washington | Washington St 

Pac 10 Fearless Predictions Aug. 30 | Sept. 6 | Sept. 13 | Sept. 20
- Sept. 27

- Pac 10 Week 6 Fearless Predictions, Oct. 4

How are the picks so far? SU: 25-10 ... ATS: 18-14

Saturday, October 4

Washington State (1-4) at UCLA (1-3), 10:15 EST
Why to watch: While Washington is sure to have something to say about it, this week’s game in the Rose Bowl will go a long way to determining who occupies the Pac-10 cellar. Both UCLA and Washington State are struggling badly to overcome injuries, inconsistent offenses, and a general lack of depth on both sides of the ball. The Bruins actually generated some offense last weekend, but the defense and special teams units collapsed in a 36-31 loss to Fresno State. They’ve now dropped three straight since opening with a feel-good win over Tennessee. If recognition was given to the worst of the BCS programs, Wazzu would be a formidable contender. In four games against FCS opponents, the Cougars have yet to be competitive, losing every game by at least 26 points. Rookie head coach Paul Wulff will spend the rest of the year coaching up redshirt freshman Marshall Lobbestael, the future at quarterback who’s been pressed into action by serious injuries to Gary Rogers and Kevin Lopina.
Why Washington State might win: If UCLA continues having problems moving the ball and holding onto it, it’ll be vulnerable against anyone, including the Cougars. The Bruins are currently last in the Pac-10 in scoring and total offense, and are next to last in turnover margin. QB Kevin Craft has been a non-factor, throwing just one touchdown pass over the last three games. Lobbestael will be prone to rookie mistakes, but he makes things happen and is a good fit for the new spread offense. In the last two games, he’s thrown four touchdown passes.
Why UCLA might win: As long as Wazzu can’t stop the run, there’s no reason for the Bruins to dig too deep into Norm Chow’s playbook. The Cougars are next-to-last nationally in run defense, giving up a staggering seven yards a carry. One of the only things that went well for UCLA last week was the ground game, which produced 234 yards and a pair of touchdowns on 38 carries. Now that the wrapping has been taken off true freshman Derrick Coleman and Kahlil Bell is healthy, the Bruins have two powerful runners who’ll keep Craft from having to do too much.
Who to watch: If he can hold on to the ball and get in better shape, UCLA fans should expect to see a lot more of Coleman over the next two months. While Bell is the starter, Coleman is a 220-pound hammer with a lot of potential. He’s a little behind after undergoing knee surgery in August, but is quickly making up ground and looked good gaining 86 yards on 10 carries on Saturday.
What will happen: There’s bad and then there’s scary bad, a place Washington State calls home these days. The Cougars are in no position to go on the road and beat any Pac-10 team, even one like UCLA that’s having problems of its own. The Bruins will gobble up more than 200 yards on the ground and get an interception return for a touchdown from CB Alterraun Verner.
CFN Prediction: UCLA 27 … Washington State 10... Line: UCLA -16.5
Must See Rating: (5 Palin vs. Biden - 1 Beverly Hills Chihuahua) … 2.5 
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Arizona State (2-2) at California (3-1), 3:30 EST
Why to watch: Now that USC has already lost a league game, there’s a bunch of Pac-10 programs emboldened by the prospects of dethroning the Trojans. Near the front of the line are Arizona State and Cal, talented programs that were ranked at one time in September before suffering crippling losses. The Bears bounced back from its loss to Maryland by pummeling Colorado State last week, 42-7. However, top rusher Jahvid Best was shelved in the game by a dislocated elbow and Jeff Tedford surprised everyone by opening up the quarterback competition between Kevin Riley and Nate Longshore. Riley’s numbers aren’t bad, but the coach believes he’s not in synch with the receivers. The Sun Devils will need a road upset to avoid a three-game losing streak that began with a damning defeat at the hands of UNLV. With USC and Oregon waiting in the wings, Arizona State could start circling the drain if it doesn’t surprise someone in October.
Why Arizona State might win: Dennis Erickson is determined to run the ball better, but at the end of the day, the Sun Devils’ fate rests with senior Rudy Carpenter, one of the top quarterbacks in the league. He leads the Pac-10 in passing efficiency, throwing seven touchdown passes to just a pair of picks. In Michael Jones, Kerry Taylor, Kyle Williams, and Chris McGaha, he’s also surrounded by the best collection of receivers that the Cal secondary has faced this fall. Plus, the healthy return of RB Keegan Herring, who’s missed all but one game, could be a boon to the offense.
Why Cal might win: Erickson’s quest to establish the running game will have to wait at least another week. The Bears have been outstanding against the run, allowing just over 100 yards a game and under three yards a carry. In fact, Javon Ringer and Da’Rel Scott, the Big Ten and ACC leading rusher, respectively, were both held in check by Cal. The defense, in general, has been a pleasant surprise, ranking third in the Pac-10 in scoring and total defense, and first in takeaways. Whoever gets the ball from Tedford will be at the controls of an offense that’s averaging 43 points a game and is well-balanced.
Who to watch: With Best on the shelf for the next week or two, redshirt freshman Shane Vereen will assume a starring role out of the backfield. As a backup, he’s been invaluable, spelling Best in all four games and averaging eight yards on his 35 carries. You can run the ball on the Arizona State defense, something that won’t missed by Tedford or his new feature back.
What will happen: Something has been missing from the Arizona State offense this year. Maybe the return of Herring will be the difference, but don’t count on it. Coordinator Bob Gregory will continue doing a good job with the Cal defense, containing the Sun Devil running game and preventing Carpenter from taking the game over. It’s just a hunch, but Tedford didn’t create the drama at quarterback for Longshore to remain on the bench. He’ll shine with a new lease on life and a healthy ankle, firing a couple of scoring strikes.
CFN Prediction: California 34 … Arizona State 23 ... Line: California -9
Must See Rating: (5 Palin vs. Biden - 1 Beverly Hills Chihuahua) … 4 
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Washington (0-4) at Arizona (3-1), 7:30 EST
Why to watch: If Arizona is truly turning the corner after nine straight non-winning seasons, this is the type of game it absolutely, positively cannot fumble. The Wildcats dropped a game to New Mexico as a heavy favorite three weeks ago, but quickly responded by racing past UCLA the following weekend. Now, they have to smother a wounded Washington program that’ll be playing with nothing to lose. As if starting the season 0-4 isn’t bad enough, the Huskies could play the next two months without QB Jake Locker, who injured his thumb in a deflating loss to Stanford that capped a miserable three-game homestand. No matter how positive Tyrone Willingham remains, it’s getting hard for the players and fans to tune out his lame duck status as the Husky head coach.
Why Washington might win: The Wildcats are a flighty team that can disappear when you least expect it. Witness the loss to New Mexico, when the defense got pierced for 36 points and 221 yards on the ground. While the numbers have been outstanding, no one should forget that Arizona has a rebuilt defense with no star power. Even without Locker, backup Ronnie Fouch entered the game and played well, throwing a touchdown pass and running for another. The enormous Huskies offensive line should be able to blow a suspect Wildcat interior off the ball.
Why Arizona might win: The Willie Tuitama-led passing attack versus the Husky secondary is a blatant mismatch. While the ‘Cats have thrown 11 touchdown passes and have a slew of talented receivers, Washington sports the nation’s worst pass efficiency defense. The Huskies have yielded 14 touchdown passes in four games, and made Tavita Pritchard look like Jim Plunkett last weekend. Even worse, they’ve yet to register a sack all year, which should have Tuitama salivating before kickoff. Unless they get sloppy with the ball, Arizona has the potential to reach 50 points before the start of the fourth quarter.
Who to watch: Is there a top-flight receiver that gets less attention than Arizona’s Mike Thomas? Maybe it’s because he lacks prototypical size, but the senior with a war chest of school records has been tormenting Pac-10 defenses since his freshman season. He’s already caught 29 passes for 408 yards and three touchdowns, and will have even more space now that TE Rob Gronkowski has returned from an illness.
What will happen: Mike Stoops has been preaching all week for his players to remain focused and not look past the winless Huskies. Message received. His Wildcats will quickly shake off some bye week rust, exploding on a helpless Washington defense for more than 500 yards of total offense and a comfortable win.
CFN Prediction: Arizona 47 … Washington 17... Line: Arizona -20
Must See Rating: (5 Palin vs. Biden - 1 Beverly Hills Chihuahua) … 2 
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- Pac 10 Week 6 Fearless Predictions, Oct. 4