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Wyoming (3-6) at Tennessee (3-6),
1 EST GamePlan
Why to watch: Did
anything happen in Knoxville
this week? Oh yeah, Tennessee
pushed out Phil Fulmer and now
the coaching search is on to run
one of the nation’s premier
programs. The offense has done
nothing all year, and has gotten
worse scoring just 15 points in
the last two games, and it’s
going to take a clean sweep of
Wyoming, Vanderbilt, and
Kentucky to get to a bowl game.
This is a team that played for
the SEC championship last year,
but the lack of production, and
with no real pull up in sight,
meant it was time for a regime
change. For Wyoming, head coach
Joe Glenn is also in big trouble
as his Cowboys are struggling
through yet another mediocre
season. They beat San Diego
State 35-10 last week, but that
was one of the few bright spots
after losing five straight games
in ugly fashion.
Why Wyoming might win:
What kind of a mindset will
Tennessee be in? It’s not like
the team is playing for its head
coach, and it’s not like there’s
anything big left ahead to play
for, even through a bowl game
might be tempting. Wyoming has a
good enough set of running backs
in Devin Moore and Wynel Seldon
to control the offense and
control the tempo for a stretch.
If the Vols don’t show up
mentally on defense, they could
find themselves getting run
over.
Why Tennessee might win:
Tennessee’s offense is bad, but
Wyoming’s is worse. Before last
week’s win over the Aztecs,
Wyoming had scored a grand total
of 30 points in the previous
five games, all blow outs. The
Cowboy defensive front was able
to get into the backfield
against San Diego State, but it
won’t be able to do that against
the Vols. To pull off the upset,
Wyoming can’t make mistakes, but
it’s always good for a few
turnovers.
Who to watch: The Wyoming
quarterback situation has been a
disaster all season long, and
with Karsten Sween trying to
fight through a concussion
problem, he could still play. If
not, redshirt freshman Chris
Stutzriem will have to try to
repeat the success of last week
when he completed 6-of-10 passes
for 166 yards and a touchdown.
He has decent mobility and he
could be the future of the
offense, but likely, the Cowboys
will go with two quarterbacks
and will rely on Devin Moore,
who ran for 234 yards and three
touchdowns last week.
What will happen:
Tennessee’s defense will keep
Wyoming’s anemic attack in
check, there might not be more
than 100 UW passing yards, while
the Volunteer running game will
finally show up. Tennessee could
play like a team with the
pressure completely off.
CFN Prediction: Tennessee
38 … Wyoming 7 ... Line:
Tennessee -25.5
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UT Martin (7-2) at Auburn (4-5),
2:30 EST
Why to watch: Auburn is a
mess. With offensive coordinator
Tony Franklin canned a month
ago, the team hasn’t exactly
sparked up and now it’s on a
four-game losing streak after
losing to Ole Miss 17-7 last
week. This was a team that had a
legitimate dream of winning the
SEC title coming into the season
thanks to a strong defense, a
running game that was supposed
to be good, and a history of
playing good, tough games
against the better teams. Now,
the Tigers have to win two of
their final three games to get
to a bowl game, and with Georgia
and Alabama to go, that’s hardly
a given. UT Martin is hardly a
walk in the park with the second
best scoring attack in the FCS
and an aggressive defense that’s
great at getting into the
backfield. The Skyhawks lost to
South Florida 56-7 to start the
season, but they’ve improved.
Why UT Martin might win:
Auburn isn’t exactly a
fully-focused, fully-operational
team. If anything, it might be
looking ahead to the Georgia and
Alabama games even after the
lousy loss to Ole Miss. UTM has
an efficient, balanced offense
that does a little of everything
well, while the defense is good
at generating pressure. The
lines aren’t nearly as good as
Auburn’s, but they’re good
enough to not get destroyed.
Why Auburn might win: The
Tiger defense should be too fast
and too good against the pass to
allow UTM to be balanced.
Blowing up on Murray State is
one thing, but trying to get the
offense moving against an Auburn
defense that won’t allow much of
anything on up the middle is
another. Auburn likely won’t
take this game lightly knowing
that a win is a must just to try
to pull up out of the nosedive.
Who to watch: Auburn is
trying to see what it has in
sophomore QB Kodi Burns.
Everyone knows he can run, he
tore off 82 yards against West
Virginia, and he was allowed to
try bombing away against Ole
Miss. He threw for 319 yards,
but he also threw three
interceptions and only led the
way to seven points. It’ll take
a miracle for UTM to pull this
off, but if Burns starts
throwing picks, this could be
close.
What will happen: The
Auburn offense will actually
look like a real, live attack on
the way to a cathartic win.
CFN Prediction: Auburn 34
… UT Martin 10 ... Line: No Line
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Florida (7-1) at Vanderbilt
(5-3),
8 EST ESPN2
Why to watch: With a win
over Vanderbilt, Florida can
clinch the SEC East and take the
next major step needed to
potentially go to its second
national title game in three
years. The Gators have arguably
been the nation’s most
impressive team ever since they
lose to Ole Miss with wins over
Arkansas, LSU, Kentucky, and
last week, Georgia, by a
combined score of 201 to 43,
while averaging 54 points per
game over the last three.
Everything is clicking and
everything is working from a
running game that’s finding new
producers every week, to a solid
passing attack, to a defense
that’s not allowing a thing, to
the special teams that have been
so strong that Georgia had to
adjust its gameplan to account
for them. On the flip side,
Vanderbilt is on a three-game
losing streak ever since getting
national attention for a 5-0
start with a win over Auburn.
The Commodores have played
tough, but the offense has been
struggling and the takeaways
that were flowing early on have
slowed down. Beating Florida
wouldn’t just mean bowl
eligibility; it would be a
program-defining win over a
national title-caliber
superpower.
Why Florida might win:
Vanderbilt doesn’t score. The
SEC’s worst offense doesn’t have
a Jay Cutler or an Earl Bennett
to rise up out of the blue and
explode. The attack doesn’t have
a passing game, and scores have
been hard to come by putting up
14, 14, 14 and 7 over the last
four games. That means the
Commodores have scored as many
points over their last four
games as Florida did against
Georgia last week alone.
Vanderbilt needs takeaways to
win, but Florida leads the
nation in turnover margin giving
away a nation-low six turnovers
on the year.
Why Vanderbilt might win:
The defense, particularly the
secondary, really is good.
Florida has been able to go on
big runs with its vast array of
weapons, but D.J. Moore and the
Commodore defensive backs have
been among the best in the
nation and should do a good job
of limiting the big Florida pass
plays. The Vandy defensive front
isn’t quite as strong, but it’s
good enough to bottle up Tim
Tebow, thanks to a tremendous
pass rush, and force the Gator
running backs to try to win the
game.
Who to watch: The only
way Vanderbilt has a shot to
pull off the upset is if it gets
a few huge plays from the
passing game. That means Sean
Walker needs to come up with the
game of his life. The sidekick
to Earl Bennett for a few years,
he has started to step up more
and more coming up with a
six-catch, 138-yard, one
touchdown day in the 10-7 win
over Duke last week. Used mostly
as an occasional deep threat
throughout the year, he needs to
crank out well over 100 yards
and hit a few home runs to keep
pace.
What will happen:
Vanderbilt’s defense will be
surprisingly tough for at least
a half, but the Gators will do
enough in the third quarter with
an overwhelming scoring run to
come up with the win.
CFN Prediction: Florida
38 … Vanderbilt 14 ... Line:
Florida -23
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SEC Fearless Predictions, Week
11, Nov. 8, Part 1 |