2008 CFN Big 12 Preview
Predictions & Quick Team Previews
North
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Colorado |
Iowa State |
Kansas |
Kansas State |
Missouri |
Nebraska
South
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Baylor |
Oklahoma |
Oklahoma State |
Texas |
Texas A&M |
Texas Tech
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2008 CFN Big 12 Preview
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CFN All-Big 12 Team &
Top 30 Players
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Capsules
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Rankings
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Predictions
By
Pete Fiutak
Big 12 Championship: Missouri over Texas Tech
NORTH
1.
Missouri
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Offense
|
Defense
|
Depth Chart
Predicted record: 11-1
Conf. record: 7-1
Best
Offensive Player: QB Chase Daniel, Sr.
Best
Defensive Player:
FS William
Moore, Sr.
Offense:
If
everyone plays as well as expected, this will once again be one of the
five most productive offenses in the nation. It all starts with Heisman
finalist Chase Daniel, an ultra-efficient passer who knows the offense
backwards and forwards. Now in his third year as the starter and with 37
games under his belt, he'll make his dizzying array of weapons shine.
The receiving corps is loaded with all-around playmaker Jeremy Maclin
and tight end Chase Coffman, who'll be healthy again to start the year,
unlike last season, while Danario Alexander and Tommy Saunders are
strong targets to work with. The running backs will be fine with a good
combination of players to rotate around, and the line should be
fantastic if the starting five can stay healthy.
Defense: The defense took a
backseat to the offense last season, but it had a fantastic year and
could be even better if everyone is healthy. That's a huge if
considering star FS William Moore was out this spring with a shoulder
injury, as was top-tackling LB Sean Weatherspoon, while LB Van Alexander
suffered a torn ACL. The linebacking corps, overall, needs depth to
quickly develop after losing two top backup prospects to go along with
the injuries. Moore should be back at 100% to combine with Justin
Garrett to form one of the Big 12's best safety tandems. The corners
aren't great, but they're experienced. Stryker Sulak is a fantastic pass
rusher, but there aren't enough consistent plays in the backfield from
the front seven. Ziggy Hood is an all-star tackle for the run defense to
work around.
2.
Kansas
- Offense |
Defense |
Depth Chart
Predicted record: 9-3
Conf. record: 5-3
Best
Offensive Player:
QB Todd
Reesing, Jr.
Best
Defensive Player:
LB Joe
Mortensen, Sr.
Offense:
One of the most efficient and effective attacks in the country, KU did
everything right. It could pound the ball when needed, push the passing
game deep to open things up, and better than almost anyone in America,
it was great at going for the kill and even better at answering when
pushed. It'll be a stretch to get the same overall production, and the O
stunk this spring, but it should be terrific as the season goes on. Todd
Reesing grew into a special quarterback and a perfect leader who rarely
made mistakes, but he'll have to be even better early on until the
tackle situation is settled (even though it's promising) and until the
right running combination is found. Jake Sharp is a nice back, but JUCO
transfer Jocques Crawford could be the team's newest star. The receivers
are nice, with the return of Dexton Fields and Dezmon Briscoe, but
they're not special.
Defense: The whole is better
than the sum of the parts. There might not be a whole slew of all-stars,
but this is a tough, hard-nosed, veteran group that'll be a rock against
the run and should be decent against the pass. The biggest question mark
will be the coaching with Clint Bowen taking over the Big 12's best D.
With nine starters returning, any slip will be blamed on the new
defensive coordinator; he has pieces to work with and he's not going to
change too much, if anything. The secondary will be worse without CB
Aqib Talib, but there are three good returning starters and Kendrick
Harper is ready to shine in a full-time starting corner role. The line
needs to get to the quarterback more, but it's good at getting into the
backfield and should be a rock against the run if the four-man tackle
rotation can make up for the loss of DT James McClinton. The strength of
the defense, and maybe the team, will be the linebacking corps that gets
the team's top three tacklers back. Joe Mortensen is a terrific
all-around playmaker in the middle, while Mike Rivera and James Holt
will each make around 100 tackles on the outside.
3.
Colorado
- Offense |
Defense |
Depth
Chart
Predicted record: 6-6
Conf. record: 4-4
Best
Offensive Player:
QB Cody
Hawkins, Soph.
Best
Defensive Player:
DT George
Hypolite, Sr.
Offense:
Last year was part two in the maturation of the offense, but there might
need to be one more year of seasoning to go before things really start
to hum. This is still a very, very young group that's going to get even
greener with a slew of new recruits expected to make a big impact on the
line and in the backfield. The star of the show should be Darrell Scott,
considered by many to be the nation's top high school running back, but
he won't have to do it alone with Demetrius Sumler a good back who'll be
the starter for now. The line is young, but very promising with senior
center Daniel Sanders a strong anchor to work around. The key will be
the efficiency of the passing game, as QB Cody Hawkins tries to handle
the change to more of a no-huddle, hurry up attack. The tight ends will
be good, but the wide receivers are nothing special.
Defense: The defense was fine at
times, but with no pass rush, it had a nightmare of a time against the
good passing teams. Unfortunately, the Big 12 is loaded with good
passing teams and excellent quarterbacks, and considering the Buffs'
early weakness should be a pass rush from the ends and cornerback play,
it'll be vital to get better over the first month before Texas comes to
town to kick off the Big 12 season in October. The run defense should be
solid with George Hypolite and Brandon Nicolas forming a good tackle
pair, and while star LB Jordon Dizon is gone, the situation should be
even better with plenty of options and more on the way from a good
recruiting class. The safeties, D.J. Dykes and Ryan Walters, will be
terrific.
T4.
Iowa
State
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Offense |
Defense |
Depth Chart
Predicted record: 6-6
Conf. record: 3-5
Best
Offensive Player:
RB Alexander Robinson, Soph.
Best
Defensive Player:
DE Kurtis Taylor, Sr.
Offense:
Offensive
coordinator Robert McFarland needed all year to finally get the offense
moving after it did next to nothing for the first eight games, averaging
just 15 points per outing. The attack didn't explode, but it got better,
and now there should be a big jump in production even without veteran QB
Bret Meyer and top WR Todd Blythe. The line was night-and-day better
than in 2006, and it should be far superior this year with four
returning starters and at least two of them being knocked out of jobs by
better prospects. The running back trio of Alexander Robinson, Jason
Scales and J.J. Bass is excellent. The key will be the passing game.
Austen Arnaud and former WR Phillip Bates will combine for the
quarterback job, while a dangerous receiver or two has to step up with
Blythe not there to catch all the touchdown passes.
Defense: Defensive coordinator
Wayne Bolt didn't exactly turn the defense into a killer, but it held
its own at times considering the offense provided a fat load of jack
squat. There were times when things got ugly, really ugly, but the D did
a decent job of keeping the team in several games it had no business
being a part of. The secondary that got toasted by the good Big 12
quarterbacks gets everyone back, but it needs help from a pass rush that
wasn't consistent or effective enough. Losing outside linebackers Ace
Bowen and Jon Banks is a killer, so the spotlight will be on Fred Garrin,
Josh Raven and Michael Bibbs to shine. The line should be the strength
of the D even though new tackles are taking over.
T4.
Kansas State
- Offense |
Defense |
Depth Chart
Predicted record: 7-5
Conf. record: 3-5
Best
Offensive Player:
QB Josh
Freeman, Jr.
Best
Defensive Player:
DE Ian
Campbell, Sr.
Offense:
There's
certainly an interesting mix of talents for new offensive coordinator
James Franklin to play around with. The line is experienced, deep and
talented, the running backs are fast, receiving corps is really fast,
and QB Josh Freeman is a rising junior with 20 starts under his belt.
The big issue will be the experience of the skill players with top RB
James Johnson and All-America WR Jordy Nelson gone. There are fantastic
prospects who look the part, but can they play? If nothing else, Freeman
will get plenty of time to bomb away. Scoring and yards won't be a
problem, but it would be a big plus if there was more balance. KSU had
to throw out of necessity, the defense gave up points in bunches.
Freeman can handle the work, but the more help he gets, the better.
Defense: It didn't work.
Defensive coordinator Tim Tibesar's switch to a 3-4 generated a little
bit of pressure, but not enough, and the D got worse as the season went
on. However, there's a chance for a major, major turnaround with
1) pass rushing terror Ian Campbell moving back to end after languishing
last year as an outside linebacker, 2) the return of All-Big 12
candidate Joshua Moore at corner after spending last season out with
academic issues, and 3) a mega-upgrade in talent. Virginia transfer Olu
Hall and JUCO transfers Ulla Pomele and Hansen Sekona will make a huge
difference at linebacker. JUCOers Blair Irvin and Billy McClellan will
help the corners, and Daniel Calvin could instantly become the team's
best tackle. If everything comes together, the potential is there for
this to be a killer defense by the end of the year.
T4.
Nebraska
- Offense |
Defense
| Depth Chart
Predicted record: 7-5
Conf. record: 3-5
Best
Offensive Player:
RB Marlon Lucky, Sr.
Best
Defensive Player:
DE Barry Turner, Sr.
Offense:
Lost in the shuffle of last year's nightmare of a season was that the
offense really did work. Yeah, it died for a stretch mid-season, but
once it started humming, it was a yardage machine. Now, all the key
parts are back everywhere but wide receiver, which will be the team's
Achilles heel with Maurice Purify gone. Nate Swift and Todd Peterson are
serviceable, but hardly anything special. Steadying the quarterback
situation is Joe Ganz, a good, accurate passer who'll make the receivers
better. Fortunately, the coaching staff wants to run the ball more, and
with Marlon Lucky, one of the nation's most versatile backs, and a good,
veteran line that should blossom into something special, the ground game
will be better.
Defense: The Nebraska
Cornhuskers, the Nebraska Cornhuskers, allowed 477 yards per
game, 232 rushing yards, and 38 points per game. Bo Pelini, and his
brother, defensive coordinator, Carl, are going to change things up not
tomorrow, not after breakfast, now. Everything starts with the line that
did absolutely nothing last year to get into the backfield and was a
marshmallow against the run. Now it's leaner, it's meaner, and it's full
of good veterans and lots of depth. If the line isn't fantastic, it's
uh-oh time with a potentially awful back seven that needs everything the
Pelini brothers can put together. There's no depth whatsoever, marginal
talent in the linebacking corps, and decent, but not great defensive
backs. If nothing else, the defense will be far more aggressive and
unlike last year, it should be able to tackle.
SOUTH
1.
Texas Tech
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Offense
|
Defense |
Depth Chart
Predicted record: 11-1
Conf. record: 7-1
Best
Offensive Player:
WR Michael
Crabtree, Soph.
Best
Defensive Player:
DE Brandon
Williams, Jr.
Offense:
The machine should be humming better than ever with almost everyone
returning. Expect close to 500 passing yards per game, a lot of points,
and a whole bunch of fun for what could be the best offense yet under
head coach Mike Leach. The only starter gone from last year is WR Danny
Amendola, and Edward Britton and Detron Lewis are expected to fill in
the gap without a problem. The phenomenal pitch-catch combination of
Graham Harrell to Michael Crabtree will once again set all sorts of
records, while the mammoth, veteran offensive line will give everyone
time to work. The one issue is a running game that took a major step
back last season, but now it has four options in the rotation to try to
generate more production, or at least more yards per carry.
Defense: Ruffin McNeal started
to transform the defense over the second half of last season and now the
potential is there for a huge season. There's speed to burn on the
corners, a good trio of relatively young linebackers to work around, and
a defensive line that would be the team's strength if it wasn't for the
high-octane passing game. Pass rusher extraordinaire Brandon Williams is
about to become a superstar while tackles Colby Whitlock and Rajon
Henley each have All-Big 12 potential. As good as they are, they'll all
have to fight to hang on to their jobs with top JUCO transfers Brandon
Sesay, Broderick Marshall and McKinner Dixon all good enough to start.
The defensive back seven is designed to get the most speed and
athleticism on the field as possible, and it should pay off with a
secondary that should be as good as the one that led the Big 12 last
year. Now the run defense has to be better.
2. Oklahoma
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Offense |
Defense |
Depth
Chart
Predicted record: 10-2
Conf. record: 6-2
Best
Offensive Player:
QB Sam
Bradford, Soph.
Best
Defensive Player:
DT Gerald
McCoy, Soph.
Offense:
Consistency will be the key, especially on the road, but all the parts
are there. The offense has the talent to be unstoppable, but there are a
few question marks. Starting with the positives, Sam Bradford should
once again be among the nation’s most effective and efficient
quarterbacks and the line might be the best in America by a wide margin
with all five starters returning, along with impressive depth. However,
the top two returning running backs, DeMarco Murray and Chris Brown, are
coming off knee injuries, and the receiving corps will be looking for
immediate help with Malcolm Kelly moving on early to the NFL. Juaquin
Iglesias and Manuel Johnson are great targets, but can they be more than
just complementary receivers? Can the new superstar running back and
receiver recruits shine right away? Again, though, with a line like OU
has, everyone will get time to jell.
Defense: Last year's defense had
several major concerns, but there wasn't much of a question that
everything was going to be fine. That's not the case this year. This D
has more than enough athletes and more than enough five-star talents to
replace the former stars with new ones, but there are gaping holes to
fill and some very, very big ifs. If LB Ryan Reynolds can stay healthy
and take over in the middle for Big 12 Defensive Player of the Year
Curtis Lofton, and if corners Reggie Smith and Marcus Walker can be
replaced, and if ultra-talented DT DeMarcus Granger is back after
getting nailed on shoplifting charges, and if pass rushing demon Auston
English is back to normal after suffering a broken ankle, and if several
untested underclassmen and a few newcomers can play right away up to
Sooner standards, then this might be among the Big 12's best defenses
again.
3.
Texas
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Offense |
Defense |
Depth
Chart
Predicted record: 8-4
Conf. record: 4-4
Best
Offensive Player:
QB Colt
McCoy, Jr.
Best
Defensive Player:
DT Roy
Miller, Sr.
Offense:
It wasn't
always consistent and it had problems at times getting revved up, but
the offense quietly finished 13th in the nation in yards and 14th in
scoring. Even with huge losses at running back (Jamaal Charles) and in
the receiving corps (Limas Sweed, Nate Jones and TE Jermichael Finley),
the production should keep on coming with promising replacements at the
skill spots and with a strong, veteran line that should be even better
after a decent 2007. Conducting the show is the underappreciated Colt
McCoy, who's one of the Big 12's better quarterbacks but gets lost in
the shuffle. The one big concern is veteran depth. If there are injury
problems, a slew of first year players, including several true freshmen,
will have to grow up quickly.
Defense: Last year's defense was
supposed to be more aggressive and provide more pressure. Enter new
defensive coordinator Will Muschamp, who'll show what the real meaning
of the blitz is. In one of the big upsets of the off-season, Muschamp
wasn't snapped up for a big head coaching job, but he could be
one-and-done at Texas considering he's one of the hottest young coaches
around. He has a tremendously athletic back seven to work with, and he's
going to get them moving and with a far nastier attitude. The front four
could be even better despite losing Frank Okam and Derek Lokey inside.
While backup tackle is a concern, Roy Miler and Lamarr Houston will form
a great run stuffing tandem, while the end combination of Brian Orakpo
and former RB Henry Melton should hang out in opposing backfields.
T4.
Oklahoma State
- Offense |
Defense |
Depth
Chart
Predicted record: 7-5
Conf. record: 3-5
Best
Offensive Player:
TE Brandon
Pettigrew, Sr.
Best
Defensive Player:
S/LB Andre
Sexton, Jr.
Offense:
The
machine will keep on rolling with little tinkering. There's no reason to
mess with success, and with so much returning talent to the nation's
seventh best attack, things will be kept as is with QB Zac Robinson
leading the way behind a tremendous, deep line that might not have much
in the way of star power, but is as effective as any in the nation.
There are some question marks at running back and receiver with JUCO
transfer Beau Johnson needing to make the ground game explode while Dez
Bryant needs to be a strong number one receiver to go along with top pro
prospect Brandon Pettigrew at tight end.
Defense: Defensive coordinator
Tim Beckman is on a bit of a hot seat. He has the athletes to work with,
and now he hast o come up with some production. The Cowboys will use a
combination of a 4-3 and a 4-2-5 as Andre Sexton moves around in the
Star position, but the real key will be the play against the run. There
has to be better toughness up front against the stronger teams, and more
of a pass rush would be nice with an average, but fast secondary
returning several good players like CB Jacob Lacey and S Rickey Price.
In influx of JUCO talent could make a night and day difference with
Swanson Miller and Jeremiah Price for the line, Donald Booker for the
linebacking corps, and Lucien "The Punisher" Antoine for the secondary.
T4. Texas A&M
- Offense |
Defense |
Depth Chart
Predicted record: 6-6
Conf. record: 3-5
Best
Offensive Player:
RB Mike
Goodson, Jr.
Best
Defensive Player:
DT Kellen
Heard, Jr.
Offense:
The
offense won't make a complete about-face after being all run, little
throw for the last few years, but it's going to become more tilted to
the passing attack in the new pro-style offense. Even so, the strength
will be on the ground as big Jorvorskie Lane will play more of a
fullback role to pave the way for Mike Goodson, who should bust out now
that he'll be used more. Stephen McGee should be the leader, but the
quarterback job isn't his for sure with hot-shot sophomore Jerrod
Johnson pushing hard. The receivers are big and fast, but they need
experience in the new offense, while the line has to undergo a major
change after losing several long-time starters..
Defense: After an awful 2005,
Gary Darnell had turned things around and made the Aggie defense
respectable over the last few season, but it was a tentative,
read-and-react D that didn't do nearly enough to get to the quarterback
and dictate the action. That all changes under Joe Kines as the defense
is going to be far more aggressive and will try to generate far more
pressure after finishing 104th in the nation in sacks and 90th in
tackles for loss. The problem is the talent level; it's not all that
high, and there's not a lot of starting experience on the front seven.
However, the linebacking corps will go from lumbering to sleek and fast,
and there are plenty of veterans in the secondary to count on. The line
has to be better, and it should be if everyone stays healthy. However,
the tackles will be an issue outside of Kellen Heard.
6.
Baylor
- Offense |
Defense |
Depth
Chart
Predicted record: 1-11
Conf. record: 0-8
Best
Offensive Player:
OT Jason
Smith, Sr.
Best
Defensive Player:
LB Joe
Pawelek, Jr.
Offense:
Baylor
will still throw the ball, but the coaching staff, and co-coordinators
Phillip Montgomery and Randy Clements, will add more rushing wrinkles to
the equation. Step one is to settle on a quarterback with Blake
Szymanski the veteran starter, Miami transfer Kirby Freeman looking for
redemption and lightning-fast true freshman Robert Griffin battling it
out. The receiving corps is experienced, but outside of the tight ends
and touchdown-machine Thomas White, the wideouts haven't produced like
they should have. That should change. Jay Finley and Jacoby Jones are
tough runners who'll get more chances to work behind a fantastic line
led by future NFL tackles Jason Smith and Dan Gay.
Defense: The defense struggled
to do much of anything having problems against the run, getting ripped
apart by the pass, and giving up yards and points in chunks. Now there's
hope for a big improvement with six good returning starters and a switch
from a 4-2-5 alignment to a 4-3. The Bears should be strong up the
middle with 300+ pounders Vincent Rhodes and Trey Bryant and tackle and
all-star tacklers Joe Pawelek back at linebacker and Jordan Lake
returning at free safety, but they all have to be better against the
power running teams. Generating more pressure is vital to help out the
secondary, and while ends Jason Lamb and Leon Freeman are good at
getting to the quarterback, they have to do it on a more consistent
basis.