MWC Fearless Predictions, Sept. 6

CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Aug 7, 2008


Previews and Predictions for the Week 2 MWC Games.

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Air Force | BYU | Colorado State | New Mexico
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MWest Fearless Predictions Aug. 30

How are the picks so far? SU: 6-1 ... ATS: 4-0

Mountain West Game of the Week

BYU (1-0) at Washington (0-1), 3:00 EST
Why to watch: The popular choice to run the table and bust the BCS, BYU gets its first of a couple marquee chances to impress national voters. No, Washington isn’t a Pac-10 contender, but a win in Seattle is exactly what the program needs to start creating more widespread awareness. Disposing of Northern Iowa in the opener was great for compiling stats, but it did nothing to answer questions about the Cougar defense. The Huskies, and embattled head coach Ty Willingham, need a win in the worst way. To do so, however, they’ll need to make a sharp u-turn from last week’s dreadful 44-10 loss to Oregon, in which nothing went right. Washington is young and an inconsistent, but it needs to play like a tight, veteran team or the first half of the season could be an utter disaster.
Why BYU might win: The suspect Washington defense yielded 496 yards and tackled poorly versus Oregon, a preview of what’s to come this Saturday afternoon. The Cougars sport a fine-tuned offense that can push the pile with Harvey Unga or get vertical with QB Max Hall. Hall began the year with 486 yards, two touchdown passes, and just seven incompletions, spreading the ball out to a deep corps of receivers. The Huskies will have to be extra special to slow down this attack.
Why Washington might win: The book is still out on the Cougar defense, which is replacing a ton of starters and just allowed 362 yards and 17 points to Northern Iowa. QB Jake Locker is healthy and the Husky line has the size and experience to open holes for Brandon Johnson and Chris Polk. Getting C Juan Garcia back unexpectedly early from a foot injury provides a big boost to the entire offense.
Who to watch: The Huskies will have their hands full trying to contain BYU TE Dennis Pitta, who roasted the Panthers for 11 catches and 213 yards. He’s got good size and great hands, a challenge for a Washington defense that’s weak in the back seven and struggling to replace top LB E.J. Savannah.
What will happen: BYU is the better team, but beating a Pac-10 team on the road is never a foregone conclusion. Fueled by 300 total yards from Locker, the Huskies will hang tough for three quarters before fading down the stretch to the balanced Cougar offense.
CFN Prediction: BYU 34 … Washington 20 ... Line: BYU -21
Must See Rating: (5 Entourage premiere - 1 One Tree Hill premiere) … 3
- Click here to receive ATS Consultants FREE selections

Saturday, September 6

Sacramento State (1-0) at Colorado State (0-1), 3:30 EST
Why to watch: Colorado State looks for the first win in the Steve Fairchild era after starting out with a 38-17 loss to Colorado. The offense was stagnant against the Buffs and the defense was decent, but not a brick wall. Now the Rams should have their first win of the season against a Sacramento State team that's 1-0, but is expected to finish at or near the bottom of the Big Sky Conference. The win came over Humboldt State 45-13, and while that was a nice start fro the Hornets, the defense is about to have a much tougher time.
Why Sacramento State might win: The Hornets have a little bit of talent in certain spots. Linebackers Cyrus Mulitalo and Mike Brannon are excellent, while Bryan Hilliard and Evander Wilkins each ran for over 100 yards last week. There are just enough playmakers to put a few scores on the board and keep this close in the first quarter.
Why Colorado State might win: Here comes the pounding. CSU wasn't nearly as physical as it needed to be against Colorado with just 258 yards and one offensive touchdown, and that's about to change. The offense is supposed to work around the tough backfield and a pounding offensive line, and now Gartrell Johnson and Kyle Bell should be able to pound out at least 200 yards on the undersized Sacramento defensive front.
Who to watch: Everyone is going to load up to try to stop the Colorado State running game, and QB Billy Farris has to make teams pay. He completed 27 of 37 passes against Colorado, but they only went for 187 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions. In a tune-up game like this, Farris has to start throwing deep. 
What will happen: Colorado State will crank out well over 400 yards of total offense, and that could all come from the running game alone. Fairchild will get his victory, while the team will get two weeks off before facing Houston.
CFN Prediction: Colorado State 48 ... Sacramento State 17 ... Line: NL
Must See Rating: (5 Entourage premiere - 1 One Tree Hill premiere) … 1
- Click here to receive ATS Consultants FREE selections


San Diego State (0-1) at Notre Dame (0-0), 3:30 EST NBC
Why to watch: After a long, long, long off-season, Notre Dame is finally getting back on the field to try to erase memories of the 2007 nightmare as soon as possible. The off-season was made a bit longer with an off-week to start out the year, and while head coach Charlie Weis has said he wished the team could've gotten up and rolling last week, it gets another week off to start the year against San Diego State, who suffered the indignity of being the only FBS team to lose to an FCS team last week. The Aztecs lost 29-27 to Cal Poly on a 21-yard field goal with no time left on the clock, and while the offense was humming and there were were some bight spots, it was still a loss to a lower-tier school. A win over the Irish would change all of that, and after last season, Notre Dame isn't going to take anyone lightly.
Why San Diego State might win: The passing game is working. It might not be all that efficient, and it's certain to be erratic against the better teams, but its' going to put up a ton of yards and will keep the chains moving just long enough to throw a scare into a team like the Irish. Notre Dame's pass defense was better last year than it was two seasons ago, but it's still an X factor. It has to prove it can come through.
Why Notre Dame might win: Cal Poly 29 ... San Diego State 27. The Mustangs were able to crank out 483 yards of total offense and were great at taking the ball away. Notre Dame might not have the stiffest defense around, but it should be even better than it was last year when it didn't receive enough recognition or credit in the nightmarish campaign. There's no Aztec running game to worry about.
Who to watch: It's all about the Notre Dame offensive line. The problems last year stemmed from a lack of pass protection. Brady Quinn was able to handle the pressure two years ago with his quick decision making ability and good skill players around him, but Jimmy Clausen struggled when he didn't have time to work. The Irish front five has to be night-and-day better or the overall offensive production won't dramatically improve. San Diego State came up with three sacks and five tackles for loss last week.
What will happen
: San Diego State QB Ryan Lindley will have his second straight 300-yard passing day, but it won't be nearly enough. Notre Dame will rely on the running game early on, while the defense will come up with at least three takeaways with one of them returned for a touchdown.
CFN Prediction: Notre Dame 37 ... San Diego State 14 ... Line: Notre Dame -21

Must See Rating: (5 Entourage premiere - 1 One Tree Hill premiere) … 2
- Click here to receive ATS Consultants FREE selections


Air Force (1-0) at Wyoming (1-0), 3:30 EST CSTV
Why to watch: While it's a stretch to call this an elimination game in the Mountain West race considering it's the opener, the loser will hav a huge hole to dig out of with all the big boys left on the slate. Air Force is trying to make itself into one of the conference's stars, but it has a ton of rebuilding and reloading to do. A 41-7 opening day win over Southern Utah was nice, but now the real work begins in a beartrap of a road trip. Wyoming is always a different animal at home, and while the week one win over Ohio wasn't a work of art, the 21-20 victory was a decent start. The BYU game is up in two weeks, so the team needs to sharpen up now.
Why Air Force might win: The Wyoming offense struggled to get anyting going against a good, but not great Ohio defense. The Air Force defense isn't a killer, but it's good enough to keep a middling Cowboy attack under wraps. UW is trying to find a steady passing game, and this likely won't be the week it comes through.
Why Wyoming might win: The Wyoming run defense was a brick wall against an Ohio team that's been great under head coach Frank Solich at pounding the ball. The Bobcats only came up with 39 yards rushing, and considering Air Force is all about moving the ball on the ground, it's strength on strength. The Cowboy defensive line should grow into one of the best in the Mountain West
Who to watch: Air Force still isn't without its potential main weapon. RB/WR Ty Paffett is out again as he's still trying to get back and healthy from a back injury, while QB Eric Herbort is still out of action working on his studies. Once again, it'll be senior Shea Smith running the attack after completing 8-of-12 passes for 75 yards and a touchdown, and he ran 16 times for 91 yards and a score.
What will happen: Wyoming won't be pretty and it won't come up with any long, drawn out drives, but it'll force a few key Air Force turnovers and will do just enough with the running game to eeke out a tough win.
CFN Prediction: Wyomign 27 ... Air Force 23 ... Line: Wyoming -3
Must See Rating: (5 Entourage premiere - 1 One Tree Hill premiere) … 2
- Click here to receive ATS Consultants FREE selections 


Texas A&M (0-1) at New Mexico (0-1), 5:00 EST
Why to watch: While Virginia Tech and Pitt are among those battling it out for the honor of being the biggest disappointment of week one, but under the radar, Texas A&M and New Mexico came up with duds of their own. The Aggies, in the first game of the Mike Sherman era, not only lost, but they lost to a Sun Belt team at home dropping a tough 18-14 battle with Arkansas State. New Mexico at least lost to a Mountain West title contender and a potential BCS buster in TCU, but the 26-3 home defeat was still a major dud. All of a sudden, what appeared to be a nice matchup between two decent mid-level teams in their respective conferences becomes a battle of desperation. New Mexico hosts Arizona next week to end a three-game homestand, and then it's on the road for three of the next four game. A&M gets an improved Miami next week and might be looking at an 0-3 start if they crash and burn in Albuquerque.
Why Texas A&M might win: New Mexico is built on being able to run the ball, and it ran into a brick wall last week netting 56 yards against TCU. While Rodney Ferguson is one of the Mountain West's elite backs, he was held to 59 yards, while the Lobo offensive line allowed five sacks. The Texas A&M defensive line was able to get into the backfield against Arkansas State, and it should be able to do even more this week.
Why New Mexico might win: Turnovers. A&M shot itself in the foot last week with two fumbles and two interceptions, and while the Lobos also had a hard time hanging on to the ball, giving it away three times against TCU, they have good enough hitters to force a few takeaways if the Aggies get sloppy again. The Aggies might want to get the passing game going, but UNM has the best corner tandem in Glover Quin and DeAndre Wright that QB Stephen McGee might see all year long.
Who to watch: New Mexico QB Donovan Porterie is supposed to be on the verge of becoming one of the Mountain West's elite quarterbacks after two promising seasons, but he had a nightmare of an opening day completing 4-of-10 passes for 37 yards with an interception before getting knocked out with a neck injury, but he's fine and practiced all week. The offense will still try to revolve around Ferguson and the running game, but Porterie simply has to be better.
What will happen: It's not going to be pretty. The two running games should finally get going a bit for New Mexico, while the secondary will keep the Aggie passing game under wraps. Which team will rebound first? New Mexico, but if the Aggie running game gets into a groove and rumbles for 250 yards or more, Sherman will get his first win.
CFN Prediction: New Mexico 23 ... Texas A&M 20 ... Line: Texas A&M -3
Must See Rating: (5 Entourage premiere - 1 One Tree Hill premiere) … 3
- Click here to receive ATS Consultants FREE selections 


Stephen F. Austin (1-0) at TCU (1-0), 7:00 EST
Why to watch: TCU made a major statement in the Mountain West race with an opening day 26-3 win over New Mexico that was even more dominant than the final score. The Horned Frogs stuffed the Lobo running game while doing just enough offensively to get by, and while BYU and Utah are getting all the conference love, this was a statement to show that there's another team to consider in the hunt. Considering Stanford's resurgence, next week's date with the Cardinal isn't the layup originally expected, but the schedule is light enough to hope for a 4-0 start before going to Oklahoma. Stephen F. Austin kicked off its season with a 56-19 win over Langston, however, this should be the worst team in the Southland Conference. This shouldn't be pretty.
Why Stephen F. Austin might win: SFA spreads it out and chucks it around, and while this isn't exactly Texas Tech or Hawaii, the passing game has the potential to be relatively effective. If put up 285 yards last week and was tremendously efficient, and while there isn't enough in the bag
Why TCU might win: TCU destroyed the New Mexico passing game and it should be able to get into the backfield early and often enough to keep the SFA passing game in check. The Lumberjacks only ran for 19 yards; there's nothing to fall back on once the TCU defense becomes a brick wall against the passing game.
Who to watch: TCU came up with five sacks and ten tackles for loss in the win over New Mexico while limiting Lobo quarterbacks to a 7-of-24, 130-yard, two interception day. It was a combined effort with Matt Panfil coming up with a huge day getting to the quarterback. The Horned Frog defensive front should be dominant.
What will happen: TCU will keep the Lumberjacks to under 200 yards of total offense in an easy rout.
CFN Prediction: TCU 48 ... Stephen F. Austin 0 ... Line: No Line
Must See Rating: (5 Entourage premiere - 1 One Tree Hill premiere) … 1
- Click here to receive ATS Consultants FREE selections


UNLV (1-0) at Utah (1-0), 8:00 EST
Why to watch: Now Utah is on the map. Yeah, many out there (including us) had the Utes beating Michigan, but it wasn't a strong pick because no one really knew what the Wolverines were going to bring. Utah came out of the Big House with a 25-23 win that should've been far easier than it was considering several drives resulted in field goals instead of touchdowns. Now Utah gets into the BCS buster talk and has the national ranking, and while it might be tempting to think UNLV would be a team to look past after such a big win, think again. The Rebels won just two games last year. One was a win over Utah State, the other 27-0 pasting of the Utes. Can history repeat itself? UNLV started off the year with a 27-17 win over Utah State, but the Mike Sanford era might be able to turn a corner if his team can go into Salt Lake City and come away with a win in the Mountain West opener.
Why UNLV might win: As much as Utah might be saying all the right things about being fired up for this game after what happened last year, there's bound to be a bit of a letdown problem after all the hype and excitement about the Michigan win. The Rebels might have finally found their right combination of players with Omar Clayton now firmly entrenched as the starting quarterback and with a good group of skill players around him. In other words, this is an experienced, decent offense that could give the Utes problems.
Why Utah might win: The lines. The stunning aspect of the win over Michigan was the way the Utah lines handled the Wolverines throughout the game. The run defense stuffed the Michigan ground game, and the offensive line held its own, even if there were a few problems in pass protection. UNLV's lines are nothing special; Utah should be able to outphysical the Rebels up front.
Who to watch: Is Clayton really ready to become a Mountain West spread star? He
completed 17-of-29 passes for 192 yards and three touchdowns in the win over Utah State and didn't make many mistakes. Utah QB Brian Johnson is one of the best in the league, a veteran who has seen it all and is doing it all. Clayton has to be a good counterpart.
What will happen: UNLV will play well and make this a battle for three quarters, and then the Utah offensive line will dominate in the fourth.
CFN Prediction: Utah 31 ... UNLV 17 ... Line: Utah -21.5
Must See Rating: (5 Entourage premiere - 1 One Tree Hill premiere) … 3
- Click here to receive ATS Consultants FREE selections

 

  



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