Big East Fearless Predictions, Oct. 18
Rutgers QB Mike Teel
Rutgers QB Mike Teel
CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Oct 14, 2008


Previews and Predictions for the Week 8 Big East Games


Big East 
Cincinnati | Connecticut | Louisville | Pittsburgh | Rutgers
South Florida | Syracuse | West Virginia


Big East Fearless Predictions Aug. 30 | Sept. 6 | Sept. 13 | Sept. 20
- Sept. 27 |
Oct. 4 | Oct. 11

How are the picks so far? SU: 29-11 ... ATS: 12-20-1

Big East Game of the Week

Connecticut (5-1) at Rutgers (1-5), 2:00 EST, ESPNU
Why to watch: Rutgers’ slide into obscurity continued on Saturday with a lackluster 13-10 loss to Cincinnati. If someone other than Chazz Anderson was the Bearcat starting quarterback, the outcome wouldn’t have been nearly as close. At 1-5 and off to their worst start since 2003, the Scarlet Knights will still have a chance to ruin someone else’s season, but aren’t likely to salvage their own. One of those targets for Rutgers will be Connecticut, which is coming off its only loss of the year, but remains a contender for a Big East crown. The Huskies spent much of their bye week getting first-year starting QB Zach Frazer better prepared for the rest of the year and working on special teams leaks that sprung against North Carolina. That Connecticut has soared past Rutgers in the Big East pecking order is another sign of how far the Knights have plummeted.
Why Connecticut might win: Rutgers’ problems on offense will not get any better against the Huskies. The Scarlet Knights are a mess, hindered by a line that isn’t blocking and an immobile quarterback that isn’t producing. Take out the Morgan State game, and Rutgers is averaging just 13 points a game. Connecticut will attack Mike Teel from every angle with a talented front seven headed by LB Scott Lutrus and linemen Julius Williams and Cody Brown. The Huskies are 33rd nationally in total defense and are dynamite at shutting receivers down. Teel versus Darius Butler and the UConn is a bad match up that won’t favor the home team.
Why Rutgers might win: The Scarlet Knight defense has been keeping the school in a lot of games this season. Rutgers has only yielded 37 points over the last three games, and has been steadily improving in pass defense. With a sporadic Frazer taking over for injured starter Tyler Lorenzen, the Knights will be able to focus most of their attention to stopping Donald Brown, the nation’s leading rusher. Tackle Pete Tverdov and end Jamaal Westerman are the cornerstones of a defensive line that’ll create a push up front on running plays. Now that Kordell Young is finally available, he and 250-pound Jourdan Brooks give the running game a thunder and lightning feel out of the backfield.
Who to watch: If Connecticut is going to threaten in the conference, it’ll need something from Frazer behind center. No, he doesn’t have to be the second coming of Dan Orlovsky, but he has to give opposing defenses a reason to respect the passing game and not stack the box on Brown. A former big-time recruit at Notre Dame, he should make strides after having two weeks to prepare for this game.
What will happen: Man-for-man, there’s not much difference between these two schools. In fact, you could argue Rutgers has slightly more talent. However, Connecticut is the better team. The Huskies will prove it in Piscataway, keeping the Knight offense reeling and grinding out a close win on the back of Brown.
CFN Prediction
: Connecticut 23 …. Rutgers 16 …. Line: PICK
Must See Rating: (5 The Real Housewives of Atlanta – 1 Celebrity Rehab With Dr. Drew) … 2.5
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 Saturday, October 18

Syracuse (1-5) at South Florida (5-1), 12:00 EST, ESPN GamePlan
Why to watch: South Florida’s first bye of the season couldn’t have come at a better time. The Bulls were coming off their first loss of the season, a crushing home loss to Pittsburgh, and injuries were beginning to mount. A week away from live action gave the program a chance to regroup, refocus, and get healthy. While the margin for error in the Big East has narrowed, South Florida knows it’ll be in the hunt if it can shake off its only loss of the year. On the opposite spectrum is Syracuse, which will need an upset over the final six games just to avoid a second on-loss season in the last four years. Actually, the Orange has been competitive in the last two Big East games, including a 17-6 loss to West Virginia Saturday, but has yet to play four strong quarters. Cheer up, Syracuse fans. You should have a new head coach to rally around once this season ends. Oregon offensive coordinator Chip Kelly would look real nice in the Carrier Dome.
Why Syracuse might win: You cannot say that the Orange has quit on Greg Robinson. Over the last three games, Syracuse has beaten Northeastern, held a lead on Pittsburgh in the fourth quarter, and trailed West Virginia by just a point late in the game. The defense has shown signs of improvement and RB Curtis Brinkley has been the type of workhorse that’ll keep the South Florida offense off the field. He’s rushed for 100 yards in the last three games and four of the last five.
Why South Florida might win: On both sides of the ball, the Bulls simply have too much speed and athleticism for the plodding Orange. With more weapons than at any time in his career, QB Matt Grothe will get the ball in the hands of his playmakers, such as RB Mike Ford and receivers Jessie Hester and Taurus Johnson. Up front, South Florida will school a flimsy Syracuse offensive line and get constant pressure on QB Cameron Dantley. If he forces throws into coverage, the instinctive Bulls secondary will make him pay in the form of batted balls and interceptions.
Who to watch: In order to compete for a league championship, South Florida needs a healthy George Selvie and Terrell McClain on the defensive line. On the outside and inside, respectively, they’re a couple of disruptive forces capable of blowing up opposing gameplans. However, both were hobbled with ankle injuries before the break. How much they’ll be used might depend on whether this game is competitive past halftime.
What will happen: Syracuse is an ideal opponent for South Florida to get back on track. After a sluggish start, the Bulls will take control of the game in the second quarter. Grothe will spark the offense with his arm and legs, and the defense will create a bunch of short-field opportunities with turnovers and three-and-outs.
CFN Prediction: South Florida 44 … Syracuse 10 …. Line: South Florida -24
Must See Rating: (5 The Real Housewives of Atlanta – 1 Celebrity Rehab With Dr. Drew) … 2
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Pittsburgh (4-1) at Navy (4-2), 3:30 EST
Why to watch: Pittsburgh has won four games in-a-row. Navy has won three straight. The winner of this game Saturday afternoon will be on a massive roll that could lead to an even bigger second half. The Panthers have nudged into the Top 25 and are zeroing in on a Big East title run after stunning South Florida in Tampa two weeks ago. If they can keep improving and grinding out wins, a January bowl game will be their reward. Weren’t the Midshipmen supposed to drop a rank or two after Paul Johnson left for Georgia Tech? It hasn’t happened. Navy is the same nuisance to larger programs that it was over the last few seasons. It’s already beaten Rutgers and Wake Forest in consecutive weeks, and has a leg up on the Commander-in-Chief’s Trophy after upsetting Air Force in Colorado Springs.
Why Pittsburgh might win: LeSean McCoy may be the focal point of the Panther offense, but this is one of those games that the passing attack should step to the forefront. Navy has a suspect defense that’s especially vulnerable to the pass. The Midshipmen are 109th nationally in pass efficiency defense and have not had a lot of success rushing the quarterback. While Pitt QB Bill Stull has yet to have a breakout game, his receivers, like Derek Kinder, Cedric McGee, Oderick Turner, and Jonathan Baldwin, have a significant edge in size and athleticism. At least for one Saturday, Pittsburgh ought to be transformed into Stull-town.
Why Navy might win: The Middies have been a different team over the last few weeks, even when QB Kaipo-Noa Kaheaku-Enhada has had to sit with a hamstring injury. The option has begun to crank out yards and long drives in Annapolis, fueling the nation’s No. 2 ground game. On defense, Navy has steadily improved since the beginning of the year, and is no longer a pushover, especially against the run. Defensive linemen Jabaree Tuani, Michael Walsh, and Matt Nechak should be able to get a push on a Pittsburgh line that’s been a liability all year.
Who to watch: Pittsburgh LB Scott McKillop continues to be the most dominant defensive player in the Big East and a strong contender for All-America honors. His ability to track down the ball and defend the run will be on display all afternoon against an offense that’ll keep it on the ground at least 50 times. McKillop could have 10 tackles by halftime and a new career mark when the game is over.
What will happen: There isn’t much separation between Pittsburgh and Navy, two schools used to playing in close games. This is a nip-and-tuck, four-quarter affair that’ll go down to the waning moments and be decided by special teams. Edge to the Panthers, who’ll survive on a field goal from Conor Lee, who’s good in the clutch and has missed just once all year.
CFN Prediction: Pitt 31 … Navy 20 …. Line: Pitt -3
Must See Rating: (5 The Real Housewives of Atlanta – 1 Celebrity Rehab With Dr. Drew) … 3
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Middle Tennessee (2-4) at Louisville (3-2), 3:30 EST, ESPN GamePlan
Why to watch: For the second straight week, Louisville has a date with a non-BCS program. Last week, the Cardinals held off Memphis behind the play of the special teams to get above the .500 mark. At 4-2, they’ll have a little momentum to carry into the second half of the season. Middle Tennessee State can’t seem to figure out if it plans to compete in the Sun Belt Conference or not. The same team that shocked Maryland and beat defending league champion Florida Atlantic has also dropped three of its first four games to conference opponents. Saturday’s loss to Florida International was particularly costly because it probably dashed the Blue Raiders’ realistic chances for bowl eligibility.
Why Middle Tennessee might win: Memphis provided a neat blueprint last week on how to beat the Louisville defense, throwing for 351 yards and three touchdown passes. The Cards don’t a lockdown corner or a feisty pass rush, which will give Joe Craddock and Dwight Dasher the time they need to locate Patrick Honeycutt and talented freshman Malcolm Beyah. RB Phillip Tanner is coming off his best game of the year, and has the potential to give the Blue Raiders a balanced offensive attack.
Why Louisville might win: Middle Tennessee State has the potential to be balanced. The Cardinals already are balanced. They’re averaging more than 200 yards on the ground and through the air, which will cause problems for a star-less Blue Raider D. Louisville will get another big game from young RB Victor Anderson, who’s fifth in the Big East in rushing and has taken pressure off QB Hunter Cantwell to be the main man on offense. Defensively, the Cards continue to play the kind of run defense that’s turning offenses into one-dimensional attacks.
Who to watch: In order to be sure that Anderson doesn’t burn out in his first season action, Steve Kragthorpe will be sure to lean on Louisville’s depth in the backfield. That’ll mean more carries for Brock Bolen, the fullback with the ability to pick up yards like a feature back. He’s rushed for 249 yards in a reserve role, and should be good for another dozen or so dive plays against Middle Tennessee.
What will happen: The no-name Middle Tennessee State defense will keep Louisville from running away in the first half. It won’t be enough, however, as the Cardinals pull away in the final two quarters behind the running of Anderson and a couple of touchdown passes from Cantwell to Scott Long and Doug Beaumont.
CFN Prediction
: Louisville 34 … Middle Tennessee 14 …. Line: Louisville -14.5
Must See Rating: (5 The Real Housewives of Atlanta – 1 Celebrity Rehab With Dr. Drew) … 2
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