Fiu, Cirminiello, Mitchell on TV - Campus Insiders | Buy College Football Tickets

CFN Five-Year Program Rankings - 81 to 100
Washington State QB Kevin Lopina
Washington State QB Kevin Lopina
CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Aug 27, 2009


CFN's 2009 Five-Year Program Rankings and Analysis ... Teams 81 through 100

CFN Five-Year Program Analysis

No. 81 to 100
 

Program Rankings
Coming Friday
- The Top Ten, and the Rankings by category

- 11 to 20
- 21 to 40
- 41 to 60
- 61 to 80
- 81 to 100
- 101 to 120

Program Rankings

- CFN Scoring System
- 2009 CFN Preview
- No. 1 USC
- No. 2 Texas
- No. 3 Oklahoma
- No. 4 Ohio State
- No. 5 Florida
- No. 6 Georgia
- No. 7 LSU
- No. 8 Virginia Tech
- No. 9 Auburn
- No. 10 Michigan
- 11 to 20
- 21 to 40
- 41 to 60
- 61 to 80
- 81 to 100
- 101 to 120
Every new coach realistically needs five years to make a program his. He doesn't always get that much time, often being asked to turn things around right away. Five years allow a coach to go through an entire recruiting cycle, get comfortable in the position, and implement everything he'd like to do. With that in mind, we have created our CFN Five-Year Program Analysis (it used to be three years, but we supersized it) highlighting off-the-field factors like the Academic Progress Report (do the players go to class) and the players drafted by the NFL (a huge selling point to recruits), to attendance (it pays the bills) and wins, wins, wins. On-field success ends up being all that matters, so that's where the focus lies. One note, the totals for each team might not add up because we have listed the total number of wins and losses for the categories, while the Bad Wins and Losses and Elite Wins and Losses might be scored differently (two home losses against 3-9 teams would be scored as a 3).

Quick Explanation of Scores
- Attendance: Home attendance average over the last five years divided by 10,000. Avg. Score: 4.38
- APR: The most recently released Academic Performance Rate. 90th to 100th percentile (best) gets a 10, 1st to 10th percentile (worst) gets a 1 Avg. Score: 5.85
- Quality Wins: Wins over FBS teams that finished with a winning record. Avg. Score: 9.77
- Total Wins: Wins over FBS teams. Avg. Score: 28.75
- Players Drafted: Number of players drafted. Avg. Score: 9.70
- Conference Win %: Conference winning percentage times 10. Avg. Score: 4.99
- Elite Win Score: Wins over FBS teams that finished with two losses or fewer, or on the road, at a neutral site, or in a bowl over teams that finished with three losses or fewer. Add an additional 0.5 for an Elite Win over a two-loss team on the road. Avg. Number: 1.39
- Bad Loss Score: Losses to teams that finished with three wins or fewer or any loss to a non-FBS team. Subtract each loss from the overall total. Subtract an additional 0.5 for each Bad Loss at home. Avg. Number: 2.25
- Elite Losses: Losses to teams that finished with two wins or fewer. Take 0.25 of the number. Avg. Number: 5.15
- Bad Wins: Wins teams that finished with three wins or fewer or any win to a non-FBS team Avg. Number: 10.64

- Detailed Explanation of the Scoring System and Categories

- CLICK HERE for FREE Expert Football Selections from ATS Consultants


100. Baylor 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 28.25
Attendance Score: 3.50
APR Score: 5
Draft: 5
FBS Wins: 14
Quality Wins: 4
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score: 1.5
Elite Losses: 8
Bad Wins: 9
Conf. Score: 2.00

Program Analysis ... How bad has Baylor football been? A 4-8 season with the mere potential to not be awful is enough to get the fan base riled up. Of course, having a quarterback like Robert Griffin, who could be the fastest player to ever play the position, certainly helps. There's still one little problem: the Big 12 South. Being stuck in the toughest division in college football makes it hard to make too much noise, and while head coach Art Briles is a true believer who honestly thinks he can make BU football a winner, he still has to deal with Oklahoma, Texas, Oklahoma State, Texas Tech, and Texas A&M ever year. Just getting to a bowl game would be enough to put Briles in the Coach of the Year discussions.

99. Washington 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 32.00
Attendance Score: 6.36
APR Score: 8
Draft: 5
FBS Wins: 12
Quality Wins: 4
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score: 4
Elite Losses: 11
Bad Wins: 4
Conf. Score: 1.40

Program Analysis ... In 2003, Washington was ranked No. 14 in the CFN Three-Year Program Analysis. No. 14. U-Dub was one of the nation's power programs, highlighted by the 2001 Rose Bowl, and it was considered a major shocker when the team went 6-6 in 2003. And then the bottom dropped out with a 1-10 2004 season that came from out of nowhere. The hope was that the glory would be restored when Ty Willingham was hired. Even after a rough go at Notre Dame, Willingham had taken Stanford to a Rose Bowl and he knew the Pac 10, but instead things got even worse. The knock on Willingham in South Bend was that he couldn't recruit, and that became evident in Seattle as the program bottomed out with an 0-12 2008. At least the players have been going to class and the attendance hasn't been that awful, but winning 14% of Pac 10 games in five years is as low as it gets. Steve Sarkisian has a long road to climb.

98. Mississippi State 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 33.52
Attendance Score: 4.52
APR Score: 5
Draft: 4
FBS Wins: 17
Quality Wins: 6
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score: 3.5
Elite Losses: 9
Bad Wins: 9
Conf. Score: 2.50

Program Analysis ... MSU was in the 1998 SEC Championship, losing to eventual national champion Tennessee. It had an even better 2000 season going 10-2 with a trip to the Peach Bowl, but the SEC got a whole bunch better, MSU got a whole bunch worse, and the program has had problems keeping up the pace from 2001 and on. Sylvester Croom put together a nice 2007 season, going 8-5 with a Liberty Bowl win over UCF, but the Bulldgs haven't played much offense over the last few years and scored a mere 183 points last season. Florida offensive coordinator Dan Mullen takes over with the goal to create an attack that can keep up with the rest of the conference. After winning a quarter of its conference games over the last five years, MSU will take as many SEC wins as it can get. Mullen should bring them, bit it might take a little while.

97. Marshall 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 33.54
Attendance Score: 2.67
APR Score: 6
Draft: 2
FBS Wins: 19
Quality Wins: 4
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score: 2.5
Elite Losses: 4
Bad Wins: 10
Conf. Score: 4.87

Program Analysis ... Marshall was 19th in the 2003 CFN Three-Year Program Analysis after years of Byron Leftwich leading a high-powered MAC superpower. Mark Snyder wasn't able to rekindle the momentum after Bob Pruett left (and with the program starting to falter). The move to Conference USA hasn't been a success so far, winning fewer than half the league games, and there have only been 19 FBS wins in the last five years after winning 30 games from 2001 to 2003. The offense has been the biggest problem, scoring just 246 points last season and rarely being consistent, while the defense hasn't been anything special. Snyder will be given another year to turn things around.

96. Middle Tennessee 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 34.03
Attendance Score: 1.72
APR Score: 6
Draft: 1
FBS Wins: 24
Quality Wins: 4
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score: 6
Elite Losses: 3
Bad Wins: 10
Conf. Score: 5.56

Program Analysis ... Middle Tennessee was supposed to be the star of the Sun Belt when the league was formed, but it has managed to lose that one big game every time it needed to come through. There have been a slew of nice wins over the years, including last seasons shocker over Maryland, and there have been a lot of near-misses, but it has all added up to a mediocre overall record and one bowl game in the last five years. The conference wins have to start coming more regularly for a team this strong, winning 57% isn't good enough, while there need to be more wins over the top Sun Belt teams.

95. Toledo 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 34.79
Attendance Score: 2.04
APR Score: 2
Draft: 4
FBS Wins: 23
Quality Wins: 4
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score: 1
Elite Losses: 2
Bad Wins: 12
Conf. Score: 5.25

Program Analysis ... That sound you hear is Toledo plummeting down the rankings in a stunning freefall. In past CFN Program Rankings, Toledo was 25th in 2003, 35th in 2004, 29th in 2005, 36th in 2006. What happened? The team stopped winning. The Rockets went 3-9 last year and has won just 11 FBS games after 9-3 in 2005 with a 45-13 win over UTEP in the GMAC Bowl. The APR score stinks, and there haven't been enough Quality wins, but mostly, the Rockets have to start winning the games they're supposed to. There's only one Bad Loss on the books, giving Eastern Michigan its only win of 2006, but there are many MAC victories there for the taking. New head man Tim Beckman should quickly turn things back around.

94. Iowa State 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 35.38
Attendance Score: 4.63
APR Score: 5
Draft: 5
FBS Wins: 19
Quality Wins: 5
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score: 4
Elite Losses: 4
Bad Wins: 6
Conf. Score: 3.75

Program Analysis ... Gene Chizik did absolutely nothing with the program, after taking over from Dan McCarney, but he was rewarded by getting the plum Auburn job. Paul Rhoads gets the job of trying to clean up the mess from a team that won just four FBS games over the last two years and has just 19 FBS wins over the last five seasons. Only winning 38% of Big 12 games, despite playing in the lighter Big 12 North, screws up the ranking, and the overall score is likely to be worse before it gets better with the back-to-back 7-5 2004 and 2005 seasons out of the formula over the next two years.

93. Ohio 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 35.65
Attendance Score: 1.65
APR Score: 7
Draft: 2
FBS Wins: 23
Quality Wins: 3
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score: 1.5
Elite Losses: 2
Bad Wins: 15
Conf. Score: 4.75

Program Analysis ... Ohio played for the 2006 MAC Championship and followed it up with a nice 6-6 season, but it hasn't been easy to maintain a high level of play. Last year's underachieving 4-8 season hurt the overall ranking, while the lack of Quality Wins, especially against MAC teams, have kept the team out of the MAC title hunt in four of the last five seasons. On the positive side, Ohio beats most of the teams it's supposed to with 15 Bad Wins and just the one Bad Loss gaffe at home in 2007 to Kent State.

92. Indiana 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 36.15
Attendance Score: 3.40
APR Score: 8
Draft: 5
FBS Wins: 18
Quality Wins: 6
Elite Win Score: 0 
Bad Loss Score: 3.5
Elite Losses: 6
Bad Wins: 8
Conf. Score: 2.25

Program Analysis ... The late Terry Hoeppner had a goal and a dream of making Indiana a consistently strong program, and while his team came up with a great 7-6 2007 season following his death, it clunked last year with a bad 3-9 campaign. The Hoosier players do well in the classroom, but the paltry attendance, when compared to other Big Ten programs, and the mere 23% winning clip in conference play keeps the program among the nation's most mediocre. There have been some Quality Wins, but the Bad Losses to Southern Illinois (2006) and at Kentucky and Illinois in 2004 bring things down. With the 3-8 2004 season, along with two of the Bad Losses, gone in next year's formula, IU should jump up into the 80s and could flirt with the 70s if it has a good season.

91. Florida Atlantic 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 36.69
Attendance Score: 1.27
APR Score: 3
Draft: 0
FBS Wins: 24
Quality Wins: 6
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score: 0
Elite Losses: 1
Bad Wins: 15
Conf. Score: 5.93

Program Analysis ... Howard Schnellenberger built his program from scratch and has made it a Sun Belt powerhouse with an athletic team that wins almost all the games against lousy teams and has come through with enough big wins to get to two straight bowl games. The attendance is mediocre and APR could stand to be better, but FAU is able to make up for the problems with win. The draft score will go up in a hurry with a few NFL-caliber players, like QB Rusty Smith, about to go off to the next level. Expect the ranking to get worse before it gets better when the 9-3 2004 season is off the books. The Owls should be in the 80s in the 2011 rankings when the 2-9 2005 season doesn't count.

90. Louisiana Tech 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 36.95
Attendance Score: 1.70
APR Score: 5
Draft: 2
FBS Wins: 26
Quality Wins: 3
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score: 2
Elite Losses: 5
Bad Wins: 17
Conf. Score: 5.25

Program Analysis ... Derek Dooley had work to do after Louisiana Tech's 2-10 season, and now the needle is pointed up after the foundation was set with an 8-5 season finished off by an Independence Bowl win over Northern Illinois. Now, the Bulldogs should be in the thick of the WAC title hunt and a legitimate threat to Boise State with explosion on offense and experience on D. The 17 Bad Wins shows how the team is able to get by the lousy teams, but there are only three Quality Wins on the board. After hanging around the 70s in the previous CFN program rankings, Tech should be back there soon.

89. Illinois 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 37.38
Attendance Score: 5.13 
APR Score: 4
Draft: 7
FBS Wins: 17
Quality Wins: 7
Elite Win Score: 1.5
Bad Loss Score: 3
Elite Losses: 9
Bad Wins: 11
Conf. Score: 2.75

Program Analysis ... It goes to show just how bad the team has been that it's ranked this low even with a 9-4 Rose Bowl campaign in 2007. The Illini were awful from 2003 to 2006 with a mere five FBS wins over the four-year span, and they weren't great last year with a 5-7 clunker. The APR score, for a place that prides itself on its academic reputation, is awful, while the attendance shows that it's still a basketball school that needs the football program to produce to gets butts in the seats. This should be as low as the Illini go for the next several years with an improved Draft score and more wins certainly to come. Those bad seasons from 2004 to 2006 will quickly go flying off the board and the ranking will start to shoot up.

88. Washington State 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 37.49
Attendance Score: 3.20
APR Score: 3
Draft: 8
FBS Wins: 20
Quality Wins: 5
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score: 0
Elite Losses: 8
Bad Wins: 10
Conf. Score: 2.79

Program Analysis ... Wazzu was 14th in the 2004 Program Analysis and was still up high at 23 in 2005. Unfortunately, this is about as high as the program will be over the next few years with bad season after bad season starting to add up. Winning just 28% of the Pac 10 games is a problem, the low APR score hurts, and the lack of wins will really start to hurt if there isn't a winning season around the corner. Going 2-11 with just one FBS win, like the Cougars did last year, will drag a team down in a hurry, and now it's up to Paul Wulff to show he can be the one who could potentially restore the past success. After giving up 570 points last year, and scoring just 165, there's a long way to go.

87. Wyoming 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 37.52
Attendance Score: 1.93
APR Score: 6
Draft: 2
FBS Wins: 24
Quality Wins: 3
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score: 1
Elite Losses: 8
Bad Wins: 11
Conf. Score: 3.33

Program Analysis ... Considering how mediocre the program has been, and with Joe Glenn getting fired, this seems a bit high. New head man Dave Christensen has to try to pull off more Mountain West wins from a program that's winning just 33% of them, and while the fan base is vocal and passionate, there aren't a lot of Cowboy fans as evidenced by the Attendance score. The one big year in recent history, the 7-5 Las Vegas Bowl campaign of 2004, will fall out of the equation next year, and the overall score should plummet. After scoring just 152 points, there's nowhere to go but up offensively.
 
T85. Western Michigan
 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 38.21
Attendance Score: 1.83
APR Score: 4
Draft: 4
FBS Wins: 26
Quality Wins: 4
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score: 2
Elite Losses: 3
Bad Wins: 14
Conf. Score: 5.13

Program Analysis ... The ranking should go through the roof next year. WMU is one of the favorites for the MAC title, thanks to QB Tim Hiller and the high-octane offense, and the one aberration of a season, the 1-10 2004 campaign, will be off the books in next year's formula. The Broncos were 0-for-the-FBS in 2004, but bounced back with three winning seasons in four highlighted by a nine victory season with a win over Illinois. The Broncos also stunned Iowa two years ago, screwing up the Hawkeye season, and now the team should give everyone on its schedule a run. The wins have to start coming to make up for the mediocre off-the-field scores with an APR score that could be better and the lack of a big fan base.
 
T85. Akron
 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 38.21
Attendance Score: 1.46
APR Score: 3
Draft: 4
FBS Wins: 27
Quality Wins: 3
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score:  0
Elite Losses: 2
Bad Wins: 15
Conf. Score: 5.00

Program Analysis ... The 2005 season has carried Akron out of the dregs. The Zips won the MAC championship and came up with all three of its Quality Wins. The other four years weren't any big deal with three losing campaigns and a 6-5 2004 season. The new stadium should help the attendance score, while the APR score could stand to be much better. Getting out of mediocrity could be tough, even with a decent offense returning, but that doesn't mean Akron won't be in the MAC title hunt playing in the MAC East.
 
84. Syracuse
 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 38.47
Attendance Score: 3.66
APR Score: 8
Draft: 9
FBS Wins: 15
Quality Wins: 5
Elite Win Score: 1
Bad Loss Score: 1
Elite Losses: 6
Bad Wins: 5
Conf. Score: 2.06

Program Analysis ... How?! Syracuse only came up with 15 FBS wins over the last five years, the fewest number among the top 98 teams. The APR score is a huge help; the Orange can't play, but they can study. The attendance has slipped big-time, the basketball team gets more than 37,000 for the big games, and the Draft score is relatively high. Unfortunately for SU, this is as high as the program will be for a while with the 6-6 2004 season, and four of the five Quality Wins, coming off the board next year. Can Greg Paulus be the difference maker at quarterback to change the program around? That's the hope for one year, but new head man Doug Maronne has to work wonders to make the team a factor in the Big East.
 
83. Colorado State
 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 38.57
Attendance Score: 2.47
APR Score: 6
Draft: 4
FBS Wins: 20
Quality Wins: 6
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score: 1
Elite Losses: 8
Bad Wins: 11
Conf. Score: 3.85

Program Analysis ... The once-proud program had turned mediocre at the end of the Sonny Lubick era. Steve Fairchild came in and said he was going to run the ball, and he has done it with good results. CSU got back to a bowl game last year, running all over Fresno State for a 40-35 Humanitarian Bowl victory, and now the team appears to be on the verge of knocking on the door to get into the Mountain West club occupied by TCU, BYU, and Utah. The Rams should move up the rankings next year once the 4-7 2004 season is out of the equation.
 
82. Arkansas State
 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 38.59
Attendance Score: 1.79
APR Score: 6
Draft: 3
FBS Wins: 23
Quality Wins: 5
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score: 1
Elite Losses: 2
Bad Wins: 14
Conf. Score: 5.29

Program Analysis ... Just on the outside of the Sun Belt elite, ASU has been solid over the last four years, with three 6-6 seasons and a 5-7 2007 campaign. Now it needs to start being better against the big boys. The ranking should jump up in a big way next year with a 3-8 2004 season, along with a bad loss to Idaho, going away. The APR score isn't bad, and the total wins are solid, but the Sun Belt winning percentage should be better. With QB Corey Leonard and RB Reggie Arnold in the backfield, there's a shot at big things this year.
 
81. Bowling Green
 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 39.12
Attendance Score: 1.62
APR Score: 3
Draft: 3
FBS Wins: 31
Quality Wins: 4
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score: 5.5
Elite Losses: 4
Bad Wins: 14
Conf. Score: 6.00

Program Analysis ... Bowling Green has won 60% of its MAC games over the last five years and won 31 FBS games, the most of any team ranked outside of the top 70, but that wasn't enough for Gregg Brandon to save his job. And why? The bad losses. The Falcons were good enough to upset Pitt last season, but they lost at home to Eastern Michigan. They were strong enough to get to the GMAC Bowl two years ago, but they were smoked 63-7 by Tulsa in one of the most embarrassing bowl performances in years. It's that inconsistency that screwed up the program, and now it'll be up to Dave Clawson to provide some stability. He has a good offense, led by QB Tyler Sheehan, to help make it happen.