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Mr Pac-10’s Weekly Review
Jacquizz Rodgers
Mr Pac Ten
Posted Nov 13, 2008


Collegefootballnews’ Matthew Smith Reviews all the Pac-10 Games, Week Eleven

Rising:
Oregon St: Nice win at UCLA.
Arizona St: Not dominant, but this was a win they really needed.

Hovering:
Oregon: They needed a win, and they got one.
USC: Meh performance vs Cal.
Cal: Disappointing effort at USC.
Arizona: Meh.
Washington St: Well, they did cover.

Falling:
Stanford: They needed a win, and they didn’t get one.
Washington: Another disappointing loss for the Huskies.
UCLA: They really needed this game, and instead they got hammered.

@ USC (-22) 17, Cal 3
my pick: @ USC 28, Cal 21

What to take from this:
If you’re Cal:

They could have had this game, and they didn’t get it done. Some of it was luck, like the questionable call on USC’s first touchdown, but most of it was self-inflicted, like the dumb penalty that took away their touchdown, numerous penalties that destroyed potential drives, and a weird insistence on throwing the deep ball despite it almost never working. Still, it’s something of a positive that they went to the Coliseum and came away saying “we blew it” instead of “USC is just better than us.”

If you’re USC:
If there were any Trojan fans under the illusion this was a national title type of a team, this game should convince them differently. Yes, they won by 14 and could have gotten another seven if they didn’t choose to end the game, but the fact remains that they were very lucky to have been up by 14 to start with. They got a questionable call in their favor on their first touchdown, Cal’s tying touchdown was taken away due to a penalty that USC had nothing to do with causing, and Cal’s failure to succeed on the deep ball was generally more to do with bad passes than by good coverage (though their QB pressure and hits did have something to do with it). Yes, this is a very good team, but it’s also clearly not a great one.

Oregon St (-8) 34, @ UCLA 6
my pick: Oregon St 31, UCLA 13

What to take from this:
If you’re Oregon St:

When these guys get going, they’re really good. That said, this was a 3-3 game at halftime against a very mediocre UCLA team. They control their own destiny, but if they have another half like the first half against the Bruins, that won’t last long.

If you’re UCLA:
Well, they were close for a while. In the end, though, they were overwhelmed by too many turnovers and a much better Oregon St team. If they could have somehow scored an upset, a bowl would have been in reach. Now, they’d need to not only avoid a bad loss at Washington but score back to back upsets over ASU and USC. Yes, they did that two years ago, but it’s not going to happen again.

@ Oregon (-14) 35, Stanford 28
my pick: @ Oregon 31, Stanford 24

What to take from this:
If you’re Stanford:

Stanford could have, maybe should have, but didn’t. Up by a point near the end of the game, their defense folded, just like it did against UCLA, and just like it did against Oregon St (though there they were saved by a bad Beaver turnover). Now they need a big upset to go bowling. That’s not likely to happen.

If you’re Oregon:
They took Stanford’s best shot in a game the Cardinal desperately needed, and they still found a way to get it done. That’s a much better win than it looked.

Arizona St (-14.5) 39, @ Washington 19
my pick: Arizona St 35, @ Washington 13

What to take from this:

If you’re Arizona St:
It’s way too early to think about bowl eligibility, but it’s possible. They’ve got a cakewalk against Wazzu, then a very winnable home game against UCLA, and then a huge game at Arizona. If they can get to Tucson 5-6 (and they should), then they’ll have a shot. Stranger things have happened.

If you’re Washington:
They were close for a while, but in the end the better team won. Maybe they get a shocker against UCLA, but the only realistic chance of a win will come when they play the Cougars.

Arizona (-40.5) 59, @ Washington 28
my pick: Arizona 52, @ Washington St 3

What to take from this:

If you’re Arizona:
This wasn’t a great performance, but they got their win, and that’s what mattered.

If you’re Washington St:
This was one of the better games the Cougs have played this year, and they lost by 31.

Pac-10 Games Record:
This Week: 5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS
Season: 48-13 SU, 29-28-2 ATS

National Games of the Week:

@ Texas Tech (-3.5) 56, Oklahoma St 20
my pick: Oklahoma St 37, @ Texas Tech 34

@ Iowa 24, Penn St (-7.5) 23
my pick: @ Iowa 17, Penn St 14

Alabama (-3.5) 27, @ LSU (OT) 21
my pick: Alabama 31, @ LSU 21

National Games Record:
This Week: 2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS
Season: 20-16 SU, 15-20-1 ATS

Bad Lines

Indiana +9.5
Missed by 25.5 points

Western Michigan +7.5
Covered by 10.5 points and outright upset

Duke -3.5
Missed by 13.5 points and outright upset

Arkansas +12
Missed by 1 points

Florida St -4
Covered by 10 points

Marshall +8.5
Covered by 5.5 points

Pitt -6.5
Covered by 27.5 points

Minnesota -7.5
Missed by 30.5 points and outright upset

Bad Lines Record:
This Week: 4-4
Season: 47-31-1

Mr Pac-10's 2008 Blog

Questions, comments or suggestions? Email me at cfn_ms@hotmail.com

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