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SEC Fearless Predictions, Nov. 1, Part 2
Tennessee RB Arian Foster
Tennessee RB Arian Foster
CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Oct 29, 2008


Previews and Predictions for the Week 10 SEC, Part 2

SEC
East  Florida | Georgia | Kentucky | South Carolina | Tennessee | Vanderbilt 
West Alabama | Arkansas | Auburn | LSU | Ole Miss | Miss State

- SEC Fearless Predictions Aug. 30 | Sept. 6 | Sept. 13 | Sept. 20
- Sept. 27 | Oct. 4 | Oct. 11 | Oct. 18 | Oct. 25

How are the picks so far? SU: 42-16 ... ATS: 21-29

- SEC Fearless Predictions, Week 10, Nov. 1

Saturday, November 1

Arkansas State (4-3) at Alabama (8-0), 3:00 EST GamePlan
Why to watch: UL Monroe 21 – Alabama 14. Again, UL Monroe 21 – Alabama 14. Last season, Alabama was caught looking ahead to Auburn and got tagged by ULM in a bad mid-November loss that bottomed out the first year of the Nick Saban era. Now in the national title hunt and with the huge game at LSU coming up next week, the Bama coaching staff is doing its best to remind everyone what happened the last time the Tide played a Sun Belt team. Arkansas State isn’t just any old Sun Belt team, it beat Texas A&M to open the season and has a nightmare of a rushing offense that could give the Tide defense fits if it’s not focused.
Why Arkansas State might win: ASU has a tremendously balanced offense full of veterans who aren’t going to cower just because they’re facing the No. 2 team in the nation. Led by QB Corey Leonard, the Red Wolves are good at mixing it up on offense, and strong when it comes to getting into the backfield on defense. Alex Carrington is as good a pure pass rusher the Tide will face all season long, and he’ll be moved around to give the Tide offensive line a few different looks. ASU will find a way to generate at least three sacks and several other pressures.
Why Alabama might win: Alabama has the wrong defense for the ASU running game. Forget about running wide on this group, there’s way too much quickness and athleticism on the outside, and while Terrence Cody will be out with a knee injury, ASU isn’t strong enough up front to pound away on the inside. The Red Wolves will have to throw the ball to win, but it doesn’t have the receiver talent to make much of a dent in the solid Tide secondary.
Who to watch: ASU junior QB Corey Leonard has played in 30 games and has done a little bit of everything with over 5,000 career passing yards with 35 touchdowns and 1,227 yards on the ground. He’s the type of player who can control a game all by himself, and he might have to. He’s a tough, sharp veteran who can’t make mistakes, can’t turn the ball over, and he’ll have to keep the offense on the field as long as possible.
What will happen: Alabama will score on its first two drives, will let up just enough to let ASU back in the game, and then will turn it on when needed to finally put away a pesky team looking to pull off the upset of the season.
CFN Prediction: Alabama 31 … Arkansas State 13 ... Line: Alabama -23.5
Must See Rating: (5 RocknRolla – 1 High School Musical 3: Senior Year) … 2
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Tennessee (3-5) at South Carolina (5-3), 7:00 EST ESPN2
Why to watch: There are games that change around a program and games that define programs, but this one could be the difference between a new regime and the status quo for Tennessee. Just when it seemed like things were about to turn around with a 34-3 win over Mississippi State, the Vols were slapped back into reality by Alabama with a 29-9 home loss. With a layup against Wyoming  and the traditional East lightweights (although not necessarily this year) Vanderbilt and Kentucky to close, the chance is there to go on a four-game run to end the regular season and potentially save Phil Fulmer’s job. A blowout loss in Columbia could mean the job search will be on. For South Carolina, a win would get things back on track after a tough home loss to LSU two weeks ago. The team was just starting to play well with a four-game winning streak before the loss, and with Arkansas coming up next, the Gamecocks could get hot again in a hurry with a win this week.
Why Tennessee might win: South Carolina likes to give the ball away, and the Tennessee secondary likes to take it. The safety combination of Eric Berry and Demetrice Morley is the best in America and it’s been great at making plays when the ball is in the air. Of the 15 takeaways the Vols have come up with this year, 15 were interceptions including fourth quarter pick sixes from both Berry and Morley against Mississippi State. South Carolina has turned it over 23 times this ear with 15 interceptions. The Vols should take away at least two passes.
Why South Carolina might win: Tennessee has the nation’s 112th ranked offense averaging a measly 281 yards per game. The attack has scored more than 14 just once in the last six games and isn’t showing any passing game whatsoever. South Carolina might not just shut down the Vol offense, it could shut it out. The Gamecocks are a brick wall against the pass and are fourth in the nation in total defense allowing just 256 yards and 16 points per game. This isn’t going to be the week the Tennessee offense starts to play like it has Peyton Manning, Jamal Lewis and Carl Pickens running the show. The Volunteer passing game could be downright painful to watch.
Who to watch: With all the talk about a quarterback controversy, and with Stephen Garcia taking over, the biggest issue for South Carolina could be the running game. Mike Davis has had problems with his knee, and top backup Eric Baker suffered a concussion. If these two can’t go, or try to go and can’t last, it’ll be up to true freshman Kenny Miles, who is supposed to redshirt this year. The coaching staff really, really doesn’t want to burn a whole season because there aren’t any other rushing options.
What will happen: Tennessee is catching South Carolina at just the right time. The Gamecocks are beaten, battered and bruised, but it won’t matter. The USC defense will outplay the Tennessee defense, and Garcia will do enough with his legs as well as his arm to pull off the win.
CFN Prediction: South Carolina 24 … Tennessee 17 ... Line: South Carolina -6
Must See Rating: (5 RocknRolla – 1 High School Musical 3: Senior Year) … 3
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Tulane (2-5) at LSU (5-2), 8:00 EST, ESPN GamePlan
Why to watch: After two damaging losses in the last three weeks, where does LSU go from here? Dreadful performances against Florida and Georgia have the defending champs resetting their goals and, barring five straight wins and a little help, out of BCS bowl contention. With No. 2 Alabama waiting in the on-deck circle, the Tigers can use this weekend to work on a defense that’s tackled poorly and got exposed in October. Tulane faced the Tide already and played respectably well, losing 20-6. That was then, and this is now. The Green Wave season, which started with promise, has unraveled with three straight losses and a season-ending injury to leading rusher Andre Anderson. A trip to Baton Rouge is the equivalent of a bowl game for Tulane and a chance to make headlines against an SEC team.          
Why Tulane might win: Let’s see. In between games with Georgia and Alabama is a visit from 2-5 Tulane. Yeah, LSU could be looking past the Green Wave this Saturday night. This is not your typical Tiger defense, creating fewer turnovers than any SEC team and getting beat badly through the air. While Joe Kemp won’t be confused with Matt Stafford or John Parker Wilson, he did provide a spark to the Tulane offense a week ago and has earned an alternating role with starter Kevin Moore. Anderson will be missed, but true freshman Nathan Austin ran well as his replacement and brings fresh legs to the backfield.                            
Why LSU might win: A Tulane defense that was fast out of the gate has come back to Earth in recent weeks, allowing an average of 34 points over the last month. The Tigers’ most obvious edge will be at the point of attack, manhandling the Green Wave front with a physical offensive line. They’ll want to work on the passing of Jarrett Lee and Andrew Hatch, to be sure, but it’s the running of Charles Scott and Keiland Williams that’ll help build an early cushion. A Tiger defense that knows it has something to prove will take out all of its frustration on a weaker opponent.                
Who to watch: Where was that vaunted LSU defensive line that was supposed to school the youthful Georgia O line a week ago? The Tigers are loaded up front, but need to play with more consistency in the second half of the season. It’ll help if Ricky-Jean Francois is back to stay from a groin injury suffered in September. He played a week ago, and has the blend of speed and strength to help transform the LSU pass rush.       
What will happen: Even if LSU has a hard time getting up for this game, it’ll cruise to a victory on talent alone. The Tigers will run the ball without much resistance and try to recapture some of the swagger that’s been lost on defense. If Les Miles has his way, he and his staff will be thinking ahead to next week’s visit from Bama before the start of the fourth quarter.
CFN Prediction: LSU 41 … Tulane 10 ... Line: Indiana -2.5
Must See Rating: (5 RocknRolla – 1 High School Musical 3: Senior Year) … 2
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- SEC Fearless Predictions, Week 10, Nov. 1