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The BCS Matchups & Early Previews
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CollegeFootballNews.com Posted Dec 7, 2008
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It's Tim Tebow's Florida vs. Mossis Madu's Oklahoma for the national title as the headliner of a potentially great BCS season. Check out what the matchups will be along with quick breakdowns and early analysis of the five biggest games of the season.
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By
Pete Fiutak
Here we go with the biggest of the
matchups ... sorry, Texas. The
five BCS games will be Florida vs. Oklahoma in the BCS Championship,
Texas vs. Ohio State in the Fiesta, Alabama vs. Utah in the Sugar,
Virginia Tech vs. Cincinnati in the Orange, and Penn State vs. USC
in the Rose. Here are the quick breakdowns and lookaheads for each
game, with much, much more to come in the coming weeks.
Rose Bowl
Penn State vs. USC
Jan. 1 / 5:10 p.m. ET Pasadena, Calif. ABC
BCS vs. BCS (Big 10 vs. Pac 10 if available)
While it would've been a nice storyline if Oregon State was able to
find its way to Pasadena, the Beavers already got blasted by Penn
State this year and this matchup is far, far more interesting. It's
the first time USC and Penn State have squared off since a 29-5 Trojan
destruction of Joe Paterno's team in the 2000 Kickoff Classic, and
it's the first bowl between the two teams since a 26-10 Penn State
win in the 1982 Fiesta Bowl. These two have met in the Rose Bowl
before with USC winning 14-3 in 1923. Each team feels it should've been in the national
title discussion, but Penn State blew its chance with a 24-23 loss
at Iowa, while USC's loss to Oregon State kept it out of the BCS
Championship hunt. This is the seventh straight BCS bowl for USC,
and its fourth straight Rose Bowl, while Penn State is back in
Pasadena for the first time since beating Oregon 38-20 at the end of
the 1994 season. Penn State has won three straight bowl games and
nine of its last 11. It's a true Big Ten vs. Pac 10 champion matchup
for the first time since 2004 (USC vs. Michigan), while the Big Ten
hasn't won the bowl since a 2000 Wisconsin victory over Stanford.
Quick Breakdown: Defense, defense, defense. USC has been
special, allowing just 93 points on the year, and have allowed more
than seven points just four times. The offense has been less than
USC-like, but it's been fine. It's just not the defense. Penn State
led the Big Ten in defense by a long shot, and finished fifth in the
country allowing 264 yards per game. The offense never got a
lot of credit, but it was almost perfectly balanced averaging 241
passing yards and 212 rushing yards per game. However, the attack
hasn't been consistent. The line play is among the best in America,
while this will be the most complete team the Trojans have faced by
far. It you want to go by common opponents, Penn State beat Ohio
State in Columbus 13-7, while USC beat a Beanie Wells-less OSU in a
35-3 blasting. USC lost to Oregon State 27-21, while Penn State beat
the Beavers 45-14.
Best Wins: USC 35-3 over Ohio State, Penn State 13-6 at Ohio
State
The Buzz Will Be ... that this should be the second best bowl
game of the season. If either one wins convincingly, a No. 2 spot in
the final rankings will be possible. Penn State and the Big Ten
desperately need to show they can play with USC, while the Trojans
will look to keep their Pasadena dominance. Whichever team that wins
will be screaming that it deserves to be in some sort of a playoff.
Orange Bowl
Virginia Tech
vs. Cincinnati
Jan. 1 / 8 p.m. Miami Gardens, Fla. FOX
BCS vs. BCS (ACC Champion to play here if available)
It's the land of the misfit teams that no one really cares about
seeing play. There's a lot to prove for each team as the ACC could
desperately use a BCS win. Florida State's 31-26 win over Notre Dame
in the 1996 game was the last time the ACC has won an Orange Bowl,
while the Big East needs to keep some decent momentum going. West
Virginia has represented itself well in the BCS, while Louisville
managed to beat Wake Forest two years ago in the 2007 Orange Bowl.
Now it'll be up to Cincinnati to keep up the tradition. Virginia
Tech is coming off a solid ACC title game win over Boston College,
with the defense starting to kick in again to the old Hokie level,
while Cincinnati survived Hawaii to close off a fantastic year. No,
this won't be the highest-rated game, but it should be competitive
and it will go a long way for conference bragging rights for each
team's respective lead.
Quick Breakdown: Virginia Tech's offense has revolved around
two very good, very banged up players: QB Tyrod Taylor and RB Darren
Evans. The time off should do wonders for each of them against a
strong Cincinnati run defense that was one of the Big East's best.
The Bearcats also need the time off to heal with star WR Dominick
Goodman suffering a separated shoulder against Hawaii. UC doesn't
have the defense that Virginia Tech has shown, but it's aggressive
and it's great at getting into the backfield. The passing game is
efficient, the special teams have been fantastic, and the results
have been there under head coach Brian Kelly with 21 wins in the
last two years. Can Virginia Tech's mediocre offensive line handle
the Bearcat defensive front? That's the key to the game. Tech won't
show much of a passing game and will need to run well and must come
up with big plays from the special teams and defense to win. Taylor
and Evans have to be great, too.
Best Wins: Virginia Tech 30-12 over Boston College in the ACC
Championship; Cincinnati 28-21 over Pitt
The Buzz Will Be ... which conference will represent? Many
believe that the ACC and Big East shouldn't get an automatic bid
into the BCS, and this will universally be seen as the least
interesting BCS game. The two teams have to change that with a good
game. The Orange has been entertaining over the last three years,
even though the matchups haven't captured America's fancy. Would a
win launch Cincinnati into the big time, or at least the bigger
time? Would a win for Virginia Tech reestablish the program as a
power after a rough year? It'll be a battle.
Sugar
Bowl
Utah vs. Alabama
Jan. 2 / 8:30 p.m. ET New Orleans, La. FOX
BCS vs. BCS (SEC Champion to play here if available)
Utah had to be stuck somewhere. The Utes desperately wanted to go to
the Fiesta Bowl to allow their fan base to be able to drive down, but
the idea of Texas vs. Ohio State was way too spicy for the Glendale
types to pass up. Now the Sugar Bowl gets its second straight
matchup of the automatic non-BCS conference team against the
grouchy, disappointed SEC team, and America can only hope this is
slightly better than Georgia's 41-10 blasting of Hawaii last year.
Of course, the Tide was hoping to be off to the national title game,
but its hard-fought loss to the Florida Tebows, uh, Gators means the
trip to New Orleans will have to do. Before the season, Tide fans
would've taken the Sugar Bowl in a heartbeat, but now it's a no-win
game. Beat Utah, big deal. Lose to Utah, the season goes from epic
to disastrous. The Utes were never seriously in the national title
debate, even though they're unbeaten, and they'll be looking to
prove they should've been in Miami on January 8th rather than in New
Orleans six days earlier.
Quick Breakdown: While the two teams play different styles of
offense, they're more like each other than it might seem on the
surface. There will be some major league hitting going on
highlighted by big, physical offensive line play. Alabama's front
five has been special, while Utah's running game is all about power,
power, power. Oh sure, the Utes run the spread, though not nearly as
well as Florida, but when push comes to shove, they like to push and
shove. Utah has an ultra-efficient passing game and an offense that
doesn't make mistakes, Alabama has a tough, smart passing game and
an offense that doesn't make mistakes. The focus will be on two
veteran quarterbacks, Alabama's John Parker Wilson and Utah's Brian
Johnson. They've both seen and done it all, and they should ensure a
tight, tough game without a lot of offensive sloppiness.
Best Wins: Utah 13-10 over TCU; Alabama 41-30 over Georgia
The Buzz Will Be ... is Utah for real? If the Utes pull this
off, then it'll be time to reevaluate Alabama's season and the SEC
as a whole, if the league doesn't have a great bowl season. If they
win, they'll have a legitimate chip in the national title debate
considering they'll be unbeaten with a win every bit as good as
Florida's. Meanwhile, a win for Alabama can be a launching pad to
what's expected to be a big 2009, even with a slew of top talents
gone. This is the curiosity game, and it'll be one that'll get the
message boards buzzing with a slew of wild debates about the BCS
teams vs. the non-BCSers.
Fiesta Bowl
Texas vs. Ohio State
Jan. 5 / 8 p.m. Phoenix, Ariz. FOX
*BCS vs. BCS (Big 12 Champion, if available)
Utah wanted the Fiesta, the Fiesta wanted Texas - Ohio State. Fine,
so it would've been more interesting to have seen Ohio State play
Alabama, just to see if the program can get the SEC elephant off its
back, but there's no complaining about this matchup that was
national title-good not all that long ago when Troy Smith and Vince
Young were winging it around. Texas believes it should've been in
Kansas City to play Missouri as a pitstop before going off to deal
with Florida in the BCS Championship game, but someone had to be
screwed in the equation. For those who care about this sort of
thing, an impressive performance could mean an AP national title,
even if it's a bit far-fetched and doesn't matter compared to the
BCS Championship. A win for the Longhorns would allow the ticked off
fans to gripe even more about what might have been, while a win for
Ohio State would be the big-time victory the program desperately
needs after the last two national title games and the fiasco against
USC to start the year.
Quick Breakdown: The two run defenses are among the best in
America and, while it might not be sexy, you're not going to see a
better matchup of punting games all year. That will matter as field
position could mean everything. This will be the best defense Texas
has faced by far. Colt McCoy and the offense has been able to light
everyone up like a Christmas tree, but they haven't seen a secondary
like this one. Meanwhile, Ohio State might actually have to open
things up a little bit and start to throw the ball a bit more to
keep up if McCoy gets rolling. Can the much-maligned Buckeye
offensive line handle the Texas pass rush? It'll have to if this
gets into any sort of a shootout.
Best Wins: Ohio State 45-7 over Michigan State; Texas 45-35
over Oklahoma
The Buzz Will Be ... Texas might want to come out and beat
Ohio State, Oklahoma, Missouri and Florida in the first quarter.
This will be an angry, angry team with a lot prove to the world as
it'll want to make a statement. On the flip side, Ohio State had
better show up. Another blowout loss in a BCS game would be a
nightmare for the program and the Big Ten. Lose this big, and the
Buckeyes will struggle to get the benefit of any BCS doubts going
forward.
BCS
Championship Game
Oklahoma
vs. Florida
Jan. 8 / 8 p.m. Miami Gardens, Fla. FOX
BCS No. 1 vs. BCS No. 2
This might not quite be Texas vs. USC at the end of the
2006 season, but it's not far off. If nothing else, the speed
and athleticism on both sides will be breathtaking. Putting the
whole Texas debate aside, this is the matchup that everyone really
wants, at least outside of Austin, with the potential to be among
the best BCS games ever if the two teams play up to their
capabilities. At the very least the month-long pregame analysis will
be a blast. The record-setting Oklahoma offense vs. a Florida attack
that's better than anything Steve Spurrier ever put together.
Athletes galore on both defenses, questions about the toughness of
OU, the secondary of Florida, and the head coaches with mega-watt
star power will be among the main topics. Urban Meyer and Bob Stoops
will each look to go from elite to a whole other level of legendary
with a second national title for the résumé, the Heisman debate will
be settled a game too late, and reputation of the two power
conferences will be be at stake. It was a down year for the SEC, but
a win by Florida would make everything seem fine as the league would
take home its third straight national title. For Oklahoma, a win
would end the ugly slide of bad performances in BCS games, making
amends for past sins against West Virginia, Boise State, USC and
LSU.
Quick Breakdown: Tim Tebow has said he'd like to get a crack
at the Big 12 defenses. Here's his shot. It'll be asking a lot for
Oklahoma to put up 60+ points on the board like it did with
regularity over the second half of the season, but the Florida
defense hasn't exactly been tested by a who's who of offensive
juggernauts. On the flip side, the Sooners haven't faced a team with
this much defensive talent since the loss to Texas. Neither team
makes mistakes, they're 1 (Florida), 2 (Oklahoma) in turnover
margin, Tebow and Sam Bradford are two of the most efficient passers
in the history of college football, and each team gets to the
quarterback ... there's a lot to chew on, breakdown, and digest.
Best Wins: Florida 31-20 win over Alabama in the SEC
Championship; Oklahoma 65-21 win over Texas Tech
The Buzz Will Be ... the reputation maker. Florida will
either be the superpower of college football superpowers, with two
national titles in the last three years, or Oklahoma will
reestablish itself on top of the world with its first national title
since 2000. No matter what happens, if Texas beats Ohio State, there
will be a major debate. However, the game itself has the potential
to be special. Anything less than a classic will be a major
disappointment.
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