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Big East Fearless Predictions, Nov. 8
Rutgers QB Mike Teel
Rutgers QB Mike Teel
CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Nov 6, 2008

Previews and Predictions for the Week 11 Big East Games


Big East 
Cincinnati | Connecticut | Louisville | Pittsburgh | Rutgers
South Florida | Syracuse | West Virginia


Big East Fearless Predictions Aug. 30 | Sept. 6 | Sept. 13 | Sept. 20
- Sept. 27 |
Oct. 4 | Oct. 11 | Oct. 18 | Oct. 25 | Nov. 1

How are the picks so far? SU: 33-19 ... ATS: 17-27-1

Big East Game of the Week

Cincinnati (6-2) at West Virginia (6-2), 7:00 EST, ESPNU
Why to watch: When Cincinnati and West Virginia meet in Morgantown Saturday evening, first place in the Big East will be at stake. The Mountaineers are the lone unbeaten in conference play, handling Connecticut on the road this past weekend. They’ve now won five straight games since a September loss to Colorado, and are showing hints of snapping out of the offensive funk that plagued them in the early going. A sixth win-in-a-row increases the likelihood that the Backyard Brawl on Nov. 28 will decide who represents the league in a BCS bowl game. The Bearcats are coming off their most impressive win of the year, zooming past South Florida on the strength of the defense and Tony Pike’s passing. While it hasn’t always been pretty, Cincinnati has persevered through an array of injuries to the quarterbacks, a credit to the work being done by Brian Kelly and his staff.
Why Cincinnati might win: While there has been a lapse or two this season, the Bearcat defense is rock solid and well-coached at creating havoc. Four of its last five opponents have been held to no more than 15 points, and trying to beat the secondary is often a losing proposition. Pike is a difference-maker at quarterback now that he’s returned from a broken arm. He’s second in the league in passing efficiency, and has the arm strength to zip passes into playmaking receivers Mardy Gilyard and Dominick Goodman.
Why West Virginia might win: The Mountaineers are gelling at a most opportune time in the season. The offense is in the midst of its best two-game stretch of the season and the defense hasn’t allowed more than 17 points in a game since Week 2. Greg Isdaner, Ryan Stanchek and the rest of the veteran offensive line will control the Cincinnati D-line, springing Pat White and Noel Devine to a softer second line of defense. The secondary has yielded just two touchdown passes in the last five games, which will force the Bearcats to try and milk more from the nation’s 87th-ranked running game.
Who to watch: Jock Sanders has become to the passing game what Devine is to the running game. A diminutive and elusive slot receiver, he’ll also be used 5-10 times a game on running plays. He has tremendous moves in the open field and has a knack for getting lost behind the linemen before jetting into daylight. Sanders has a team-high eight touchdowns on the season, including three in Saturday’s win over Connecticut.
What will happen: West Virginia may not be the same team it’s been over the last few years, but it’s still the class of the Big East. The Mountaineers will drive that point home this weekend behind another stellar effort from the defense and enough big plays from White and Devine. Pike makes Cincinnati better, but more balance is needed to penetrate this West Virginia D.
CFN Prediction: West Virginia 28 … Cincinnati 17 ... Line: West Virginia -8
Must See Rating: (5 The Non-Stop Election Coverage – 1 The Non-Stop Election Analysis) … 3.5
 
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 Saturday, November 8

Syracuse (2-6) at Rutgers (3-5), 12:00 EST, ESPNU
Why to watch: Although Syracuse and Rutgers are both below .500, neither school has quit on the season. The Orange, presumably with one foot already in 2009, stunned Louisville on Saturday for its first win of the year over an FBS opponent. After playing much better over the last month, the program finally broke through with a win, getting 166 yards and a touchdown on the ground from Curtis Brinkley. When we last saw the Scarlet Knights, they were thrashing Pittsburgh behind a school-record six touchdown passes from maligned QB Mike Teel. November will answer whether that 54-34 stunner was a fluke or the start of turnaround in Piscataway. The winner of Saturday’s game will remain mathematically alive in its quest for an additional game in December.
Why Syracuse might win: Less than a year after suffering a season-ending injury, Brinkley has been sensational for the Orange, cranking out five straight 100-yard games. Mitch Browning’s offensive line continues to make progress, creating room for the backs and limiting the number of sacks of Cam Dantley. Syracuse will be content to run the ball right at a Rutgers defense that’s next to last in the Big East in both run defense and pass efficiency defense.
Why Rutgers might win: It’s taken three-quarters of the season, but the light has finally gone on for the Scarlet Knight offense. Teel torched a Panther defense that’s tougher than the one he’ll face this weekend, making good use of speedy receivers Kenny Britt, Tim Brown, and Tiquan Underwood. Plus, the offense has started getting more consistent production from RB Kordell Young, who’s averaged 80 yards over the last three games. Teel gets in trouble when he forces his throws, but Syracuse is last in the league with eight sacks, posing little threat to the integrity of the pocket.
Who to watch: Young has been one of the keys to Rutgers’ mini-resurgence, giving an offense top-heavy in receivers some much-needed balance. Slow to recover from last year’s season-ending knee injury, he’s finally running without soreness and making the cuts of an exciting back that was pegged two years as Ray Rice’s successor. If he continues to be a threat out of the backfield down the stretch, Teel and the passing game will be the chief beneficiaries.
What will happen: While it’s a few weeks later than Greg Schiano would have liked, Rutgers is beginning to click on both sides of the ball. The offense has some momentum from the rout of Pittsburgh and the defense is making modest strides. The Knights will keep Syracuse winless away from the Carrier Dome, getting contributions from Teel, Young, and a suddenly balanced attack.
CFN Prediction: Rutgers 31 … Syracuse 13 ... Line: Rutgers -14
Must See Rating: (5 The Non-Stop Election Coverage – 1 The Non-Stop Election Analysis) … 2
 
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Louisville (5-3) at Pittsburgh (6-2), 12:00 EST, ESPN GamePlan
Why to watch: At this stage of the season, no one wants to fall too far behind West Virginia, the last unbeaten team in Big East play. The Panthers became bowl-eligible in dramatic fashion last weekend, outlasting Notre Dame in a four-overtime marathon, 36-33. Although the victory didn’t narrow the gap on the Mountaineers, it did provide a tremendous boost for a program that was embarrassed at home by Rutgers just two weeks earlier. For the second straight year, Louisville took it on the chin from Syracuse, losing a critical game to the Orange, 28-21. The Cardinals fell a couple of games out of first place in the loss column, but can recapture some momentum with a road win that would make them bowl-eligible.
Why Louisville might win: The Cardinals have the balance on offense to exploit a Pittsburgh defense that’s getting worse as the season progresses. The Panther pass defense has been especially vulnerable of late, allowing nine touchdown passes and picking off just one pass in the last two games with Rutgers and Notre Dame. Louisville will lean on veteran QB Hunter Cantwell to make plays through the air and backs Vic Anderson and Brock Bolen to keep Pitt honest on the ground. The Panthers are just 2-2 at Heinz Field, so home-field advantage won’t be a major factor.
Why Pittsburgh might win: As usual, the forecast in Pittsburgh calls for plenty of Shady. Sophomore RB LeSean McCoy has shaken off a slow start to rush for 762 yards and 10 touchdowns over the last five games. While Louisville is ninth nationally at stopping the run, it also just got ripped for more than 200 yards on the ground by Curtis Brinkley and Syracuse. Cantwell lacks much foot speed, which presents a problem against speedy Panther ends Greg Romeus and Jabaal Sheard, and the rest of the Big East’s top sack unit.
Who to watch: While Bill Stull hasn’t exactly been channeling Tyler Palko this season, Pittsburgh is better off when he’s under center. He’s expected back in the lineup after sitting out the Notre Dame game with a concussion and a sore neck. In his place, Pat Bostick was ineffective, throwing a touchdown pass and getting picked three times. Stull needs to get the ball in the hands of rangy true freshman Jonathan Baldwin, who’s caught a touchdown in three of the last four games and is emerging into a force on the outside.
What will happen: After getting smoked by Rutgers two weeks ago, Pittsburgh righted the ship with last week’s come-from-behind win over Notre Dame. While McCoy will solve the Louisville ground defense, Stull’s return will provide a spark to the passing attack. Yeah, the Panthers got burned through the air the last two games, but they’ll find the Cardinal receivers far easier to contain than the ones they saw from the Scarlet Knights and the Irish.
CFN Prediction: Pitt 30 … Louisville 21 ... Line: Pitt -6.5
Must See Rating: (5 The Non-Stop Election Coverage – 1 The Non-Stop Election Analysis) … 2.5
 
- Click here to receive ATS Consultants FREE selections | Get Tickets

    
    



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