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CFN Five-Year Program Rankings - 61 to 80
Purdue DE Ryan Kerrigan
Purdue DE Ryan Kerrigan
CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Aug 27, 2009


CFN's 2009 Five-Year Program Rankings and Analysis ... Teams 61 through 80

CFN Five-Year Program Analysis

No. 61 to 80
 

Program Rankings

- CFN Scoring System
- 2009 CFN Preview
- No. 1 USC
- No. 2 Texas
- No. 3 Oklahoma
- No. 4 Ohio State
- No. 5 Florida
- No. 6 Georgia
- No. 7 LSU
- No. 8 Virginia Tech
- No. 9 Auburn
- No. 10 Michigan
- 11 to 20
- 21 to 40
- 41 to 60
- 61 to 80
- 81 to 100
- 101 to 120
Every new coach realistically needs five years to make a program his. He doesn't always get that much time, often being asked to turn things around right away. Five years allow a coach to go through an entire recruiting cycle, get comfortable in the position, and implement everything he'd like to do. With that in mind, we have created our CFN Five-Year Program Analysis (it used to be three years, but we supersized it) highlighting off-the-field factors like the Academic Progress Report (do the players go to class) and the players drafted by the NFL (a huge selling point to recruits), to attendance (it pays the bills) and wins, wins, wins. On-field success ends up being all that matters, so that's where the focus lies. One note, the totals for each team might not add up because we have listed the total number of wins and losses for the categories, while the Bad Wins and Losses and Elite Wins and Losses might be scored differently (two home losses against 3-9 teams would be scored as a 3).

Quick Explanation of Scores
- Attendance: Home attendance average over the last five years divided by 10,000. Avg. Score: 4.38
- APR: The most recently released Academic Performance Rate. 90th to 100th percentile (best) gets a 10, 1st to 10th percentile (worst) gets a 1 Avg. Score: 5.85
- Quality Wins: Wins over FBS teams that finished with a winning record. Avg. Score: 9.77
- Total Wins: Wins over FBS teams. Avg. Score: 28.75
- Players Drafted: Number of players drafted. Avg. Score: 9.70
- Conference Win %: Conference winning percentage times 10. Avg. Score: 4.99
- Elite Win Score: Wins over FBS teams that finished with two losses or fewer, or on the road, at a neutral site, or in a bowl over teams that finished with three losses or fewer. Add an additional 0.5 for an Elite Win over a two-loss team on the road. Avg. Number: 1.39
- Bad Loss Score: Losses to teams that finished with three wins or fewer or any loss to a non-FBS team. Subtract each loss from the overall total. Subtract an additional 0.5 for each Bad Loss at home. Avg. Number: 2.25
- Elite Losses: Losses to teams that finished with two wins or fewer. Take 0.25 of the number. Avg. Number: 5.15
- Bad Wins: Wins teams that finished with three wins or fewer or any win to a non-FBS team Avg. Number: 10.64

- Detailed Explanation of the Scoring System and Categories

- CLICK HERE for FREE Expert Football Selections from ATS Consultants

80. Minnesota
 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 39.74
Attendance Score: 4.99
APR Score: 3
Draft: 7
FBS Wins: 25
Quality Wins: 4
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score: 4
Elite Losses: 7
Bad Wins: 7
Conf. Score: 3.25

Program Analysis ... The 1-11 disaster of 2006 didn't help the ranking, and falling off the map over the second half of last season wasn't a plus, but overall, considering the team has only won 33% of its Big Ten games over the last five years, this isn't an awful ranking. The APR score is awful, but the Attendance score should go up with the bright, shiny new stadium, but there are too many Bad Losses, like the home gaffe to North Dakota State in 2007, and not enough Quality Wins. This year's team should be just good enough to get to a bowl game, but it's not likely to do much to improve the ranking for next year.
 
79. Miami University
 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 40.44
Attendance Score: 1.56
APR Score: 8
Draft: 4
FBS Wins: 23
Quality Wins: 5
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score: 3
Elite Losses: 2
Bad Wins: 11
Conf. Score: 5.13

Program Analysis ... MU went from playing in the 2007 MAC Championship to going 2-10 in 2008, and that meant the end of the Shane Montgomery era. Mike Haywood comes in and he needs to jump-start an offense that has struggled with its consistency and its punch over the last few seasons. It wasn't just 2008, MU also stunk it up in 2006 going 2-10 to bring down the ranking after coming in 20th in 2006. The fantastic APR score helps the cause, but Haywood needs to get more victories on a regular basis, especially against the better MAC teams, to make MU a player again like it was not all that long ago.
 
78. Ole Miss
 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 41.13
Attendance Score: 5.38
APR Score: 2
Draft: 10
FBS Wins: 19
Quality Wins: 6
Elite Win Score: 2.5
Bad Loss Score: 1
Elite Losses: 9
Bad Wins: 11
Conf. Score: 2.75

Program Analysis ... Ole Miss has won just 28% of its SEC battles over the last five years, but former head man Ed Orgeron stocked the shelves. Houston Nutt has reaped the rewards with plenty of NFL-caliber players, evidenced by one of the highest draft scores among the lower ranked teams. The talent hasn't done much in the classroom, with a low APR score, but it's all about wins in the SEC and they should start rolling in after so much mediocrity. It's going to take a few years to erase all the immediate post-Eli Manning problems, but a big 2009 will be a good way to continue the momentum started last year.
 
77. Vanderbilt
 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 41.45
Attendance Score: 3.45
APR Score: 9
Draft: 7
FBS Wins: 20
Quality Wins: 6
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score: 2.5
Elite Losses: 7
Bad Wins: 10
Conf. Score: 2.75

Program Analysis ... The smart guys are starting to produce on the field as well as in the classroom. As expected, the APR is outstanding, and now the wins are starting to follow. Winning 28% of the SEC games keeps the ranking low, and the Attendance score is always going to be a problem, but after a breakthrough bowl season, and with the talent level improving enough to jack up the Draft score, there's a chance the program isn't likely to hit the skids again soon. Vandy was in the 100s not all that long ago, ranking 107th in 2005, and while it's not going to win the SEC East, it'll remain competitive.
 
76. Memphis
 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 41.87
Attendance Score: 3.37
APR Score: 7
Draft: 4
FBS Wins: 25
Quality Wins: 6
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score: 4
Elite Losses: 1
Bad Wins: 12
Conf. Score: 5.25

Program Analysis ... Memphis hasn't been a major player in the Conference USA race over the last few years, but it has carved out a niche as a very nice mid-level program with four bowl appearances in the last five seasons. The APR score (considering the problems with the basketball team) is nice and high, while the FBS win total is nice and high. The problem in the rankings is one 2-10 clunker in 2006 that had just one FBS win and had one of the team's four Bad Losses. Tommy West and his program might not challenge for the title this year, but it should get back to the post-season and remain around the seven-win mark.
 
75. Rice
 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 42.48
Attendance Score: 1.48
APR Score: 10
Draft: 2
FBS Wins: 24
Quality Wins: 7
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score: 4.5
Elite Losses: 5
Bad Wins: 10
Conf. Score: 4.75

Program Analysis ... There's an ugly 3-9 2007 season on the books, and winning a game in 2005 and three games in 2004 didn't help the score, but a ten-win 2008 campaign changed the ranking around in a big hurry. The perfect APR score made up for the lousy attendance, the lowest of anyone in the top 84, and the wins helped offset the bad ones. The success of last year isn't likely to continue, there's too much personnel turnover, but the team needs to beat the mediocre teams on the schedule and the Conference USA wins have to keep on flowing in to stay this high.
 
74. UCF
 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 43.77
Attendance Score: 3.27
APR Score: 8
Draft: 6
FBS Wins: 24
Quality Wins: 5
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score: 2
Elite Losses: 1
Bad Wins: 11
Conf. Score: 5.00

Program Analysis ... Kevin Smith couldn't have been the entire offense, could he? As it turned out, he was the attack as UCF's O went into the tank last season scoring just 199 points with just three FBS wins. It's amazing the program is this high in the rankings considering there are two 4-8 seasons and the 0-11 disaster from 2004 in the equation, but a high APR and 24 wins, gathered mostly in the 2005 and 2007 runs to the MAC title game, saved the overall score. UCF should be much higher next year when 2004 won't count and with an expected boost in the attendance.
 
73. Kansas State
 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 44.42
Attendance Score: 4.67
APR Score: 6
Draft: 8
FBS Wins: 22
Quality Wins: 5
Elite Win Score: 1
Bad Loss Score: 1
Elite Losses: 7
Bad Wins: 9
Conf. Score: 3.25

Program Analysis ... It's Bill Snyder to the rescue ... sort of. Things weren't all that bad under Ron Prince, but his teams kept dying as the seasons went on. While Snyder is a legend and has earned the right to do whatever he wants with the KSU program, the freefall from powerhouse status started at the end of his first run as head coach. KSU was 11th in the 2003, and then the team crashed with a 4-7 2004 and there hasn't been much success since. Winning just 33% of Big 12 games is the biggest problem, and it's not like the Wildcats are likely to challenge for the Big 12 North this year. The key will be to simply win more games. For a team that plays as soft a schedule as KSU does, at least in non-conference play, there has to be more than 22 wins over a five-year span.
  
72. Troy
 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 44.70
Attendance Score: 2.02
APR Score: 6
Draft: 4
FBS Wins: 29
Quality Wins: 4
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score: 2
Elite Losses: 1
Bad Wins: 16
Conf. Score: 7.43

Program Analysis ... The Sun Belt's best program, Troy's 74% clip in Sun Belt play is the best by far of the bottom 88 teams leading the way to three bowls in five seasons. Larry Blakeney has created a nice program built on great defenses and opportunistic offenses that don't make major mistakes. There aren't a lot of Quality Wins, that's a function of playing in the Sun Belt, with a mere four in the last five seasons, the fewest of anyone in the top 79, but the team doesn't lose to a lot of mediocre teams. A Bad Loss to Arkansas State in 2004 won't count in next year's ranking.
 
71. UTEP
 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 45.11
Attendance Score: 4.11
APR Score: 3
Draft: 7
FBS Wins: 27
Quality Wins: 7
Elite Win Score: 1
Bad Loss Score: 4
Elite Losses: 2
Bad Wins: 8
Conf. Score: 5.00

Program Analysis ... For a program that was ranked 115th in 2004 and 106th in 2005, this is high, but it's not likely to last. This solid ranking is a bit of a shocker considering UTEP has been so mediocre over the last three seasons, but 8-4 seasons in 2004 and 2005, with an appearance in the 2005 GMAC Bowl (and an ugly 45-13 loss to Toledo) to show for it. The APR stinks and the Bad Loss score is a killer, hurt mostly by a home gaffe against New Mexico State last season, but winning half of the Conference USA games has helped and the Attendance and Draft scores aren't that awful.
 
70. Nevada
 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 45.95
Attendance Score: 1.70
APR Score: 6
Draft: 3
FBS Wins: 32
Quality Wins: 6
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score: 3.5
Elite Losses: 4
Bad Wins: 19
Conf. Score: 6.00

Program Analysis ... The Attendance score is the worst among the top 74 and there haven't been many players drafted, but winning 32 games, the most in the bottom 50, with a 60% run in WAC play, has helped the overall score. The ranking should only go up from here with QB Colin Kaepernick leading a loaded team that should be in the hunt for the WAC title. Next year, the overall score will also be without the four-FBS win 2004 season that had two Bad Losses to UNLV and SMU.
 
69. Northern Illinois
 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 46.77
Attendance Score: 2.12
APR Score: 7
Draft: 3
FBS Wins: 27
Quality Wins: 8
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score: 1.5
Elite Losses: 3
Bad Wins: 17
Conf. Score: 6.15

Program Analysis ... A MAC power that hasn't been able to get over the hump and win a title, the Huskies have gotten through the transition period from Joe Novak to Jerry Kill and is back to its high status. Decimated by injuries, NIU suffered through an ugly 2-10 2007 season, but quickly bounced back with a 6-7 campaign with a trip to the Independence Bowl. To stay this high, NIU needs to be in for a big season with a 9-3 2004 season, with three of the eight Quality Wins, not counting next year. On the plus side, the conference winning % should go up as the team continues to improve.
 
68. Stanford
 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 46.90
Attendance Score: 3.90
APR Score: 10
Draft: 13
FBS Wins: 19
Quality Wins: 5
Elite Win Score: 1.5
Bad Loss Score: 3
Elite Losses: 8
Bad Wins: 5
Conf. Score: 3.26

Program Analysis ... The APR score is always going to prevent the Cardinal from slipping too far down, but the other wins have to start coming to ever have a prayer of getting into the 50s. Beating USC in 2007 was a big plus to stay out of the 70s, and the Draft score is impressively high, but there are only 19 FBS wins, the lowest of anyone in the top 77, and there are too many bad losses. The 1-11 2006 season will be an anchor in the rankings for the next few years, while the 2005 home loss to Cal-Davis and the 2007 loss to Notre Dame will also be part of the overall score. Jim Harbaugh is demanding more success, and while Stanford will be even more competitive, it'll need a few breaks to get back to a bowl.
 
67. Arizona
 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 48.24
Attendance Score: 5.28
APR Score: 3
Draft: 11
FBS Wins: 21
Quality Wins: 8
Elite Win Score: 3
Bad Loss Score: 1.5
Elite Losses: 10
Bad Wins: 10
Conf. Score: 3.95

Program Analysis ... Mike Stoops finally, finally got his Wildcats to a bowl game, with a win over BYU in last year's Las Vegas Bowl, but it's going to take a lot more wins, especially in Pac 10 play, to move up the rankings and it's going to take more time in the classroom to get the APR score up. Arizona has a few nice wins over the last five years, including a big 52-14 Elite Win over UCLA in 2005, but that was erased the next week by a Bad Loss to Washington. There have been a lot of problems with the top teams, with ten Elite Losses, and there are a mere eight Quality Wins. In a little bit of a rebuilding/reloading mode, it might be hard to make too big a jump next year, but the program is in better shape than a few years ago when it was ranked 100th in 2006.
 
66. Air Force
 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 48.64
Attendance Score: 3.77
APR Score: 10
Draft: 0
FBS Wins: 27
Quality Wins: 6
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score: 2
Elite Losses: 9
Bad Wins: 14
Conf. Score: 5.13

Program Analysis ... Just when it seemed like Air Force has gotten past its prime and was outdated, Troy Calhoun came in and breathed new life into the program. With 17 wins and two bowl appearances in the past two seasons, Air Force is relevant again. There will never be anyone drafted, but it's offset by the great APR. Winning more than half of the Mountain West games is a big plus, and the improvement over the last two years has saved the program from sinking into the 70s and lower. With a 5-6 2004 season to be replaced in the equation next year, the ranking should go up in a big way.
 
65. Kentucky
 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 49.16
Attendance Score: 6.41
APR Score: 7
Draft: 6
FBS Wins: 23
Quality Wins: 8
Elite Win Score: 1
Bad Loss Score: 2
Elite Losses: 9
Bad Wins: 10
Conf. Score: 3.00

Program Analysis ... Just when it seemed like UK was mired into total mediocrity, and with many wondering why and how Rich Brooks was keeping his job, everything changed around with a stunning 2006 that kicked off a run of three straight winning season. The Wildcats have only won 30% of their conference games over the last five years, but after winning just three league battles in 2004 and 2005, the overall record is quickly changing. The Draft Score is fine, but it seems a bit low, but the Attendance and APR scores are solid. The Elite Win came over the 2007 LSU team that won the national title.
 
64. Ball State
 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 49.40
Attendance Score: 1.49
APR Score: 6
Draft: 5
FBS Wins: 27
Quality Wins: 10
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score: 1.5
Elite Losses: 1
Bad Wins: 10
Conf. Score: 6.15

Program Analysis ... After going 2-9 in 2004 and 4-7 in 2005, the Cardinals started to improve in 2006 going 5-7 by winning three of the final four games, and then the team took off with two good years with QB Nate Davis at the helm highlighted by a tremendous 2008 season that started out 12-0 and ended with a big, fat clunk losing to Buffalo in a MAC Championship stunner and to Tulsa 45-13 in the GMAC Bowl. Now there's a new era starting with Davis off to the NFL and head coach Brady Hoke leaving for San Diego State. New head man Stan Parrish will try to keep the momentum going, but it's going to be hard to move up the rankings to far with the lowest Attendance score of anyone in the top 74, but if 2009 is a winning season, the Cardinals should rise up and flirt with the 50s.
 
63. New Mexico
 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 50.90
Attendance Score: 3.27
APR Score: 5
Draft: 8
FBS Wins: 31
Quality Wins: 7
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score: 4
Elite Losses: 8
Bad Wins: 10
Conf. Score: 5.13

Program Analysis ... Consistently average, New Mexico was fine under Rocky Long, but it peaked in 2007 with a 9-4 season with a 23-0 New Mexico Bowl win over Nevada. After going 4-8 last season, it was time for some new blood and a change of pace with Mike Locksley coming in to try to take the program to another level. There haven't been enough big wins and there are too many Bad Losses on the books, most notably a 17-6 loss to Portland State at home to start the 2006 season. There have been a lot of FBS wins, but the seven Quality Wins are way low.
  
62. Purdue
 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 51.46
Attendance Score: 5.96
APR Score: 3
Draft: 13
FBS Wins: 29
Quality Wins: 5
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score: 0
Elite Losses: 5
Bad Wins: 14
Conf. Score: 4.25

Program Analysis ... The knock on Purdue under former head coach Joe Tiller was that the program was fine against the average teams, but it never beat anyone with a pulse. This ranking shows that with a shockingly low five Quality Wins, Purdue just didn't do enough to be a factor when push game to shove. On the flip side, the Boilermakers didn't have too many problems with the bad teams, there weren't any Bad Losses, but winning 43% of Big Ten games, combined with a horrendous APR, keeps the program among the average.
 
61. Central Michigan
 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 51.80
Attendance Score: 1.88
APR Score: 4
Draft: 5
FBS Wins: 34
Quality Wins: 9
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score: 4.5
Elite Losses: 3
Bad Wins: 11
Conf. Score: 6.92

Program Analysis ... Dan LeFevour. Central Michigan wasn't even a thought on the MAC radar, and then came the 2006 season opener against Boston College. Starter Brian Brunner went down with a concussion, LeFevour stepped in, and the Chippewas have won 26 games and two MAC titles with three bowl appearances in the last three seasons. CMU's 34 FBS wins are the most of anyone outside of the top 52 teams, but the Attendance score is the lowest of anyone in the top 63. The APR doesn't help, and the 4.5 Bad Loss score is awful, but winning 70% of MAC games has offset the problems. The program will be well into the 50s next year after losing the 4-7 2004 season with two Bad Losses.