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SEC Fearless Predictions, Nov. 8, Part 2
Vanderbilt CB D.J. Moore
Vanderbilt CB D.J. Moore
CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Nov 5, 2008


Previews and Predictions for the Week 11 SEC, Part 2

SEC
East  Florida | Georgia | Kentucky | South Carolina | Tennessee | Vanderbilt 
West Alabama | Arkansas | Auburn | LSU | Ole Miss | Miss State

- SEC Fearless Predictions Aug. 30 | Sept. 6 | Sept. 13 | Sept. 20
- Sept. 27 | Oct. 4 | Oct. 11 | Oct. 18 | Oct. 25 | Nov. 1

How are the picks so far? SU: 48-17 ... ATS: 23-34

- SEC Fearless Predictions, Week 11, Nov. 8, Part 1

Saturday, November 8

Wyoming (3-6) at Tennessee (3-6), 1 EST GamePlan
Why to watch: Did anything happen in Knoxville this week? Oh yeah, Tennessee pushed out Phil Fulmer and now the coaching search is on to run one of the nation’s premier programs. The offense has done nothing all year, and has gotten worse scoring just 15 points in the last two games, and it’s going to take a clean sweep of Wyoming, Vanderbilt, and Kentucky to get to a bowl game. This is a team that played for the SEC championship last year, but the lack of production, and with no real pull up in sight, meant it was time for a regime change. For Wyoming, head coach Joe Glenn is also in big trouble as his Cowboys are struggling through yet another mediocre season. They beat San Diego State 35-10 last week, but that was one of the few bright spots after losing five straight games in ugly fashion.
Why Wyoming might win: What kind of a mindset will Tennessee be in? It’s not like the team is playing for its head coach, and it’s not like there’s anything big left ahead to play for, even through a bowl game might be tempting. Wyoming has a good enough set of running backs in Devin Moore and Wynel Seldon to control the offense and control the tempo for a stretch. If the Vols don’t show up mentally on defense, they could find themselves getting run over.
Why Tennessee might win: Tennessee’s offense is bad, but Wyoming’s is worse. Before last week’s win over the Aztecs, Wyoming had scored a grand total of 30 points in the previous five games, all blow outs. The Cowboy defensive front was able to get into the backfield against San Diego State, but it won’t be able to do that against the Vols. To pull off the upset, Wyoming can’t make mistakes, but it’s always good for a few turnovers.
Who to watch: The Wyoming quarterback situation has been a disaster all season long, and with Karsten Sween trying to fight through a concussion problem, he could still play. If not, redshirt freshman Chris Stutzriem will have to try to repeat the success of last week when he completed 6-of-10 passes for 166 yards and a touchdown. He has decent mobility and he could be the future of the offense, but likely, the Cowboys will go with two quarterbacks and will rely on Devin Moore, who ran for 234 yards and three touchdowns last week.
What will happen: Tennessee’s defense will keep Wyoming’s anemic attack in check, there might not be more than 100 UW passing yards, while the Volunteer running game will finally show up. Tennessee could play like a team with the pressure completely off.
CFN Prediction: Tennessee 38 … Wyoming 7 ... Line: Tennessee -25.5
Must See Rating: (5 The Non-Stop Election Coverage – 1 The Non-Stop Election Analysis) … 2
 
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UT Martin (7-2) at Auburn (4-5), 2:30 EST
Why to watch: Auburn is a mess. With offensive coordinator Tony Franklin canned a month ago, the team hasn’t exactly sparked up and now it’s on a four-game losing streak after losing to Ole Miss 17-7 last week. This was a team that had a legitimate dream of winning the SEC title coming into the season thanks to a strong defense, a running game that was supposed to be good, and a history of playing good, tough games against the better teams. Now, the Tigers have to win two of their final three games to get to a bowl game, and with Georgia and Alabama to go, that’s hardly a given. UT Martin is hardly a walk in the park with the second best scoring attack in the FCS and an aggressive defense that’s great at getting into the backfield. The Skyhawks lost to South Florida 56-7 to start the season, but they’ve improved.
Why UT Martin might win: Auburn isn’t exactly a fully-focused, fully-operational team. If anything, it might be looking ahead to the Georgia and Alabama games even after the lousy loss to Ole Miss. UTM has an efficient, balanced offense that does a little of everything well, while the defense is good at generating pressure. The lines aren’t nearly as good as Auburn’s, but they’re good enough to not get destroyed.
Why Auburn might win: The Tiger defense should be too fast and too good against the pass to allow UTM to be balanced. Blowing up on Murray State is one thing, but trying to get the offense moving against an Auburn defense that won’t allow much of anything on up the middle is another. Auburn likely won’t take this game lightly knowing that a win is a must just to try to pull up out of the nosedive.
Who to watch: Auburn is trying to see what it has in sophomore QB Kodi Burns. Everyone knows he can run, he tore off 82 yards against West Virginia, and he was allowed to try bombing away against Ole Miss. He threw for 319 yards, but he also threw three interceptions and only led the way to seven points. It’ll take a miracle for UTM to pull this off, but if Burns starts throwing picks, this could be close.  
What will happen: The Auburn offense will actually look like a real, live attack on the way to a cathartic win.
CFN Prediction: Auburn 34 … UT Martin 10 ... Line: No Line
Must See Rating: (5 The Non-Stop Election Coverage – 1 The Non-Stop Election Analysis) … 1.5
 
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Florida (7-1) at Vanderbilt (5-3), 8 EST ESPN2
Why to watch: With a win over Vanderbilt, Florida can clinch the SEC East and take the next major step needed to potentially go to its second national title game in three years. The Gators have arguably been the nation’s most impressive team ever since they lose to Ole Miss with wins over Arkansas, LSU, Kentucky, and last week, Georgia, by a combined score of 201 to 43, while averaging 54 points per game over the last three. Everything is clicking and everything is working from a running game that’s finding new producers every week, to a solid passing attack, to a defense that’s not allowing a thing, to the special teams that have been so strong that Georgia had to adjust its gameplan to account for them. On the flip side, Vanderbilt is on a three-game losing streak ever since getting national attention for a 5-0 start with a win over Auburn. The Commodores have played tough, but the offense has been struggling and the takeaways that were flowing early on have slowed down. Beating Florida wouldn’t just mean bowl eligibility; it would be a program-defining win over a national title-caliber superpower.
Why Florida might win: Vanderbilt doesn’t score. The SEC’s worst offense doesn’t have a Jay Cutler or an Earl Bennett to rise up out of the blue and explode. The attack doesn’t have a passing game, and scores have been hard to come by putting up 14, 14, 14 and 7 over the last four games. That means the Commodores have scored as many points over their last four games as Florida did against Georgia last week alone. Vanderbilt needs takeaways to win, but Florida leads the nation in turnover margin giving away a nation-low six turnovers on the year.
Why Vanderbilt might win: The defense, particularly the secondary, really is good. Florida has been able to go on big runs with its vast array of weapons, but D.J. Moore and the Commodore defensive backs have been among the best in the nation and should do a good job of limiting the big Florida pass plays. The Vandy defensive front isn’t quite as strong, but it’s good enough to bottle up Tim Tebow, thanks to a tremendous pass rush, and force the Gator running backs to try to win the game.
Who to watch: The only way Vanderbilt has a shot to pull off the upset is if it gets a few huge plays from the passing game. That means Sean Walker needs to come up with the game of his life. The sidekick to Earl Bennett for a few years, he has started to step up more and more coming up with a six-catch, 138-yard, one touchdown day in the 10-7 win over Duke last week. Used mostly as an occasional deep threat throughout the year, he needs to crank out well over 100 yards and hit a few home runs to keep pace.
What will happen: Vanderbilt’s defense will be surprisingly tough for at least a half, but the Gators will do enough in the third quarter with an overwhelming scoring run to come up with the win.
CFN Prediction: Florida 38 … Vanderbilt 14 ... Line: Florida -23
Must See Rating: (5 The Non-Stop Election Coverage – 1 The Non-Stop Election Analysis) … 3.5
 
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- SEC Fearless Predictions, Week 11, Nov. 8, Part 1