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SEC Fearless Predictions, Aug. 30
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Alabama C Antoine Caldwell
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CollegeFootballNews.com Posted Aug 5, 2008
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The season kicks off with a big statement battle when Alabama takes on Clemson in Atlanta. Can Antoine Caldwell and the Tide line hold up against the Tiger D line? Check out this and all the previews and predictions for the Week 1 SEC Games.
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SEC Fearless Predictions, Week One, Part
2
SEC Game of
the Week
Alabama vs. Clemson
(in Atlanta),
8:00 EST, ABC
Why to watch:
Depending on where you call home, this
is arguably the most intriguing game of
the opening weekend, and for the ACC, it
could be the league's make-or-break
date. Alabama and Clemson meet in the
Georgia Dome in a game that’ll have all
of the electricity of a BCS bowl game,
or an SEC title tilt, and while the Tide
is expected to be improved enough to
pull off the win, Clemson, considered
the class of the ACC by far, has to win
for its league to get any semblance of
national respect. Plenty more is at
stake for both schools. It’s been years
since the Tigers began the season with
so many expectations and so much
established talent, not to mention
legitimate national title aspirations. A
top 10 team and the consensus favorite
to win the ACC, this is the type of
must-win game to shake the perennial
underachiever tag. ‘Bama begins its
second campaign under Nick Saban with
heightened expectations of its own.
Forget last year’s 7-6 record and
second-half collapse, Tide fans are
thinking big again after Saban assembled
one of the nation’s premier recruiting
classes. Although the program is still a
year away from being a legit contender
for an SEC crown, a high-profile upset
of Clemson could shake up the timetable.
Why Alabama might win: Depending
on how well QB John Parker Wilson plays,
the Tide offense has a chance to be real
good in Jim McElwain’s first season as
the coordinator. It all starts up front
with an outstanding line that features
stars in LT Andre Smith and C Antoine
Caldwell. The front five should be good
enough to neutralize the tremendous
Clemson defensive front, while giving
Wilson the time needed to expose the
unproven Tiger linebackers on
intermediate routes. Glen Coffee and
Terry Grant form a nice one-two punch in
the running game that’ll keep the chains
moving, and the Clemson offense off the
field.
Why Clemson might win: At least
in the first month, the Tigers’
Achilles’ heel will be the rebuilt
offensive line. Alabama, however,
doesn’t have the linemen to take
advantage. Even if it’s a stalemate at
the line of scrimmage, Clemson will
still be able to turn loose it’s wide
array of weapons. Bama's offensive stars
are young and unproven, while the Tigers
skill guys should be in NFL camps right
now. On the ground, James Davis and C.J.
Spiller form the best backfield tandem
in America. Through the air, Cullen
Harper is a top talent surrounded by a
fantastic collection of receivers.
Saban's boys will get there, but he
doesn’t have quite enough stoppers on
defense to contain an offense with so
many different options.
Who to watch: Two of the nation’s
five best recruits of 2008 will be in
the Georgia Dome playing important roles
for their respective schools. Bama WR
Julio Jones has an amazing blend of size
and speed, fortifying a corps that lost
its top three receivers to graduation,
and he's expected to show off all his
skills right away in what could be a
national coming out party. Clemson DE
Da’Quan Bowers already looks the part,
participating and promptly dominating in
his first spring out of high school.
Neither will waste any time showing the
nation why every major university wanted
their signature.
What will happen: Alabama has an
edge on the sidelines. After that, it’s
all Clemson. The Tide will always be
dangerous with Saban, but the Tigers are
as loaded as they’ve ever been under
Bowden. The concerns about the offensive
line won’t materialize enough to be a
death blow, but they'll be a problem.
The issues at linebacker will be erased
by a front four and back four that’s
among the best in the ACC. The
difference in a tight game will be the
running of Davis and Spiller, who’ll
combine for more than 200 yards on the
ground.
CFN Prediction: Clemson 23 ... Alabama 10 ...
Line: Clemson -5.5
Must See Rating:
(5 90210 - 1 90210, at least
what you’ll say among your
friends) … 4.5
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Thursday, August 28 |
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Vanderbilt at
Miami Univ.
7:30 PM ESPNU
Why to watch:
Can the best of the MAC beat one
of the worst in the SEC? If the
MAC wants to make a nice
statement early on, this might
be the chance to do it. It's a
loaded year for the league with
teams full of veterans from top
to bottom, but Miami has the
make-up and the talent to be the
class of the conference after
winning the MAC East last
season. The linebacking corps is
the best in the MAC, and
legitimately among the best in
America, and it has to come
through with a big performance
to pull off the win over a
Vanderbilt team that'll
desperately need this win to be
in the hunt for a bowl game. The
Commodores are rebuilding a bit,
especially on offense, but the
secondary might be the best in
the SEC and among the best in
America.
Why Vanderbilt might win: The
Miami passing game was an issue
last season, finishing 12th in
the MAC in efficiency, but it
appeared to be better this
off-season. Even so, the
Commodore secondary should be
able to make the RedHawks
one-dimensional. MU will have to
rely on its defense and ground
game to win, and if the
Commodores can somehow get up
early and make the RedHawks have
to throw to come back, that'll
feed into Vandy's strength.
Why Miami Univ. might win: The
Commodores should have problems
getting pop out of the
backfield. The Vandy offense is
at its best when the quarterback
is on the move, but the MU
linebacking trip of Clayton
Mullins, Joey Hudson and Caleb
Bostic aren't going to allow too
many yards on QB runs. The
Commodore offense has hardly
been sharp throughout the
off-season and it should need a
game or three to jell. This
isn't the D to warm up against.
Who to watch: Each team
has quarterback issues. For
Miami, the question was whether
or not it was Clay Belton's time
to take over the program. While
he should be a major factor this
season, incumbent Daniel
Raudabaugh, a big veteran, will
run the show early on. While the
MU situation is still murky, at
best, Vandy's quarterback
controversy is even more of a
fog. Chris Nickson and MacKenzi
Adams are still in a battle for
the starter spot and could end
up rotating. Even backups Jared
Funk and Larry Smith still have
an outside shot at early playing
time. For both teams, the
starter needs to rock out of the
gate or there could be an early
hook.
What will happen: Chalk
one up one for the little guys.
Miami will take advantage of the
rare BCS team appearance in
Oxford as the defense will
control the game forcing several
Vandy mistakes. The RedHawk
offense won't be impressive, but
it'll do just enough to pull off
the win. This might not be
pretty, but it'll be a good
game.
CFN Prediction: Miami Univ. 23 ... Vanderbilt
17 ... Line: Miami -3.5
Must See Rating:
(5 90210 - 1 90210, at least
what you’ll say among your
friends) … 3
NC State at South Carolina,
8:00 EST, ESPN
Why to watch:
After three seasons of
mediocrity, South Carolina has
its best team yet since Steve
Spurrier arrived. At least
that's the hope for antsy
Gamecock fans, and while the big
goal is to come up with a huge
year in the SEC East, a loss to
NC State would hardly sit well.
Although the talent has been
upgraded, the school is just
21-16 under the ball coach,
collapsing down the stretch last
year after raising expectations
with a 6-1 start. Ironically,
considering who the head man is,
it’s been the play of the
quarterback that’s hamstrung the
program’s ability to get over
the hump. Facing a crossroads
season, the Gamecocks are giving
the ball to untested junior
Tommy Beecher, at least for the
time being, who’s thrown all of
two dozen career passes. NC
State is entering its second
season with Tom O’Brien at the
helm as it looks to take another
step closer to stability. The
Pack has a long way to go before
narrowing the talent gap to be a
major national player, so the
staff will continue preaching
fundamentals and limiting
unforced errors to try to make
some noise in a down year for
the ACC. State is a year or two
away from contention, or at
least until it produce more
plays from the quarterback spot,
but a win in Columbia might
kickstart the expectations for a
big season.
Why NC State might win:
The Pack will keep things cozy
by controlling the line of
scrimmage when South Carolina
has the ball. State enjoys an
edge in the trenches, turning
loose DE Willie Young and DT
Alan Michael Cash on a flimsy
Gamecock front that
underachieved in pass protection
all throughout last year. South
Carolina’s attempt to
supercharge the offense will
fail if Beecher has no time to
throw and the running game
doesn’t get rolling.
Why South Carolina might win:
The Gamecock defense is going to
be nasty, especially now that LB
Jasper Brinkley and DT Nathan
Pepper are back from
season-ending injuries. With the
uncertainty NC State is facing
at quarterback, South Carolina
can use most of its resources to
stack the line and stop Jamelle
Eugene, Andre Brown, and Toney
Baker. Facing constant pressure,
newly anointed starting QB
Russell Wilson will have no
chance of navigating an
aggressive ‘Cock secondary
that’s anchored by CB Captain
Munnerlyn and SS Emanuel Cook.
Who to watch: Brinkley
instantly makes the South
Carolina defense far better than
it was when he was sidelined
last fall. He’s an impact
defender with tremendous
instincts and the ferocity to
create turnovers. With the
Wolfpack determined to stay
conservative and work the area
between the tackles, he’ll make
a statement return with at least
10 tackles and a couple of
bone-jarring sticks if he's able
to fight through ankle and foot
problems that kept him at less
than 100% this off-season.
What will happen: The
Gamecocks might be vulnerable if
they were opening against a team
with a pulse on offense. The
Wolfpack, however, are
one-dimensional, which will make
it tough to score into the
double-digits. South Carolina
will pick up its first victory,
but the lingering questions
about the offense and the
quarterback play will remain
unanswered.
CFN Prediction: South
Carolina 23 ... NC State 10 ...
Line: South Carolina -11.5
Must See Rating:
(5 90210 - 1 90210, at least
what you’ll say among your
friends) … 3 |
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Saturday, August 30 |
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Hawaii at Florida
12:30 PM GamePlan
Why to watch:
This might have made for an
interesting Sugar Bowl matchup
last year considering the
problems Florida had against the
pass, but this is a new year and
things have changed in a big way
for both programs. Hawaii is
kicking off the Greg McMackin
era with one of the toughest
road games possible, and while
few are expecting fireworks in
Gainesville, the Hawaii attack
will still be chucking it around
providing an excellent early
test for the much-maligned Gator
secondary. Florida is on the
short list of national title
contenders and it needs to act
like it from day one. Will there
really be more of a running game
outside of Tim Tebow? Will Tebow
be more of a passer and give up
some of the overall workload?
Hawaii isn't awful, but this is
a tune-up for the Gators. More
importantly, this will be a good
indicator or where things are at
with Miami and Tennessee up
next.
Why Hawaii might win: Thanks to
all the big offensive numbers
and all the pyrotechnics from
Colt Brennan and the June Jones
era, the play of the defense was
completely glossed over after
finishing second in the WAC
overall, behind Boise State, and
first in both sacks and tackles
for loss. The Warriors will keep
bringing the house and should
provide decent pressure on Tebow
thanks to pass rushing terror
David Veikune. It's not an
overstatement to say that the
Hawaii linebacking corps will be
the best the Gators have to face
until the mid-October date with
LSU.
The Warriors are 21-1 in their
last 22 regular season games,
and they haven't lost on the
road since September 23rd of
2006, but ...
Why Florida might win:
Florida hasn't lost a
non-conference home game since a
loss to Florida State in 2003 and hasn't lost
to a current non-BCS conference
team since a 17-11 loss at
Memphis in 1988. Talk about
Hawaii fighting history, since a
27-20 loss to Villanova in 1946,
Florida has lost just one game
in Gainesville, a 27-20 loss to
Tulsa in 1979, against a current
non-BCS conference team. This
season, the biggest issue for
Hawaii early on will be pass
protection. The 2008 Gators
might not be the 2007 Georgia
Bulldogs when it comes to
getting to the quarterback, but
the linebacking corps, even with
Brandon Spikes injured, should
be able to pin its ears back and
blitz whenever it wants to.
Keeping the Warrior quarterback
upright should be an issue.
Who to watch: After an off-season
of shuffling and auditioning for
Brennan's spot as the star of
the Warrior offense, JUCO
transfer Brent Rausch pulled
ahead late in the game and will
get the nod despite having a bit
of arm trouble. It was supposed
to be a battle between Tyler
Graunke, the most experienced
option, and Inoke Funaki for the
job, but Funaki is the No. 3 man
and Graunke isn't even making
the trip. Top JUCO transfer Greg
Alexander is the second option
and could step in early if
Rausch's arm isn't right.
What will happen: Hawaii
will have a few good moments to
annoy Gator fans and give the
rest of the SEC hope that the
Florida pass defense hasn't
improved enough. And then Mr.
Heisman and company will drop
the hammer with a big run
that'll put the game well out of
reach. The Warriors will get
well over 300 passing yards, but
most will be meaningless.
CFN Prediction: Florida 52 ... Hawaii 20 ...
Line: Florida -35.5
Must See Rating:
(5 90210 - 1 90210, at least
what you’ll say among your
friends) … 2.5
Georgia Southern at Georgia
12:30 PM GamePlan
Why to watch:
Georgia will engage in a light
scrimmage before moving on to
bigger, better things. If
Georgia Southern didn't have a
big enough mountain to climb
against the nation's No. 1
ranked team, it'll have to go on
without eight suspended players
who got the hook for the dreaded
violation of team rules. Only
two of the eight were supposed
to start, but it's not like the
Bulldogs were going to be
threatened by a full GSU squad.
Georgia is going through a
progression over the next few
weeks before dealing with road
trips to South Carolina and
Arizona State, playing a good
Central Michigan squad next
week, but it has some
suspensions of its own to deal
with. While they won't matter in
this game, they could be a
little bit of an issue as the
team tries to come together for
the big dates ahead.
Why Georgia Southern might win:
The only chance the Eagles have
of keeping this in the ballpark
is if they somehow get their
ground attack going. The
nation's leading FCS team in
rushing last season, averaging
326 yards per outing, might not
be able to crank out that many
yards on the Dawg defensive
front line, but they could keep
the clock moving and control the
tempo for a few stretches.
Why Georgia might win: This is a
young, young, young GSU team
that'll be throwing a slew of
freshmen to the Dawgs. The
Bulldog defensive front seven
will be way too athletic and way
too good for the Eagles to do
much consistently on the ground,
and there isn't enough of a GSU
passing game to make a
difference. Forget about
mounting any sort of a comeback
through the air on this Dawg
secondary.
Who to watch: Georgia
lost a huge piece to its
national title puzzle when
starting left tackle Trinton
Sturdivant was knocked out for
the year with a knee injury. Now
the spotlight will be on Kiante
Tripp, who'll step in on the
left side, while it'll be up to
the other four starters center
Chris Davis, right guard Cordy
Glenn, right tackle Josh Davis,
and left guard Vince Vance, to
pick up the slack early on.
Games like this one are used for
cohesion up front, and Georgia
will need it.
What will happen: This
won't be a brutally ugly blowout
only because Mark Richt won't
let things get out of hand.
Georgia will do what it needs to
do to get the work in, and then
it'll be about getting the
backups some meaningful playing
time in the second half.
CFN Prediction: Georgia 48 ... Georgia Southern
7 ... Line: No Line
Must See Rating:
(5 90210 - 1 90210, at least
what you’ll say among your
friends) … 1.5
Appalachian State at LSU
5:00 PM ESPN
Why to watch:
Appalachian State's stunner at
Michigan to open the 2007 season
was one thing, but beating the
defending national champions in
Death Valley would be another.
ASU is a defending national
champ itself having won the FCS/D-IAA
title three years in a row, and
it's expected to be the lead dog
in the race to make it four in a
row. Meanwhile, LSU isn't even
considered the favorite to win
the SEC with Georgia and Florida
getting a bit more national love
early on. Even so, considering
this is a bit of a reloading
season, the Tigers are still
more than talented enough to be
in the national title hunt
throughout the season. But there
are a few question marks, like
at quarterback and when it comes
to finding new leaders on
defense. Nitpicking to be sure,
but anything less than a
dominant performance will send
off panic sirens.
Why Appalachian State might win:
The longer ASU can keep this
close, and if it can come up
with a few good drives early and
crank out a few scores, thoughts
of Michigan could start to creep
in for both sides. If you're
going to pull off an upset like
this, it'll most likely come in
the opener before there has been
much of a chance to jell, and
LSU is in need of some work to
be fully operational. Armanti
Edwards and the crew will be
confident and won't wilt under
the pressure of playing on a big
stage; all the pressure is on
LSU. The longer this is a game,
the more it swings towards the
Mountaineers.
Why LSU might win: Talent.
Yeah, Michigan was the far more
talented team than ASU last
year, but the Tigers aren't
going to take this game as
lightly as it would've had the
Wolverine upset not happened.
LSU should be able to dominate
on the lines and it has the
speed and athleticism in the
back seven to keep the
Mountaineers from cranking out
too many big plays with the
ground game. Edwards and the
passing game can be effective,
but ASU has to run to keep
things balanced. That will be a
huge problem.
Who to watch: It was the
big question throughout the
off-season. Andrew Hatch or
Jarrett Lee? Lee or Hatch, Hatch
or Lee, or a combination? Hatch,
a walk-on transfer from Harvard,
appears to be the early choice,
but that doesn't mean Lee, the
more dangerous option, won't see
plenty of playing time ... or
vice versa. True freshman Jordan
Jefferson is also in the hunt,
but in a perfect world he
doesn't see the field this year.
LSU would like to make this a
laugher early to give everyone
some work, but in the end, the O
line is so good that whoever is
under center should be fine.
What will happen: ASU
will come up with a few big
moments early to make everyone
nervous, and then the LSU
defense will turn into the LSU
defense again and end the drama
with a dominant second quarter.
However, the Tigers won't be
sharp.
CFN Prediction: LSU 38 ... Appalachian State 17
... Line: No Line
Must See Rating:
(5 90210 - 1 90210, at least
what you’ll say among your
friends) … 2
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SEC Fearless Predictions, Week One, Part
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