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CFN Five-Year Program Rankings - No. 11 to 20
Alabama RB Mark Ingram
Alabama RB Mark Ingram
CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Aug 27, 2009


From classroom performance, attendance, and players drafted, to wins, wins and more wins, we look at what each program has done over the last five years in the 2009 CFN Five-Year Program Rankings and Analysis. The top ten to come tomorrow. To start, here are all the program from No. 11 to 120.

CFN Five-Year Program Analysis

No. 11 to 20
 

Program Rankings
Coming Friday
- The Top Ten, and the Rankings by category

- 11 to 20
- 21 to 40
- 41 to 60
- 61 to 80
- 81 to 100
- 101 to 120
Every new coach realistically needs five years to make a program his. He doesn't always get that much time, often being asked to turn things around right away. Five years allow a coach to go through an entire recruiting cycle, get comfortable in the position, and implement everything he'd like to do. With that in mind, we have created our CFN Five-Year Program Analysis (it used to be three years, but we supersized it) highlighting off-the-field factors like the Academic Progress Report (do the players go to class) and the players drafted by the NFL (a huge selling point to recruits), to attendance (it pays the bills) and wins, wins, wins. On-field success ends up being all that matters, so that's where the focus lies. One note, the totals for each team might not add up because we have listed the total number of wins and losses for the categories, while the Bad Wins and Losses and Elite Wins and Losses might be scored differently (two home losses against 3-9 teams would be scored as a 3).

Quick Explanation of Scores
- Attendance: Home attendance average over the last five years divided by 10,000. Avg. Score: 4.38
- APR: The most recently released Academic Performance Rate. 90th to 100th percentile (best) gets a 10, 1st to 10th percentile (worst) gets a 1 Avg. Score: 5.85
- Quality Wins: Wins over FBS teams that finished with a winning record. Avg. Score: 9.77
- Total Wins: Wins over FBS teams. Avg. Score: 28.75
- Players Drafted: Number of players drafted. Avg. Score: 9.70
- Conference Win %: Conference winning percentage times 10. Avg. Score: 4.99
- Elite Win Score: Wins over FBS teams that finished with two losses or fewer, or on the road, at a neutral site, or in a bowl over teams that finished with three losses or fewer. Add an additional 0.5 for an Elite Win over a two-loss team on the road. Avg. Number: 1.39
- Bad Loss Score: Losses to teams that finished with three wins or fewer or any loss to a non-FBS team. Subtract each loss from the overall total. Subtract an additional 0.5 for each Bad Loss at home. Avg. Number: 2.25
- Elite Losses: Losses to teams that finished with two wins or fewer. Take 0.25 of the number. Avg. Number: 5.15
- Bad Wins: Wins teams that finished with three wins or fewer or any win to a non-FBS team Avg. Number: 10.64

- Detailed Explanation of the Scoring System and Categories

- CLICK HERE for FREE Expert Football Selections from ATS Consultants 
 
20. Alabama
 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 82.04
Attendance Score: 8.79
APR Score: 8
Draft: 16
FBS Wins: 38
Quality Wins: 14
Elite Win Score: 2
Bad Loss Score: 1.5
Elite Losses: 9
Bad Wins: 13
Conf. Score: 5.75

Program Analysis ... Nick Saban is getting all the credit for the resurgence of the star program, and rightly so as his Tide was one quarter away from playing for the national championship last season, but the ranking is this high partly due to Mike Shula. Cast aside after a not-that-bad 6-7 2006, Shula also led the Tide to a 10-2, Cotton Bowl-winning 2005. His struggles against Auburn did him in, and his firing was a case of taking a step back to take a huge leap forward because it meant Saban was brought aboard. This is likely as low as the program is going to ever be under Saban's reign with more Quality and Elite wins on the way, while the Attendance and APR scores are expected to stay high.
 
19. California


Total Five-Year Program Score: 85.55
Attendance Score: 6.27
APR Score: 9
Draft: 21
FBS Wins: 42
Quality Wins: 14
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score: 1
Elite Losses: 6
Bad Wins: 12
Conf. Score: 6.28

Program Analysis ... California football was a non-entity until Jeff Tedford arrived. The program was ranked 74th in 2003, was never in the hunt for bowl games, and then it became on the fringe of the elite. On the fringe ... but not in the VIP lounge. For all the good things the Bears have done over the last several years, there haven't been the huge wins needed to get into the BCS or to prove that Cal football deserves more respect. Oh sure, there are plenty of wins, and a nice winning percentage in Pac 10 play, but the team has been flaky. On the cusp of being No. 1, a brain-cramp from QB Kevin Riley led to a loss to Oregon State in 2007 that kicked off a run of six losses in seven games. There were too many losses to average teams last year, November road losses to Arizona (mediocre) and USC (national title-good) ruined a promising 2006, a run of four losses in five games killed 2005, and a loss to Texas Tech in the 2004 Holiday Bowl showed that the 10-2 team didn't deserve to be in the BCS. Can the Bears put a full season together? This might be the year with Tedford's best team yet.
  
18. Florida State
 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 86.34
Attendance Score: 8.09
APR Score: 5
Draft: 26
FBS Wins: 37
Quality Wins: 18
Elite Win Score: 2
Bad Loss Score: 1
Elite Losses: 3
Bad Wins: 9
Conf. Score: 5.75

Program Analysis ... No program can possibly maintain the ridiculously high standard Florida State set for over a decade, and this ranking reflects that the slide out of college football's penthouse wasn't that bad. No. 2 in the 2003 rankings and in the top ten in 2004 through 2006, the last five years have been a major disappointment for Noles fans. Even though there haven't been the consistent national title appearances like there were in years past, FSU is still a factory for NFL talent, there are still plenty of big wins, and there has still been success even with the academic scandals proving to be a major distraction. Even so, for Florida State, who spent years owning the ACC, to win 57.5% of its conference games is a problem. And no, there are no vacated wins in the CFN Program Rankings.
 
17. Utah
 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 88.53
Attendance Score: 4.34
APR Score: 8
Draft: 13
FBS Wins: 47
Quality Wins: 16
Elite Win Score: 3
Bad Loss Score: 1
Elite Losses: 4
Bad Wins: 15
Conf. Score: 7.44

Program Analysis ... Only USC, Texas, Oklahoma, Florida, Ohio State, LSU, and Boise State have won more FBS games over the last five years than Utah. A solid all-around program for years, Urban Meyer took it to another level with an Alex Smith-led perfect season and Fiesta Bowl win in 2004 (which won't count in next year's rankings), and Kyle Whittingham helped keep the momentum going with three solid years and then last year's monster campaign. The 13-0, Sugar Bowl winning 2008 team missed out on the national title discussion, but it showed that Utah could hang with anyone in America if all the pieces are in place. The Utes have plenty of speed, athleticism, and talent, but there will be a little bit of rebuilding over the next few years. With eight bowl wins in a row, the program knows how to get the job done when the lights are on. Soon, the Utes would finally like the chance to show what it can do with a national title at stake.
 
16. Wisconsin
 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 89.68
Attendance Score: 8.18
APR Score: 8
Draft: 21
FBS Wins: 44
Quality Wins: 15
Elite Win Score: 1
Bad Loss Score: 1
Elite Losses: 6
Bad Wins: 16
Conf. Score: 6.50

Program Analysis ... For a program coming off a mega-disappointment of a season and with a coach that's on a hot seat, Wisconsin is ranked extremely high. The biggest fun stat is the Draft score, with the 21 players taken putting the Badgers ahead of Florida, Tennessee, Penn State, and Alabama, while all the other scores are terrific. The APR and Attendance scores are always going to be solid, and winning 65% of Big Ten games is a huge boost, but there have to be more big wins under Bret Bielema. The team played down to its competition last season and didn't show up in the 42-13 Champs Sports Bowl loss to Florida State. Can the Badgers put together a full season and get back to the BCS-caliber level of 2006? Bielema thinks so, but the suddenly fickle UW fans want to see a return to the Big Ten title days.
  
15. West Virginia
 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 89.95
Attendance Score: 5.80
APR Score: 5
Draft: 10
FBS Wins: 46
Quality Wins: 19
Elite Win Score: 4
Bad Loss Score: 0
Elite Losses: 2
Bad Wins: 12
Conf. Score: 7.65

Program Analysis ... Considering the ranking was 59 in 2003 and 55 in 2004, the rise into prominence has been impressive. Mountaineer fans might not be all that happy with Rich Rodriguez and how he left the program, but he built it up into a powerhouse that was a gag against Pitt away from playing for the 2007 national championship. Bill Stewart had a nice first season, but 9-4 and the Meineke Car Care Bowl is a disappointment for a team used to being the star of the Big East. Most interestingly, the Mountaineers are succeeding without a ton of next-level talent. Only ten players have been drafted over the last five years; tied for the fewest among of anyone ranked in the top 30.
 
14. Boston College
 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 91.92
Attendance Score: 4.09
APR Score: 9
Draft: 10
FBS Wins: 44
Quality Wins: 24
Elite Win Score: 2
Bad Loss Score: 0
Elite Losses: 6
Bad Wins: 11
Conf. Score: 6.25

Program Analysis ... No one thinks of Boston College as a superpower, and it's likely going to struggle this season with massive personnel losses, but there's no denying the success of the last several seasons. The 44 FBS wins put the Eagles in elite company even with two losses in consecutive ACC championships.  The high APR helped save the average Attendance score, and Matt Ryan aside, the Draft score hasn't been anything special. The 24 Quality Wins are fantastic with only USC, Texas, Oklahoma, Florida, Georgia, and Virginia Tech with more. Can the Eagles stay this high with so many concerns going into the season? They've defied logic and expectations before.
 
13. Penn State
 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 93.65
Attendance Score: 10.65
APR Score: 9
Draft: 18
FBS Wins: 42
Quality Wins: 16
Elite Win Score: 2
Bad Loss Score: 0
Elite Losses: 6
Bad Wins: 11
Conf. Score: 6.25

Program Analysis ... If this seems a bit low for a team with the success Penn State has had over the last few years, don't forget that there's a 4-7 2004 season in the equation. Next year, the Nittany Lions will almost certainly be deep into the top ten if there's a run to a possible Big Ten title like there's expected to be. The Attendance and APR scores are the best in the country, and saved the program in the 2005 rankings when it was 48th, but the Draft score should be higher. The Elite wins were against Ohio State in 2005 and 2008, while the worst loss in the last four seasons was to a not-that-bad Michigan State at the end of 2007. There has only been one loss to a team that finished with a losing record since 2001.
 
12. Tennessee
 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 93.76
Attendance Score: 10.51
APR Score: 7
Draft: 18
FBS Wins: 39
Quality Wins: 18
Elite Win Score: 4
Bad Loss Score: 0
Elite Losses: 8
Bad Wins: 7
Conf. Score: 6.00

Program Analysis ... The program can't be struggling that much to be this high, but at a place that expects SEC championships and national title runs, it needed a fresh breath. Lane Kiffin has been a hurricane, and he has the task to return the team to the glory of a few years ago when it ranked fifth in both 2003 and 2004. The slide can be tied to one area ... the Draft score. Tennessee used to be a factory for cranking out NFL talent, but the 18 players drafted over the last five years are relatively low for a program this good. If the top talent isn't there, the big-time wins over the elite SEC teams aren't likely to follow. With the great recruiting class of last year kicking off the Kiffin era, there's hope for a quick rebound.
  
11. Boise State
 

Total Five-Year Program Score: 94.32
Attendance Score: 3.07
APR Score: 9
Draft: 7
FBS Wins: 51
Quality Wins: 20
Elite Win Score: 2
Bad Loss Score: 0
Elite Losses: 3
Bad Wins: 18
Conf. Score: 9.50

Program Analysis ... When you win 95% of your conference games (the best in the country by far) and win 51 FBS games (fourth best) in a five-year span, you're going to be counted among the elite of the elite teams. However, for as much good as Boise State has done under Dan Hawkins and Chris Petersen, the Draft score, the loses among the top 42 teams, and the Attendance score are limiting. On the plus side, Boise State not only is great on the field, but its high APR shows it's doing things the right way. Don't expect a slide any time soon as this year's team should continue the run of double-digit win seasons. BSU is currently on a streak of six seasons in the last seven and nine of the last 11 with ten wins or more.